The forecast. The market. The evidence.
Analysis recorded · Sep 12 14:20 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-24 23:06
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.


Analysis recorded · Sep 12 14:20 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-24 23:06
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
AI Predicted
Strasbourg Win
Prediction MissedCompare match records, season figures and the source dates.
Prediction
Strasbourg Win
Confidence
57%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Key Analysis Points
Strasbourg has consistent Ligue 1 experience and squad depth.
Paris FC is newly promoted and may struggle with the step up in quality.
Head-to-head history is limited, but Strasbourg’s top-flight form gives them an edge.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
2 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick. Confidence is limited — treat this match as uncertain.
Prediction: Strasbourg Win
Score: 1 - 2
Strasbourg's established presence in Ligue 1 and recent mid-table stability provide a clear advantage over Paris FC, who are adjusting to top-flight competition after promotion. While Paris FC's defensive organization and home form could make this competitive, Strasbourg's higher-quality roster and tactical experience under Patrick Vieira slightly tilt the balance in their favor. The likelihood of a close match is high, with Paris FC capable of scoring but Strasbourg better equipped to secure the win.
Prediction: Paris FC Win
Score: 2 - 1
Paris FC enters Ligue 1 as a freshly promoted side with momentum from a dominant Ligue 2 campaign (55 GF, 19 wins). Their defensive solidity (14 clean sheets) and strong home record (11W-5D-3L) provide a foundation for early-season success. Strasbourg, conversely, displayed mid-table inconsistency last season with a concerning goal differential (-5) and weak away performances. The tactical contrast—Paris FC's compact 4-2-3-1 pressing versus Strasbourg's possession-based approach—favors the newly promoted side's structured defensive setup at home. While Strasbourg has established Ligue 1 experience and Alexander Djiku's leadership, Habib Diallo's goal-scoring inconsistency and the team's away record (4W-6D-7L) suggest vulnerability. Historical head-to-head data shows competitive fixtures with Paris FC winning 2 of 5 recent meetings. The match setup—early September, Strasbourg away from home, Paris FC at home with promotional confidence—creates favorable conditions for a Paris FC victory.
Prediction: Strasbourg Win
Score: 1 - 2
Strasbourg enters this fixture as the more established Ligue 1 side, benefiting from several seasons of top-flight stability and the financial backing of the BlueCo consortium. Their tactical evolution emphasizes possession, which may overwhelm a Paris FC side that historically relies on a low block and counter-attacking transitions. While Paris FC showed remarkable defensive discipline during their promotion campaign, the step up in quality often exposes gaps in concentration. Paris FC playing at home will look to keep things compact and frustrate the visitors early on. However, Strasbourg's superior individual quality in the final third should be the deciding factor. Paris FC's best chance lies in a set-piece or a quick break, but Strasbourg's experience in managing top-flight pressure gives them the edge. Expect a competitive but narrow victory for the visitors as they look to secure early-season points against a newly promoted rival.
Max probability 45.0% · Gap 15.0%p
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Recorded · 2026-09-24 23:06
Paris FC · 2025/2026 · 11th · 11W 11D 12L (GD -3)
Strasbourg · 2025/2026 · 8th · 15W 8D 11L (GD +11)
Records as of this match, not current form.
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
2
Home Wins
0
Draws
1
Away Wins
1
Recent matches
Last meeting: 2026-03-15 (0-0)
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Strong upward trend
Slight improvement
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
Home/Away records
Recent
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Overall
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 3
At Home
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1
Away
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 2
Overall
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 2
At Home
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1
Away
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1
Rank and record by season
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Ligue 1 | #11 | 11W 11D 12L | -3 GD | 1.38 / 1.47 |
