The forecast. The market. The evidence.
Analysis recorded · Nov 03 11:02 UTC
Data as of · 2026-11-04 21:24
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
Analysis recorded · Nov 03 11:02 UTC
Data as of · 2026-11-04 21:24
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
Compare match records, season figures and the source dates.
Prediction
Goyang Sono Win
Confidence
58%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
81 - 85
Key Analysis Points
Goyang Sono has won four of their last five games, indicating strong recent form and momentum.
Head-to-head history is balanced, but Goyang Sono won the most recent matchup and thrives in high-scoring games.
Both teams' key players are expected to be available, with Anthony Bennett in excellent form for Goyang Sono.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
1 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick. Confidence is limited — treat this match as uncertain.
Prediction: Goyang Sono Win
Score: 81 - 85
Recent trends favor Goyang Sono, who are on a hot streak and have improved their defense in clutch situations. Although Mobis Phoebus is solid at home and historically matches up well, Goyang's offensive pace and current momentum give them a slight edge. The matchup is typically close and could go either way, but Goyang Sono's consistency and recent head-to-head win tip the balance in their favor. The analysis is based on pre-2026 data, so confidence is moderate.
Prediction: Mobis Phoebus Win
Score: 84 - 80
This is a closely matched KBL contest between the 3rd and 4th placed teams. Mobis Phoebus holds a slight edge due to their stronger defensive ranking and commanding home record (12-4), which typically provides 3-4 point advantage. Goyang Sono's offense (83.1 PPG, 2nd in KBL) is potent, but Mobis' elite defense (2nd in KBL at 77.2 PAPG) and interior control through Gage Prim should ultimately prevail in a low-scoring, defensive battle. The head-to-head record is split, but Mobis' home environment and disciplined coaching style favor them slightly. Expect a close contest typical of their matchups, decided in the final minutes.
Prediction: Mobis Phoebus Win
Score: 84 - 81
Mobis Phoebus enters this matchup with a significant home-court advantage, having maintained a strong 12-4 record at their home arena. Their defensive discipline, allowing only 77.2 points per game, provides a stable foundation against Goyang Sono's fast-paced offensive style. The tactical battle will center on Mobis's ability to slow the tempo and utilize Gage Prim's physical presence in the paint to control the glass and limit Goyang's second-chance opportunities. Goyang Sono, however, comes in with stronger recent momentum, winning four of their last five games. Their offensive output is superior, led by the versatility of Anthony Bennett and the playmaking of Choi Hyun-min. While Goyang won the most recent head-to-head encounter, the historical parity between these teams suggests a high-pressure environment where Mobis's superior defensive structure and home crowd support are likely to prevail. Expect a high-intensity game decided by late-game execution and perimeter shooting efficiency.
Max probability 51.3% · Gap 2.6%p
Strategy: Uncertain match. Avoid single 1X2 bets — use Double Chance or Over/Under markets below to protect your bankroll.
Recorded · 2026-11-04 21:24
Mobis Phoebus · 2025/2026 · 8th · 18W 36L (PD -223)
Goyang Sono · 2025/2026 · 5th · 28W 26L (PD +144)
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
4
Draws
0
Away Wins
6
Last meeting: 2026-10-16 (93-79)
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Basketball · Season performance
Mobis Phoebus
9 games played
Goyang Sono
10 games played
Scoring and differential: higher is better. Scoring allowed: lower is better. Differential = scored minus allowed per game.
— means the statistic is unavailable. These are season figures, not a prediction.
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Sharp decline
Sharp decline
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
Home/Away records
Recent
Rank and record by season
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / PD | Avg points scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | KBL | #8 | 18W 36L | 33.3% -223 PD | 74.37 / 78.5 |
| 2024/2025 | KBL | #3 | 33W 21L | 61.1% +118 PD | 81.24 / 79.06 |
| 2023/2024 | KBL | #6 | 26W 28L | 48.1% +46 PD | 86.26 / 85.41 |
| 2022/2023 | KBL | #4 | 34W 20L | 63.0% +151 PD | 82.78 / 79.98 |
| 2021/2022 | KBL | #4 | 30W 24L | 55.6% +140 PD | 80.83 / 78.24 |
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / PD | Avg points scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | KBL | #5 | 28W 26L | 51.9% +144 PD | 79.17 / 76.5 |
| 2024/2025 | KBL | #8 | 19W 35L | 35.2% -188 PD | 76.17 / 79.65 |
| 2023/2024 | KBL | #8 | 20W 34L | 37.0% -344 PD | 79.17 / 85.54 |
| 2022/2023 | KBL | #5 | 28W 26L | 51.9% +90 PD | 81.28 / 79.61 |
| 2021/2022 | KBL | #5 | 27W 27L | 50.0% -59 PD | 79.04 / 80.13 |
How to read these records: Three windows on team form · How much should head-to-head matter?
Compare the same period, market and line. Open a market for its full source detail.
How to read these odds: Implied probability: why 2.00 becomes 50% · Why odds move
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