Analysis recorded · Sep 14 22:10 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-24 23:06
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
AI Predicted
Lyon Win
Prediction Correct!Compare match records, season figures and the source dates.
Prediction
Lyon Win
Confidence
69%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
2 - 1
Key Analysis Points
Lyon finished the 2023-24 season in much stronger form than Rennes, winning their last five matches.
Lyon have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, including two wins in 2023-24.
Both teams feature potent attacks, but Rennes have shown defensive frailties, especially away from home.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Prediction: Lyon Win
Score: 2 - 1
Rennes, while capable of scoring, struggled with consistency and defensive solidity, particularly on the road. Lyon's recent dominance in head-to-head matches further supports their edge. However, this analysis is limited by the distance to the 2026 fixture and potential squad changes, so confidence is moderate.
Prediction: Lyon Win
Score: 2 - 1
Lyon enters this fixture with significant advantages. With Alexandre Lacazette leading the charge and Rayan Cherki providing creativity, Lyon's attacking prowess—especially at home—presents a formidable challenge. Historically, Lyon dominate the rivalry with 21 career league victories against Rennes' 10, and have won three of their last four encounters. Rennes, conversely, struggled away from home in 2023-24 (5W-4D-8L), suggesting vulnerability on the road. While Rennes scored freely this season (53 goals), their leaky defense (46 conceded) and mixed form create exploitable gaps. The pattern of goal-heavy encounters between these sides supports a Lyon victory with multiple goals. Lyon's home advantage, recent form, and tactical superiority make them clear favorites, though Rennes' attacking potential keeps this competitive.
Prediction: Lyon Win
Score: 2 - 1
Their tactical discipline, combined with the clinical finishing of veterans like Lacazette, provides a stable foundation for home fixtures. They have shown a particular knack for winning high-pressure, close-margin games, which is a critical psychological advantage in Ligue 1. Rennes, while possessing a potent attack led by Bourigeaud, remains defensively inconsistent. Their tendency to concede multiple goals against top-half opposition makes it difficult for them to secure points away from home against tactically organized sides. Given the historical trend of high-scoring matches between these two, Lyon's superior defensive structure and recent head-to-head dominance make them the favorites. Expect a competitive match where Lyon's home advantage and momentum ultimately tip the scales.
Max probability 50.0% · Gap 23.5%p
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Compared across 24 bookmakers.
Recorded · 2026-09-24 23:06
Lyon · 2025/2026 · 4th · 18W 6D 10L (GD +13)
Rennes · 2025/2026 · 6th · 17W 8D 9L (GD +9)
Records as of this match, not current form.
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
4
Draws
0
Away Wins
6
Recent matches
Last meeting: 2026-05-04 (4-2)
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Sharp decline
Strong upward trend
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
Home/Away records
Recent
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Overall
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 3
At Home
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 2
Away
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1
