The forecast. The market. The evidence.
Analysis recorded · Sep 15 08:20 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-26 15:09
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.


Analysis recorded · Sep 15 08:20 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-26 15:09
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
AI Predicted
Hanshin Tigers Win
Prediction Correct!Compare match records, season figures and the source dates.
Prediction
Hanshin Tigers Win
Confidence
65%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
3 - 5
Key Analysis Points
Hanshin Tigers hold a recent head-to-head advantage and stronger pitching staff.
Hanshin's offense is more consistent, with better OBP and slugging than Yakult.
Yakult struggles against strong pitching and has a negative run differential.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
2 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Prediction: Hanshin Tigers Win
Score: 3 - 5
Based on trends up to mid-2024, the Hanshin Tigers have consistently outperformed Yakult in both pitching and hitting metrics. Hanshin's bullpen is elite and their starters have posted better ERAs, while Yakult's offense can be inconsistent, especially against quality pitching. The Tigers' lineup depth and aggressive baserunning give them an edge. While Yakult plays better at home, overall data supports Hanshin as favorites, though confidence is tempered due to lack of 2026-specific data.
Prediction: Yakult Swallows Win
Score: 3 - 2
Without access to 2026 real-time data, this assessment relies on established 2023-2024 NPB trends and historical patterns. Yakult Swallows receive a marginal home-field advantage at Jingu Stadium, where their offense historically outperforms their road stats. Hanshin Tigers, while possessing the superior overall record and stronger ERA (3.30 vs 3.87), show a slight decline in away games. The Tigers' bullpen depth is elite, but Yakult's core power hitter Munetaka Murakami presents consistent offensive threat. Yakult's 2026 roster maturity after a semi-rebuild phase may enhance consistency. The prediction reflects a competitive low-scoring affair with home-field advantage as the deciding factor, though Hanshin's pitching depth keeps this highly uncertain.
Prediction: Hanshin Tigers Win
Score: 3 - 5
The Hanshin Tigers enter this late-season matchup with a historical advantage rooted in their pitching consistency. By late September, the NPB pennant race typically rewards teams with deep rotations and reliable relief corps. Hanshin’s organizational philosophy focuses on high-velocity arms and elite control, which tends to neutralize Yakult's power-heavy lineup, specifically at the hitter-friendly Jingu Stadium. While the Swallows possess significant home-run potential through core hitters like Munetaka Murakami, their reliance on the long ball makes them vulnerable to the Tigers' disciplined pitching staff. Furthermore, Yakult has historically struggled with pitching depth toward the end of the grueling NPB season. In contrast, Hanshin’s bullpen management allows them to maintain high performance levels in high-leverage situations. Expect a close game through the middle innings, but the Tigers' ability to manufacture runs through aggressive base running and situational hitting should allow them to pull away in the final third of the contest.
Max probability 69.5% · Gap 39.0%p
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Compared across 22 bookmakers.
Recorded · 2026-09-26 15:09
Yakult Swallows · 2025 · 6th · 57W 7D 79L (RD -121)
Hanshin Tigers · 2025 · 1st · 85W 4D 54L (RD +144)
Records as of this match, not current form.
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
2
Draws
0
Away Wins
8
Recent matches
Last meeting: 2026-09-03 (4-7)
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Baseball · Season performance
Yakult Swallows
Hanshin Tigers
The source does not provide the number of games behind these figures.
Scoring and differential: higher is better. Runs allowed: lower is better. Differential = scored minus allowed per game.
— means the statistic is unavailable. These are season figures, not a prediction.
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Slight improvement
Sharp decline
Rank and record by season
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / RD | Avg runs scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | NPB | #6 | 57W 7D 79L | 41.9% -121 RD | 3.1 / 3.94 |
| 2024 | NPB | #5 | 62W 4D 77L | 44.6% -50 RD | 3.54 / 3.89 |
| 2023 | NPB | #5 | 57W 3D 83L | 40.9% -33 RD | 3.73 / 3.97 |
| 2022 | NPB | #1 | 80W 4D 59L | 57.3% +53 RD | 4.33 / 3.96 |
| 2021 | NPB | #1 | 73W 18D 52L | 57.3% +94 RD | 4.37 / 3.71 |
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / RD | Avg runs scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | NPB | #1 | 85W 4D 54L | 61.2% +144 RD | 3.47 / 2.46 |
| 2024 | NPB | #2 | 74W 6D 63L | 54.0% +65 RD | 3.39 / 2.94 |
| 2023 | NPB | #1 | 85W 5D 53L | 61.2% +131 RD | 3.88 / 2.97 |
| 2022 | NPB | #3 | 68W 4D 71L | 49.0% +61 RD | 3.42 / 2.99 |
| 2021 | NPB | #2 | 77W 10D 56L | 57.3% +33 RD | 3.78 / 3.55 |
Compare the same period, market and line. Open a market for its full source detail.
All available bet types with odds
The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing |
|---|---|---|
| Home | - | 3.03 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | - | 1.37 |
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.72 | 3.01 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | 1.3 | 1.38 |
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing | Overseas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win | 4.85 | 2.94 | 3.01 |
| Within 1 | 3.1 | - | - |
| Loss | 1.61 | 1.39 | 1.38 |
Handicap (2.5)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.52 | 1.72 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | 2.09 | 2.16 |
Home
3.03
Closing
Away
1.37
Closing
Home
2.72
Away
1.3
Win
4.85
32.3%
Within 1
3.1
Loss
1.61
67.7%
Home
1.52
Away
2.09
Home
1.52
57.9%
Away
2.09
42.1%
Over
1.81
Under
1.71
Over
1.81
48.6%
Under
1.71
51.4%
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