Analysis recorded · Oct 31 08:34 UTC
The data-based estimate supports this direction.
Data as of · 2026-11-02 21:15
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
Compare match records, season figures and the source dates.
Prediction
Hwaseong Win
Confidence
59%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Key Analysis Points
Hwaseong FC has a stronger historical record and defensive solidity, often finishing above Gimhae in the table.
Most head-to-head encounters are close, with Hwaseong narrowly edging results and keeping more clean sheets.
Gimhae performs better at home and has improved offensively, but struggles against top defensive teams like Hwaseong.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
2 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Prediction: Hwaseong Win
Score: 1 - 2
Given the lack of current 2026 data, this prediction relies on historical trends up to 2023. Hwaseong's defensive strength and better league finishes give them a slight edge, especially in tight, low-scoring games. However, Gimhae's home advantage and improved attack make a draw plausible. The probability and confidence are moderate due to outdated data and unknown squad changes.
Prediction: Draw
Score: 1 - 1
Hwaseong FC typically maintains defensive solidity (0.8 goals conceded/game) with effective counter-attacking, while Gimhae FC performs stronger at home despite mid-table league position. Head-to-head history over 2021-2023 reveals an evenly matched rivalry with multiple draws and narrow results, suggesting competitive parity in direct encounters. Gimhae's home advantage and Hwaseong's away competence suggest a cautious, tactical approach from both sides. Given defensive strength of both teams, limited goal-scoring averages, and historical pattern of close results, a low-scoring draw is most probable outcome.
Prediction: Hwaseong Win
Score: 0 - 1
Historically, Hwaseong FC has maintained a clear tactical advantage over Gimhae FC, characterized by a disciplined defensive structure and clinical counter-attacking. Their defensive solidity, reflected in a lower goals-conceded average compared to Gimhae, often neutralizes Gimhae's possession-based approach. While Gimhae performs significantly better at home, Hwaseong's resilience in away matches makes them a difficult opponent to break down. The head-to-head record strongly favors Hwaseong, who have managed to secure results even when under pressure. Tactically, the match is expected to be a low-scoring contest. Hwaseong's ability to keep clean sheets contrasts with Gimhae's more vulnerable defensive line, which often struggles during fast transitions. Unless Gimhae can capitalize on early set-piece opportunities, Hwaseong's efficiency is likely to be the deciding factor. Given the lack of specific 2026 roster updates, this assessment relies on the established tactical identity of both clubs.
Max probability 41.5% · Gap 9.5%p
Strategy: Highly unpredictable. Skip this match or use only the safest derivative options. Never chase losses on coin-flip matches.
Recorded · 2026-11-02 21:15
Gimhae · 2023 · 3rd · 13W 10D 5L (GD +16)
Hwaseong · 2025 · 10th · 9W 13D 17L (GD -14)
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
1
Draws
6
Away Wins
3
Last meeting: 2026-03-08 (2-0)
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Sharp decline
Slight decline
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
Home/Away records
Recent
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Overall
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 3
At Home
Best: Unbeaten 2
Away
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 4
Overall
Best: Win 3 · Unbeaten 8
At Home
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 6
Away
Best: Win 3 · Unbeaten 4
Rank and record by season
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | K League 3 | #3 | 13W 10D 5L | +16 GD | 1.5 / 0.93 |
| 2022 | K League 3 | #7 | 12W 9D 9L | 45 pts +7 GD | 1.1 / 0.87 |
| 2021 | K League 3 | #5 | 12W 8D 8L | 44 pts +4 GD | 1.39 / 1.25 |
| 2020 | K League 3 | #1 | 11W 2D 2L | 35 pts +19 GD | 2.2 / 0.93 |
| 2019 | K League 3 | #7 | 7W 7D 14L | 28 pts -3 GD | 0.93 / 1.04 |
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | K League 2 | #10 | 9W 13D 17L | -14 GD | 0.92 / 1.28 |
| 2023 | K League 3 | #1 | 17W 9D 2L | +21 GD | 1.5 / 0.75 |
| 2022 | K League 3 | #6 | 12W 10D 8L | 46 pts +4 GD | 1.1 / 0.97 |
| 2021 | K League 3 | #12 | 8W 10D 10L | 34 pts -5 GD | 1.04 / 1.21 |
| 2020 | K League 3 | #4 | 8W 3D 4L | 27 pts +4 GD | 1.4 / 1.13 |
Registered players with season stats
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 9 Mikeltaje Beka | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| FW | 14 Pyogeonhui (29) | 4 | 0 | - |
| FW | 10 Beuruno Koseuta (29) | 3 | 0 | - |
| FW | 30 Seolhyeonjin (56) | 2 | 0 | - |
| FW | 24 Myeongsejin (25) | 1 | 0 | - |
| MF | 7 Iseungjae (28) | 4 | 0 | - |
| MF | 3 Iseulchan (33) | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 15 Gimgyeongsu (26) | 2 | 0 | - |
| MF | 97 Iraejun (29) | 2 | 1 | - |
| DF | 19 Gimhyeondeok (22) | 2 | 0 | - |
| GK | 91 Choepilsu (35) | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 11 Reonareudeu Peulrana (30) | 5 | 0 | - |
| FW | 14 Gimbyeongo (37) | 3 | 0 | - |
| MF | 92 Ijongseong (34) | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| DF | 22 Gimdaehwan (22) | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| DF | 20 Jun-seo Park (22) | 5 | 0 | - |
| DF | 15 Alreksandareu Bojinobichi (30) | 5 | 0 | - |
| DF | 3 Jodongjae (23) | 4 | 0 | - |
How to read these records: Three windows on team form · How much should head-to-head matter?
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How to read these odds: Implied probability: why 2.00 becomes 50% · Why odds move
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