Overall
Best: Win 3 · Unbeaten 4
At Home
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 3
Away
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1
Rank and record by season
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Ligue 1 | #4 | 18W 6D 10L | +13 GD | 1.56 / 1.18 |
| 2024/2025 | Ligue 1 | #6 | 17W 6D 11L | +19 GD | 1.91 / 1.35 |
| 2023/2024 | Ligue 1 | #6 | 16W 5D 13L | -6 GD | 1.44 / 1.62 |
| 2022/2023 | Ligue 1 | #7 | 18W 8D 12L | 62 pts +18 GD | 1.71 / 1.24 |
| 2021/2022 | Ligue 1 | #8 | 17W 11D 10L | 61 pts +15 GD | 1.74 / 1.34 |
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Ligue 1 | #6 | 17W 8D 9L | +9 GD | 1.74 / 1.47 |
| 2024/2025 | Ligue 1 | #12 | 13W 2D 19L | +1 GD | 1.5 / 1.47 |
| 2023/2024 | Ligue 1 | #10 | 12W 10D 12L | +7 GD | 1.56 / 1.35 |
| 2022/2023 | Ligue 1 | #4 | 21W 5D 12L | 68 pts +30 GD | 1.82 / 1.03 |
| 2021/2022 | Ligue 1 | #4 | 20W 6D 12L | 66 pts +42 GD | 2.16 / 1.05 |
Registered players with season stats
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 17 Afonso Daniel (56) | 20 | 2 | 2 |
| FW | 9 Endrick (20) | 9 | 3 | 2 1 |
| MF | 22 Keulrinteon Mukoni Mata Pedeuro Rurenko (34) | 25 | 0 | 5 |
| MF | 6 Tanner Tessmann (25) | 25 | 1 | 2 |
| MF | 8 Corentin Tolisso (32) | 24 | 7 | 5 |
| MF | 23 Tyler Morton (24) | 23 | 2 | 5 1 |
| MF | 10 Pabel Seolkeu (26) | 22 | 11 | 2 |
| MF | 7 Aedeom Karabek (23) | 19 | 1 | 3 |
| MF | 11 Malick Fofana (21) | 10 | 2 | 1 |
| MF | 99 Noah Nartey (21) | 8 | 2 | - |
| MF | 18 Rasideu Gejal (34) | 8 | 0 | - |
| MF | 77 Roman Yaremchukeu (31) | 5 | 0 | - |
| MF | 5 Orel Manggalra (28) | 5 | 0 | - |
| DF | 19 Moussa Niakhaté (30) | 25 | 0 | 3 |
| DF | 98 Tako Pol (29) Injured | 23 | 1 | 6 1 |
| DF | 3 Nicolás Tagliafico (34) | 19 | 0 | 6 2 |
| DF | 33 Hanseu Hateuboeo (32) | 13 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 21 Ruben Keulruibereu (25) Hamstring injury | 11 | 1 | 2 |
| GK | 1 Dominikeu Geuripeu (29) | 22 | 0 | 1 |
| GK | 40 Remi Dekang (30) | 5 | 0 | - |
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 26 Kuentin Meolrin (24) | 26 | 1 | 1 |
| FW | 9 Eseuteban Lepaul (26) | 25 | 13 | 2 |
| FW | 7 Beuril Embolro (29) | 24 | 6 | 3 |
| MF | 11 Musa Altamari (29) | 26 | 3 | 4 |
| MF | 45 Maheudi Kamara (28) | 25 | 3 | 4 1 |
| MF | 10 Rudobikeu Beulraseu (29) | 25 | 4 | - |
| MF | 21 Balrentang Rongjwi (32) | 25 | 1 | 4 |
| MF | 6 Djaoui Cisse (22) | 21 | 0 | 3 |
| MF | 95 Peujemiseubeop Peurangkouseuki (31) | 18 | 1 | 5 |
| MF | 17 Sebaseuchan Sujimanseuki (27) | 9 | 1 | - |
| MF | 70 Areuno Noreudin (28) | 7 | 1 | 1 |
| MF | 4 Geulren Kamara (31) | 3 | 0 | - |
| DF | 3 Rilrian Beuraejieo (27) | 22 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 24 Aenseoni Ruuteu (25) | 19 | 1 | 5 |
| DF | 97 Jeremy Jacquet (21) Shoulder injury | 19 | 0 | 6 1 |
| DF | 36 Alridu Seidu (26) | 15 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 18 Mahamadou Nagida (2026) | 12 | 0 | 2 |
| GK | 30 Beuraiseu Samba (32) | 26 | 0 | 3 |
| GK | 50 Mathys Silistrie (21) | 1 | 0 | - |
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Full game · Over/Under 3.5 · 09-20 (Sun) 03:45 KST · Korean domestic market. Purchase shares and historical samples describe this product.
| Type | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| Current | 1.50 | 2.13 |
| Initial | 1.50 | 2.13 |
| Opening | 1.50 | 2.13 |
| Overseas | 1.61↓ | 2.35↑ |
| Overseas − domestic | +0.11 | +0.22 |
| # | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.50 | 2.13 |
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