The forecast. The market. The evidence.
Analysis recorded · Sep 12 07:00 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-24 23:06
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.


Analysis recorded · Sep 12 07:00 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-24 23:06
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
Compare match records, season figures and the source dates.
Prediction
LG Twins Win
Confidence
75%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
6 - 3
Key Analysis Points
| Outcome | Odds | Market Prob | AI Prob | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LG Twins Win | 1.87 | 50.5% | 71.1% | +33.0% |
| Hanwha Eagles Win | 1.91 | 49.5% | 28.9% | -44.8% |
LG Twins have a significantly stronger home record and overall performance in 2024.
Head-to-head matches in 2024 clearly favor the LG Twins, who won all recent meetings.
Hanwha Eagles' pitching and road performance have been notably weaker, while LG Twins have more consistent offense and bullpen.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Prediction: LG Twins Win
Score: 6 - 3
Based on 2024 data, LG Twins are in much better form, ranking near the top of the league with strong statistical advantages in both offense and pitching. Their recent head-to-head dominance over Hanwha Eagles and significant home field advantage further boost their chances. While Hanwha has some individual standout players, their inconsistent pitching and difficulties on the road make an upset unlikely. However, because this prediction is based on data from two years prior to the match, the analysis strength is rated as medium.
Prediction: LG Twins Win
Score: 6 - 3
Based on available 2024 KBO data through June, LG Twins demonstrate substantial superiority over Hanwha Eagles. The Twins rank 2nd overall with a .633 win percentage and +55 run differential, while Hanwha languishes at 8th with .417 winning percentage and -45 run differential. Critically, LG maintains a 2nd-place pitching ERA (3.42) versus Hanwha's 8th-place 4.35 ERA, and their home record of 21-10 (.677) far exceeds Hanwha's away struggles at 11-17 (.393). The head-to-head record strongly favors the Twins, having swept Hanwha 3-0 in 2024 meetings with consistent scoring margins (7-3, 5-2, 6-2). While Hanwha possesses talent in Noh Si-hwan (.325, 17 HR), LG's balanced offense (.275 AVG, 65 HR) and veteran leadership (Kim Hyun-soo .310) provide more reliable production. Historical patterns indicate LG converts home advantage effectively against weaker opponents.
Prediction: LG Twins Win
Score: 6 - 3
The LG Twins enter this matchup as heavy favorites based on their top-tier performance in the KBO standings and statistical superiority. Their offense ranks 2nd in the league with a .275 average, which should pose a significant challenge for a Hanwha pitching staff that has been exposed in recent games. While Hanwha possesses power through Noh Si-hwan, their lack of consistency on the road (.393 win rate) and high WHIP suggest they will struggle to contain the Twins' deep lineup. LG's bullpen stability and veteran leadership under Kim Hyun-soo provide a safety net that Hanwha currently lacks. Historically, the Twins have controlled the season series, and given the current trajectories of both clubs, a home victory for the Twins is the most probable outcome. Hanwha would need a stellar performance from their young ace, Moon Dong-ju, to neutralize the Twins' bats, but the statistical edge in run production and run prevention heavily favors LG.
Max probability 71.1% · Gap 42.2%p
Strategy: Clear favorite detected. Consider the main market or safe derivative options below for steady compound returns.
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Falling odds mean money moved onto that side.
Compared across 22 bookmakers.
Recorded · 2026-09-24 23:06
LG Twins · 2025 · 1st · 85W 3D 56L (RD +204)
Hanwha Eagles · 2025 · 2nd · 83W 4D 57L (RD +135)
Records as of this match, not current form.
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
3
Draws
0
Away Wins
7
Recent matches
Last meeting: 2026-09-09 (19-3)
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Baseball · Season performance
LG Twins
125 games played
Hanwha Eagles
125 games played
Scoring and differential: higher is better. Runs allowed: lower is better. Differential = scored minus allowed per game.
— means the statistic is unavailable. These are season figures, not a prediction.
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Sharp decline
Slight decline
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
Home/Away records
Recent
Rank and record by season
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / RD | Avg runs scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | KBO | #1 | 85W 3D 56L | 60.3% +204 RD | 5.47 / 4.06 |
| 2024 | KBO | #3 | 76W 2D 66L | 53.5% +80 RD | 5.61 / 5.06 |
| 2023 | KBO | #1 | 86W 2D 56L | 60.4% +157 RD | 5.33 / 4.24 |
| 2022 | KBO | #2 | 87W 2D 55L | 61.1% +194 RD | 4.97 / 3.62 |
| 2021 | KBO | #3 | 72W 14D 58L | 54.9% +93 RD | 4.54 / 3.9 |
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / RD | Avg runs scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | KBO | #2 | 83W 4D 57L | 59.3% +135 RD | 4.78 / 3.85 |
| 2024 | KBO | #8 | 66W 2D 76L | 46.5% -35 RD | 5.17 / 5.42 |
| 2023 | KBO | #9 | 58W 6D 80L | 42.4% -104 RD | 4.19 / 4.92 |
| 2022 | KBO | #10 | 46W 2D 96L | 32.6% -195 RD | 3.92 / 5.27 |
| 2021 | KBO | #10 | 49W 12D 83L | 38.2% -140 RD | 4.16 / 5.13 |
Compare the same period, market and line. Open a market for its full source detail.
All available bet types with odds
The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing |
|---|---|---|
| Home | - | 1.87 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | - | 1.91 |
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.6 | 1.75 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | 1.96 | 2.1 |
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Win | 2.26 | 1.75 |
| Within 1 | 3.35 | - |
| Loss | 2.45 | 2.1 |
Handicap (-2.5)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.82 | 3.32 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | 1.28 | 1.33 |
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing | Overseas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 1.79 | 1.75 |
| Draw | 5.5 | - | - |
| Away | 2.15 | 2.01 | 2.1 |
Handicap (-1.5)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.56 | 1.75 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | 1.34 | 2.1 |
Home
1.87
Closing
Away
1.91
Closing
Home
1.6
Away
1.96
Win
2.26
Within 1
3.35
Loss
2.45
Home
1.99
51.7%
Draw
5.5
Away
2.15
48.3%
Home
2.82
Away
1.28
Home
2.56
Away
1.34
Home
3.3
26.7%
Away
1.2
73.3%
Home
2.82
31.2%
Away
1.28
68.8%
Over
1.72
Under
1.8
Over
1.73
Under
1.79
Over
1.79
49.1%
Under
1.73
50.9%
Over
1.73
50.9%
Under
1.79
49.1%
Full game · Match result · 09-19 (Sat) 17:00 KST · Korean domestic market. Purchase shares and historical samples describe this product.
| Type | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Current | 1.60↓ | 1.96↑ |
| Initial | 1.70 | 1.82 |
| Opening | 1.70 | 1.82 |
| Overseas | 1.75↓ | 2.10↑ |
| Overseas − domestic | +0.15 | +0.14 |
| # | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.70 | 1.82 |
| 2 | 1.65 ↓ | 1.89 ↑ |
| 3 | 1.60 ↓ | 1.96 ↑ |
Recorded purchase snapshot. Amount and payout index retain source values; units are not supplied.
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