The forecast. The market. The evidence.
Analysis recorded · Sep 13 00:10 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-24 23:06
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.


Analysis recorded · Sep 13 00:10 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-24 23:06
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
AI Predicted
Lazio Win
Prediction Correct!Compare match records, season figures and the source dates.
Prediction
Lazio Win
Confidence
70%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Key Analysis Points
Lazio finished 7th in Serie A with strong late-season form and a stable squad.
Venezia are newly promoted and, despite strong Serie B form, may struggle to adapt immediately to Serie A pace and quality.
Lazio dominated the most recent head-to-head meetings and have clear attacking and defensive advantages.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Prediction: Lazio Win
Score: 1 - 2
Given Lazio's superior squad depth, experience at the top level, and recent head-to-head dominance, they are clear favorites. Venezia's solid defense and home advantage could make it competitive, but the jump in quality from Serie B to Serie A is substantial. The analysis is medium strength due to lack of 2026-specific data; however, the clear trends up to June 2024 suggest Lazio are well positioned to win, likely by a narrow margin.
Prediction: Lazio Win
Score: 1 - 2
Lazio are clear favorites in this fixture given their established Serie A pedigree, superior attacking personnel, and dominance in recent head-to-head encounters. Venezia's impressive promotion campaign showcased defensive discipline (0.9 GA/game in Serie B) and resilience, but stepping up to Serie A represents a significant leap. Lazio's experienced squad, led by captain Ciro Immobile and creative playmaker Luis Alberto, will likely overwhelm a Venezia side adjusting to top-flight football. Coach Igor Tudor's tactical improvements to Lazio's defensive organization, combined with their late-season form (4 wins in 5 games), suggest they can control this match. While Venezia may keep things competitive and potentially score (as promoted teams often find gaps on the counter), Lazio's quality should prevail. A 2-1 away victory represents the most likely outcome, balancing Lazio's dominance with Venezia's defensive capabilities.
Prediction: Lazio Win
Score: 0 - 2
Lazio enters this fixture as the clear favorite, boasting a significantly more experienced squad and a history of dominance in head-to-head matchups against Venezia. Based on form trends leading into the 2024-25 cycle, Lazio has shown improved defensive solidity and clinical efficiency under structured management, which is likely to overwhelm a Venezia side still adjusting to the technical demands of Serie A. While Venezia's home atmosphere at the Pier Luigi Penzo can be intimidating, their offensive output will struggle against Lazio's organized backline. Historically, Lazio has won recent encounters with ease, including a 3-1 victory in their last trip to Venice. Expect Lazio to control possession and exploit transitions, while Venezia focuses on a deep block to minimize damage. The gap in individual quality across the pitch, particularly in creative roles, should prove decisive in breaking down the hosts' resistance.
Max probability 57.5% · Gap 34.0%p
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Compared across 24 bookmakers.
Recorded · 2026-09-24 23:06
Venezia · 2025/2026 · 1st · 24W 10D 4L (GD +46)
Lazio · 2025/2026 · 9th · 14W 12D 12L (GD +1)
Records as of this match, not current form.
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
4
Home Wins
0
Draws
1
Away Wins
3
Recent matches
Last meeting: 2025-02-22 (0-0)
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Sharp decline
Sharp decline
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
Home/Away records
Recent
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Overall
At Home
Away
Overall
Best: Win 3 · Unbeaten 4
At Home
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 2
Away
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 2
Rank and record by season
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Serie B | #1 | 24W 10D 4L | +46 GD | 2.03 / 0.82 |
