The forecast. The market. The evidence.
Analysis recorded · Sep 13 07:10 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-24 23:06
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.


Analysis recorded · Sep 13 07:10 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-24 23:06
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
AI Predicted
Vissel Kobe Win
Prediction Correct!Compare match records, season figures and the source dates.
Prediction
Vissel Kobe Win
Confidence
73%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Key Analysis Points
Vissel Kobe sits at the top of the J-League with strong away form and the league's best defense.
Head-to-head history heavily favors Vissel Kobe, who are unbeaten in the last five meetings.
Gamba Osaka has struggled with consistency and scores fewer goals per game than their opponents.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Prediction: Vissel Kobe Win
Score: 1 - 2
Based on June 2024 data, Vissel Kobe is clearly the stronger side, leading the league with a potent attack and solid defense. Their recent form and superior head-to-head record against Gamba Osaka suggest they are well placed to secure another win, even away from home. Gamba Osaka's home advantage and improved defensive organization could keep the match competitive, but Kobe's consistency and quality in key positions give them the edge. Confidence is medium due to the data being over two years old for the 2026 fixture.
Prediction: Vissel Kobe Win
Score: 1 - 2
Vissel Kobe enters as heavy favorites despite playing away. Currently leading the J-League with 42 points from 18 matches, they demonstrate elite consistency with 13 wins and only 2 losses. Their attacking prowess (1.72 goals/game) combined with stingy defense (0.61 goals conceded/game, 9 clean sheets) creates a formidable profile. Gamba Osaka sits 6th with 29 points, suffering from inconsistency (2W-2L in last 5 matches) and defensive fragility (0.94 GA/game). The head-to-head record heavily favors Vissel Kobe: 5 wins in their last 10 meetings with Gamba Osaka managing only 1 win. While home advantage typically benefits Gamba Osaka, Vissel Kobe's away record this season is exceptional—only 1 loss—suggesting they handle travel well. Vissel Kobe's midfield control (Yamaguchi as captain) and Osako's goal-scoring threat should overcome Gamba Osaka's home benefit. A 2-1 away victory reflects Kobe's superior quality while acknowledging Gamba Osaka's home resilience.
Prediction: Vissel Kobe Win
Score: 1 - 2
Vissel Kobe enters this matchup as the statistically superior side, maintaining a dominant position at the top of the table with a +20 goal differential. Their defensive organization is the best in the league, making it difficult for a mid-table Gamba Osaka side that averages only 1.17 goals per game to find a breakthrough. While Gamba Osaka shows improved resilience at home, their recent mixed form (2W, 1D, 2L) suggests a lack of consistency required to topple the leaders. Tactically, Kobe's ability to control the midfield through Hotaru Yamaguchi and exploit transitions via Osako gives them a significant edge. Gamba Osaka has historically struggled in this fixture, winning only once in their last ten attempts. Given Kobe's nearly flawless away record and Gamba's tendency to struggle when conceding first, an away victory is the most probable outcome. Expect a competitive match where Kobe's clinical efficiency in the final third eventually decides the result.
Max probability 56.5% · Gap 32.0%p
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Falling odds mean money moved onto that side.
Compared across 24 bookmakers.
Recorded · 2026-09-24 23:06
Gamba Osaka · 2026 · 5th · 5W 5D 3L
Vissel Kobe · 2026 · 1st · 9W 2D 4L
Records as of this match, not current form.
