The forecast. The market. The evidence.
Analysis recorded · Nov 01 01:12 UTC
The data-based estimate supports this direction.
Data as of · 2026-11-02 21:20
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
Analysis recorded · Nov 01 01:12 UTC
The data-based estimate supports this direction.
Data as of · 2026-11-02 21:20
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
Compare match records, season figures and the source dates.
Prediction
Los Angeles FC Win
Confidence
70%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Key Analysis Points
LAFC is in stronger recent form, with three wins in their last five matches and the league's best attack.
Seattle Sounders are dealing with key midfield injuries, notably Lodeiro and João Paulo, reducing their creative and defensive capacity.
Recent head-to-head favors LAFC, who have won two of the last three meetings, including at Lumen Field.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Prediction: Los Angeles FC Win
Score: 1 - 2
Based on current (June 2024) data, LAFC enters this matchup with a superior goal difference, more consistent attack, and solidifying defense. Seattle's injuries in midfield and reliance on home advantage may not be enough to overcome LAFC's firepower, especially as Bouanga and Vela are both in strong form. While Seattle remains tough at home, LAFC's recent away record and head-to-head success tip the balance in their favor, making them likely winners in a close contest.
Prediction: Los Angeles FC Win
Score: 1 - 2
LAFC enters as clear favorites despite playing away at Lumen Field. The defending conference leaders hold an 8-point advantage over Seattle with substantially superior attacking output (32 vs 25 goals) and tighter defense (18 vs 20 GA). Denis Bouanga's 11-goal haul and overall squad cohesion under Cherundolo have established LAFC as the West's premier side. While Seattle's home record is respectable and Schmetzer's team has shown defensive resilience, the absence or limited availability of midfield lynchpin Nicolás Lodeiro weakens their ability to control play and create attacking opportunities. LAFC won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head encounters and possess the tactical flexibility and personnel to exploit Seattle's midfield vulnerabilities. Historical data shows these matches are typically tight, but LAFC's superior form and goal-scoring prowess suggest a narrow away victory.
Prediction: Los Angeles FC Win
Score: 1 - 2
Based on the 2024 data, LAFC enters this matchup as the superior tactical unit, holding the top spot in the Western Conference. Their offensive output, spearheaded by Denis Bouanga, significantly outpaces Seattle's 1.47 goals per game. LAFC's ability to maintain a positive goal differential (+14) compared to Seattle's (+5) suggests a higher level of consistency in both phases of the game. While the Sounders benefit from the atmosphere at Lumen Field, their struggle to convert draws into wins against top-tier opposition remains a concern. Tactically, Steve Cherundolo’s 4-3-3 high-press system is well-suited to disrupt Seattle’s preferred 4-2-3-1 build-up. With injury concerns surrounding Seattle's primary playmaker Nicolás Lodeiro, the Sounders may lack the creative spark needed to break down a solid LAFC defense that has kept seven clean sheets. Historical trends also favor the visitors, as LAFC has won two of the last three head-to-head meetings, often by a single goal margin.
Max probability 47.0% · Gap 19.0%p
Strategy: Uncertain match. Avoid single 1X2 bets — use Double Chance or Over/Under markets below to protect your bankroll.
Recorded · 2026-11-02 21:20
Seattle Sounders · 2025 · 5th · 15W 10D 9L (GD +10)
Los Angeles FC · 2025 · 3rd · 17W 9D 8L (GD +25)
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
1
Draws
2
Away Wins
7
Last meeting: 2026-05-25 (1-0)
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Strong upward trend
Sharp decline
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
Home/Away records
Recent
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Overall
Best: Win 4 · Unbeaten 9
At Home
Best: Win 3 · Unbeaten 6
Away
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 5
Overall
Best: Win 4 · Unbeaten 6
At Home
Best: Win 4 · Unbeaten 4
Away
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 2
Rank and record by season
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Major League Soccer | #5 | 15W 10D 9L | +10 GD | 1.71 / 1.41 |
| 2024 | Major League Soccer | #4 | 16W 9D 9L | +16 GD | 1.5 / 1.03 |
| 2023 | Major League Soccer | #2 | 14W 11D 9L | +9 GD | 1.21 / 0.94 |
| 2022 | Major League Soccer | #11 | 12W 5D 17L | 41 pts +1 GD | 1.38 / 1.35 |
| 2021 | Major League Soccer | #2 | 17W 9D 8L | 60 pts +20 GD | 1.56 / 0.97 |
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Major League Soccer | #3 | 17W 9D 8L | +25 GD | 1.91 / 1.18 |
| 2024 | Major League Soccer | #1 | 19W 7D 8L | +20 GD | 1.85 / 1.26 |
| 2023 | Major League Soccer | #3 | 14W 10D 10L | +15 GD | 1.59 / 1.15 |
| 2022 | Major League Soccer | #1 | 21W 4D 9L | 67 pts +28 GD | 1.94 / 1.12 |
| 2021 | Major League Soccer | #9 | 12W 9D 13L | 45 pts +2 GD | 1.56 / 1.5 |
Registered players with season stats
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 16 Alex Roldan (30) Hip injury | 5 | 0 | 2 |
| FW | 9 Yesu Pereira (26) | 5 | 0 | - |
| FW | 95 Osaje De Rosario (25) | 5 | 0 | - |
| FW | 19 Danny Musovski (31) | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| FW | 17 Pol Ariolra (31) | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| FW | 13 Jordan Morris (32) | 2 | 0 | - |
| MF | 11 Albert Rusnak (32) | 5 | 1 | - |
| MF | 7 Cristian Roldan (31) | 5 | 1 | - |
| MF | 14 Paul Rothrock (27) | 4 | 2 | - |
| MF | 44 Nikolra Peteukobichi (23) | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| MF | 31 Hassani Dotson (29) Concussion | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 5 Nouhou Tolo (29) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 25 Jaekseun Ragen (28) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 28 Yeimareu Gomejeu (34) Muscle injury | 3 | 0 | - |
| DF | 33 Cody Baker (22) | 2 | 0 | - |
| GK | 26 Tomeoseu Aendeuryu | 5 | 0 | - |
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 7 Sonheungmin (34) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| FW | 99 Deniseu Buangga (32) | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| FW | 19 Tailreo Boideu (32) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| FW | 65 Amin Boudri (22) | 4 | 0 | - |
| FW | 27 Nathan Ordaz (56) | 2 | 1 | - |
| FW | 21 Raieon Raposo (27) | 1 | 0 | - |
| MF | 8 Mareuko Delgado (31) | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| MF | 11 Timoti Tilman (27) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 66 Matioe Choiniereu (27) | 5 | 2 | - |
| MF | 46 Seutepan Antuneseu Yuseutakio (30) Leg injury | 3 | 1 | - |
| MF | 24 Raieon Holringswedeu (35) | 3 | 0 | - |
| DF | 4 Edi Segura (29) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 5 Raieon Poreuteuseu (27) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 91 Eunkosi Beojiseu (30) | 5 | 0 | - |
| DF | 14 Sereugi Palrensia (30) | 4 | 0 | - |
| GK | 1 Hyugo Yoriseu (40) | 5 | 0 | - |
How to read these records: Three windows on team form · How much should head-to-head matter?
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How to read these odds: Implied probability: why 2.00 becomes 50% · Why odds move
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