The forecast. The market. The evidence.
Analysis recorded · Nov 07 09:12 UTC
Data as of · 2026-11-07 10:03
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
Analysis recorded · Nov 07 09:12 UTC
Data as of · 2026-11-07 10:03
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
Compare match records, season figures and the source dates.
Prediction
KT Wiz Suwon Win
Confidence
54%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
4 - 5
Key Analysis Points
| Outcome | Odds | Market Prob | AI Prob | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samsung Lions Win | +107 | 45.4% | 44.9% | -7.1% |
| KT Wiz Suwon Win | -139 | 54.6% | 55.1% | -5.2% |
KT Wiz possess a slightly stronger offense, leading in team AVG, OBP, SLG, and home runs.
Both teams are inconsistent, but KT Wiz have a recent head-to-head edge and better run differential.
Samsung's pitching is solid, but their offense is less reliable compared to KT Wiz's explosive bats.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
2 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Prediction: KT Wiz Suwon Win
Score: 4 - 5
Based on the latest available data, KT Wiz Suwon have a marginal advantage due to their superior offensive metrics and recent head-to-head performance. While Samsung Lions' pitching keeps them competitive, their inconsistency at the plate and tendency to alternate wins and losses present concerns. Both teams are closely matched overall, but KT Wiz's greater run production and clutch hitters give them a slight edge, especially if defensive errors are minimized. Confidence is moderate due to both teams' volatility.
Prediction: Samsung Lions Win
Score: 4 - 3
This is a highly competitive matchup between two inconsistent mid-table KBO teams separated by minimal statistical gaps. Samsung Lions (6th place, .446 win%) face KT Wiz Suwon (7th place, .431 win%) in a fixture with nearly even historical performance (150 games: ~75-75 split). While KT Wiz demonstrate slightly stronger offensive metrics (4.6 RPG vs 4.3, .410 SLG vs .395) and superior ERA (4.08 vs 4.12), Samsung's home-field advantage combined with more disciplined pitching staff and fewer defensive errors provides a marginal edge. Both teams alternate wins/losses, suggesting momentum is neutral. Recent head-to-head favors KT Wiz 3-2, but home crowd psychology and Samsung's proven bullpen consistency in critical games tip the scales slightly toward the Lions. A low-scoring, tightly-contested affair is expected given both teams' defensive vulnerabilities.
Prediction: KT Wiz Suwon Win
Score: 4 - 5
The matchup between the Samsung Lions and KT Wiz Suwon is a statistically tight contest between two mid-table teams with nearly identical win percentages. KT Wiz Suwon holds a marginal edge due to their more explosive offensive lineup, led by power hitters like Kang Baek-ho. Their ability to generate runs (4.6 per game) slightly outpaces Samsung's production, which has been hampered by offensive slumps in recent series. However, Samsung's path to victory lies in their defensive stability and bullpen management. While KT Wiz has struggled with defensive errors and bullpen consistency, Samsung has shown more reliability in close-game situations. Despite this, the historical trend and the current offensive metrics suggest that KT Wiz is more likely to overpower Samsung in a high-scoring environment. Expect a close game decided by a single run, where KT Wiz's superior slugging percentage eventually overcomes Samsung's disciplined pitching staff.
Max probability 55.1% · Gap 10.2%p
Strategy: Uncertain match. Avoid single 1X2 bets — use Double Chance or Over/Under markets below to protect your bankroll.
Recorded · 2026-11-07 10:03
Samsung Lions · 2025 · 4th · 74W 2D 68L (RD +128)
KT Wiz Suwon · 2025 · 6th · 71W 5D 68L (RD -9)
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
5
Draws
0
Away Wins
5
Last meeting: 2026-11-07 (10-5)
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Baseball · Season performance
Samsung Lions
142 games played
KT Wiz Suwon
140 games played
Scoring and differential: higher is better. Runs allowed: lower is better. Differential = scored minus allowed per game.
— means the statistic is unavailable. These are season figures, not a prediction.
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Strong upward trend
Strong upward trend
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
Home/Away records
Recent
Rank and record by season
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / RD | Avg runs scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | KBO | #4 | 74W 2D 68L | 52.1% +128 RD | 5.38 / 4.49 |
| 2024 | KBO | #2 | 78W 2D 64L | 54.9% +51 RD | 5.35 / 4.99 |
| 2023 | KBO | #8 | 61W 1D 82L | 42.7% -92 RD | 4.42 / 5.06 |
| 2022 | KBO | #7 | 66W 2D 76L | 46.5% -32 RD | 4.6 / 4.83 |
| 2021 | KBO | #2 | 76W 9D 59L | 55.9% +54 RD | 4.94 / 4.57 |
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / RD | Avg runs scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | KBO | #6 | 71W 5D 68L | 51.1% -9 RD | 4.5 / 4.56 |
| 2024 | KBO | #5 | 73W 2D 70L | 51.0% -36 RD | 5.32 / 5.57 |
| 2023 | KBO | #2 | 79W 3D 62L | 55.9% +56 RD | 4.67 / 4.28 |
| 2022 | KBO | #4 | 80W 2D 62L | 56.3% +69 RD | 4.38 / 3.9 |
| 2021 | KBO | #1 | 76W 9D 59L | 55.9% +135 RD | 4.99 / 4.06 |
2 updates · opening vs current
Home
2.07
▲ 0.02 (2.05)
Away
1.72
unchanged
| Time | Home | Draw | Away | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-07 (17:55) | 2.07 45.38% | - | 1.72 54.62% | 93.94% |
| 2026-11-07 (17:45) | 2.05 45.62% | - | 1.72 54.38% | 93.53% |
How to read these records: Three windows on team form · How much should head-to-head matter?
Compare the same period, market and line. Open a market for its full source detail.
How to read these odds: Implied probability: why 2.00 becomes 50% · Why odds move
All available bet types with odds
Moneyline
| Outcome | Odds | Closing |
|---|---|---|
| Home | - | +107 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | - | -139 |
Home
+107
Closing
Away
-139
Closing
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