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Analysis recorded · Oct 31 06:13 UTC
Data as of · 2026-11-02 21:14
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
Analysis recorded · Oct 31 06:13 UTC
Data as of · 2026-11-02 21:14
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
Compare match records, season figures and the source dates.
Prediction
Wonju DB Win
Confidence
90%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
89 - 75
Key Analysis Points
Wonju DB Promy dominated both the 2023–24 season and recent head-to-head matchups, winning all games against Samsung by double digits.
Seoul Samsung Thunders finished last in the league, struggled offensively and defensively, and lost 20 of 24 away games.
Wonju DB has key players in form, with no major injuries, and boasts an elite home record.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Prediction: Wonju DB Win
Score: 89 - 75
Based on the most recent available data, Wonju DB Promy are overwhelming favorites. They finished first in the 2023–24 KBL, have a strong home record, and have consistently outperformed Seoul Samsung Thunders in both offense and defense. Samsung enters on a significant losing streak and has shown little improvement or roster stability. Unless there are dramatic roster changes or injuries, Wonju DB should win comfortably at home.
Prediction: Wonju DB Win
Score: 94 - 72
Wonju DB Promy is overwhelming favorite based on multiple convergent factors. The teams are in completely different stratospheres: DB finished 1st with championship credentials while Samsung finished 10th in the basement, a 24-game gap separating them. DB's 5-0 sweep of Samsung in 2023-24 with an average margin of victory exceeding 20 points establishes clear dominance. Offensively, DB's 86.5 PPG with efficient 48.2% shooting contrasts sharply with Samsung's league-worst 76.3 PPG and 43.1% FG%. Defensively, DB allows just 80.0 PPG (best in KBL) versus Samsung's 87.8 PPG (worst). DB's fast-paced system exploits Samsung's turnover problems and weak defensive rebounding. With superior talent (import Lawson averaging 20+ PPG), coaching stability, and home court advantage, DB should control pace and win decisively by 15-25 points.
Prediction: Wonju DB Win
Score: 94 - 76
Wonju DB Promy enters this matchup as the heavy favorite, maintaining the core strengths that led them to a first-place regular-season finish. Their offensive efficiency, anchored by Didric Lawson and the perimeter shooting of Heo Ung, presents a multi-dimensional threat that the Thunders' defense—historically the league's weakest—will struggle to contain. The statistical disparity in field goal percentage and rebounding suggests Wonju will control the glass and generate more high-quality scoring opportunities. The Seoul Samsung Thunders remain in a difficult rebuilding phase, characterized by poor turnover margins and a lack of interior depth. While Lee Jung-hyun provides veteran leadership and scoring, the team lacks the supporting cast to match Wonju's pace over four quarters. Given the historical trend where Wonju DB has won 9 of the last 10 meetings, often by double digits, a home victory is the most probable outcome. Expect Wonju to establish an early lead and utilize their bench depth to maintain control throughout the second half.
Max probability 88.7% · Gap 77.4%p
Strategy: Clear favorite detected. Consider the main market or safe derivative options below for steady compound returns.
Recorded · 2026-11-02 21:14
Wonju DB · 2025/2026 · 3rd · 33W 21L (PD +13)
Seoul Thunders · 2025/2026 · 10th · 16W 38L (PD -190)
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
9
Draws
0
Away Wins
1
Last meeting: 2026-10-17 (89-95)
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Basketball · Season performance
Wonju DB
9 games played
Seoul Thunders
9 games played
Scoring and differential: higher is better. Scoring allowed: lower is better. Differential = scored minus allowed per game.
— means the statistic is unavailable. These are season figures, not a prediction.
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Sharp decline
Strong upward trend
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
Home/Away records
Recent
Rank and record by season
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / PD | Avg points scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | KBL | #3 | 33W 21L | 61.1% +13 PD | 80.24 / 80.0 |
| 2024/2025 | KBL | #7 | 23W 31L | 42.6% -102 PD | 76.35 / 78.24 |
| 2023/2024 | KBL | #1 | 41W 13L | 75.9% +412 PD | 89.87 / 82.24 |
| 2022/2023 | KBL | #7 | 22W 32L | 40.7% -204 PD | 78.07 / 81.85 |
| 2021/2022 | KBL | #8 | 23W 31L | 42.6% -43 PD | 79.41 / 80.2 |
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / PD | Avg points scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | KBL | #10 | 16W 38L | 29.6% -190 PD | 79.76 / 83.28 |
| 2024/2025 | KBL | #10 | 16W 38L | 29.6% -283 PD | 74.0 / 79.24 |
| 2023/2024 | KBL | #10 | 14W 40L | 25.9% -481 PD | 79.11 / 88.02 |
| 2022/2023 | KBL | #10 | 14W 40L | 25.9% -307 PD | 74.31 / 80.0 |
| 2021/2022 | KBL | #10 | 9W 45L | 16.7% -613 PD | 74.13 / 85.48 |
How to read these records: Three windows on team form · How much should head-to-head matter?
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How to read these odds: Implied probability: why 2.00 becomes 50% · Why odds move
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