The forecast. The market. The evidence.
Analysis recorded · Sep 13 12:20 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-24 23:07
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.


Analysis recorded · Sep 13 12:20 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-24 23:07
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
AI Predicted
Liverpool Win
Prediction Correct!Compare match records, season figures and the source dates.
Prediction
Liverpool Win
Confidence
73%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
1 - 3
Key Analysis Points
Liverpool have a dominant head-to-head record against Bournemouth, winning 13 of their last 17 EPL meetings.
Liverpool finished the 2023/24 season with strong away form and significantly superior attacking and defensive stats compared to Bournemouth.
Bournemouth struggled against top-six sides in the latest season and conceded nearly 1.7 goals per game.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Prediction: Liverpool Win
Score: 1 - 3
Based on the most recent available data (2023/24), Liverpool's quality, squad depth, and consistent results against Bournemouth make them clear favorites. Bournemouth's improved attack under Iraola is notable, but their defensive issues remain a concern against top teams. While Liverpool will have a new manager by 2026, their historical and statistical dominance provides a strong basis for predicting another away win. However, given the speculative nature of projecting two years ahead, confidence is high but not absolute.
Prediction: Liverpool Win
Score: 1 - 2
Liverpool enters this fixture as clear favorites based on multiple analytical dimensions. Historically, Liverpool dominates the H2H record with 13 wins compared to Bournemouth's 2 across 17 meetings, reflecting a consistent performance gap. Liverpool's attacking output (2.26 goals/game, 17.3 shots/game) significantly exceeds Bournemouth's defensive capability (1.71 goals conceded/game, only 8 clean sheets). Away from home, Liverpool demonstrated resilience with an 11-5-3 record. With new manager Arne Slot bringing a possession-dominant approach, Liverpool should control the match's rhythm. Bournemouth's main threat remains Dominic Solanke (19 EPL goals), but Liverpool's defensive anchor Virgil van Dijk should effectively neutralize this threat. The margin of quality is substantial enough to project a Liverpool victory, likely by a single goal.
Prediction: Liverpool Win
Score: 1 - 3
Liverpool enters this fixture as the clear favorite, maintaining a significant historical advantage with 13 wins in their last 17 meetings. Under the tactical shift expected in the post-Klopp era, Liverpool's high-pressing and possession-based style likely overwhelms mid-table sides. Their offensive output, which averaged over 2 goals per game in the latest data, remains a major threat against a Bournemouth defense that has historically struggled to contain elite attacking units. Bournemouth, while resilient at the Vitality Stadium under Andoni Iraola, typically lacks the depth to withstand sustained pressure from a top-tier side. While Dominic Solanke provides a potent counter-attacking threat, the technical gap in midfield usually allows Liverpool to dictate the tempo. Given the match occurs in the 2026 season, Liverpool's superior squad quality and historical dominance make an away victory the most statistically probable outcome, despite the inherent unpredictability of long-term projections.
Max probability 67.5% · Gap 47.5%p
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Falling odds mean money moved onto that side.
Compared across 24 bookmakers.
Recorded · 2026-09-24 23:07
Bournemouth · 2025/2026 · 6th · 13W 18D 7L (GD +4)
Liverpool · 2025/2026 · 5th · 17W 9D 12L (GD +10)
Records as of this match, not current form.
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
2
Draws
0
Away Wins
8
Recent matches
Last meeting: 2026-01-25 (3-2)
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Slight improvement
Stable
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
Home/Away records
Recent
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Overall
Best: Unbeaten 3
At Home
Best: Unbeaten 2
Away
Best: Unbeaten 1
Overall
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 4
At Home
Best: Unbeaten 2
Away
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 2
Rank and record by season
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Premier League | #6 | 13W 18D 7L | +4 GD | 1.53 / 1.42 |
| 2024/2025 | Premier League | #9 | 15W 11D 12L | +12 GD | 1.53 / 1.21 |
