The forecast. The market. The evidence.
Analysis recorded · Sep 14 21:50 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-24 23:06
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.


Analysis recorded · Sep 14 21:50 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-24 23:06
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
AI Predicted
Yomiuri Giants Win
Prediction Correct!Compare match records, season figures and the source dates.
Prediction
Yomiuri Giants Win
Confidence
63%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
4 - 2
Key Analysis Points
Yomiuri Giants have a stronger offense and better home record.
Chunichi Dragons struggle with run production compared to the Giants.
Head-to-head history and recent form give a slight edge to the Giants.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Prediction: Yomiuri Giants Win
Score: 4 - 2
Based on available data as of June 2024, the Yomiuri Giants are a more well-rounded team, especially at home, boasting better offensive stats and a solid pitching staff. The Dragons, while showing some defensive improvements, continue to struggle offensively and lack consistency on the road. Although both teams have competitive pitching, the Giants' superior run production and historical edge at Tokyo Dome make them the likely winners. However, confidence is moderate due to data being over two years old and potential roster changes.
Prediction: Yomiuri Giants Win
Score: 3 - 2
The Yomiuri Giants enter this matchup as clear favorites based on multiple analytical factors. Historically, the Giants dominate the head-to-head series and maintain superior offensive statistics (4.2 runs/game vs 3.4 for the Dragons). The Giants' pitching is also more reliable with a 3.52 ERA compared to the Dragons' 3.88, and they feature more explosive offensive weapons through players like Kazuma Okamoto. The home field advantage at Tokyo Dome is particularly significant, where the Giants maintain approximately a .600 win percentage - substantially higher than their road performance. While the Chunichi Dragons showed recent competitiveness with their 5-1 victory in June 2024, this appears to be an outlier in a pattern favoring the Giants. A close, competitive match is expected given both teams' reliance on pitching quality, but the Giants' offensive depth and home advantage should prove decisive.
Prediction: Yomiuri Giants Win
Score: 4 - 2
The Yomiuri Giants enter this matchup as the favorites based on historical performance trends and offensive depth. While the Chunichi Dragons often boast a disciplined pitching rotation and strong defensive metrics, their inability to consistently generate runs has been a long-standing tactical hurdle. In a late-season environment like September, the Giants' superior slugging percentage and bench depth typically provide a late-inning edge that the Dragons struggle to match. Tactically, the Giants are expected to exploit the Dragons' lack of power by pitching aggressively in the zone, forcing the Dragons to rely on small-ball tactics which are less efficient for high-scoring games. Conversely, the Giants' lineup features multiple home-run threats that can change the game with a single swing. Unless the Dragons' ace can deliver a near-shutout performance, the statistical probability favors a Giants victory driven by higher run-creation efficiency and home-field momentum.
Max probability 62.2% · Gap 24.4%p
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Falling odds mean money moved onto that side.
Compared across 22 bookmakers.
Recorded · 2026-09-24 23:06
Yomiuri Giants · 2025 · 3rd · 70W 4D 69L (RD +2)
Chunichi Dragons · 2025 · 4th · 63W 2D 78L (RD -60)
Records as of this match, not current form.
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
7
Draws
0
Away Wins
3
Recent matches
Last meeting: 2026-09-10 (5-3)
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Baseball · Season performance
Yomiuri Giants
Chunichi Dragons
The source does not provide the number of games behind these figures.
Scoring and differential: higher is better. Runs allowed: lower is better. Differential = scored minus allowed per game.
— means the statistic is unavailable. These are season figures, not a prediction.
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Strong upward trend
Slight decline
Rank and record by season
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / RD | Avg runs scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | NPB | #3 | 70W 4D 69L | 50.4% +2 RD | 3.24 / 3.22 |
| 2024 | NPB | #1 | 77W 7D 59L | 56.6% +81 RD | 3.23 / 2.66 |
| 2023 | NPB | #4 | 71W 2D 70L | 50.3% +16 RD | 3.66 / 3.55 |
| 2022 | NPB | #4 | 68W 3D 72L | 48.6% -41 RD | 3.83 / 4.12 |
| 2021 | NPB | #3 | 61W 20D 62L | 49.7% +11 RD | 3.86 / 3.78 |
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / RD | Avg runs scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | NPB | #4 | 63W 2D 78L | 44.7% -60 RD | 2.82 / 3.24 |
| 2024 | NPB | #6 | 60W 8D 75L | 44.4% -105 RD | 2.61 / 3.34 |
| 2023 | NPB | #6 | 56W 5D 82L | 40.9% -108 RD | 2.73 / 3.48 |
| 2022 | NPB | #6 | 66W 2D 75L | 46.9% -81 RD | 2.9 / 3.46 |
| 2021 | NPB | #5 | 55W 17D 71L | 44.4% -73 RD | 2.83 / 3.34 |
Compare the same period, market and line. Open a market for its full source detail.
All available bet types with odds
The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing |
|---|---|---|
| Home | - | 1.75 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | - | 2.07 |
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 1.73 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | 1.99 | 2.14 |
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing | Overseas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win | 2.33 | 1.75 | 1.73 |
| Within 1 | 2.8 | - | - |
| Loss | 2.75 | 2.07 | 2.14 |
Handicap (-2.5)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.16 | 3.68 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | 1.22 | 1.28 |
Home
1.75
Closing
Away
2.07
Closing
Home
1.58
Away
1.99
Win
2.33
54.0%
Within 1
2.8
Loss
2.75
46.0%
Home
3.16
Away
1.22
Home
3.46
25.4%
Away
1.18
74.6%
Over
1.67
Under
1.86
Over
1.74
50.6%
Under
1.78
49.4%
Full game · Odd/Even · 09-19 (Sat) 14:00 KST · Korean domestic market. Purchase shares and historical samples describe this product.
| Type | Odd | Even |
|---|---|---|
| Current | 1.64 | 1.99 |
| Initial | 1.64 | 1.99 |
| Opening | 1.64 | 1.99 |
| Overseas | 1.73↓ | 2.14↑ |
| Overseas − domestic | +0.09 | +0.15 |
| # | Odd | Even |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.64 | 1.99 |
Recorded purchase snapshot. Amount and payout index retain source values; units are not supplied.
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