Analysis recorded · Sep 13 01:20 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-24 23:06
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
AI Predicted
DC United Win
Prediction MissedCompare match records, season figures and the source dates.
Prediction
DC United Win
Confidence
58%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
2 - 1
Key Analysis Points
DC United have a slightly better home record than Charlotte's away record.
Charlotte struggle on the road, winning just 1 of their last 10 away games as of June 2024.
Both teams are inconsistent, but DC United's attack led by Benteke gives them a narrow edge at home.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick. Confidence is limited — treat this match as uncertain.
Prediction: DC United Win
Score: 2 - 1
Based on available 2024 data, DC United and Charlotte are both inconsistent and defensively fragile, but DC's slightly better home performances and Charlotte's poor away form tip the balance. Head-to-head history is close, but DC United's attacking options at home, combined with Charlotte's lack of road results, make the home side slight favorites. Confidence is moderate due to potential roster and form changes over two years.
Prediction: DC United Win
Score: 2 - 1
This prediction is based on June 2024 data for a September 2026 fixture, creating inherent uncertainty. However, DC United's home record (3W-4D-4L) is superior to Charlotte's away form (1W-3D-6L), suggesting a slight edge for the hosts. Charlotte have won recent matchups but their away vulnerability is pronounced. Both teams struggle defensively (DC 1.63 GC/game, Charlotte 1.58), indicating a likely competitive, open match. DC United's marginally better offensive output (1.26 vs 1.05 goals/game) combined with home advantage gives them a modest edge, though Charlotte's recent head-to-head success (3W-2L-1D all-time) keeps this competitive.
Prediction: DC United Win
Score: 2 - 1
DC United holds a marginal edge primarily due to Charlotte's poor away form and the home-field advantage at Audi Field. The tactical battle will likely see DC United attempting to use high-intensity pressing to disrupt the defensive structure Dean Smith has implemented at Charlotte. Charlotte's reliance on Karol Swiderski and Enzo Copetti has yet to translate into consistent away results, often finding themselves stifled when playing outside their home stadium. DC United's defense is admittedly leaky, having failed to keep a clean sheet in their recent run, which suggests Charlotte will have opportunities. However, the aerial presence of Benteke and the creative spark from Mateusz Klich should provide enough volume for DC United to secure a narrow victory in a closely contested match.
Max probability 44.0% · Gap 14.5%p
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Recorded · 2026-09-24 23:06
DC United · 2025 · 15th · 5W 11D 18L (GD -36)
Charlotte · 2025 · 4th · 19W 2D 13L (GD +9)
Records as of this match, not current form.
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
9
Home Wins
2
Draws
1
Away Wins
6
Recent matches
Last meeting: 2026-08-23 (3-1)
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Slight decline
Strong upward trend
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
Home/Away records
Recent
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Overall
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 6
At Home
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 4
Away
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 6
Overall
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 6
At Home
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 6
Away
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 3
Rank and record by season
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Major League Soccer | #15 | 5W 11D 18L | -36 GD | 0.88 / 1.94 |
| 2024 | Major League Soccer | #10 | 10W 10D 14L | -18 GD | 1.53 / 2.06 |
| 2023 | Major League Soccer | #12 | 10W 10D 14L | -4 GD | 1.32 / 1.44 |
| 2022 | Major League Soccer | #14 | 7W 6D 21L | 27 pts -35 GD | 1.06 / 2.09 |
| 2021 | Major League Soccer | #8 | 14W 5D 15L | 47 pts +2 GD | 1.65 / 1.59 |
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Major League Soccer | #4 | 19W 2D 13L | +9 GD | 1.62 / 1.35 |
| 2024 | Major League Soccer | #5 | 14W 9D 11L | +9 GD | 1.35 / 1.09 |
| 2023 | Major League Soccer | #9 | 10W 13D 11L | -7 GD | 1.32 / 1.53 |
| 2022 | Major League Soccer | #9 | 13W 3D 18L | 42 pts -8 GD | 1.29 / 1.53 |
Registered players with season stats
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 7 Pegeulrou (24) | 5 | 0 | 2 |
| FW | 25 Jackson Hopkins (22) | 5 | 0 | 2 |
| FW | 9 Baribotai | 5 | 3 | - |
| FW | 11 Louis Munteanu Lower body injury | 3 | 0 | - |
| MF | 23 Brandon Servania (27) | 5 | 0 | - |
| MF | 4 Matti Peltola (24) | 5 | 1 | - |
| MF | 10 Gabeuriel Pirani (26) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 5 Silban Hepeuti (29) | 5 | 0 | - |
| MF | 30 Kaedeun Keulrakeu (23) | 3 | 0 | - |
| MF | 8 Jared Stroud (30) | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 3 Lucas Allen Bateulret (29) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 6 Keisuke Kurokawa (26) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 15 Gye Roulseu (28) | 5 | 0 | - |
| DF | 13 Syon Nilriseu (29) | 3 | 0 | - |
| GK | 1 Sean Johnson (37) | 5 | 0 | - |
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 10 Bilpeuriteu Jaha (34) | 5 | 1 | 4 |
| FW | 18 Kalderon Bareugaseu Keowin Andeureseu | 5 | 1 | - |
| FW | 11 Riel Abada (25) | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| FW | 7 Achi Gutwin (22) | 3 | 2 | - |
| MF | 16 Pep Biel (30) | 5 | 4 | - |
| MF | 8 Aesyulri Weseuteuudeu (36) | 5 | 0 | 2 |
| MF | 13 Brandt Bronico (31) | 4 | 0 | - |
| MF | 17 Ruka Deu Ra Tore (28) | 4 | 0 | - |
| MF | 28 Diani Jibeuril | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 4 Andrew Privett (26) | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 15 Haeri Topolro (31) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 3 Tim Rim (39) | 5 | 0 | - |
| DF | 14 Nadan Beon (34) | 5 | 0 | - |
| DF | 23 Deibideu Syunegeu (28) | 2 | 0 | - |
| GK | 1 Keuriseutijan Kalrina (34) | 5 | 0 | - |
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Full game · Over/Under 3.5 · 09-20 (Sun) 08:30 KST · Korean domestic market. Purchase shares and historical samples describe this product.
| Type | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| Current | 1.49 | 2.15 |
| Initial | 1.49 | 2.15 |
| Opening | 1.49 | 2.15 |
| Overseas | 1.52↑ | 2.49↑ |
| Overseas − domestic | +0.03 | +0.34 |
| # | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.49 | 2.15 |
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