The forecast. The market. The evidence.
Analysis recorded · Sep 13 03:50 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-24 23:06
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.


Analysis recorded · Sep 13 03:50 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-24 23:06
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
AI Predicted
Real Salt Lake Win
Prediction MissedCompare match records, season figures and the source dates.
Prediction
Real Salt Lake Win
Confidence
70%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
2 - 1
Key Analysis Points
Real Salt Lake is unbeaten at home and boasts the league's best goal difference.
Vancouver Whitecaps are disciplined defensively but less effective away against top teams.
Head-to-head history shows close matches, but RSL's recent form and attacking stats give them the edge.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick. Confidence is limited — treat this match as uncertain.
Prediction: Real Salt Lake Win
Score: 2 - 1
Based on recent history up to June 2024, Real Salt Lake's home dominance and offensive strength make them clear favorites. Vancouver is resilient and compact defensively, but their away record against elite teams is less convincing. While both teams are relatively healthy and have reliable key players, RSL's superior scoring and home advantage tilt the balance in their favor. Expect a competitive match with Vancouver likely to score, but RSL's attacking trio led by Chicho Arango should prove decisive.
Prediction: Real Salt Lake Win
Score: 2 - 1
Real Salt Lake enters this matchup as clear favorites based on multiple converging factors. As of June 2024, RSL sits atop the Western Conference with 33 points, an impressive +17 goal differential, and an unbeaten five-game stretch. Their home record is particularly dominant with a +13 goal differential at Rio Tinto Stadium. Cristian Arango's prolific scoring (among league leaders) will be crucial against Vancouver's defense. Vancouver Whitecaps, while solid and defensively disciplined (28 points, 3rd place), have shown vulnerability away from home, posting a 3W-3D-2L away record. The head-to-head history slightly favors RSL with 15 wins versus Vancouver's 10. However, Vancouver's recent unbeaten form (4 of last 5) and Sartini's tactically flexible approach prevent a higher confidence level. The prediction reflects RSL's superior home advantage, offensive firepower, and recent form dominance, while acknowledging Vancouver's defensive organization and counter-attacking threat.
Prediction: Real Salt Lake Win
Score: 2 - 1
Real Salt Lake enters this fixture as the favorite, primarily driven by their status as Western Conference leaders and an exceptional home record. With an offensive average of 1.88 goals per match, led by the clinical finishing of Cristian Arango, RSL possesses the firepower to break down a disciplined Vancouver defense. Their tactical shift to an aggressive 4-2-3-1 has allowed creative players like Diego Luna to exploit spaces, making them particularly dangerous at home. Vancouver, while sitting high in the standings, relies heavily on Ryan Gauld's creativity and quick transitions. Although they boast a solid defensive record, they have historically struggled to secure wins away against top-tier opponents like RSL. Expect a closely contested match where RSL's depth and home-field advantage eventually overwhelm the Whitecaps' counter-attacking strategy, likely resulting in a narrow victory for the hosts.
Max probability 54.0% · Gap 26.5%p
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Falling odds mean money moved onto that side.
Compared across 24 bookmakers.
Recorded · 2026-09-24 23:06
Real Salt Lake · 2025 · 9th · 12W 5D 17L (GD -11)
Vancouver Whitecaps · 2025 · 2nd · 18W 9D 7L (GD +28)
Records as of this match, not current form.
