The forecast. The market. The evidence.
Analysis recorded · Nov 01 00:12 UTC
The data-based estimate supports this direction.
Data as of · 2026-11-02 21:19
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
Analysis recorded · Nov 01 00:12 UTC
The data-based estimate supports this direction.
Data as of · 2026-11-02 21:19
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
Compare match records, season figures and the source dates.
Prediction
Orlando City Win
Confidence
73%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
2 - 0
Key Analysis Points
Orlando City has a strong home record and a top 5 defense in the conference.
New England Revolution is struggling for form with only two wins in eighteen games and the worst defensive record in the East.
Recent head-to-head strongly favors Orlando City, who have won four of the last five meetings.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Prediction: Orlando City Win
Score: 2 - 0
Based on the latest available data (mid-2024), Orlando City is a clear favorite, particularly at home where they have been consistent and defensively sound. New England Revolution is in a transitional phase with poor recent form and defensive issues, making it unlikely they will pose a significant threat. Despite the projection being nearly two years early, trends and squad quality point to a comfortable Orlando City win unless significant changes occur before the match.
Prediction: Orlando City Win
Score: 2 - 0
Orlando City enters as clear favorites given their home dominance, superior current form, and established head-to-head advantage over New England. The Revolution are in crisis mode with only 13 points from 18 games, the worst record in the Eastern Conference with -17 goal differential and winless in their last 5. Orlando's balanced approach (26 goals, strong defense with only 20 conceded) creates a significant tactical mismatch against New England's porous defense and struggling offense (15 goals). While the November 2026 date means squad changes are likely, the historical patterns and structural advantages (coaching stability, home venue psychology, superior squad depth indicators) strongly favor Orlando. New England's only path involves Carles Gil's creativity unlocking rare opportunities, but inconsistent form and recent defensive struggles make this unlikely.
Prediction: Orlando City Win
Score: 2 - 0
Orlando City enters this matchup as the clear favorite based on the current trajectory of both clubs. Orlando's defensive organization, led by Pedro Gallese and a disciplined backline, has made them difficult to break down at home, where they have only lost twice this season. Their tactical setup under Oscar Pareja emphasizes quick transitions that are likely to exploit the gaps in a New England defense that has struggled with consistency and late-game fatigue. Conversely, the New England Revolution are in a period of significant transition and struggle. With the lowest goal-scoring record in the conference and a defensive line that has conceded 32 goals, they lack the clinical edge required to challenge a top-six side away from home. While Carles Gil remains a creative threat, the lack of support in the final third and their poor recent form (winless in five) suggests they will struggle to secure even a point in this fixture.
Max probability 61.0% · Gap 37.0%p
Strategy: Clear favorite detected. Consider the main market or safe derivative options below for steady compound returns.
Recorded · 2026-11-02 21:19
Orlando City · 2025 · 9th · 14W 11D 9L (GD +12)
New England Revolution · 2025 · 11th · 9W 9D 16L (GD -7)
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
5
Draws
2
Away Wins
3
Last meeting: 2026-09-20 (4-2)
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Sharp decline
Strong upward trend
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
Home/Away records
Recent
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Overall
Best: Win 3 · Unbeaten 5
At Home
Best: Win 3 · Unbeaten 6
Away
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 2
Overall
Best: Win 4 · Unbeaten 7
At Home
Best: Win 6 · Unbeaten 6
Away
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 2
Rank and record by season
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Major League Soccer | #9 | 14W 11D 9L | +12 GD | 1.85 / 1.5 |
| 2024 | Major League Soccer | #4 | 15W 7D 12L | +9 GD | 1.74 / 1.47 |
| 2023 | Major League Soccer | #2 | 18W 9D 7L | +16 GD | 1.62 / 1.15 |
| 2022 | Major League Soccer | #7 | 14W 6D 14L | 48 pts -9 GD | 1.29 / 1.56 |
| 2021 | Major League Soccer | #6 | 13W 12D 9L | 51 pts +2 GD | 1.47 / 1.41 |
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Major League Soccer | #11 | 9W 9D 16L | -7 GD | 1.29 / 1.5 |
| 2024 | Major League Soccer | #14 | 9W 4D 21L | -37 GD | 1.09 / 2.18 |
| 2023 | Major League Soccer | #5 | 15W 10D 9L | +12 GD | 1.71 / 1.35 |
| 2022 | Major League Soccer | #10 | 10W 12D 12L | 42 pts -3 GD | 1.38 / 1.47 |
| 2021 | Major League Soccer | #1 | 22W 7D 5L | 73 pts +24 GD | 1.91 / 1.21 |
Registered players with season stats
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 77 Anggulro Koreuteseu Iban Dario | 5 | 0 | - |
| FW | 24 Dosi Geuripin | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| FW | 10 Ojeda Mareutin (28) | 5 | 2 | - |
| FW | 13 Duncan McGuire (25) | 5 | 1 | - |
| FW | 11 Tiagu (21) | 4 | 1 | - |
| MF | 8 Beureian Ojeda (26) | 5 | 0 | - |
| MF | 87 Mareuko Pasalrik (26) | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| MF | 20 Eduareu Atueseuta (29) Thigh injury | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 16 Wildereu Hose Kareutahena Mendosa (32) Thigh injury | 1 | 0 | - |
| DF | 57 Iago Teodoro Nogueira (21) | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 4 Dabideu Beurekalro (28) Lower body injury | 4 | 0 | - |
| DF | 3 Adeurian Marin (29) | 2 | 0 | - |
| GK | 86 Maksim Keurepo (32) | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| GK | 12 Habiereu Otero (24) | 2 | 0 | - |
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 23 Wil Saenjeu (26) | 4 | 0 | - |
| FW | 41 Luca Langoni (24) | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| FW | 7 Geuripin You (24) | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| FW | 77 Diego Pagundejeu (31) | 2 | 0 | - |
| FW | 9 Reonareudo Kampana (26) Injured | 2 | 1 | - |
| MF | 80 Alhasanyusupeu (26) | 4 | 1 | - |
| MF | 10 Kareulreseu Hil (34) | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 21 Brooklyn Raines (21) | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 14 Jaekseun Yuil (29) | 3 | 0 | - |
| DF | 8 Maet Polseuteo (33) | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 3 Sebalroseu Himeneseu Beurayan Andeureseu | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| DF | 2 Mamadu Popana (28) | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 22 Edan Koelreo (21) | 2 | 0 | - |
| DF | 88 Aendeuryu Parel (34) Hip injury | 1 | 0 | - |
| DF | 4 Taeneo Biseun (29) | 1 | 0 | - |
| DF | 5 Keegan Hughes (26) | 1 | 0 | - |
| GK | 30 Maet Teoneo (32) | 4 | 0 | - |
How to read these records: Three windows on team form · How much should head-to-head matter?
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How to read these odds: Implied probability: why 2.00 becomes 50% · Why odds move
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