Key Analysis
Toulouse finished the 2023-24 season stronger than Strasbourg, including an away win at PSG.
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⚽ Football
LIGUE1
🏠
Toulouse
Home
Scheduled
VS
Match Time
2026-11-06
20:45
✈️
Strasbourg
Away
📋
10 ROUND
🗓
2026/2027
● Toulouse 2025/2026 · 10th · 12W 8D 13L (GD +1)
● Strasbourg 2025/2026 · 8th · 15W 8D 11L (GD +11)
Toulouse favored
46%
Confidence
Medium
- · Toulouse last 5: 2W 3D 0L
- · Head-to-head 10 matches: home 3W 2D 5L
- · ⚠ Data-based estimate disagrees — treat with lower confidence
AI analysis 2026-10-30 22:33
·
data as of 2026-11-02 21:13
🎯 Tokti AI Prediction
Prediction
Toulouse Win
Confidence
62%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
2 - 1
Key Analysis Points
- ✓ Strasbourg struggled away from home, with only 4 wins in 19 away games and a low goal output.
- ✓ Head-to-head slightly favors Strasbourg, but Toulouse's home advantage and offensive options make them favorites.
Recommended Bets:
Home Win
(62%)
Over 2.5
(57%)
📊 Win Probability
Toulouse
Strasbourg
46.5%
29.5%
24.0%
Home 46.5%
Draw 29.5%
Away 24.0%
🟡
YELLOW
Caution
Max probability 46.5% · Gap 17.0%p
Strategy: Uncertain match. Avoid single 1X2 bets — use Double Chance or Over/Under markets below to protect your bankroll.
Analysis data as of 2026-11-02 21:13
📋 Last 5 Matches
Analysis Data · Recent results
Toulouse
D
W
D
W
D
View 5 recent results
2026-10-26
Ligue 1
Toulouse
0 : 0
Troyes
2026-10-17
Ligue 1
Le Mans
0 : 3
Toulouse
2026-10-11
Ligue 1
Monaco
2 : 2
Toulouse
2026-09-20
Ligue 1
Toulouse
3 : 2
Le Havre
2026-09-13
Ligue 1
Lorient
2 : 2
Toulouse
Strasbourg
L
L
L
D
W
View 5 recent results
2026-10-26
Ligue 1
Rennes
3 : 0
Strasbourg
2026-10-17
Ligue 1
Strasbourg
1 : 2
PSG
2026-09-19
Ligue 1
Paris FC
2 : 1
Strasbourg
2026-09-12
Ligue 1
Strasbourg
1 : 1
Monaco
2026-09-06
Ligue 1
Troyes
2 : 6
Strasbourg
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
3
Draws
2
Away Wins
5
Average total goals
2.6
Recent matches
2026-05-04
Ligue 1
Strasbourg
1 - 2
Toulouse
Home team won
2025-12-07
Ligue 1
Toulouse
1 - 0
Strasbourg
Home team won
2025-03-17
Ligue 1
Strasbourg
2 - 1
Toulouse
Away team won
2025-01-13
Ligue 1
Toulouse
1 - 2
Strasbourg
Away team won
2024-04-07
Ligue 1
Toulouse
0 - 0
Strasbourg
Draw
Last meeting: 2026-05-04 (1-2)
📊 Season Summary
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Toulouse
Rank
7
Games played
8
Record
2W · 4D · 2L
Standing points
10
Standing points / match
1.25
Goals for / against
12 / 11
Avg goals scored / allowed
1.5 / 1.38
Strasbourg
Rank
14
Games played
7
Record
2W · 1D · 4L
Standing points
7
Standing points / match
1.0
Goals for / against
11 / 15
Avg goals scored / allowed
1.57 / 2.14
More metrics
🕸️ Team Style Comparison
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Toulouse
GOAL
47
ATTACK
17
RS
50
RA
54
DEFENSE
67
Strasbourg
GOAL
58
ATTACK
47
RS
52
RA
29
DEFENSE
37
📈 Recent Form Trend
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Toulouse
↓
-2.05
Sharp decline
Strasbourg
↑
4.73
Strong upward trend
⚖️ Performance Metrics
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
1.25
Standing points / match
1
1.5
Avg goals scored
1.57
1.38
Avg goals allowed
2.14
Home/Away records
1
Standing points / match
0.75
0.75
Avg goals scored
1.75
1.25
Avg goals allowed
2.75
Recent
1.25
Standing points / match
1
1.5
Avg goals scored
1.57
1.38
Avg goals allowed
2.14
🔥 Streaks
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Toulouse
Overall
Unbeaten 5
Winless 1
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 5
At Home
Unbeaten 2
Winless 1
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 2
