The forecast. The market. The evidence.
Analysis recorded · Sep 12 09:30 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-24 23:06
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
Analysis recorded · Sep 12 09:30 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-24 23:06
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
AI Predicted
Ulsan HD Win
Prediction MissedCompare match records, season figures and the source dates.
Prediction
Ulsan HD Win
Confidence
84%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
0 - 2
Key Analysis Points
Ulsan HD is unbeaten in their last 5 matches with 4 wins and 1 draw, showing strong attacking form.
Anyang has struggled recently, with only 1 win in 5 and a negative goal difference, especially against top teams.
Head-to-head history favors Ulsan HD, who have won all previous meetings since Anyang's promotion, often by multiple goals.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Prediction: Ulsan HD Win
Score: 1 - 3
Ulsan HD enters the match as league leaders with the most potent attack in the division and a strong away record. Anyang, while competitive at home, has struggled for consistency and has never beaten Ulsan since promotion. Key Ulsan players are fit, and their set-piece threat and early scoring trend further tilt the match in their favor. Given these data-backed trends, Ulsan HD is a clear favorite, with a high probability of securing a multi-goal victory.
Prediction: Ulsan HD Win
Score: 0 - 2
Ulsan HD is the clear favorite based on multiple compelling factors. The visitors are in exceptional form with 4 consecutive wins and only 1 draw in their last 5 matches, while Anyang has struggled with inconsistency (1W-2D-2L). Critically, Ulsan has completely dominated this fixture historically—winning all 3 recent head-to-head encounters, often by multiple goals. The statistical gap is striking: Ulsan scores 2.0 goals per game with 5.7 shots on target versus Anyang's 1.0 goals and 3.2 shots. Defensively, Ulsan concedes only 0.96 goals per game with 11 clean sheets, while Anyang struggles with 1.3 conceded and just 5 clean sheets. Ulsan's away form is particularly strong (9W-2D-3L), and they typically dominate early with aggressive pressing. Anyang, sitting 10th with just 31 points compared to Ulsan's league-leading 64, are fighting to avoid relegation struggles and lack the quality to challenge Ulsan's clinical attacking play led by Joo Min-kyu. A comfortable away victory for Ulsan is highly probable.
Prediction: Ulsan HD Win
Score: 0 - 2
Ulsan HD enters this fixture as the overwhelming favorite, currently leading the K-CLASSIC and maintaining a strong unbeaten streak. Their offensive efficiency, led by Golden Boot contender Joo Min-kyu, contrasts sharply with Anyang's defensive struggles, which have seen them concede regularly against top-tier opposition. Ulsan’s tactical flexibility allows them to control possession and exploit gaps, a strategy that has successfully secured them a 100% win rate in recent encounters with Anyang. Anyang, while being more resilient at home, faces a significant quality gap in every department. They struggle to score early in matches, which is a major disadvantage against an Ulsan side that typically takes control of games by the first half. Given Ulsan's superior squad depth and historical dominance, Anyang is unlikely to find the back of the net, leading to a comfortable away victory for the league leaders.
Max probability 70.0% · Gap 52.5%p
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Falling odds mean money moved onto that side.
Compared across 24 bookmakers.
Recorded · 2026-09-24 23:06
Anyang · 2025 · 7th · 12W 6D 15L (GD +1)
Ulsan HD · 2025 · 9th · 10W 10D 13L (GD -4)
Records as of this match, not current form.
