The forecast. The market. The evidence.
Analysis recorded · Sep 14 22:00 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-24 23:06
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.


Analysis recorded · Sep 14 22:00 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-24 23:06
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
AI Predicted
Hanshin Tigers Win
Prediction MissedCompare match records, season figures and the source dates.
Prediction
Hanshin Tigers Win
Confidence
58%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
4 - 3
Key Analysis Points
Hanshin Tigers typically perform strongly at home, often leveraging a supportive crowd and familiar conditions.
Recent historical trends (as of 2024) show Hanshin holding a slight edge over Hiroshima in head-to-head matchups, especially at Koshien Stadium.
The Tigers' starting pitching and defensive consistency have been key, while Hiroshima's offense can be streaky and dependent on key players' availability.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Prediction: Hanshin Tigers Win
Score: 4 - 3
Due to lack of specific 2026 data, this prediction is based on 2024 patterns and traditional strengths. Hanshin's home advantage and reliable pitching give them a slight edge, but Hiroshima remains competitive, especially if their offense is in form. Confidence is moderate due to data limitations, and the match could be close, potentially even resulting in a draw if both bullpens hold late.
Prediction: Hanshin Tigers Win
Score: 2 - 1
Hanshin Tigers receive slight preference as the home team, with a projected 2-1 victory reflecting typical close competition between these Central League rivals. September baseball in Japan often emphasizes pitching depth and bullpen management, where established teams typically have advantages. However, confidence is moderate (55%) because precise 2026 roster composition, player injuries, team chemistry, and specific seasonal trajectories cannot be determined. For an accurate prediction approaching the match date, consult NPB's official website, team rosters, recent performance data, and injury reports from Japanese sports media (Nikkan Sports, Daily Sports).
Prediction: Hanshin Tigers Win
Score: 4 - 2
As the NPB season reaches its climax in late September, the Hanshin Tigers typically leverage their formidable starting rotation and the intense atmosphere of Koshien Stadium to secure critical wins. Historically, Hanshin's pitching staff excels at home, particularly in low-scoring tactical battles. The Hiroshima Carp remain a disciplined and contact-oriented side, but they often face challenges producing runs against the Tigers' elite late-inning relievers. Given the high stakes of playoff positioning, the Tigers' experience in high-pressure environments gives them a slight edge. Expect a pitching-dominated game where a single late-inning clutch hit decides the outcome. While the Carp are capable of an upset through aggressive baserunning, the home-field advantage and bullpen reliability make Hanshin the statistical favorite for this matchup.
Max probability 57.8% · Gap 15.6%p
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Falling odds mean money moved onto that side.
Compared across 22 bookmakers.
Recorded · 2026-09-24 23:06
Hanshin Tigers · 2025 · 1st · 85W 4D 54L (RD +144)
Hiroshima Carp · 2025 · 5th · 59W 5D 79L (RD -56)
Records as of this match, not current form.
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
5
Draws
0
Away Wins
5
Recent matches
Last meeting: 2026-09-09 (1-3)
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Baseball · Season performance
Hanshin Tigers
Hiroshima Carp
The source does not provide the number of games behind these figures.
Scoring and differential: higher is better. Runs allowed: lower is better. Differential = scored minus allowed per game.
— means the statistic is unavailable. These are season figures, not a prediction.
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Slight decline
Slight decline
Rank and record by season
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / RD | Avg runs scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | NPB | #1 | 85W 4D 54L | 61.2% +144 RD | 3.47 / 2.46 |
| 2024 | NPB | #2 | 74W 6D 63L | 54.0% +65 RD | 3.39 / 2.94 |
| 2023 | NPB | #1 | 85W 5D 53L | 61.2% +131 RD | 3.88 / 2.97 |
| 2022 | NPB | #3 | 68W 4D 71L | 49.0% +61 RD | 3.42 / 2.99 |
| 2021 | NPB | #2 | 77W 10D 56L | 57.3% +33 RD | 3.78 / 3.55 |
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / RD | Avg runs scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | NPB | #5 | 59W 5D 79L | 42.8% -56 RD | 3.08 / 3.48 |
| 2024 | NPB | #4 | 68W 5D 70L | 49.3% -4 RD | 2.9 / 2.93 |
| 2023 | NPB | #2 | 74W 4D 65L | 53.1% -15 RD | 3.45 / 3.55 |
| 2022 | NPB | #5 | 66W 3D 74L | 47.2% +8 RD | 3.86 / 3.8 |
| 2021 | NPB | #4 | 63W 12D 68L | 48.3% -32 RD | 3.9 / 4.12 |
Compare the same period, market and line. Open a market for its full source detail.
All available bet types with odds
The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing |
|---|---|---|
| Home | - | 1.67 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | - | 2.19 |
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | 2.13 | 2.38 |
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing | Overseas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win | 2.39 | 1.65 | 1.6 |
| Within 1 | 2.45 | - | - |
| Loss | 3.1 | 2.24 | 2.38 |
Handicap (-2.5)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.55 | 3.76 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | 1.17 | 1.27 |
Home
1.67
Closing
Away
2.19
Closing
Home
1.5
Away
2.13
Win
2.39
Within 1
2.45
Loss
3.1
42.9%
Home
3.55
Away
1.17
Home
3.55
24.8%
Away
1.17
75.2%
Over
1.65
Under
1.89
Over
1.7
51.7%
Under
1.82
48.3%
Full game · Over/Under 4.5 · 09-19 (Sat) 18:00 KST · Korean domestic market. Purchase shares and historical samples describe this product.
| Type | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| Current | 1.89↑ | 1.65↓ |
| Initial | 1.82 | 1.70 |
| Opening | 1.82 | 1.70 |
| Overseas | 2.06↑ | 1.74 |
| Overseas − domestic | +0.17 | +0.09 |
| # | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.82 | 1.70 |
| 2 | 1.89 ↑ | 1.65 ↓ |
Recorded purchase snapshot. Amount and payout index retain source values; units are not supplied.
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