Away
Win 1
Unbeaten 4
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 4
Strasbourg
Overall
Lose 3
Winless 4
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 3
At Home
Lose 1
Winless 2
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 2
Away
Lose 2
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1
📚 Season History
Rank and record by season
Toulouse
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Ligue 1 | #10 | 12W 8D 13L | +1 GD | 1.42 / 1.39 |
| 2024/2025 | Ligue 1 | #10 | 11W 9D 14L | +1 GD | 1.29 / 1.26 |
| 2023/2024 | Ligue 1 | #11 | 11W 10D 13L | -4 GD | 1.24 / 1.35 |
| 2022/2023 | Ligue 1 | #13 | 13W 9D 16L | 48 pts -6 GD | 1.34 / 1.5 |
| 2021/2022 | Ligue 2 | #1 | 23W 10D 5L | 79 pts +49 GD | 2.16 / 0.87 |
Strasbourg
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Ligue 1 | #8 | 15W 8D 11L | +11 GD | 1.71 / 1.38 |
| 2024/2025 | Ligue 1 | #7 | 16W 9D 9L | +12 GD | 1.65 / 1.29 |
| 2023/2024 | Ligue 1 | #13 | 10W 9D 15L | -12 GD | 1.12 / 1.47 |
| 2022/2023 | Ligue 1 | #15 | 9W 13D 16L | 40 pts -8 GD | 1.34 / 1.55 |
| 2021/2022 | Ligue 1 | #6 | 17W 12D 9L | 63 pts +17 GD | 1.58 / 1.13 |
👥 Squads
Registered players with season stats
Toulouse
17 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 11 Santiago Idalgo (21) | 23 | 4 | 4 |
| FW | 20 Emersonn (22) | 21 | 4 | 4 1 |
| FW | 9 Frank Magri (27) Knee injury | 17 | 5 | 3 |
| FW | 13 Jacen Russell-Rowe (24) | 7 | 0 | - |
| MF | 10 Yengeuboho (25) | 26 | 8 | 1 |
| MF | 23 Keuriseutian Kasereseu (26) | 24 | 1 | 5 |
| MF | 15 Aron Doneom (28) | 22 | 4 | 7 |
| MF | 77 Mario Soeo (22) | 21 | 1 | 2 |
| MF | 18 Pape Demba (23) | 10 | 1 | 2 |
| MF | 17 Abu Peuransiseu (25) Leg fracture | 8 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 19 Jibeuril Sidibe (34) Injured | 27 | 3 | 1 |
| DF | 2 Rasmus Nicolaisen (29) | 26 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 3 Makeu Maekenji (27) | 24 | 0 | 6 |
| DF | 4 Keureseuwel Chalri Muscle injury | 24 | 3 | 6 |
| DF | 12 Warren Kamanzi (26) | 18 | 0 | 1 |
| GK | 1 Guillaume Restes (21) | 27 | 0 | 3 |
| GK | 16 Keujetil Hogeu (28) | 1 | 0 | - |
Strasbourg
24 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 9 Robereuto Panichelli (24) | 27 | 16 | 3 |
| FW | 27 Samuel Amo-Ameyaw (20) | 20 | 1 | 2 |
| FW | 19 Hulrio Enchiso (22) | 20 | 1 | 2 |
| FW | 11 Sebastian Nanasi (24) | 13 | 3 | - |
| FW | 10 Emeha Emanuel Leg injury | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| FW | 15 Dabideu Dateuro Popana (24) | 4 | 0 | - |
| MF | 29 Samir El Mourabet (21) | 27 | 0 | 4 |
| MF | 7 Diego Moreira (22) Ankle injury | 23 | 3 | 4 |
| MF | 42 Guemissongui Ouattara (56) Back injury | 23 | 2 | 2 |
| MF | 20 Martial Godo (56) | 22 | 7 | 2 |
| MF | 17 Mathis Amougou (2026) | 9 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 83 Rapael Luis (21) | 8 | 0 | - |
| MF | 80 Gessime Yassine (2026) | 7 | 0 | - |
| MF | 8 Maximilano Apdulrahi (22) | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| DF | 32 Valentin Bareuko (22) | 24 | 1 | 5 1 |
| DF | 6 Iseumael Dukure (23) | 20 | 0 | 3 2 |
| DF | 22 Guela Doue (24) | 20 | 2 | 3 |
| DF | 3 Ben Chilwel (30) Muscle injury | 19 | 0 | 4 |
| DF | 2 Andrew Omobamidele (24) | 19 | 0 | 4 |
| DF | 24 Lucas Hogsberg (20) | 17 | 0 | 3 1 |
| DF | 18 Junior Mwanga (23) Arm injury | 3 | 0 | - |
| DF | 5 Aron Anselmino (56) Muscle injury | 2 | 0 | - |
| GK | 39 Make Penders (21) | 26 | 0 | 3 |
| GK | 1 Kal-yohan Yonson (36) | 1 | 0 | - |
Detailed Analysis
Match Outlook
Strasbourg struggled away from home, with only 4 wins in 19 away games and a low goal output.
