The forecast. The market. The evidence.
Analysis recorded · Sep 16 08:10 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-26 15:09
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.


Analysis recorded · Sep 16 08:10 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-26 15:09
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
AI Predicted
Yokohama BayStars Win
Prediction Correct!Compare match records, season figures and the source dates.
Prediction
Yokohama BayStars Win
Confidence
67%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
4 - 2
Key Analysis Points
Yokohama BayStars have won 3 of their last 5 games and are showing improved offense.
Chunichi Dragons have struggled offensively and have a weaker run differential.
The BayStars perform well at home, while the Dragons tend to struggle on the road.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Prediction: Yokohama BayStars Win
Score: 4 - 2
Based on recent form, Yokohama BayStars hold a clear advantage, with a stronger offense and solid pitching, especially at home. Chunichi Dragons’ inconsistent bats and negative run differential further tilt the odds. While both teams feature strong closers and capable arms, the BayStars' ability to generate runs and capitalize on home advantage gives them the edge in a likely low-to-mid scoring contest. Data is based on projections and recent history, so analysis strength is medium.
Prediction: Yokohama BayStars Win
Score: 5 - 3
Yokohama BayStars present a more compelling case as slight favorites heading into this September matchup. Recent form strongly favors BayStars with a 3-2 record over their last five games compared to Chunichi Dragons' 2-3 record. More significantly, the standings gap (BayStars at 72-59 versus Dragons at 60-71) reflects the quality differential between these teams—a 9.5-game separation suggests BayStars possess superior roster depth and consistency. Tactically, BayStars' improved offensive output (scoring 4+ runs in recent wins) contrasts sharply with Dragons' anemic offense (recent shutout and low-scoring losses). While Dragons' pitching staff (particularly ace Shinnosuke Ogasawara and closer Raidel Martinez) remains competitive, BayStars' balanced approach and reliable bullpen give them the edge. Home field advantage at Yokohama Stadium further tilts odds toward the BayStars, as they historically perform above .500 at home while Dragons consistently struggle in away games. The prediction of a BayStars 5-3 victory reflects their offensive advantage while acknowledging Dragons' ability to stay competitive through quality pitching.
Prediction: Yokohama BayStars Win
Score: 4 - 2
Yokohama enters this matchup as the favorite, primarily driven by their superior offensive output and solid standing in the Central League. With power hitters like Shugo Maki and the consistency of Keita Sano, the BayStars have a significantly higher ceiling for run production compared to a Dragons lineup that has struggled for consistency throughout the season. While Chunichi boasts a respectable pitching staff led by Shinnosuke Ogasawara, their inability to generate offense remains a critical weakness that often leaves their pitchers with little room for error. The BayStars' home-field advantage in Yokohama further tips the scales. Historically, the Dragons have found it difficult to keep pace in high-scoring affairs, and given the BayStars' recent form and playoff positioning, they possess the momentum. Expect a competitive game early due to Chunichi's pitching, but the BayStars' depth and late-inning pressure should ultimately secure the victory.
Max probability 64.9% · Gap 29.8%p
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Falling odds mean money moved onto that side.
Compared across 22 bookmakers.
Recorded · 2026-09-26 15:09
Yokohama BayStars · 2025 · 2nd · 71W 6D 66L (RD +54)
Chunichi Dragons · 2025 · 4th · 63W 2D 78L (RD -60)
Records as of this match, not current form.
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
7
Draws
0
Away Wins
3
Recent matches
Last meeting: 2026-08-30 (4-3)
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Baseball · Season performance
Yokohama BayStars
Chunichi Dragons
The source does not provide the number of games behind these figures.
Scoring and differential: higher is better. Runs allowed: lower is better. Differential = scored minus allowed per game.
— means the statistic is unavailable. These are season figures, not a prediction.
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Strong upward trend
Strong upward trend
Rank and record by season
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / RD | Avg runs scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | NPB | #2 | 71W 6D 66L | 51.8% +54 RD | 3.57 / 3.19 |
| 2024 | NPB | #3 | 71W 3D 69L | 50.7% +19 RD | 3.65 / 3.52 |
| 2023 | NPB | #3 | 74W 3D 66L | 52.8% +24 RD | 3.64 / 3.47 |
| 2022 | NPB | #2 | 73W 2D 68L | 51.7% -37 RD | 3.48 / 3.73 |
| 2021 | NPB | #6 | 54W 16D 73L | 43.4% -65 RD | 3.91 / 4.36 |
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / RD | Avg runs scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | NPB | #4 | 63W 2D 78L | 44.7% -60 RD | 2.82 / 3.24 |
| 2024 | NPB | #6 | 60W 8D 75L | 44.4% -105 RD | 2.61 / 3.34 |
| 2023 | NPB | #6 | 56W 5D 82L | 40.9% -108 RD | 2.73 / 3.48 |
| 2022 | NPB | #6 | 66W 2D 75L | 46.9% -81 RD | 2.9 / 3.46 |
| 2021 | NPB | #5 | 55W 17D 71L | 44.4% -73 RD | 2.83 / 3.34 |
Compare the same period, market and line. Open a market for its full source detail.
All available bet types with odds
The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing |
|---|---|---|
| Home | - | 1.6 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | - | 2.32 |
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 1.57 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | 2.34 | 2.44 |
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing | Overseas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win | 1.93 | 1.59 | 1.57 |
| Within 1 | 3.0 | - | - |
| Loss | 3.35 | 2.33 | 2.44 |
Handicap (-2.5)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.6 | 2.93 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | 1.33 | 1.41 |
Home
1.6
Closing
Away
2.32
Closing
Home
1.41
Away
2.34
Win
1.93
60.7%
Within 1
3.0
Loss
3.35
39.3%
Home
2.6
Away
1.33
Home
2.77
31.8%
Away
1.29
68.2%
Over
1.74
Under
1.78
Over
1.74
50.6%
Under
1.78
49.4%
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