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
6
Home Wins
2
Draws
2
Away Wins
2
Recent matches
Last meeting: 2026-08-02 (3-1)
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Slight decline
Stable
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
Home/Away records
Recent
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Overall
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 5
At Home
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 2
Away
Best: Win 3 · Unbeaten 7
Overall
Best: Win 3 · Unbeaten 4
At Home
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 2
Away
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 4
Rank and record by season
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | K League 1 | #7 | 12W 6D 15L | +1 GD | 1.27 / 1.24 |
| 2024 | K League 2 | #1 | 18W 9D 9L | +15 GD | 1.42 / 1.0 |
| 2023 | K League 2 | #6 | 15W 9D 12L | +7 GD | 1.61 / 1.42 |
| 2022 | K League 2 | #3 | 19W 12D 9L | 69 pts +11 GD | 1.3 / 1.03 |
| 2021 | K League 2 | #2 | 17W 11D 8L | 62 pts +14 GD | 1.42 / 1.03 |
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | K League 1 | #9 | 10W 10D 13L | -4 GD | 1.18 / 1.3 |
| 2024 | K League 1 | #1 | 18W 7D 8L | +17 GD | 1.61 / 1.09 |
| 2023 | K League 1 | #1 | 20W 7D 6L | +20 GD | 1.7 / 1.09 |
| 2022 | K League 1 | #1 | 19W 9D 5L | 66 pts +20 GD | 1.45 / 0.85 |
| 2021 | K League 1 | #2 | 18W 10D 5L | 64 pts +19 GD | 1.64 / 1.06 |
Registered players with season stats
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 27 Choegeonju (27) | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| FW | 9 Breno Herculano (27) | 5 | 0 | - |
| FW | 32 Itaehui (34) | 4 | 0 | - |
| FW | 11 Aireuton (27) | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| FW | 17 Gangjihun (29) | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 55 Tomaseu Odeu Kote (30) | 5 | 0 | - |
| MF | 10 Iban Yukichi (30) | 5 | 0 | - |
| MF | 8 Gimjeonghyeon (33) | 3 | 0 | 1 1 |
| MF | 13 Hangaram (28) | 3 | 0 | - |
| MF | 24 Gimbogyeong (37) | 2 | 0 | - |
| DF | 22 Gimdongjin (34) | 5 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 26 Ijinyong (25) | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| DF | 5 Gimyeongchan (33) | 4 | 0 | - |
| DF | 4 Ichangyong (36) | 4 | 0 | 1 1 |
| DF | 21 Gwongyeongwon Injured | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| GK | 23 Gimjeonghun (25) | 4 | 0 | - |
| GK | 31 Gimdasol (37) | 1 | 0 | - |
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 91 Benji Michel (31) | 4 | 0 | - |
| FW | 99 Yago Cariello Ribeiro (27) | 4 | 4 | - |
| FW | 8 Hui-Gyun Lee (28) | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| FW | 18 Heoyul (25) | 4 | 0 | - |
| FW | 6 Darijan Bojanic (32) | 4 | 0 | - |
| FW | 66 Milosz Trojak (32) | 3 | 0 | - |
| FW | 27 Pedeurinyu (24) | 2 | 0 | - |
| MF | 10 Lee Dong-gyeong (29) | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| MF | 24 Igyuseong (32) | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 26 Johyeontaek (25) | 4 | 0 | - |
| MF | 22 Iminhyeok (24) | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 14 Ijinhyeon (29) | 3 | 0 | - |
| DF | 28 Ijaeik | 4 | 0 | - |
| DF | 15 Seung-hyeon Jung (32) | 4 | 1 | - |
| DF | 19 Young-Gwon Kim (36) | 3 | 0 | - |
| DF | 2 Yunjonggyu (28) | 1 | 0 | - |
| GK | 21 Johyeonu (35) | 4 | 0 | - |
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The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.7 | 4.01 |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.92 |
| Away | 1.75 | 1.82 |
Handicap (1)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 2.02 |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.75 |
| Away | 3.05 | 3.14 |
Handicap (2)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.29 | 1.36 |
| Draw | 5.0 | 5.45 |
| Away | 6.2 | 6.09 |
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing | Overseas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.95 | 3.42 | 4.01 |
| Draw | 2.12 | 3.54 | 3.92 |
| Away | 2.35 | 1.99 | 1.82 |
Handicap (1)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.43 | 4.01 |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.92 |
| Away | 6.1 | 1.82 |
Home
3.7
Draw
3.55
Away
1.75
Home
3.95
28.3%
Draw
2.12
Away
2.35
45.9%
Home
1.91
Draw
3.5
Away
3.05
Home
1.29
Draw
5.0
Away
6.2
Home
1.43
Draw
3.5
Away
6.1
Home
1.72
51.1%
Draw
3.65
24.1%
Away
3.55
24.8%
Home
1.21
72.7%
Draw
5.6
15.7%
Away
7.6
11.6%
Over
1.57
Under
2.05
Over
2.19
Under
1.47
Over
1.57
56.6%
Under
2.05
43.4%
Over
2.19
40.2%
Under
1.47
59.8%
Odd
1.8
50.0%
Even
1.8
50.0%
Full game · Home handicap +2.0 · 09-19 (Sat) 19:00 KST · Korean domestic market. Purchase shares and historical samples describe this product.
| Type | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 1.29↑ | 5.00↓ | 6.20↓ |
| Initial | 1.24 | 5.60 | 7.56 |
| Opening | 1.21 | 5.60 | 7.60 |
| Overseas | 1.36↑ | 5.45↓ | 6.09↓ |
| Overseas − domestic | +0.07 | +0.45 | -0.11 |
| # | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.21 | 5.60 | 7.60 |
| 2 | 1.26 ↑ | 5.20 ↓ | 6.70 ↓ |
| 3 | 1.29 ↑ | 5.00 ↓ | 6.20 ↓ |
Recorded purchase snapshot. Amount and payout index retain source values; units are not supplied.
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