The forecast. The market. The evidence.
Analysis recorded · Sep 12 12:50 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-24 23:06
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.


Analysis recorded · Sep 12 12:50 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-24 23:06
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
AI Predicted
Eintracht Frankfurt Win
Prediction MissedCompare match records, season figures and the source dates.
Prediction
Eintracht Frankfurt Win
Confidence
57%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
2 - 1
Key Analysis Points
Both teams showed similar form in the 2023/24 season, finishing close in the table.
Recent head-to-head history is balanced, with four draws in the last ten meetings and most games tightly contested.
Both sides have defensive vulnerabilities but reliable attacking options, suggesting a likely score draw.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
2 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick. Confidence is limited — treat this match as uncertain.
Prediction: Draw
Score: 1 - 1
Based on recent form and head-to-head data, Eintracht Frankfurt and Freiburg are closely matched. Frankfurt tends to perform well at home, but Freiburg's set-piece threat and tactical discipline often yield results on the road. Neither side has a clear statistical edge, and both are prone to defensive lapses yet can score consistently. This points to a high likelihood of a draw, possibly with both teams finding the net. Confidence is moderate due to the consistency in results and similar squad strengths, but limited by the lack of up-to-date squad or injury info for 2026.
Prediction: Eintracht Frankfurt Win
Score: 2 - 1
Eintracht Frankfurt holds the slight edge in this Bundesliga matchup, primarily due to home advantage and recent positive head-to-head results. Based on 2023/24 data, Frankfurt's 51 goals for and possession-dominant home style contrasts favorably against Freiburg's defensive record (54 goals against). While Freiburg presents a genuine threat through set-piece danger (Grifo's creativity) and mid-table competitiveness, Frankfurt's counter-attacking prowess and veteran presence (Götze, Trapp) provide tactical balance. The historical data shows an even rivalry overall, but Frankfurt's 2-1 victory in May 2024 demonstrates they can handle Freiburg's intensity. Expect a competitive, attacking encounter with Frankfurt's home advantage likely proving decisive.
Prediction: Eintracht Frankfurt Win
Score: 2 - 1
Eintracht Frankfurt and SC Freiburg represent two of the most stable and tactically disciplined sides in the Bundesliga. Historically, this fixture is characterized by narrow margins and a high frequency of draws, as seen in their 2023-2024 encounters. Frankfurt tends to thrive on high-intensity pressing and transition play, which is bolstered by their fervent home support. This environment often allows them to edge out opponents of similar technical quality. Freiburg, conversely, excels in defensive structure and maximizing opportunities from dead-ball situations. While they are capable of securing points on the road, Frankfurt's historical home form against mid-table rivals gives them a slight psychological and statistical advantage. Given the trajectory of both clubs as perennial top-half contenders, a closely contested match with a one-goal margin for the home side is the most probable outcome, though a draw remains a significant statistical possibility.
Max probability 38.0% · Gap 1.5%p
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Compared across 24 bookmakers.
Recorded · 2026-09-24 23:06
Eintracht Frankfurt · 2025/2026 · 8th · 11W 11D 12L (GD -4)
Freiburg · 2025/2026 · 7th · 13W 8D 13L (GD -6)
Records as of this match, not current form.
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
5
Draws
4
Away Wins
1
Recent matches
Last meeting: 2026-03-02 (2-0)
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Sharp decline
Strong upward trend
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
Home/Away records
Recent
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Overall
Best: Unbeaten 1
At Home
Away
Best: Unbeaten 1
Overall
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 2
At Home
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1
Away
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1
Rank and record by season
