The forecast. The market. The evidence.
Analysis recorded · Sep 12 12:40 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-24 23:06
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.


Analysis recorded · Sep 12 12:40 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-24 23:06
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
AI Predicted
Werder Bremen Win
Prediction Correct!Compare match records, season figures and the source dates.
Prediction
Werder Bremen Win
Confidence
63%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
2 - 1
Key Analysis Points
Werder Bremen finished higher in the 2023/24 season and showed stronger home form.
Augsburg struggled defensively and had a poor away record, winning only 2 of 17 away matches.
Recent head-to-head history is balanced, but Werder Bremen typically scores at home and Augsburg often concedes on the road.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick. Confidence is limited — treat this match as uncertain.
Prediction: Werder Bremen Win
Score: 2 - 1
Based on available 2023/24 data, Werder Bremen’s superior home performance and Augsburg’s weak away defense suggest a home advantage. Both sides have reliable attacking players, so goals are likely on both ends, but Bremen’s consistency at home tilts the prediction in their favor. However, the lack of up-to-date 2026 squad and form information limits confidence, so probabilities reflect historical rather than current season data.
Prediction: Werder Bremen Win
Score: 2 - 1
Werder Bremen enters as home favorites with a solid home record and recent defensive improvements, though their overall 2023/24 form was mixed (9th place). Augsburg struggled significantly in away matches (only 2 wins in 19 away games 2023/24) and finished the season poorly with no wins in their last 5 games. Historically, Augsburg holds a slight H2H edge (9-7 in wins), but Bremen's home advantage is significant. The most recent meetings (2023/24) saw competitive matches with both teams scoring in 4 of the last 5 encounters, suggesting an attacking showcase. Bremen's attacking prowess under Ole Werner combined with Augsburg's defensive vulnerabilities away from home favor a Bremen victory, though Augsburg's quality attacking players (Demirović) and the pattern of BTTS suggests goals for both sides.
Prediction: Werder Bremen Win
Score: 2 - 1
Werder Bremen enters this fixture with a distinct advantage playing at the Weserstadion. Historical data highlights their consistency at home, where they have traditionally maintained a high scoring rate. Under tactical stability, the team utilizes creative wing play to exploit mid-table defenses. While their own defensive line can be porous, their ability to control the tempo in front of their home supporters often tips the scales in closely contested Bundesliga matches. Augsburg, conversely, has historically struggled to find consistency away from home. Their high-pressing system under Jess Thorup makes them a threat on the counter-attack, particularly through physical forwards, but it often leaves them vulnerable in defensive transitions. Given that Augsburg conceded an average of 1.76 goals per game in the most recent full data set, Bremen's efficiency in the final third is likely to be the deciding factor. Expect a competitive match where home-field advantage provides the edge.
Max probability 46.5% · Gap 18.0%p
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Compared across 24 bookmakers.
Recorded · 2026-09-24 23:06
Werder Bremen · 2025/2026 · 15th · 8W 8D 18L (GD -23)
Augsburg · 2025/2026 · 9th · 12W 7D 15L (GD -16)
Records as of this match, not current form.
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
3
Draws
2
Away Wins
5
Recent matches
Last meeting: 2026-05-02 (1-3)
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Sharp decline
Strong upward trend
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
Home/Away records
Recent
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Overall
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1
At Home
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1
Away
Overall
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 2
At Home
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1
Away
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1
Rank and record by season
