The forecast. The market. The evidence.
Analysis recorded · Sep 20 07:30 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-26 15:06
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.


Analysis recorded · Sep 20 07:30 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-26 15:06
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
Compare match records, season figures and the source dates.
Prediction
Doosan Bears Win
Confidence
60%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
5 - 4
Key Analysis Points
| Outcome | Odds | Market Prob | AI Prob | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doosan Bears Win | 2.13 | 43.9% | 55.0% | +17.1% |
| KT Wiz Suwon Win | 1.67 | 56.1% | 45.0% | -24.9% |
📊 High Odds Investment: Value bets with odds ≥ 2.0 have lower hit rates but positive expected returns over time. The math works when you bet consistently — even hitting 1 out of 3 at 4.0x odds yields profit. Never bet more than Kelly suggests. Patience and bankroll discipline are key.
Doosan Bears historically have a strong home record.
Head-to-head matchups have been close, but Doosan often edges out KT Wiz in Seoul.
Key players such as Yang Eui-ji and Raul Alcantara have consistently impacted results for Doosan.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Prediction: Doosan Bears Win
Score: 5 - 4
Based on available data up to 2024, Doosan Bears tend to perform well against KT Wiz at home, leveraging strong starting pitching and timely hitting from core players. KT Wiz are competitive and capable of challenging, but Doosan's home field advantage and slightly better run differential historically give them a slight edge. However, the relatively even head-to-head record and both teams' playoff aspirations suggest a close contest, so while Doosan is favored, the confidence level is moderate.
Prediction: Doosan Bears Win
Score: 4 - 3
Given the September 27, 2026 matchup between Doosan Bears and KT Wiz Suwon, the Doosan Bears are favored at home despite limited current data. Historically, Doosan has maintained a strong home record and reliable pitching rotation, while KT Wiz, despite their 2021 championship credentials, typically shows weaker road performance. The matchup represents a playoff-pressure scenario where home-field advantage becomes statistically significant in KBO baseball. However, without access to 2026 season statistics, current player conditions, standings, and recent form, confidence is moderate (58%). KT Wiz's championship experience and competitive history prevent higher confidence, suggesting a closely contested match likely decided by marginal factors like bullpen performance or late-game execution.
Prediction: Doosan Bears Win
Score: 5 - 3
In the late stages of the KBO season, the Doosan Bears historically exhibit strong performance consistency, particularly when playing at Jamsil Stadium. Their tactical approach often emphasizes defensive stability and a deep relief corps, which are critical during the high-pressure environment of September baseball. While KT Wiz Suwon typically boasts a rotation capable of neutralizing power hitters, their efficiency on the road at Jamsil has been more variable compared to their home form in Suwon. Expect a tightly contested game where starting pitching dominates the early innings. The Bears are projected to have a slight edge due to their ability to manufacture runs through disciplined plate appearances and aggressive baserunning. Given the timing of the match, both teams will likely be in 'playoff mode,' but Doosan's experience in navigating the end-of-season grind gives them the analytical advantage in this specific matchup.
Max probability 55.0% · Gap 10.0%p
Strategy: Uncertain match. Avoid single 1X2 bets — use Double Chance or Over/Under markets below to protect your bankroll.
Recorded · 2026-09-26 15:06
Doosan Bears · 2025 · 9th · 61W 6D 77L (RD -39)
KT Wiz Suwon · 2025 · 6th · 71W 5D 68L (RD -9)
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
3
Draws
0
Away Wins
7
Recent matches
Last meeting: 2026-09-19 (15-3)
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Baseball · Season performance
Doosan Bears
127 games played
KT Wiz Suwon
124 games played
Scoring and differential: higher is better. Runs allowed: lower is better. Differential = scored minus allowed per game.
— means the statistic is unavailable. These are season figures, not a prediction.
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Slight decline
Strong upward trend
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
Home/Away records
Recent
Rank and record by season
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / RD | Avg runs scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | KBO | #9 | 61W 6D 77L | 44.2% -39 RD | 4.49 / 4.76 |
| 2024 | KBO | #4 | 74W 2D 68L | 52.1% +41 RD | 5.48 / 5.19 |
| 2023 | KBO | #5 | 74W 2D 68L | 52.1% -5 RD | 4.31 / 4.34 |
| 2022 | KBO | #9 | 60W 2D 82L | 42.4% -83 RD | 4.43 / 5.01 |
| 2021 | KBO | #4 | 71W 8D 65L | 52.1% +82 RD | 5.13 / 4.56 |
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / RD | Avg runs scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | KBO | #6 | 71W 5D 68L | 51.1% -9 RD | 4.5 / 4.56 |
| 2024 | KBO | #5 | 73W 2D 70L | 51.0% -36 RD | 5.32 / 5.57 |
| 2023 | KBO | #2 | 79W 3D 62L | 55.9% +56 RD | 4.67 / 4.28 |
| 2022 | KBO | #4 | 80W 2D 62L | 56.3% +69 RD | 4.38 / 3.9 |
| 2021 | KBO | #1 | 76W 9D 59L | 55.9% +135 RD | 4.99 / 4.06 |
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Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing |
|---|---|---|
| Home | - | 2.13 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | - | 1.67 |
Home
2.13
Closing
Away
1.67
Closing
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