| 2024/2025 | Serie A | #19 | 5W 14D 19L | -24 GD | 0.84 / 1.47 |
| 2023/2024 | Serie B | #3 | 21W 7D 10L | +23 GD | 1.82 / 1.21 |
| 2022/2023 | Serie B | #8 | 13W 10D 15L | 49 pts +1 GD | 1.34 / 1.32 |
| 2021/2022 | Serie A | #20 | 6W 9D 23L | 27 pts -35 GD | 0.89 / 1.82 |
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Serie A | #9 | 14W 12D 12L | +1 GD | 1.08 / 1.05 |
| 2024/2025 | Serie A | #7 | 18W 11D 9L | +12 GD | 1.61 / 1.29 |
| 2023/2024 | Serie A | #7 | 18W 7D 13L | +10 GD | 1.29 / 1.03 |
| 2022/2023 | Serie A | #2 | 22W 8D 8L | 74 pts +30 GD | 1.58 / 0.79 |
| 2021/2022 | Serie A | #5 | 18W 10D 10L | 64 pts +19 GD | 2.03 / 1.53 |
Registered players with season stats
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 80 Antonio Manuel Casas Marin (26) | 20 | 3 | 2 |
| FW | 19 Biyareuki Syutin Biyareukason (26) Inactive | 14 | 1 | - |
| FW | 29 Saja Robereubaheu (28) | 9 | 1 | - |
| MF | 6 Jianruka Busio (24) | 31 | 7 | 6 |
| MF | 18 Angtuan Haino (24) | 31 | 5 | 3 |
| MF | 71 Kike (29) | 29 | 3 | 7 |
| MF | 10 Yeboa Jon Injured | 28 | 9 | 2 1 |
| MF | 24 Nunjio Lella (26) | 16 | 0 | - |
| MF | 4 Bareutol Peuranichi (26) | 15 | 0 | 2 |
| MF | 32 Alpeuredo Dunkan (33) Inactive | 15 | 1 | 1 1 |
| MF | 21 Kompanyong Matia | 13 | 1 | 2 |
| MF | 37 Emil Bohinen (27) | 10 | 0 | - |
| MF | 99 Alresandeuro Pietrelli (23) | 9 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 16 Maikeul Benturi (27) | 8 | 0 | 2 |
| MF | 48 Amedeu Sidibe (24) | 4 | 0 | - |
| MF | 11 Mareuko Pareuji (22) | 2 | 0 | - |
| DF | 3 Joel Schingtienne (24) | 30 | 1 | 2 1 |
| DF | 20 Richie Sagrado (22) | 25 | 0 | - |
| DF | 30 Maikeul Seuboboda (28) | 23 | 3 | 6 |
| DF | 33 Seubereuko Marin | 22 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 5 Rideugesiano Hapeuseu (33) | 20 | 2 | 5 |
| DF | 2 Seideu Korakeu (25) | 16 | 1 | 1 |
| GK | 1 Seutankobichi Pilrip | 32 | 0 | - |
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 18 Guseutabeu Isaksen (25) | 24 | 4 | - |
| FW | 22 Matteo Cancellieri | 23 | 3 | 4 |
| FW | 14 Tijjani Noslin | 21 | 2 | 2 1 |
| FW | 19 Boulaye Dia (30) | 19 | 1 | - |
| FW | 27 Daniel Maldini (25) | 7 | 1 | - |
| FW | 20 Petareu Rateukopeu (23) | 7 | 0 | - |
| MF | 77 Aedeom Marusikeu (34) | 28 | 1 | 1 1 |
| MF | 32 Danilro Kataldi (32) Injured | 25 | 3 | 5 |
| MF | 10 Mattia Zaccagni (31) Thigh injury | 23 | 3 | 6 1 |
| MF | 9 Pedeuro (39) | 22 | 3 | 3 |
| MF | 29 Manuel Lazzari (33) | 16 | 0 | 2 |
| MF | 7 Pisayo Delre-basiru (25) | 16 | 0 | - |
| MF | 26 Toma Beijik (30) Injured | 16 | 1 | 1 |
| MF | 21 Reda Belahyane (22) | 12 | 0 | 1 1 |
| MF | 24 Keneseu Teilreo (24) | 11 | 3 | 3 |
| MF | 6 Nicolò Rovella (25) Injured | 8 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 34 Mario Gilra (26) Injured | 27 | 0 | 4 1 |
| DF | 13 Alessio Romagnoli (31) | 25 | 0 | 5 |
| DF | 3 Ruka Pelregeurini (27) | 21 | 0 | 6 |
| DF | 25 Olribeo Nielsen (23) | 18 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 17 Nuno Tavares (26) | 17 | 0 | 3 |
| DF | 4 Pateurikeu Gabaron (33) | 9 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 23 Elseideu Hisai (32) | 4 | 0 | - |
| GK | 94 Iban Peurobedel (32) Shoulder injury | 27 | 0 | 1 |
| GK | 40 Edoardo Motta (21) | 3 | 0 | 1 |
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Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing | Overseas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.3 | 3.75 | 3.95 |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.59 | 3.55 |
| Away | 1.84 | 1.97 | 1.98 |
Handicap (1)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 1.86 |
| Draw | 3.45 | 3.6 |
| Away | 3.45 | 3.62 |
Home
3.3
26.4%
Draw
3.3
26.4%
Away
1.84
47.3%
Home
1.76
Draw
3.45
Away
3.45
Home
1.76
49.5%
Draw
3.45
25.2%
Away
3.45
25.2%
Over
1.66
Under
1.87
Over
1.66
53.0%
Under
1.87
47.0%
Odd
1.81
49.7%
Even
1.79
50.3%
Full game · Over/Under 2.5 · 09-20 (Sun) 03:45 KST · Korean domestic market. Purchase shares and historical samples describe this product.
| Type | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| Current | 1.87 | 1.66 |
| Initial | 1.87 | 1.66 |
| Opening | 1.87 | 1.66 |
| Overseas | 2.12↑ | 1.76↓ |
| Overseas − domestic | +0.25 | +0.10 |
| # | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.87 | 1.66 |
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