The forecast. The market. The evidence.
Analysis recorded · Sep 13 09:10 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-24 23:06
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
Analysis recorded · Sep 13 09:10 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-24 23:06
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
AI Predicted
Draw
Prediction Correct!Compare match records, season figures and the source dates.
Prediction
Draw
Confidence
59%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
1 - 1
Key Analysis Points
Both teams have struggled for consistency, with similar records and goal differences.
Recent head-to-head results show balanced outcomes, including a recent 1-1 draw.
Neither side boasts a significant advantage in form or squad strength as of the latest data.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
2 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick. Confidence is limited — treat this match as uncertain.
Prediction: Draw
Score: 1 - 1
Incheon United and Daejeon Hana Citizen are closely matched, both sitting mid-table with comparable attacking and defensive records. Incheon have shown slightly better home form but remain inconsistent, while Daejeon are more productive in attack yet defensively vulnerable. Recent meetings have been even, and neither team is missing key players as of the last update. Given these factors, a draw appears the most probable outcome, with both sides likely to score but unable to secure a decisive advantage.
Prediction: Draw
Score: 1 - 1
This fixture presents a classic mid-table clash between two evenly matched sides. Incheon United (21 pts) and Daejeon Hana Citizen (20 pts) are separated by just one point, reflecting their comparable quality. Recent form shows both struggling with consistency - Incheon with only 1 win in last 5 games but performing better defensively at home, while Daejeon has marginally better goal output (1.12 vs 1.18 per game) but weaker defense. The head-to-head record is instructive: their most recent meeting was a 1-1 draw, and historically these teams produce competitive, closely-fought contests. With both squads having defensive frailties (combined 48 goals conceded in 17 games), expect open play but neither team sufficiently dominant to impose a comfortable victory. Incheon's home advantage and tighter home defense slightly elevate their prospects, but Daejeon's attacking consistency and away scoring record suggest they'll trouble the hosts. A draw represents the most probable outcome given the tactical equilibrium and statistical parity.
Prediction: Incheon Win
Score: 2 - 1
Incheon United enters this fixture with a slight home-field advantage, which has historically been a stabilizing factor for a team that often struggles with consistency. Their tactical reliance on a disciplined mid-block and the clinical nature of Stefan Mugosa gives them an edge over a Daejeon side that, while offensively productive, lacks the defensive discipline to keep clean sheets on the road. Incheon's recent focus on shoring up the midfield should help neutralize Daejeon's creative sparks in transition. Daejeon Hana Citizen has shown they can compete with mid-table rivals, but their higher goals-conceded average (1.47) suggests they will struggle to contain Incheon's wingers over 90 minutes. While Daejeon often finds the scoresheet, their fitness and depth have been questioned in late-game scenarios. Expect a tight contest where Incheon's superior organizational structure at home allows them to secure a narrow victory, likely decided in the final twenty minutes.
Max probability 38.0% · Gap 1.5%p
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Compared across 24 bookmakers.
Recorded · 2026-09-24 23:06
Incheon · 2025 · 1st · 23W 9D 7L (GD +36)
Daejeon · 2025 · 3rd · 15W 10D 8L (GD +7)
Records as of this match, not current form.
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
4
Draws
3
Away Wins
3
Recent matches
Last meeting: 2026-05-05 (0-0)
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Sharp decline
Strong upward trend
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
Home/Away records
Recent
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Overall
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 6
At Home
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 5
Away
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 6
Overall
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 4
At Home
Best: Win 4 · Unbeaten 7
Away
Best: Win 3 · Unbeaten 3
Rank and record by season
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | K League 2 | #1 | 23W 9D 7L | +36 GD | 1.69 / 0.77 |
