The forecast. The market. The evidence.
Analysis recorded · Sep 15 00:01 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-26 15:09
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.


Analysis recorded · Sep 15 00:01 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-26 15:09
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
AI Predicted
Hanshin Tigers Win
Prediction Correct!Compare match records, season figures and the source dates.
Prediction
Hanshin Tigers Win
Confidence
64%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
4 - 2
Key Analysis Points
Hanshin Tigers have the strongest pitching staff in the Central League, with a team ERA of 2.97.
Hanshin leads both the current standings and recent head-to-head record versus Yokohama BayStars.
BayStars rely on offense but have shown inconsistency on the mound and in close games.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Prediction: Hanshin Tigers Win
Score: 4 - 2
Given the available data as of June 2024, the Hanshin Tigers are favored due to superior pitching, strong home record, and recent historical success over the BayStars. While Yokohama BayStars have a dangerous offense, their pitching depth and bullpen reliability remain concerns, especially against Hanshin's balanced approach. However, due to the long gap until the actual match date and possible roster changes, confidence is moderate and this analysis should be updated closer to the match.
Prediction: Hanshin Tigers Win
Score: 3 - 2
Hanshin Tigers are heavy favorites based on multiple analytical factors. As the defending Central League champions and current division leaders (38-24, .613 WP), they possess the league's best ERA (2.97) and run differential (+42). Their recent form shows 3 wins in last 5 games with strong pitching depth led by Koutaro Ohtake (7-2, 2.23 ERA). While Yokohama BayStars boast potent offense (4.4 RPG) with players like Keita Sano (.295, 15 HR), their pitching inconsistency (3.60 ERA) and bullpen vulnerabilities are exposed against Hanshin's disciplined approach. Hanshin's home record (22-10) provides additional edge at Koshien Stadium. Prediction: Hanshin victory with tight scoreline reflects BayStars' offensive capability but acknowledges Tigers' overall superiority.
Prediction: Hanshin Tigers Win
Score: 4 - 2
The Hanshin Tigers enter this matchup as favorites, primarily driven by their superior pitching rotation and defensive stability. With a team ERA significantly lower than the league average, the Tigers are well-equipped to neutralize the BayStars' potent middle-of-the-order. Their performance at home has historically been dominant, particularly at Koshien Stadium, where they leverage high-pressure environments against visiting teams. Conversely, while the Yokohama BayStars boast a high-scoring offense led by Keita Sano and Shugo Maki, their pitching inconsistency remains a critical vulnerability. The BayStars often struggle in low-scoring, tactical games where bullpen depth becomes the deciding factor. Given the 2024 data showing Hanshin leading the season series, the Tigers are likely to control the tempo. Expect a game where Hanshin's starters provide enough length to hand over a lead to their reliable closing unit, securing a victory through defensive discipline.
Max probability 62.2% · Gap 24.4%p
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Falling odds mean money moved onto that side.
Compared across 22 bookmakers.
Recorded · 2026-09-26 15:09
Hanshin Tigers · 2025 · 1st · 85W 4D 54L (RD +144)
Yokohama BayStars · 2025 · 2nd · 71W 6D 66L (RD +54)
Records as of this match, not current form.
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
5
Draws
0
Away Wins
5
Recent matches
Last meeting: 2026-09-06 (1-4)
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Baseball · Season performance
Hanshin Tigers
Yokohama BayStars
The source does not provide the number of games behind these figures.
Scoring and differential: higher is better. Runs allowed: lower is better. Differential = scored minus allowed per game.
— means the statistic is unavailable. These are season figures, not a prediction.
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Sharp decline
Strong upward trend
Rank and record by season
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / RD | Avg runs scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | NPB | #1 | 85W 4D 54L | 61.2% +144 RD | 3.47 / 2.46 |
| 2024 | NPB | #2 | 74W 6D 63L | 54.0% +65 RD | 3.39 / 2.94 |
| 2023 | NPB | #1 | 85W 5D 53L | 61.2% +131 RD | 3.88 / 2.97 |
| 2022 | NPB | #3 | 68W 4D 71L | 49.0% +61 RD | 3.42 / 2.99 |
| 2021 | NPB | #2 | 77W 10D 56L | 57.3% +33 RD | 3.78 / 3.55 |
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / RD | Avg runs scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | NPB | #2 | 71W 6D 66L | 51.8% +54 RD | 3.57 / 3.19 |
| 2024 | NPB | #3 | 71W 3D 69L | 50.7% +19 RD | 3.65 / 3.52 |
| 2023 | NPB | #3 | 74W 3D 66L | 52.8% +24 RD | 3.64 / 3.47 |
| 2022 | NPB | #2 | 73W 2D 68L | 51.7% -37 RD | 3.48 / 3.73 |
| 2021 | NPB | #6 | 54W 16D 73L | 43.4% -65 RD | 3.91 / 4.36 |
Compare the same period, market and line. Open a market for its full source detail.
All available bet types with odds
The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing |
|---|---|---|
| Home | - | 1.91 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | - | 1.88 |
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.81 | 1.89 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | 1.71 | 1.94 |
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing | Overseas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win | 2.95 | 1.91 | 1.89 |
| Within 1 | 2.65 | - | - |
| Loss | 2.31 | 1.89 | 1.94 |
Handicap (2.5)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.22 | 1.31 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | 3.16 | 3.48 |
Home
1.91
Closing
Away
1.88
Closing
Home
1.81
Away
1.71
Win
2.95
47.0%
Within 1
2.65
Loss
2.31
53.0%
Home
1.22
Away
3.16
Home
1.22
72.1%
Away
3.16
27.9%
Over
1.82
Under
1.7
Over
1.89
46.6%
Under
1.65
53.4%
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