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Bundesliga | #8 | 11W 11D 12L | -4 GD | 1.79 / 1.91 |
| 2024/2025 | Bundesliga | #3 | 17W 9D 8L | +22 GD | 2.0 / 1.35 |
| 2023/2024 | Bundesliga | #6 | 11W 14D 9L | +1 GD | 1.5 / 1.47 |
| 2022/2023 | Bundesliga | #7 | 13W 11D 10L | 50 pts +6 GD | 1.71 / 1.53 |
| 2021/2022 | Bundesliga | #11 | 10W 12D 12L | 42 pts -4 GD | 1.32 / 1.44 |
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Bundesliga | #7 | 13W 8D 13L | -6 GD | 1.5 / 1.68 |
| 2024/2025 | Bundesliga | #5 | 16W 7D 11L | -4 GD | 1.44 / 1.56 |
| 2023/2024 | Bundesliga | #10 | 11W 9D 14L | -13 GD | 1.32 / 1.71 |
| 2022/2023 | Bundesliga | #5 | 17W 8D 9L | 59 pts +7 GD | 1.5 / 1.29 |
| 2021/2022 | Bundesliga | #6 | 15W 10D 9L | 55 pts +12 GD | 1.71 / 1.35 |
Registered players with season stats
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 7 Anseugareu Keunaupeu (24) | 21 | 4 | 2 |
| FW | 9 Jonadan Bureukareuteu (26) | 15 | 9 | 1 |
| FW | 42 Can Yilmaz Uzun (21) | 15 | 6 | 2 |
| FW | 25 Areunaudeu Kalrimuendo (24) | 12 | 4 | 3 |
| FW | 30 Miki Bachuai (33) | 6 | 1 | - |
| FW | 11 Younes Ebnoutalib (23) | 2 | 1 | - |
| MF | 20 Risseudoan (28) | 27 | 4 | 4 |
| MF | 21 Nadaniel Brown (23) | 26 | 4 | 3 |
| MF | 19 Jang Bahoya (21) Thigh Injury13.04.2026 | 24 | 3 | 1 |
| MF | 8 Chaibi Fares (24) | 21 | 2 | 1 |
| MF | 16 Hugo Rareuson (22) | 20 | 1 | - |
| MF | 6 Oseuka Hoilreondeu (21) | 19 | 0 | 3 1 |
| MF | 15 Elrieseu Seukiri (31) | 18 | 0 | 2 1 |
| MF | 27 Mario Goeche (34) | 18 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 18 Mamudeu Dahudeu (30) | 13 | 2 | - |
| DF | 4 Robin Kochi (30) | 25 | 3 | 3 1 |
| DF | 34 Kolrinseu Eunnamdi Ankle Injury13.04.2026 | 23 | 1 | 4 |
| DF | 3 Aseo Teiteu (26) | 20 | 1 | 8 |
| DF | 13 Raseumuseu Keuriseutenseun (29) | 19 | 2 | 4 |
| DF | 5 Aurelre Sujeong | 17 | 0 | 3 |
| DF | 2 Elias Baum (21) | 4 | 0 | - |
| GK | 23 Jeteoreo Maikeul | 15 | 0 | 1 |
| GK | 40 Kaua Aireuton (23) Knee injury | 13 | 0 | - |
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 9 Rukaseu Holreo (32) | 25 | 1 | 1 |
| FW | 7 Derry Scherhant (24) | 24 | 4 | 2 |
| FW | 14 Seujeuki Yuito (25) | 22 | 4 | 3 |
| MF | 32 Binchenjo Geuripo (33) | 27 | 7 | - |
| MF | 8 Maksimilrian Egesyutain (30) | 27 | 2 | 3 |
| MF | 31 Igoreu Matanobichi (23) | 24 | 8 | - |
| MF | 44 Yohan Manzambi (21) | 21 | 3 | 4 2 |
| MF | 6 Oseuteoheiji Paeteurik | 20 | 1 | 4 |
| MF | 27 Nikolraseu Hopeulreo (36) | 8 | 0 | - |
| DF | 28 Matiaseu Ginteo (32) | 26 | 2 | 1 |
| DF | 29 Teuru Pilrip | 23 | 1 | 2 |
| DF | 19 Yan-nikeulraseu Beseute (27) | 21 | 1 | 5 |
| DF | 30 Keuriseutian Gwinteo (33) | 19 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 33 Jordy Makengo (25) | 16 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 17 Rukaseu Kwibeulreo (34) | 16 | 2 | 2 |
| DF | 3 Pilrip Rienhareuteu (30) | 13 | 0 | 4 1 |
| DF | 37 Makseu Rojenpeldeo (23) Hamstring injury | 12 | 0 | - |
| DF | 5 Aenseoni Jeong (35) | 10 | 0 | 2 |
| GK | 1 Atubolru Noa | 27 | 0 | - |
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Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing | Overseas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 2.36 | 2.63 |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.85 | 3.75 |
| Away | 2.45 | 2.7 | 2.56 |
Handicap (-1)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.05 | 4.97 |
| Draw | 4.05 | 4.34 |
| Away | 1.53 | 1.5 |
Handicap (-2)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.6 | 10.68 |
| Draw | 6.4 | 6.94 |
| Away | 1.14 | 1.17 |
Home
2.22
39.6%
Draw
3.6
24.4%
Away
2.45
35.9%
Home
4.05
Draw
4.05
Away
1.53
Home
8.6
Draw
6.4
Away
1.14
Home
4.05
21.5%
Draw
4.05
21.5%
Away
1.53
57.0%
Home
8.6
10.1%
Draw
6.4
13.6%
Away
1.14
76.3%
Over
1.92
Under
1.66
Over
1.99
44.7%
Under
1.61
55.3%
Odd
1.8
50.0%
Even
1.8
50.0%
Full game · Over/Under 3.5 · 09-19 (Sat) 22:30 KST · Korean domestic market. Purchase shares and historical samples describe this product.
| Type | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| Current | 1.66↑ | 1.92↓ |
| Initial | 1.61 | 1.99 |
| Opening | 1.61 | 1.99 |
| Overseas | 1.63↑ | 2.33 |
| Overseas − domestic | -0.03 | +0.41 |
| # | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.61 | 1.99 |
| 2 | 1.66 ↑ | 1.92 ↓ |
Recorded purchase snapshot. Amount and payout index retain source values; units are not supplied.
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