The forecast. The market. The evidence.
Analysis recorded · Sep 12 09:00 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-24 23:06
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
Analysis recorded · Sep 12 09:00 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-24 23:06
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
AI Predicted
Urawa Reds Win
Prediction Correct!Compare match records, season figures and the source dates.
Prediction
Urawa Reds Win
Confidence
75%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
2 - 0
Key Analysis Points
Urawa Reds have a strong home record and consistent defensive performances.
Recent head-to-head meetings have been dominated by Urawa Reds, with back-to-back wins over Verdy.
Tokyo Verdy struggle to score and concede more than they score, especially against top J1 sides.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Prediction: Urawa Reds Win
Score: 2 - 0
Based on June 2024 form and statistical trends, Urawa Reds are clear favorites. They boast a solid home record, strong defense, and have recently beaten Verdy both home and away. Verdy, while competitive, show defensive vulnerabilities and inconsistent results, especially against strong opposition. Unless there are significant changes by 2026, data strongly favors Urawa, but the prediction carries medium strength due to the long gap until the match.
Prediction: Urawa Reds Win
Score: 2 - 0
Urawa Reds are clear favorites in this September 2026 matchup based on documented form patterns and historical advantage. As of June 2024, Urawa sat 3rd with 35 points and impressive defensive solidity (9 clean sheets), while Tokyo Verdy struggled in 14th with concerning defensive vulnerabilities (1.59 GA/game). Urawa's home record is formidable (6W-2D-1L), and they've consistently dominated recent Verdy encounters (2-0 and 2-1 victories in 2024). Tactically, Skorza's compact defensive setup neutralizes Verdy's creative but inconsistent attack, while Urawa's quick transitions exploit Verdy's backline susceptibilities. Verdy's away record remains problematic across the dataset (3W-2D-5L), suggesting significant road challenges. The fundamental gap in squad quality, recent form trajectory, and historical H2H data strongly favors a decisive Urawa home victory.
Prediction: Urawa Reds Win
Score: 2 - 0
Urawa Reds enter this match as the clear favorites, maintaining their status as one of the J-LEAGUE's elite defensive units. Their tactical discipline has resulted in a low goals-against average and a high frequency of clean sheets when playing at home. The Reds' ability to control the tempo of the game and exploit transitions makes them a difficult opponent for teams struggling with defensive consistency. Tokyo Verdy, while showing resilience since their promotion, continues to struggle with the step up in quality. Their defensive metrics indicate a vulnerability against top-four opposition, often conceding multiple goals when pressured. While they are competitive in the midfield, their lack of a prolific goal-scorer to break through Urawa's compact defensive structure suggests they will struggle to find the back of the net. Historically, Urawa has dominated this fixture. Given the discrepancy in squad depth and defensive organization, Urawa is expected to secure a comfortable home victory.
Max probability 65.0% · Gap 45.0%p
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Falling odds mean money moved onto that side.
Compared across 24 bookmakers.
Recorded · 2026-09-24 23:06
Urawa Reds · 2026 · 6th · 7W 0D 4L
Verdy · 2026 · 5th · 7W 3D 1L
Records as of this match, not current form.
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
7
Home Wins
2
Draws
3
Away Wins
2
Recent matches
Last meeting: 2026-04-12 (1-2)
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Sharp decline
Sharp decline
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
Home/Away records
Recent
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Overall
Best: Win 3 · Unbeaten 3
At Home
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1
Away
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 2
Overall