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
2
Draws
3
Away Wins
5
Recent matches
Last meeting: 2026-05-02 (5-0)
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Sharp decline
Strong upward trend
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
Home/Away records
Recent
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Overall
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 2
At Home
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 2
Away
Best: Unbeaten 1
Overall
Best: Win 4 · Unbeaten 4
At Home
Best: Win 3 · Unbeaten 4
Away
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1
Rank and record by season
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | J League | #5 | 5W 5D 3L | — | 0.28 / 0.0 |
| 2025 | J League | #9 | 17W 6D 15L | -2 GD | 1.39 / 1.45 |
| 2024 | J League | #4 | 18W 12D 8L | +14 GD | 1.29 / 0.92 |
| 2023 | J League | #16 | 9W 7D 18L | -23 GD | 1.12 / 1.79 |
| 2022 | J League | #15 | 9W 10D 15L | 37 pts -11 GD | 0.97 / 1.29 |
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | J League | #1 | 9W 2D 4L | — | 0.17 / 0.0 |
| 2025 | J League | #5 | 18W 10D 10L | +13 GD | 1.21 / 0.87 |
| 2024 | J League | #1 | 21W 9D 8L | +25 GD | 1.61 / 0.95 |
| 2023 | J League | #1 | 21W 8D 5L | +31 GD | 1.76 / 0.85 |
| 2022 | J League | #13 | 11W 7D 16L | 40 pts -6 GD | 1.03 / 1.21 |
Registered players with season stats
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 17 Ryoya Yamashita (29) | 7 | 1 | 1 |
| FW | 11 Issam Jebali (35) | 7 | 0 | - |
| FW | 23 Deniz Hummet (30) | 7 | 5 | - |
| FW | 42 Minamino Harumi (22) | 6 | 1 | - |
| FW | 44 Okunuki Ganji (27) | 6 | 0 | - |
| FW | 15 Takeru Kishimoto (29) | 4 | 0 | 4 2 |
| FW | 40 Doyama Syoji (24) | 2 | 0 | - |
| MF | 13 Abe Syuto (29) | 7 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 8 Ryotaro Meshino (28) | 7 | 1 | 1 |
| MF | 16 Tokuma Suzuki (29) | 7 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 10 Shu Kurata (38) | 5 | 0 | - |
| MF | 51 Makoto Mitsuta (27) | 1 | 0 | - |
| MF | 7 Usami Dakasi (34) Muscle injury | 1 | 0 | - |
| DF | 3 Riku Handa (24) | 8 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 4 Shinnosuke Nakatani (30) | 8 | 1 | 1 |
| DF | 21 Ryo Hatsuse (29) | 7 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 5 Genta Miura (31) | 6 | 0 | - |
| DF | 2 Shota Fukuoka (31) Hamstring injury | 2 | 0 | - |
| DF | 67 Sasakisyogo Hamstring injury | 1 | 0 | - |
| GK | 1 Masaaki Higashiguchi (40) | 8 | 0 | - |
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 29 Komacheu Ren (28) | 8 | 3 | - |
| FW | 26 Jang Pateurikeu (29) | 6 | 1 | - |
| FW | 10 Osako Yuya (36) | 3 | 1 | - |
| MF | 5 Yuta Goke (27) | 8 | 0 | - |
| MF | 7 Ideguchi Yoseuke (30) | 7 | 1 | 3 |
| MF | 13 Sasaki Daiju (27) Injured | 6 | 1 | - |
| MF | 11 Muto Yosinori (34) Surgery | 5 | 2 | - |
| MF | 14 Inui Dakasi (38) | 4 | 0 | - |
| MF | 44 Mitsuki Hidaka (23) | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| MF | 25 Guwasaki Yuya (28) | 3 | 0 | - |
| MF | 18 Haruya Ide (32) | 2 | 0 | - |
| DF | 41 Nagato Gasseuya (31) | 8 | 1 | - |
| DF | 3 Tulreo | 8 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 4 Yamakawa Desseusi (29) | 7 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 23 Hirose Rikuto (31) | 6 | 0 | - |
| DF | 6 Ogihara Dakahiro (35) | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| DF | 15 Diego (31) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 16 Joao Bikteo Andeurade Kaetano (27) | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 80 Bonipache Eunduka (30) | 2 | 0 | - |
| DF | 24 Sakai Gotoku (35) | 2 | 1 | - |
| GK | 1 Maekawa Daiya (32) | 7 | 0 | - |
| GK | 71 Gonda Syuichi (37) | 1 | 0 | - |
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Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing | Overseas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.15 | 3.29 | 3.68 |
| Draw | 3.05 | 3.29 | 3.49 |
| Away | 1.98 | 2.17 | 2.03 |
Handicap (1)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 1.75 |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.7 |
| Away | 3.7 | 3.69 |
Home
3.15
29.0%
Draw
3.05
28.5%
Away
1.98
42.5%
Home
1.71
Draw
3.4
Away
3.7
Home
1.61
54.0%
Draw
3.5
24.8%
Away
4.1
21.2%
Over
1.75
Under
1.77
Over
1.86
47.3%
Under
1.67
52.7%
Odd
1.81
49.7%
Even
1.79
50.3%
Full game · Home handicap +1.0 · 09-20 (Sun) 17:00 KST · Korean domestic market. Purchase shares and historical samples describe this product.
| Type | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 1.71↑ | 3.40↓ | 3.70↓ |
| Initial | 1.68 | 3.66 | 4.06 |
| Opening | 1.61 | 3.50 | 4.10 |
| Overseas | 1.75↑ | 3.70↓ | 3.69↓ |
| Overseas − domestic | +0.04 | +0.30 | -0.01 |
| # | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.61 | 3.50 | 4.10 |
| 2 | 1.71 ↑ | 3.40 ↓ | 3.70 ↓ |
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