| 2024 | K League 1 | #12 | 7W 11D 15L | -12 GD | 0.97 / 1.33 |
| 2023 | K League 1 | #6 | 12W 12D 9L | +1 GD | 1.15 / 1.12 |
| 2022 | K League 1 | #4 | 12W 13D 8L | 49 pts +6 GD | 1.24 / 1.06 |
| 2021 | K League 1 | #8 | 11W 7D 15L | 40 pts -9 GD | 1.0 / 1.27 |
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | K League 1 | #3 | 15W 10D 8L | +7 GD | 1.45 / 1.24 |
| 2024 | K League 1 | #11 | 8W 11D 14L | -9 GD | 1.09 / 1.36 |
| 2023 | K League 1 | #8 | 11W 12D 10L | -3 GD | 1.48 / 1.58 |
| 2022 | K League 2 | #2 | 21W 11D 8L | 74 pts +25 GD | 1.75 / 1.13 |
| 2021 | K League 2 | #3 | 17W 7D 12L | 58 pts +5 GD | 1.47 / 1.33 |
Registered players with season stats
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 11 Gerso Fernandes (35) | 5 | 0 | - |
| FW | 72 Chung-Yong Lee (38) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| FW | 9 Stefan Mugosa (34) | 5 | 4 | - |
| FW | 10 Dong-Ryul Lee (26) | 4 | 0 | - |
| FW | 23 Jeongchiin (29) | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| FW | 99 Morgan Ferrier (32) | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| FW | 77 Bakseungho (23) | 2 | 0 | - |
| FW | 19 Bakhomin (25) | 1 | 0 | - |
| MF | 7 Ohuseong (27) | 5 | 1 | - |
| MF | 5 Imyeongju (36) | 5 | 0 | - |
| MF | 15 Jae-Min Seo (23) | 5 | 1 | - |
| MF | 8 Ikereu Undabarena (31) | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 99 Jonghwan Yun (53) | 0 | 0 | - |
| DF | 39 Gimmyeongseon (26) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 2 Ibija (31) | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| DF | 32 Ju-Yong Lee (34) | 5 | 0 | - |
| DF | 4 Gimgeonhwi (24) | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 27 Yeoseungwon (26) | 2 | 0 | - |
| GK | 1 Dong-Heon Kim (29) | 5 | 0 | - |
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 17 Guseutapeu Ruteubihison (33) | 5 | 0 | - |
| FW | 9 Diogo Ruiseu (30) | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| FW | 7 Isida Masatosi (31) | 3 | 1 | - |
| FW | 11 Eomwonsang (26) | 3 | 1 | - |
| FW | 99 Yuganghyeon | 2 | 0 | - |
| MF | 10 Jumingyu (36) | 5 | 0 | - |
| MF | 8 Pereiraui Biktoreu Bopseu (26) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 30 Gimbongsu (27) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 19 Seojinsu (26) | 4 | 2 | - |
| MF | 6 Gangyunseong (29) | 3 | 0 | - |
| MF | 70 Gimhyeonuk (31) | 2 | 0 | - |
| MF | 20 Ihyeonsik (30) | 1 | 0 | - |
| DF | 33 Gimmunhwan (31) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 77 Joao Victor Lima Ferreira (27) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 45 Hachangrae (32) | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| DF | 44 Isunmin (32) | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 3 Gimmindeok (30) | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 2 Bakgyuhyeon | 2 | 0 | - |
| DF | 23 Seoyeongjae (31) | 2 | 0 | - |
| DF | 16 Imyeongjae (33) | 1 | 0 | - |
| DF | 98 Anton Keuribocheukeu (28) | 1 | 0 | - |
| GK | 1 Ichanggeun (33) | 5 | 0 | - |
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Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.7 | 3.1 |
| Draw | 3.0 | 3.25 |
| Away | 2.38 | 2.35 |
Handicap (1)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.49 | 1.58 |
| Draw | 3.8 | 3.86 |
| Away | 4.95 | 4.89 |
Handicap (2)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.09 | 1.16 |
| Draw | 7.0 | 6.89 |
| Away | 13.0 | 10.99 |
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing | Overseas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.3 | 2.71 | 3.1 |
| Draw | 1.95 | 3.28 | 3.25 |
| Away | 3.0 | 2.49 | 2.35 |
Handicap (1)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.26 | 3.1 |
| Draw | 4.0 | 3.25 |
| Away | 9.5 | 2.35 |
Home
2.7
Draw
3.0
Away
2.38
Home
3.3
34.2%
Draw
1.95
Away
3.0
37.5%
Home
1.49
Draw
3.8
Away
4.95
Home
1.09
Draw
7.0
Away
13.0
Home
1.26
Draw
4.0
Away
9.5
Home
1.49
59.1%
Draw
3.8
23.2%
Away
4.95
17.8%
Home
1.09
80.7%
Draw
7.0
12.6%
Away
13.0
6.8%
Over
1.8
Under
1.76
Over
2.6
Under
1.33
Over
1.83
48.6%
Under
1.73
51.4%
Over
2.6
33.8%
Under
1.33
66.2%
Odd
1.81
49.7%
Even
1.79
50.3%
1st half · Match result · 09-20 (Sun) 19:00 KST · Korean domestic market. Purchase shares and historical samples describe this product.
| Type | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 3.30 | 1.95 | 3.00 |
| Initial | 3.30 | 1.95 | 3.00 |
| Opening | 3.30 | 1.95 | 3.00 |
| Overseas | 3.10↑ | 3.25↓ | 2.35↓ |
| Overseas − domestic | -0.20 | +1.30 | -0.65 |
| # | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3.30 | 1.95 | 3.00 |
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