The forecast. The market. The evidence.
Analysis recorded · Sep 16 01:40 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-26 15:09
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.


Analysis recorded · Sep 16 01:40 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-26 15:09
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
AI Predicted
Los Angeles Angels Win
Prediction MissedCompare match records, season figures and the source dates.
Prediction
Los Angeles Angels Win
Confidence
57%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
3 - 5
Key Analysis Points
The Angels have had a stronger offensive lineup and a slightly better pitching staff than the Athletics in recent seasons.
Oakland's home record and overall performance have ranked among the league's worst, with significant struggles in both hitting and pitching.
Head-to-head history is close, but recent trends and roster quality give the Angels a clear edge.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Prediction: Los Angeles Angels Win
Score: 3 - 5
Based on trends up to 2024, the Los Angeles Angels are more likely to win due to a more productive offense and superior roster depth. While both teams have consistency issues and are in rebuilding phases, the Athletics' struggles at home and their subpar pitching make them less likely to secure a victory. The Angels’ slim positive run differential and occasional offensive bursts provide an added edge, though uncertainty regarding player moves and injuries lowers the confidence level.
Prediction: Los Angeles Angels Win
Score: 3 - 4
The Los Angeles Angels are favored as the away team due to their superior roster composition and historical advantage over the Athletics. While both teams are projected to be struggling in late September 2026, the Angels' star power (particularly Mike Trout when healthy) and better pitching metrics provide a measurable edge. Oakland's home record has been consistently poor (22-59 in 2024), and their offensive struggles (29th in MLB) make them vulnerable. The Angels' recent series dominance and moderately better team ERA suggest they can win this matchup.
Prediction: Los Angeles Angels Win
Score: 3 - 5
The Angels, despite their own struggles with consistency and health concerns regarding veteran stars, generally possess a higher ceiling for run production and a more established core than the Athletics. Oakland is currently navigating a significant transition period focused on youth development and roster turnover, which often results in volatility in the standings. Late-season matchups in September often come down to bullpen depth and the ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities. The Angels' roster typically features more experienced power hitters who can change a game with a single swing. While the Athletics show flashes of potential through their young core, their historical struggle with run prevention and home-field consistency makes them the underdog in this divisional clash.
Max probability 63.1% · Gap 26.2%p
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Compared across 22 bookmakers.
Recorded · 2026-09-26 15:09
Oakland Athletics · 2025 · 11th · 76W 86L (RD -84)
Los Angeles Angels · 2025 · 13th · 72W 90L (RD -164)
Records as of this match, not current form.
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
5
Draws
0
Away Wins
5
Recent matches
Last meeting: 2026-06-29 (4-1)
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Baseball · Season performance
Oakland Athletics
142 games played
Los Angeles Angels
140 games played
Scoring and differential: higher is better. Runs allowed: lower is better. Differential = scored minus allowed per game.
— means the statistic is unavailable. These are season figures, not a prediction.
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Strong upward trend
Sharp decline
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
Home/Away records
Recent
Rank and record by season
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / RD | Avg runs scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | MLB | #11 | 76W 86L | 46.9% -84 RD | 4.52 / 5.04 |
| 2024 | MLB | #13 | 69W 93L | 42.6% -121 RD | 3.97 / 4.72 |
| 2023 | MLB AL West | #15 | 50W 112L | 30.9% -339 RD | 3.61 / 5.7 |
| 2022 | MLB AL West | #15 | 60W 102L | 37.0% -202 RD | 3.51 / 4.75 |
| 2021 | MLB AL West | #8 | 86W 76L | 53.1% +56 RD | 4.59 / 4.24 |
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / RD | Avg runs scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | MLB | #13 | 72W 90L | 44.4% -164 RD | 4.15 / 5.17 |
| 2024 | MLB | #14 | 63W 99L | 38.9% -162 RD | 3.92 / 4.92 |
| 2023 | MLB AL West | #12 | 73W 89L | 45.1% -90 RD | 4.56 / 5.12 |
| 2022 | MLB AL West | #11 | 73W 89L | 45.1% -45 RD | 3.85 / 4.12 |
| 2021 | MLB AL West | #11 | 77W 85L | 47.5% -81 RD | 4.46 / 4.96 |
Compare the same period, market and line. Open a market for its full source detail.
All available bet types with odds
The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing |
|---|---|---|
| Home | - | 1.9 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | - | 1.9 |
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 1.92 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | 1.78 | 1.91 |
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing | Overseas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win | 2.5 | 1.9 | 1.92 |
| Within 1 | 3.35 | - | - |
| Loss | 2.22 | 1.92 | 1.91 |
Handicap (-2.5)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.46 | 3.72 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | 1.18 | 1.28 |
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 1.92 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | 1.78 | 1.91 |
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing | Overseas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win | 2.5 | 1.92 | 1.92 |
| Within 1 | 3.35 | - | - |
| Loss | 2.22 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
Handicap (-2.5)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.46 | 3.72 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | 1.18 | 1.28 |
Home
1.9
Closing
50.6%
Away
1.9
Closing
49.4%
Home
1.74
Away
1.78
Win
2.5
50.6%
Within 1
3.35
Loss
2.22
49.4%
Home
1.74
Away
1.78
Win
2.5
50.6%
Within 1
3.35
Loss
2.22
49.4%
Home
3.46
25.4%
Away
1.18
74.6%
Home
3.46
Away
1.18
Home
3.46
Away
1.18
Over
1.86
47.3%
Under
1.67
52.7%
Over
1.86
Under
1.67
Over
1.86
Under
1.67
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