The forecast. The market. The evidence.
Analysis recorded · Sep 20 04:00 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-26 15:06
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.


Analysis recorded · Sep 20 04:00 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-26 15:06
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
Compare match records, season figures and the source dates.
Prediction
Fukuoka S. Hawks Win
Confidence
60%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
4 - 2
Key Analysis Points
Hawks have strong home record and offensive depth.
Buffaloes possess elite pitching but occasionally struggle to score.
Recent head-to-head meetings have been competitive, but Hawks have slight edge at home.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Prediction: Fukuoka S. Hawks Win
Score: 4 - 3
Based on pre-2024 trends, the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks are formidable at home, with reliable pitching and a slightly more consistent offense than the Orix Buffaloes. Orix’s pitching staff is among the best, but their lineup has been inconsistent in producing runs. Head-to-head, matches are close, but the Hawks’ home advantage and offensive upside tip the balance. With no specific 2026 data, confidence is moderate, but historical performance and playing style suggest a narrow Hawks victory.
Prediction: Fukuoka S. Hawks Win
Score: 4 - 2
Based on historical NPB patterns and typical matchup dynamics between these Pacific League rivals: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks enjoy home field advantage at the Fukuoka Dome, where they traditionally perform well. While Orix Buffaloes possess one of the league's stronger pitching staffs and consistently low ERAs, the Hawks' offensive firepower—led by their power hitters—typically poses serious matchup problems. Late September games favor teams with deeper bullpen resources. Historical head-to-head records show competitive matchups with slight recent dominance by Hawks at home. Confidence is moderate due to lack of 2026 season data, injury status, and roster changes. For accurate prediction, current standings, recent form, and injury reports from September 2026 should be consulted.
Prediction: Fukuoka S. Hawks Win
Score: 4 - 2
As of the late 2026 season, the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks are projected to maintain their status as Pacific League titans, particularly when playing in their home dome. Historically, the Hawks excel in high-pressure September matchups where their deep bench and veteran leadership provide a cushion against the fatigue of a 143-game season. Their ability to generate runs through both power hitting and tactical small-ball makes them a difficult matchup for any rotation. The Orix Buffaloes remain elite in the pitching department, but the loss of generational talents to MLB in recent years has shifted the balance of power slightly back toward Fukuoka. In a late-September scenario, bullpen depth becomes the deciding factor. SoftBank’s investment in high-velocity relief arms is expected to neutralize Orix’s late-inning threats. While Orix will likely keep the game close through disciplined starting pitching, the Hawks' home atmosphere and offensive consistency should secure a narrow victory.
Max probability 56.8% · Gap 13.6%p
Strategy: Uncertain match. Avoid single 1X2 bets — use Double Chance or Over/Under markets below to protect your bankroll.
Recorded · 2026-09-26 15:06
Fukuoka S. Hawks · 2025 · 1st · 87W 4D 52L (RD +162)
Orix Buffaloes · 2025 · 3rd · 74W 3D 66L (RD -17)
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
8
Draws
0
Away Wins
2
Recent matches
Last meeting: 2026-09-17 (1-7)
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Baseball · Season performance
Fukuoka S. Hawks
Orix Buffaloes
The source does not provide the number of games behind these figures.
Scoring and differential: higher is better. Runs allowed: lower is better. Differential = scored minus allowed per game.
— means the statistic is unavailable. These are season figures, not a prediction.
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Strong upward trend
Sharp decline
Rank and record by season
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / RD | Avg runs scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | NPB | #1 | 87W 4D 52L | 62.6% +162 RD | 3.85 / 2.72 |
| 2024 | NPB | #1 | 91W 3D 49L | 65.0% +217 RD | 4.24 / 2.73 |
| 2023 | NPB | #3 | 71W 3D 69L | 50.7% +29 RD | 3.75 / 3.55 |
| 2022 | NPB | #1 | 76W 2D 65L | 53.8% +84 RD | 3.88 / 3.29 |
| 2021 | NPB | #4 | 60W 21D 62L | 49.3% +71 RD | 3.94 / 3.45 |
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / RD | Avg runs scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | NPB | #3 | 74W 3D 66L | 52.9% -17 RD | 3.51 / 3.63 |
| 2024 | NPB | #5 | 63W 3D 77L | 45.0% -46 RD | 2.81 / 3.13 |
| 2023 | NPB | #1 | 86W 4D 53L | 61.5% +80 RD | 3.55 / 2.99 |
| 2022 | NPB | #2 | 76W 2D 65L | 53.8% +32 RD | 3.43 / 3.2 |
| 2021 | NPB | #1 | 70W 18D 55L | 55.2% +51 RD | 3.85 / 3.5 |
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