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Bundesliga | #15 | 8W 8D 18L | -23 GD | 1.09 / 1.76 |
| 2024/2025 | Bundesliga | #8 | 14W 9D 11L | -3 GD | 1.59 / 1.68 |
| 2023/2024 | Bundesliga | #9 | 11W 9D 14L | -6 GD | 1.41 / 1.59 |
| 2022/2023 | Bundesliga | #13 | 10W 6D 18L | 36 pts -13 GD | 1.5 / 1.88 |
| 2021/2022 | Germany 2. Bundesliga | #2 | 18W 9D 7L | 63 pts +22 GD | 1.91 / 1.26 |
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Bundesliga | #9 | 12W 7D 15L | -16 GD | 1.32 / 1.79 |
| 2024/2025 | Bundesliga | #12 | 11W 10D 13L | -16 GD | 1.03 / 1.5 |
| 2023/2024 | Bundesliga | #11 | 10W 9D 15L | -10 GD | 1.47 / 1.76 |
| 2022/2023 | Bundesliga | #15 | 9W 7D 18L | 34 pts -21 GD | 1.24 / 1.85 |
| 2021/2022 | Bundesliga | #14 | 10W 8D 16L | 38 pts -17 GD | 1.15 / 1.65 |
Registered players with season stats
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 11 Juseutin Gideon (26) | 26 | 5 | 1 |
| FW | 7 Samuel Mbangula (22) | 21 | 3 | - |
| FW | 9 Keke Topp (22) | 20 | 1 | 4 |
| FW | 23 Aijak Syumiteu (27) | 16 | 1 | 2 |
| FW | 44 Victor Boniface (27) Knee injury | 11 | 0 | 1 |
| FW | 19 Jovan Milosevic (56) Back injury | 8 | 3 | 1 |
| MF | 20 Romano Syumideu (26) | 27 | 2 | 4 |
| MF | 17 Mareuko Geurul (28) | 27 | 3 | 4 |
| MF | 6 Jenseu Seuteiji (30) | 24 | 7 | 5 |
| MF | 14 Senneu Rinnen (27) Muscle injury | 24 | 0 | 4 |
| MF | 18 Cameron Puertas Castro (28) | 22 | 0 | 4 |
| MF | 10 Reonareudo Bitenkureuteu (33) | 13 | 0 | 3 |
| MF | 5 Amoseu Paipeo (28) Knee injury | 12 | 0 | 3 |
| MF | 2 Olribereu Deumong (26) | 9 | 1 | 2 |
| DF | 3 Seugawara Yukinari (26) | 25 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 32 Mareuko Peurideul (28) | 25 | 1 | 7 |
| DF | 4 Nikeulraseu Syutakeu (31) Injured | 12 | 0 | 8 2 |
| DF | 22 Julrian Malratini (25) Ankle injury | 11 | 0 | 3 |
| DF | 27 Pelrikseu Agu (27) | 9 | 0 | 1 |
| GK | 30 Mio Baekhauseu (22) | 25 | 0 | - |
| GK | 13 Kal Hain (24) Hand injury | 2 | 0 | - |
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 20 Alreksiseu Keulrodeu Moriseu (28) | 23 | 4 | 3 |
| FW | 27 Mariuseu Bolpeu (31) | 22 | 1 | 2 |
| FW | 38 Mikael Geuregorichi (32) | 11 | 3 | 2 |
| FW | 21 Rodrigo Hibeiru (21) | 7 | 2 | 1 |
| MF | 4 Hannoa Masengo (25) | 27 | 2 | 2 |
| MF | 32 Pabian Rideo (24) | 25 | 4 | 2 |
| MF | 8 Elbiseu Rekseubekai (29) | 24 | 2 | 4 |
| MF | 36 Mereuteu Komureu (21) | 23 | 2 | 1 |
| MF | 17 Keuriseutijan Yakichi (29) | 22 | 1 | 4 |
| MF | 30 Anton Kade (22) | 21 | 3 | 3 |
| MF | 11 Gareubi Iseumael | 5 | 0 | - |
| MF | 14 Yanikeu Kitel (26) Knee injury | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 19 Robin Pelhaueo (28) | 27 | 2 | 2 |
| DF | 31 Keben Syuroteobek (29) | 22 | 0 | 6 1 |
| DF | 13 Dimiteuriseu Jiannulriseu (30) | 21 | 2 | 7 |
| DF | 16 Sedeurik Jesigeo (28) | 20 | 0 | 5 |
| DF | 5 Matima Keuriseulrein (24) Muscle injury | 14 | 1 | 5 |
| DF | 34 Aseo Chabeseu Rareugura | 6 | 1 | - |
| DF | 3 Maejeu Pedeoseun (30) | 6 | 0 | - |
| DF | 6 Jepeuri Guwilriu (35) | 5 | 0 | 2 |
| GK | 1 Pin Damen (28) | 27 | 0 | 1 |
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Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing | Overseas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 2.3 | 2.33 |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.84 | 3.83 |
| Away | 2.5 | 2.79 | 2.89 |
Handicap (-1)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.85 | 4.3 |
| Draw | 4.1 | 4.16 |
| Away | 1.55 | 1.62 |
Handicap (-2)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.9 | 8.82 |
| Draw | 6.2 | 6.38 |
| Away | 1.16 | 1.22 |
Home
2.16
40.7%
Draw
3.65
24.1%
Away
2.5
35.2%
Home
3.85
Draw
4.1
Away
1.55
Home
7.9
Draw
6.2
Away
1.16
Home
3.85
22.6%
Draw
4.1
21.2%
Away
1.55
56.2%
Home
7.9
11.0%
Draw
6.2
14.0%
Away
1.16
75.0%
Over
1.91
Under
1.67
Over
1.91
46.6%
Under
1.67
53.4%
Odd
1.8
50.0%
Even
1.8
50.0%
Full game · Home handicap -2.0 · 09-19 (Sat) 22:30 KST · Korean domestic market. Purchase shares and historical samples describe this product.
| Type | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 7.90 | 6.20 | 1.16 |
| Initial | 8.09 | 5.99 | 1.23 |
| Opening | 7.90 | 6.20 | 1.16 |
| Overseas | 8.82↑ | 6.38↓ | 1.22↓ |
| Overseas − domestic | +0.92 | +0.18 | +0.06 |
| # | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7.90 | 6.20 | 1.16 |
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