The forecast. The market. The evidence.
Analysis recorded · Sep 12 23:40 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-24 23:06
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.


Analysis recorded · Sep 12 23:40 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-24 23:06
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
AI Predicted
Lorient Win
Prediction MissedCompare match records, season figures and the source dates.
Prediction
Lorient Win
Confidence
57%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Key Analysis Points
Lorient have a stronger historical record against Le Mans and are generally considered a top-tier Ligue 2 side.
Le Mans typically finish mid-table and have struggled to consistently beat Lorient in recent matchups.
Lorient’s squad depth and attacking style give them an edge, especially if key players remain available.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
2 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Prediction: Lorient Win
Score: 1 - 2
Given the lack of real-time data for 2026, this prediction is based on historical club performance and trends up to 2024. Lorient have typically been the stronger side in Ligue 2, often pushing for promotion, while Le Mans are more mid-table. Recent head-to-heads favor Lorient, and their attacking approach has yielded better results. Le Mans can be competitive at home, but Lorient’s overall quality and depth likely give them the edge.
Prediction: Draw
Score: 1 - 1
Historical analysis shows Lorient generally outperform Le Mans in head-to-head encounters and league positioning, but without access to 2026 form, standings, injuries, and squad composition, any prediction is speculative. Based on historical patterns, Lorient are slight favorites, but Le Mans have shown competitive capability in recent seasons. The draw prediction reflects the lack of concrete data and the competitive nature of Ligue 2. For an accurate assessment, current 2026 form, injury reports, and recent performance must be consulted closer to matchday.
Prediction: Lorient Win
Score: 1 - 2
Lorient enters this fixture as the favorite, maintaining their reputation as a consistent promotion contender. Historically, 'Les Merlus' have showcased a more sophisticated tactical approach and higher technical quality compared to Le Mans. Their ability to dominate possession and transition quickly suggests they will control the tempo of the game, even as the visiting side. Le Mans, while resilient at home, often struggles against teams with high-pressing systems. Their defensive structure tends to falter under sustained pressure, which Lorient is well-equipped to provide. While Le Mans might find success through set-pieces or counter-attacks, Lorient's defensive organization is likely robust enough to limit high-quality chances. Ultimately, the disparity in individual talent and tactical maturity favors an away win. Expect a competitive match, but Lorient’s clinical finishing should be the deciding factor in securing all three points.
Max probability 48.5% · Gap 21.0%p
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Compared across 24 bookmakers.
Recorded · 2026-09-24 23:06
Le Mans · 2025/2026 · 2nd · 16W 14D 4L (GD +19)
Lorient · 2025/2026 · 9th · 11W 12D 11L (GD -3)
Records as of this match, not current form.
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
3
Home Wins
1
Draws
0
Away Wins
2
Recent matches
Last meeting: 2020-02-05 (4-2)
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Strong upward trend
Sharp decline
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
Home/Away records
Recent
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Overall
Best: Unbeaten 1
At Home
Best: Unbeaten 1
Away
Best: Unbeaten 1
Overall
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 2