Best: Unbeaten 1
At Home
Best: Unbeaten 1
Away
Best: Unbeaten 2
Rank and record by season
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | J League | #6 | 7W 0D 4L | — | 0.39 / 0.0 |
| 2025 | J League | #7 | 16W 11D 11L | +6 GD | 1.18 / 1.03 |
| 2024 | J League | #13 | 12W 12D 14L | +4 GD | 1.29 / 1.18 |
| 2023 | J League | #4 | 15W 12D 7L | +15 GD | 1.24 / 0.79 |
| 2022 | J League | #9 | 10W 15D 9L | 45 pts +9 GD | 1.41 / 1.15 |
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | J League | #5 | 7W 3D 1L | — | 0.39 / 0.0 |
| 2025 | J League | #17 | 11W 10D 17L | -18 GD | 0.61 / 1.08 |
| 2024 | J League | #6 | 14W 14D 10L | 0 GD | 1.34 / 1.34 |
| 2023 | J League Division | #3 | 21W 12D 9L | +26 GD | 1.36 / 0.74 |
| 2022 | J League Division | #9 | 16W 13D 13L | 61 pts +7 GD | 1.48 / 1.31 |
Registered players with season stats
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 13 Watanabe Ryoma (30) | 8 | 2 | - |
| FW | 9 Aisak Kieseu Telrin (34) | 7 | 0 | 1 |
| FW | 45 Onaiu Ado (31) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| FW | 10 Nakajima Syoya (32) | 4 | 0 | - |
| FW | 41 Nita Rio | 4 | 0 | - |
| MF | 25 Kaito Yaseui (56) | 8 | 1 | 1 |
| MF | 22 Kai Sibato (31) | 8 | 0 | - |
| MF | 77 Ganeko Dakuro (29) | 8 | 0 | - |
| MF | 14 Sekine Dakahiro (31) | 8 | 1 | 1 |
| MF | 8 Mateuseu Sabiu (29) | 8 | 1 | 2 |
| MF | 88 Naganuma Yoichi (29) | 3 | 0 | - |
| MF | 24 Masseuo Yuseuke (29) Inactive | 2 | 1 | - |
| DF | 26 Ogiwara Dakuya (27) | 7 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 2 Yuta Miyamoto (27) | 6 | 0 | - |
| DF | 4 Isihara Hirokajeu (27) | 4 | 0 | - |
| DF | 3 Danilo (28) | 2 | 0 | - |
| GK | 1 Nisikawa Syusaku (40) | 8 | 0 | - |
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 11 Yamami Hiroto (27) | 7 | 1 | - |
| FW | 9 Itsuki Someno (25) | 7 | 3 | 2 |
| FW | 27 Ryosuke Shirai (21) | 5 | 0 | - |
| FW | 7 Yuan Matsuhashi (25) | 5 | 1 | - |
| FW | 45 Shimon Teranuma (25) | 1 | 0 | - |
| FW | 13 Goki Yamada (26) | 1 | 0 | - |
| MF | 10 Morita Goki (31) | 8 | 0 | - |
| MF | 16 Rei Hirakawa (26) | 8 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 8 Kosuke Saito (29) | 8 | 1 | - |
| MF | 40 Yuta Arai (23) | 7 | 0 | 2 |
| MF | 6 Miyahara Gajeuya (30) | 6 | 0 | 2 |
| MF | 14 Yuya Fukuda (27) | 4 | 1 | - |
| DF | 15 Kaito Suzuki (24) | 8 | 0 | - |
| DF | 5 Ryota Inoue (26) | 7 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 55 Taiju Yoshida (26) | 7 | 2 | - |
| DF | 23 Hukujawa Daiki (28) | 7 | 0 | - |
| DF | 4 Naoki Hayashi (28) Inactive | 3 | 0 | - |
| DF | 35 Tanabe Syuto | 2 | 0 | - |
| DF | 36 Masseuda Riku (27) | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| GK | 1 Mateuseu Kaldeira (33) | 5 | 0 | - |
| GK | 21 Yuya Nagasawa (30) | 4 | 0 | - |
Compare the same period, market and line. Open a market for its full source detail.
All available bet types with odds
The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 1.79 |
| Draw | 3.1 | 3.46 |
| Away | 4.0 | 4.54 |
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing | Overseas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 1.79 | 1.93 |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.46 | 3.34 |
| Away | 3.65 | 4.54 | 4.25 |
Handicap (-1)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.65 | 3.69 |
| Draw | 3.15 | 3.42 |
| Away | 1.79 | 1.83 |
Home
1.73
50.2%
Draw
3.1
28.0%
Away
4.0
21.7%
Home
1.75
50.2%
Draw
3.3
28.0%
Away
3.65
21.7%
Home
3.3
26.4%
Draw
3.15
27.6%
Away
1.89
46.0%
Home
3.65
Draw
3.15
Away
1.79
Over
2.0
44.0%
Under
1.57
56.0%
Over
2.0
Under
1.57
Odd
1.81
49.7%
Even
1.79
50.3%
Full game · Over/Under 2.5 · 09-19 (Sat) 18:30 KST · Korean domestic market. Purchase shares and historical samples describe this product.
| Type | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| Current | 1.57 | 2.00 |
| Initial | 1.57 | 2.00 |
| Opening | 1.57 | 2.00 |
| Overseas | 1.71↑ | 2.14↑ |
| Overseas − domestic | +0.14 | +0.14 |
| # | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.57 | 2.00 |
Recorded purchase snapshot. Amount and payout index retain source values; units are not supplied.
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