| 2023/2024 | Premier League | #12 | 13W 9D 16L | -13 GD | 1.42 / 1.76 |
| 2022/2023 | Premier League | #15 | 11W 6D 21L | 39 pts -34 GD | 0.97 / 1.87 |
| 2021/2022 | EFL Championship | #2 | 25W 13D 8L | 88 pts +35 GD | 1.61 / 0.85 |
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Premier League | #5 | 17W 9D 12L | +10 GD | 1.66 / 1.39 |
| 2024/2025 | Premier League | #1 | 25W 9D 4L | +45 GD | 2.26 / 1.08 |
| 2023/2024 | Premier League | #3 | 24W 10D 4L | +45 GD | 2.26 / 1.08 |
| 2022/2023 | Premier League | #5 | 19W 10D 9L | 67 pts +28 GD | 1.97 / 1.24 |
| 2021/2022 | Premier League | #2 | 28W 8D 2L | 92 pts +68 GD | 2.47 / 0.68 |
Registered players with season stats
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 8 Alrekseu Seukot (56) | 31 | 2 | 3 |
| FW | 9 Evanilson (27) | 29 | 6 | 1 |
| FW | 19 Jeoseutin Keulruibereuteu (27) Knee Injury27.04.2026 | 18 | 2 | 4 |
| FW | 26 Eneseu Unal (29) | 17 | 1 | 1 |
| FW | 37 Rayan (20) | 8 | 2 | 1 |
| FW | 11 Ben Doak (56) | 5 | 0 | - |
| MF | 21 Amin Aedeulri (26) | 27 | 3 | 2 |
| MF | 16 Marcus Tavernier (27) | 27 | 5 | 4 |
| MF | 22 Eli Junior Kroupi (20) | 26 | 9 | 3 |
| MF | 7 Deibit Beurukseu (29) | 25 | 1 | 7 |
| MF | 10 Raieon Keuriseuti (31) | 21 | 2 | 2 |
| MF | 4 Ruiseu Kuk (29) Hamstring Injury13.04.2026 | 16 | 0 | 1 1 |
| MF | 27 Alex Toth (21) | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 3 Aedeurieon Teureopeoteu (25) | 31 | 0 | 3 |
| DF | 5 Mareukoseu Senesi (29) | 30 | 0 | 8 |
| DF | 20 Alejandro Jimenez (21) | 27 | 1 | 9 |
| DF | 23 Jeimseu Hil (24) | 22 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 12 Tyler Adams (27) Injury13.04.2026 | 18 | 2 | 7 |
| DF | 15 Adam Smith (35) | 18 | 0 | 3 |
| DF | 18 Bafode Diakite (25) | 18 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 6 Julio Cesar Soler Barreto (21) Hamstring Injury04.05.2026 | 3 | 0 | - |
| GK | 1 Joreuje Peteurobichi (27) | 31 | 0 | 2 |
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 18 Cody Gakpo (27) | 29 | 6 | 2 |
| FW | 22 Ekitike Wigo | 28 | 11 | - |
| FW | 14 Pederiko Chiesa (29) Injured | 23 | 2 | 3 |
| FW | 11 Mohamedeu Salra (34) Muscle injury | 22 | 5 | 1 |
| FW | 9 Alexander Isak (27) Leg fracture | 10 | 2 | - |
| MF | 10 Alreksiseu Alriseutereu (28) | 30 | 2 | 5 |
| MF | 38 Raieon Geurabenbeochi (24) | 29 | 4 | 5 |
| MF | 8 Dominik Szoboszlai | 29 | 5 | 7 1 |
| MF | 17 Keotiseu Jonseu (25) | 27 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 7 Peulrorian Bireucheu (23) | 27 | 4 | 1 |
| MF | 12 Koneo Beuraedeulri (23) Knee Injury01.07.2026 | 15 | 0 | 5 |
| MF | 42 Trey Nyoni (2026) | 4 | 0 | - |
| DF | 4 Beojil Ban Daikeu (35) | 31 | 3 | 4 |
| DF | 5 Ibeurahima Konate (27) | 29 | 1 | 6 |
| DF | 6 Milos Kerkez | 28 | 2 | 4 |
| DF | 26 Aendeuryu Robeoteuseun (32) | 19 | 0 | - |
| DF | 2 Jo Gomejeu (29) | 16 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 30 Jeremie Frimpong (26) | 15 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 3 Wataru Endo (33) Foot Injury25.05.2026 | 8 | 0 | 1 |
| GK | 1 Alisson (34) Injury20.04.2026 | 25 | 0 | 1 |
| GK | 25 Giorgi Mamardashvili (26) | 6 | 0 | - |
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Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing | Overseas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.0 | 3.06 | 3.07 |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.8 | 3.74 |
| Away | 1.94 | 2.17 | 2.24 |
Handicap (1)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 1.68 |
| Draw | 3.9 | 4.08 |
| Away | 3.65 | 4.08 |
Handicap (2)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.2 | 1.24 |
| Draw | 5.9 | 6.78 |
| Away | 7.5 | 8.53 |
Home
3.0
32.4%
Draw
3.65
24.4%
Away
1.94
43.2%
Home
1.65
Draw
3.9
Away
3.65
Home
1.2
Draw
5.9
Away
7.5
Home
1.65
53.3%
Draw
3.9
22.6%
Away
3.65
24.1%
Home
1.2
73.3%
Draw
5.9
14.9%
Away
7.5
11.7%
Over
2.05
Under
1.57
Over
2.05
43.4%
Under
1.57
56.6%
Odd
1.8
50.0%
Even
1.8
50.0%
Full game · Home handicap +2.0 · 09-20 (Sun) 22:00 KST · Korean domestic market. Purchase shares and historical samples describe this product.
| Type | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 1.20 | 5.90 | 7.50 |
| Initial | 1.26 | 5.82 | 7.16 |
| Opening | 1.20 | 5.90 | 7.50 |
| Overseas | 1.24↓ | 6.78↑ | 8.53↑ |
| Overseas − domestic | +0.04 | +0.88 | +1.03 |
| # | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.20 | 5.90 | 7.50 |
Recorded purchase snapshot. Amount and payout index retain source values; units are not supplied.
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