At Home
Best: Unbeaten 1
Away
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 2
Rank and record by season
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Ligue 2 | #2 | 16W 14D 4L | +19 GD | 1.47 / 0.91 |
| 2019/2020 | Ligue 2 | #19 | 7W 5D 16L | 26 pts -15 GD | 1.07 / 1.61 |
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Ligue 1 | #9 | 11W 12D 11L | -3 GD | 1.41 / 1.5 |
| 2024/2025 | Ligue 2 | #1 | 22W 5D 7L | +37 GD | 2.0 / 0.91 |
| 2023/2024 | Ligue 1 | #17 | 7W 8D 19L | -23 GD | 1.26 / 1.94 |
| 2022/2023 | Ligue 1 | #10 | 15W 10D 13L | 55 pts -1 GD | 1.37 / 1.39 |
| 2021/2022 | Ligue 1 | #16 | 8W 12D 18L | 36 pts -28 GD | 0.92 / 1.66 |
Registered players with season stats
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 25 Dame Guye (31) | 28 | 7 | 2 |
| FW | 9 Angtuan Rabilrareu (31) Injured | 24 | 8 | 2 |
| FW | 24 Milran Robin (27) | 23 | 0 | 3 |
| FW | 23 Taylor Luvambo (27) | 9 | 0 | 1 |
| FW | 10 Bereukeuruse Jin Knee injury | 9 | 1 | 1 |
| FW | 9 Baptiseuteu Giyom (31) | 6 | 0 | - |
| MF | 28 Erwan Colas (29) | 23 | 4 | 2 |
| MF | 27 Martin Rossignol (56) | 23 | 1 | 6 |
| MF | 18 Rukaseu Buadeseu (29) | 21 | 3 | 3 |
| MF | 12 Ribelrin Aenseoni | 16 | 1 | 4 |
| DF | 8 Alreksandeureu Rorai (29) | 26 | 0 | 13 |
| DF | 22 Rukaseu Calodat (24) | 26 | 2 | 3 |
| DF | 6 Edeuwin Quarshie (31) Inactive | 26 | 2 | 3 |
| DF | 17 Saemyueol Yohou (35) | 26 | 3 | 9 |
| DF | 21 Teo Eyoum (24) Injured | 23 | 1 | 1 |
| DF | 5 Harold Voyer (29) | 21 | 1 | 4 1 |
| DF | 26 Mathis Hamdi (23) | 4 | 0 | 1 1 |
| GK | 98 Nikolraseu Kochikeu (28) | 27 | 0 | 5 |
| GK | 1 Haetputeu Iwan | 1 | 0 | - |
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 28 Sambusumano (25) | 26 | 4 | 2 |
| FW | 10 Pablo Pagis (24) | 21 | 8 | 1 |
| FW | 9 Muhammad Bamba (25) | 18 | 1 | 3 |
| FW | 12 Amadu Dieng (26) | 15 | 7 | 3 |
| MF | 29 Karim Dermane (23) | 25 | 1 | 3 |
| MF | 17 Jean-Victor Makengo (28) | 24 | 3 | 1 |
| MF | 62 Arthur Avom (2026) | 24 | 1 | 3 |
| MF | 6 Rorang Abereugel (33) Ankle injury | 23 | 1 | 6 |
| MF | 8 Noah Cadiou (28) | 21 | 1 | 1 |
| MF | 5 Maiteu Apdul Bamo | 20 | 0 | 4 |
| MF | 15 Tosin Aiyegun (28) | 20 | 4 | 1 |
| MF | 77 Panos Katseris (25) | 9 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 11 Theo Le Bris (24) | 26 | 2 | - |
| DF | 3 Montassar Talbi (28) | 25 | 0 | 3 |
| DF | 44 Dareurain Jidan Gangamei (26) | 20 | 0 | 3 1 |
| DF | 2 Igoreu Silba (30) Injured | 14 | 1 | 1 |
| DF | 25 Faye Abdoulaye (22) | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| DF | 32 Nathaniel Adjei (24) | 9 | 0 | - |
| GK | 38 Ibon Eumbogo (32) | 24 | 0 | - |
| GK | 21 Bingourou Kamara (30) | 3 | 0 | - |
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Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing | Overseas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.45 | 2.67 | 2.96 |
| Draw | 3.2 | 3.4 | 3.21 |
| Away | 2.33 | 2.59 | 2.56 |
Handicap (1)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.47 | 1.54 |
| Draw | 3.9 | 4.19 |
| Away | 4.7 | 5.23 |
Home
2.45
35.5%
Draw
3.2
27.2%
Away
2.33
37.3%
Home
1.47
Draw
3.9
Away
4.7
Home
1.47
59.2%
Draw
3.9
22.3%
Away
4.7
18.5%
Over
1.65
Under
1.89
Over
1.65
53.4%
Under
1.89
46.6%
Odd
1.81
49.7%
Even
1.79
50.3%
Full game · Odd/Even · 09-20 (Sun) 03:45 KST · Korean domestic market. Purchase shares and historical samples describe this product.
| Type | Odd | Even |
|---|---|---|
| Current | 1.81 | 1.79 |
| Initial | 1.81 | 1.79 |
| Opening | 1.81 | 1.79 |
| Overseas | 2.96↑ | 2.56↑ |
| Overseas − domestic | +1.15 | +0.77 |
| # | Odd | Even |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.81 | 1.79 |
Recorded purchase snapshot. Amount and payout index retain source values; units are not supplied.
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