Team Status
Head-to-head slightly favors Strasbourg, but Toulouse's home advantage and offensive options make them favorites.
Stored match probabilities
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
Home win47.0%
Draw29.0%
Away win24.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win100%
Draw0%
Away Win0%
🔎 Forecast Agreement
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick. However, the analysis data favours a different outcome — treat this match as uncertain.
Show each forecast
ChatGPT · Forecast 1
65%Prediction: Toulouse Win
Score: 2 - 1
- Strasbourg struggled away from home, with only 4 wins in 19 away games and a low goal output.
- Head-to-head slightly favors Strasbourg, but Toulouse's home advantage and offensive options make them favorites.
Read full reasoning
Although historical head-to-heads tilt toward Strasbourg, Toulouse's superior home form and attacking talent provide them an edge. Strasbourg's away struggles and lower-scoring attack suggest they may find it difficult to take all three points, despite previous successes. Both teams are in transition with young squads, so some unpredictability remains, but current data slightly favors Toulouse, especially at home.
Claude · Forecast 2
62%Prediction: Toulouse Win
Score: 2 - 1
- Toulouse have strong home form with 6 wins at Stadium de Toulouse, compared to Strasbourg's poor away record (4 wins, 11 losses)
- Toulouse's attacking prowess (45 goals in 2023-24) led by Dallinga (14) and Aboukhlal (10) outweighs Strasbourg's weak away defense (32 goals conceded)
- Historical head-to-head shows competitive matches with Strasbourg winning 3 of last 5, but Toulouse's home advantage and recent offensive momentum provide edge
Read full reasoning
Toulouse are favored as home team based on superior domestic record and attacking capability. The data shows Toulouse finished 11th with 45 goals and demonstrated strong home form (6 wins, 22 goals scored at home). Strasbourg struggled significantly away from home, recording only 4 away wins with a concerning defensive record (32 goals conceded in away matches). While Strasbourg have recently had the upper hand in head-to-head matchups (winning 3 of last 5), Toulouse's home advantage and attacking depth should prove decisive. Patrick Vieira's Strasbourg side showed defensive solidity but lacks the firepower to overcome the home team's expected possession advantage and scoring threats. A 2-1 Toulouse victory reflects their home strength while acknowledging Strasbourg's competitive defensive structure.
Gemini · Forecast 3
60%Prediction: Toulouse Win
Score: 2 - 1
- Toulouse demonstrated higher offensive efficiency with 45 goals compared to Strasbourg's 39 in the baseline season.
- Strasbourg's away record is a significant concern, having lost 11 of 19 matches on the road with a -15 goal difference.
- Toulouse's tactical stability under Carles Martinez Novell provides a cohesive structure that tends to dominate mid-table clashes at home.
Read full reasoning
Toulouse enters this matchup as the favorite based on their superior home form and more consistent scoring output. Their 4-3-3 system is well-suited to exploit Strasbourg's defensive vulnerabilities, especially since Strasbourg conceded an average of 1.68 goals per away match. Strasbourg, while historically competitive in head-to-head meetings, has struggled significantly with away consistency. Their transition under the BlueCo ownership suggests a focus on youth, which often leads to volatility in results, particularly in high-pressure away environments. While Strasbourg may find the net due to Toulouse's own defensive lapses, the offensive duo of Dallinga and Aboukhlal gives the home side the edge in a tightly contested match.