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
4
Draws
1
Away Wins
5
Recent matches
Last meeting: 2026-02-22 (1-0)
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Sharp decline
Sharp decline
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
Home/Away records
Recent
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Overall
Best: Win 3 · Unbeaten 6
At Home
Best: Win 4 · Unbeaten 4
Away
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 2
Overall
Best: Win 4 · Unbeaten 7
At Home
Best: Win 4 · Unbeaten 5
Away
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 4
Rank and record by season
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Major League Soccer | #9 | 12W 5D 17L | -11 GD | 1.12 / 1.44 |
| 2024 | Major League Soccer | #3 | 16W 11D 7L | +17 GD | 1.91 / 1.41 |
| 2023 | Major League Soccer | #5 | 14W 8D 12L | -2 GD | 1.41 / 1.47 |
| 2022 | Major League Soccer | #7 | 12W 11D 11L | 47 pts -2 GD | 1.26 / 1.32 |
| 2021 | Major League Soccer | #7 | 14W 6D 14L | 48 pts +1 GD | 1.62 / 1.59 |
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Major League Soccer | #2 | 18W 9D 7L | +28 GD | 1.94 / 1.12 |
| 2024 | Major League Soccer | #8 | 13W 8D 13L | +3 GD | 1.53 / 1.44 |
| 2023 | Major League Soccer | #6 | 12W 12D 10L | +7 GD | 1.62 / 1.41 |
| 2022 | Major League Soccer | #9 | 12W 7D 15L | 43 pts -17 GD | 1.18 / 1.68 |
| 2021 | Major League Soccer | #6 | 12W 13D 9L | 49 pts 0 GD | 1.32 / 1.32 |
Registered players with season stats
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 72 Zavier Gozo (2026) | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| FW | 9 Mogeon Girabogui (28) | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| FW | 19 Ariath Piol (22) Achilles injury | 2 | 1 | - |
| FW | 17 Biktoreu Olratunji (27) | 2 | 1 | - |
| MF | 92 Noel Caliskan (26) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 8 Huan Sanabeuria (26) | 4 | 0 | - |
| MF | 4 Rukaseu Ailpelteu Enggel (28) | 4 | 0 | - |
| MF | 23 Jaek Buseu (22) | 3 | 0 | - |
| MF | 27 Griffin Dillon (2026) | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 10 Diego Luna (23) | 2 | 0 | - |
| MF | 6 Seutein Seupiringseu (30) | 2 | 1 | - |
| MF | 7 Pabeulro Ruijeu (28) | 2 | 0 | - |
| DF | 26 Philip Quinton (27) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 15 Jeoseuten Geulraedeu (29) | 5 | 0 | - |
| DF | 11 Dominikeu Mareuchukeu (23) | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 29 Samjunkwa (32) | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 2 Diandeure Yedeulrin (33) Muscle injury | 1 | 0 | - |
| DF | 98 Alreksandeuroseu Kateuraniseu (28) | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| GK | 1 Hapael (36) | 5 | 0 | - |
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 13 Tomaseu Mwilreo (37) | 5 | 2 | - |
| FW | 24 Beuraieon Hwaiteu (30) | 5 | 5 | - |
| FW | 22 Jaekseun Ajiel | 5 | 1 | - |
| FW | 11 Emanwiel Sabi (29) | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| FW | 7 Chikeu Tidiane Sabalri (27) | 3 | 1 | - |
| FW | 26 Jean-Claude Eungando (27) | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 6 Ralpeu Peuriso-eunbonggeu (24) | 5 | 0 | - |
| MF | 16 Sebaseutian Beoholteo (25) | 5 | 2 | - |
| MF | 20 Adeurian Kubaseu (30) Muscle injury | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| MF | 8 Olribeo Rarajeu (25) | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 15 Baseutian Syonrau (32) | 1 | 0 | - |
| DF | 33 Teuriseutan Beulraekmon (30) | 4 | 1 | - |
| DF | 2 Matiaseu Raboreuda (27) | 4 | 1 | - |
| GK | 1 Dakaoka Yohei (30) | 5 | 0 | - |
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The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing | Overseas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.5 | 3.58 | 3.82 |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.79 | 4.0 |
| Away | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.84 |
Handicap (1)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 1.92 |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.8 |
| Away | 2.8 | 2.96 |
Home
3.5
27.6%
Draw
3.65
24.9%
Away
1.7
47.5%
Home
1.94
Draw
3.6
Away
2.8
Home
1.78
48.9%
Draw
3.65
23.9%
Away
3.2
27.2%
Over
2.17
Under
1.48
Over
2.17
40.5%
Under
1.48
59.5%
Odd
1.8
50.0%
Even
1.8
50.0%
Full game · Odd/Even · 09-20 (Sun) 10:30 KST · Korean domestic market. Purchase shares and historical samples describe this product.
| Type | Odd | Even |
|---|---|---|
| Current | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Initial | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Opening | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Overseas | 3.82↓ | 1.84↑ |
| Overseas − domestic | +2.02 | +0.04 |
| # | Odd | Even |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.80 | 1.80 |
Recorded purchase snapshot. Amount and payout index retain source values; units are not supplied.
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