The forecast. The market. The evidence.
Analysis recorded · Sep 20 07:10 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-26 15:06
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.


Analysis recorded · Sep 20 07:10 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-26 15:06
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
Compare match records, season figures and the source dates.
Prediction
Lotte Giants Win
Confidence
55%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
5 - 3
Key Analysis Points
| Outcome | Odds | Market Prob | AI Prob | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lotte Giants Win | 1.61 | 58.9% | 59.9% | -3.6% |
| Hanwha Eagles Win | 2.31 | 41.1% | 40.1% | -7.4% |
Lotte Giants have a slight edge in head-to-head matchups and pitching quality.
Hanwha Eagles have struggled defensively and are in a rebuilding phase.
Both teams have inconsistent offense, but Lotte's home advantage and stronger bullpen give them the nod.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Prediction: Lotte Giants Win
Score: 5 - 3
Based on available data up to mid-2024, Lotte Giants have shown better run prevention and a marginally superior head-to-head record against Hanwha. While neither team is a clear playoff contender, Lotte's more stable pitching staff and small home field advantage make them a safer pick. Hanwha's youth movement and inconsistent pitching lower their win chances, though they can threaten with timely offense. Given data limitations and possible roster changes by 2026, confidence is moderate, but Lotte is favored.
Prediction: Lotte Giants Win
Score: 4 - 3
Lotte Giants hold a moderate advantage over Hanwha Eagles based on available data through June 2024. The pitching differential is substantial—Lotte's 4.45 ERA versus Hanwha's 5.18 ERA provides a meaningful edge that should translate to competitive advantage. Additionally, Lotte's 3-2 head-to-head record and better recent form suggest greater consistency. Both teams are struggling below .500, but Lotte's position at 7th (vs Hanwha's 9th) and superior run differential (-26 vs -54) indicate relative strength. Hanwha's particularly poor away record (9-20) makes this home matchup favorable for Lotte, though the Eagles' young core under Choi Won-ho shows occasional offensive promise. This is a matchup of two struggling squads, limiting high confidence, but Lotte's pitching stability and head-to-head advantage justify moderate home team favoritism.
Prediction: Lotte Giants Win
Score: 6 - 4
Based on historical data leading up to 2024, the Lotte Giants possess a more balanced pitching rotation, which is often the deciding factor in late-season KBO matchups. While the Hanwha Eagles have invested heavily in a high-ceiling young core, their defensive consistency and bullpen depth have historically lagged behind the Giants. By 2026, while Hanwha's stars may be in their prime, the Giants' organizational focus on pitching development gives them a slight edge in a controlled environment. From a tactical perspective, the Giants tend to perform better in home scenarios where their offensive production is more predictable. Hanwha's high strikeout potential is offset by their tendency to concede runs in bunches, particularly against disciplined hitting lineups. Given the late-September timing of the match, pitching fatigue will likely play a role, favoring the team with the more established starting depth. Therefore, Lotte is projected to secure a narrow victory in a contest defined by fundamental execution.
Max probability 59.9% · Gap 19.8%p
Strategy: Uncertain match. Avoid single 1X2 bets — use Double Chance or Over/Under markets below to protect your bankroll.
Recorded · 2026-09-26 15:06
Lotte Giants · 2025 · 7th · 66W 6D 72L (RD -73)
Hanwha Eagles · 2025 · 2nd · 83W 4D 57L (RD +135)
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
3
Draws
0
Away Wins
7
Recent matches
Last meeting: 2026-09-23 (5-9)
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Baseball · Season performance
Lotte Giants
128 games played
Hanwha Eagles
130 games played
Scoring and differential: higher is better. Runs allowed: lower is better. Differential = scored minus allowed per game.
— means the statistic is unavailable. These are season figures, not a prediction.
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Sharp decline
Sharp decline
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
Home/Away records
Recent
Rank and record by season
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / RD | Avg runs scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | KBO | #7 | 66W 6D 72L | 47.8% -73 RD | 4.69 / 5.2 |
| 2024 | KBO | #7 | 66W 4D 74L | 47.1% +11 RD | 5.57 / 5.49 |
| 2023 | KBO | #7 | 68W 0D 76L | 47.2% -7 RD | 4.53 / 4.58 |
| 2022 | KBO | #8 | 64W 4D 76L | 45.8% -107 RD | 4.2 / 4.94 |
| 2021 | KBO | #8 | 65W 8D 71L | 47.9% -81 RD | 5.05 / 5.61 |
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / RD | Avg runs scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | KBO | #2 | 83W 4D 57L | 59.3% +135 RD | 4.78 / 3.85 |
| 2024 | KBO | #8 | 66W 2D 76L | 46.5% -35 RD | 5.17 / 5.42 |
| 2023 | KBO | #9 | 58W 6D 80L | 42.4% -104 RD | 4.19 / 4.92 |
| 2022 | KBO | #10 | 46W 2D 96L | 32.6% -195 RD | 3.92 / 5.27 |
| 2021 | KBO | #10 | 49W 12D 83L | 38.2% -140 RD | 4.16 / 5.13 |
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Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing |
|---|---|---|
| Home | - | 1.61 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | - | 2.31 |
Home
1.61
Closing
Away
2.31
Closing
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