Analysis recorded · Nov 01 00:02 UTC
The data-based estimate supports this direction.
Data as of · 2026-11-02 21:19
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
Compare match records, season figures and the source dates.
Prediction
New York City Win
Confidence
66%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Key Analysis Points
New York City FC have stronger recent form with 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
NYCFC’s defense is statistically superior, conceding fewer goals per game.
Head-to-head history slightly favors NYCFC, and they have performed well away from home.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Prediction: New York City Win
Score: 1 - 2
Based on 2024 data, New York City FC enter this matchup with better form, a more solid defense, and a slight historical advantage. DC United have struggled with consistency, particularly at home, and key injuries could impact their lineup. NYCFC’s possession-based style and ability to secure results on the road give them a notable edge, though the match could remain competitive given DC’s attacking threats. The prediction leans toward an NYCFC away win with moderate confidence, but a close contest is expected.
Prediction: New York City Win
Score: 1 - 2
DC United sit 9th in the Eastern Conference with a -4 goal differential and mixed recent form, while NYCFC occupy 5th with +7 differential and momentum (3 wins in last 5). NYCFC's defensive solidity (6 clean sheets vs DC's 4) and possession-based tactical approach under Cushing exploits DC United's direct, transitional style. Historically, NYCFC has won 8 of ~20 all-time meetings with recent dominance. DC United's home form shows vulnerability, particularly defensively, while NYCFC's away record is respectable. However, DC United's counter-attacking can create opportunities, preventing a higher confidence prediction.
Prediction: New York City Win
Score: 1 - 2
NYCFC enters this fixture as the more balanced side, boasting a significantly stronger defensive record and a more cohesive tactical identity under the current campaign. While DC United remains a threat at home due to the physical presence of Christian Benteke and a direct attacking style, their inconsistency in the backline has led to a negative goal differential. NYCFC's ability to control the midfield through Santiago Rodríguez should allow them to dictate the tempo and limit DC's transition opportunities. Historically, NYCFC has managed to navigate the pressure of Audi Field effectively, and their superior form (3 wins in the last 5) suggests a higher level of confidence compared to DC's mixed results. Given that DC United has struggled to keep clean sheets, NYCFC's clinical attack is likely to find the breakthrough. Expect a tight contest where NYCFC's technical discipline and defensive stability eventually overwhelm DC's high-variance approach.
Max probability 47.5% · Gap 21.0%p
Strategy: Uncertain match. Avoid single 1X2 bets — use Double Chance or Over/Under markets below to protect your bankroll.
Recorded · 2026-11-02 21:19
DC United · 2025 · 15th · 5W 11D 18L (GD -36)
New York City · 2025 · 5th · 17W 5D 12L (GD +6)
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
4
Draws
2
Away Wins
4
Last meeting: 2026-05-04 (0-2)
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Sharp decline
Sharp decline
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
Home/Away records
Recent
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Overall
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 6
At Home
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 4
Away
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 6
Overall
Best: Win 3 · Unbeaten 4
At Home
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 3
Away
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 4
Rank and record by season
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Major League Soccer | #15 | 5W 11D 18L | -36 GD | 0.88 / 1.94 |
| 2024 | Major League Soccer | #10 | 10W 10D 14L | -18 GD | 1.53 / 2.06 |
| 2023 | Major League Soccer | #12 | 10W 10D 14L | -4 GD | 1.32 / 1.44 |
| 2022 | Major League Soccer | #14 | 7W 6D 21L | 27 pts -35 GD | 1.06 / 2.09 |
| 2021 | Major League Soccer | #8 | 14W 5D 15L | 47 pts +2 GD | 1.65 / 1.59 |
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Major League Soccer | #5 | 17W 5D 12L | +6 GD | 1.47 / 1.29 |
| 2024 | Major League Soccer | #6 | 14W 8D 12L | +5 GD | 1.59 / 1.44 |
| 2023 | Major League Soccer | #11 | 9W 14D 11L | -4 GD | 1.03 / 1.15 |
| 2022 | Major League Soccer | #3 | 16W 7D 11L | 55 pts +16 GD | 1.68 / 1.21 |
| 2021 | Major League Soccer | #4 | 14W 9D 11L | 51 pts +20 GD | 1.65 / 1.06 |
Registered players with season stats
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 7 Pegeulrou (24) | 5 | 0 | 2 |
| FW | 25 Jackson Hopkins (22) | 5 | 0 | 2 |
| FW | 9 Baribotai | 5 | 3 | - |
| FW | 11 Louis Munteanu Lower body injury | 3 | 0 | - |
| MF | 5 Silban Hepeuti (29) | 5 | 0 | - |
| MF | 23 Brandon Servania (27) | 5 | 0 | - |
| MF | 4 Matti Peltola (24) | 5 | 1 | - |
| MF | 10 Gabeuriel Pirani (26) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 30 Kaedeun Keulrakeu (23) | 3 | 0 | - |
| MF | 8 Jared Stroud (30) | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 3 Lucas Allen Bateulret (29) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 6 Keisuke Kurokawa (26) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 15 Gye Roulseu (28) | 5 | 0 | - |
| DF | 13 Syon Nilriseu (29) | 3 | 0 | - |
| GK | 1 Sean Johnson (37) | 5 | 0 | - |
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 11 Talreseu Mageuno (24) | 5 | 1 | - |
| MF | 5 Kai Teurewin (25) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 21 Eideun Onil (28) | 5 | 0 | 2 |
| MF | 26 Axel Agustin Ojeda (22) | 5 | 2 | - |
| MF | 55 Kiteun Alreksandeo Pakeuseu (29) | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| MF | 17 Haneseu Ulpeu (27) | 5 | 1 | - |
| MF | 10 Maksimilriano Moralrejeu (39) | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| MF | 29 Maximo Carrizo (18) | 1 | 0 | - |
| DF | 22 Kevin Otul (28) | 5 | 0 | - |
| DF | 7 Nikolraseu Pereunandeseu Mereukau (26) | 5 | 5 | 1 |
| DF | 24 Taibon Geurei (24) | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| DF | 13 Tiago Matinseu (31) | 5 | 0 | - |
| DF | 34 Raul Guseutabo Pereira Bikalho (27) | 4 | 0 | - |
| DF | 19 Seuteurahinja Tanasiyebichi (29) | 1 | 0 | - |
| GK | 49 Maetyu Peurijeu (28) | 5 | 0 | - |
How to read these records: Three windows on team form · How much should head-to-head matter?
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