| 2024/2025 | Ligue 2 | #2 | 21W 6D 7L | +22 GD | 1.62 / 0.97 |
| 2023/2024 | Ligue 2 | #5 | 16W 11D 11L | +7 GD | 1.29 / 1.11 |
| 2022/2023 | Ligue 2 | #7 | 15W 10D 13L | 55 pts +2 GD | 1.18 / 1.13 |
| 2021/2022 | Ligue 2 | #4 | 20W 10D 8L | 70 pts +19 GD | 1.42 / 0.92 |
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Ligue 1 | #8 | 15W 8D 11L | +11 GD | 1.71 / 1.38 |
| 2024/2025 | Ligue 1 | #7 | 16W 9D 9L | +12 GD | 1.65 / 1.29 |
| 2023/2024 | Ligue 1 | #13 | 10W 9D 15L | -12 GD | 1.12 / 1.47 |
| 2022/2023 | Ligue 1 | #15 | 9W 13D 16L | 40 pts -8 GD | 1.34 / 1.55 |
| 2021/2022 | Ligue 1 | #6 | 17W 12D 9L | 63 pts +17 GD | 1.58 / 1.13 |
Registered players with season stats
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 11 Keuraso Jangpilrip | 25 | 2 | - |
| FW | 27 Mose Saimeon (31) | 24 | 3 | 1 |
| FW | 9 Wilrem Jwibelseu (25) | 18 | 3 | - |
| FW | 7 Alrimani Goi (30) | 18 | 2 | - |
| FW | 31 Samireu Chereugi (27) Injured | 12 | 1 | 1 |
| FW | 13 Matioe Kaparo (29) | 9 | 0 | - |
| FW | 24 Ruka Koleosho (22) | 9 | 1 | - |
| FW | 36 Siro Immobilre (36) | 7 | 1 | 1 |
| FW | 29 Piereu Ibeu Hamel (32) Calf injury | 2 | 0 | - |
| MF | 10 Ilran Kebal (28) Injured | 23 | 8 | 5 |
| MF | 17 Adama Camara (30) | 23 | 1 | 6 |
| MF | 21 Maksim Ropejeu (29) | 20 | 0 | 9 |
| MF | 93 Nanitamo Ikone (28) | 17 | 1 | 1 |
| MF | 33 Piereu Riseu Melro (33) | 17 | 1 | 4 |
| MF | 28 Tibolteu De Seumet (28) | 16 | 0 | 6 2 |
| MF | 18 Nisya Munesi (30) | 10 | 3 | - |
| DF | 5 Mamadu Eumbou (26) | 26 | 0 | 3 |
| DF | 6 Otabio (22) | 21 | 0 | 6 1 |
| DF | 19 Nhoa Sangui (2026) | 20 | 0 | - |
| DF | 4 Binsenteu Mareucheti (29) Injured | 19 | 2 | 1 |
| DF | 14 Hamari Teuraore (34) Knee injury | 11 | 0 | 3 |
| DF | 15 Timosi Korojikeujakeu (35) | 11 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 42 Kopolra Diego | 6 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 20 Julriang Ropejeu (34) | 5 | 0 | - |
| GK | 35 Kebin Teurapeu (36) | 16 | 0 | 2 |
| GK | 16 Eunkambadio Obedeu | 11 | 0 | - |
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 9 Robereuto Panichelli (24) | 27 | 16 | 3 |
| FW | 19 Hulrio Enchiso (22) | 20 | 1 | 2 |
| FW | 27 Samuel Amo-Ameyaw (20) | 20 | 1 | 2 |
| FW | 11 Sebastian Nanasi (24) | 13 | 3 | - |
| FW | 10 Emeha Emanuel Leg injury | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| FW | 15 Dabideu Dateuro Popana (24) | 4 | 0 | - |
| MF | 29 Samir El Mourabet (21) | 27 | 0 | 4 |
| MF | 7 Diego Moreira (22) Ankle injury | 23 | 3 | 4 |
| MF | 42 Guemissongui Ouattara (56) Back injury | 23 | 2 | 2 |
| MF | 20 Martial Godo (56) | 22 | 7 | 2 |
| MF | 17 Mathis Amougou (2026) | 9 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 83 Rapael Luis (21) | 8 | 0 | - |
| MF | 80 Gessime Yassine (2026) | 7 | 0 | - |
| MF | 8 Maximilano Apdulrahi (22) | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| DF | 32 Valentin Bareuko (22) | 24 | 1 | 5 1 |
| DF | 6 Iseumael Dukure (23) | 20 | 0 | 3 2 |
| DF | 22 Guela Doue (24) | 20 | 2 | 3 |
| DF | 2 Andrew Omobamidele (24) | 19 | 0 | 4 |
| DF | 3 Ben Chilwel (30) Muscle injury | 19 | 0 | 4 |
| DF | 24 Lucas Hogsberg (20) | 17 | 0 | 3 1 |
| DF | 18 Junior Mwanga (23) Arm injury | 3 | 0 | - |
| DF | 5 Aron Anselmino (56) Muscle injury | 2 | 0 | - |
| GK | 39 Make Penders (21) | 26 | 0 | 3 |
| GK | 1 Kal-yohan Yonson (36) | 1 | 0 | - |
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Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing | Overseas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 2.01 | 1.82 |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.66 | 3.86 |
| Away | 3.65 | 3.57 | 4.37 |
Handicap (-1)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.0 | 3.11 |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.56 |
| Away | 1.89 | 1.98 |
Home
1.72
46.3%
Draw
3.4
25.6%
Away
3.65
28.1%
Home
3.0
Draw
3.5
Away
1.89
Home
3.4
25.6%
Draw
3.6
24.2%
Away
1.73
50.3%
Over
1.48
Under
2.17
Over
1.52
57.9%
Under
2.09
42.1%
Odd
1.8
50.0%
Even
1.8
50.0%
Full game · Match result · 09-20 (Sun) 00:15 KST · Korean domestic market. Purchase shares and historical samples describe this product.
| Type | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 1.72↓ | 3.40 | 3.65↑ |
| Initial | 1.88 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| Opening | 1.88 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| Overseas | 1.82↓ | 3.86↑ | 4.37↑ |
| Overseas − domestic | +0.10 | +0.46 | +0.72 |
| # | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.88 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| 2 | 1.72 ↓ | 3.40 | 3.65 ↑ |
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