The forecast. The market. The evidence.
Analysis recorded · Sep 13 12:00 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-24 23:07
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.

Analysis recorded · Sep 13 12:00 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-24 23:07
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
AI Predicted
Crystal Palace Win
Prediction MissedCompare match records, season figures and the source dates.
Prediction
Crystal Palace Win
Confidence
60%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Key Analysis Points
Crystal Palace finished the 2023-24 EPL season in outstanding form, with 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches.
Leeds United, though strong at home, showed inconsistency at the end of their promotion campaign and may face an adaptation period upon returning to the EPL.
Recent head-to-head history favors Crystal Palace, including a dominant 5-1 win at Elland Road in their last encounter.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick. Confidence is limited — treat this match as uncertain.
Prediction: Crystal Palace Win
Score: 1 - 2
Based on the most recent available data, Crystal Palace enter the 2026-27 campaign with strong momentum and an attacking identity under Oliver Glasner. Leeds, while historically solid at Elland Road, showed form dips in high-pressure matches and are likely still acclimating to top-flight football. Palace's stronger squad depth and attacking options (Eze, Olise, Mateta) give them a significant edge, especially considering their recent head-to-head dominance. However, Leeds' home advantage and potential improvements post-promotion mean a close contest is still likely.
Prediction: Crystal Palace Win
Score: 1 - 2
Crystal Palace enters this fixture as the more experienced and in-form team. Their transformation under Oliver Glasner showcases an attacking prowess (17 goals in 5 games by May 2024) and tactical cohesion that newly promoted Leeds will find difficult to match. While Leeds boasts historical strength at Elland Road and productive Championship statistics (81 goals scored), the EPL presents a fundamentally different competitive level. The head-to-head record heavily favors Palace, with their recent 5-1 demolition of Leeds at home demonstrating clear dominance. Palace's balanced squad with creative threats (Eze, Olise, Mateta) and solid defensive organization gives them the tools to exploit Leeds' potential transition difficulties. Leeds will likely be competitive given home advantage and squad quality, but Palace's established EPL status and recent momentum suggest they edge this encounter as value away winners.
Prediction: Crystal Palace Win
Score: 1 - 2
Their ability to dismantle mid-table and lower-tier defenses with pace from players like Eze and Mateta makes them a significant threat to a Leeds side that, while energetic at home, has historically struggled with defensive organization upon returning to the top flight. Leeds relies heavily on the atmosphere of Elland Road to disrupt opponents, but their tendency to commit men forward often leaves them exposed to the clinical counter-attacking style that Palace has perfected. Given the head-to-head history where Palace recently secured a massive away win, the stylistic matchup favors the visitors. While Leeds will likely find the net due to their high-pressing home style, Palace's superior squad depth and established tactical identity should see them secure all three points in a closely contested battle.
Max probability 47.5% · Gap 20.0%p
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Falling odds mean money moved onto that side.
Compared across 22 bookmakers.
Recorded · 2026-09-24 23:07
Leeds · 2025/2026 · 14th · 11W 14D 13L (GD -7)
Crystal Palace · 2025/2026 · 15th · 11W 12D 15L (GD -10)
Records as of this match, not current form.
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
8
Home Wins
3
Draws
2
Away Wins
3
Recent matches
Last meeting: 2026-03-15 (0-0)
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Strong upward trend
Stable
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
Home/Away records
Recent
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Overall
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 3
At Home
Best: Unbeaten 1
Away
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 2
Overall
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1
At Home
Away
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1
Rank and record by season
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Premier League | #14 | 11W 14D 13L | -7 GD | 1.29 / 1.47 |
| 2024/2025 | EFL Championship | #1 | 29W 13D 4L | +65 GD | 2.07 / 0.65 |
| 2023/2024 | EFL Championship | #3 | 27W 9D 10L | +38 GD | 1.76 / 0.93 |
| 2022/2023 | Premier League | #19 | 7W 10D 21L | 31 pts -30 GD | 1.26 / 2.05 |
| 2021/2022 | Premier League | #17 | 9W 11D 18L | 38 pts -37 GD | 1.11 / 2.08 |
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Premier League | #15 | 11W 12D 15L | -10 GD | 1.08 / 1.34 |
| 2024/2025 | Premier League | #12 | 13W 14D 11L | 0 GD | 1.34 / 1.34 |
| 2023/2024 | Premier League | #10 | 13W 10D 15L | -1 GD | 1.5 / 1.53 |
| 2022/2023 | Premier League | #11 | 11W 12D 15L | 45 pts -9 GD | 1.05 / 1.29 |
| 2021/2022 | Premier League | #12 | 11W 15D 12L | 48 pts +4 GD | 1.32 / 1.21 |
Registered players with season stats
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 3 Gudeumeonseun Gabeuriel | 29 | 0 | 6 1 |
| FW | 9 Dominikeu Kalbeoteu-reuwin (29) | 28 | 10 | 1 |
| FW | 14 Rukaseu Eunmecha (28) | 25 | 6 | - |
| FW | 19 Noa Okapo (26) | 24 | 4 | 3 |
| FW | 29 Degeunandeu Wilpeurideu Geuneonto (23) | 16 | 0 | 3 |
| FW | 10 Joel Pie (27) | 13 | 0 | - |
| MF | 11 Beurendan Aronseun (26) | 30 | 4 | 1 |
| MF | 4 Idan Ampadu (26) | 28 | 1 | 7 |
| MF | 18 Anton Seutaechi (28) | 26 | 4 | 3 |
| MF | 22 Danaka Ao (28) | 21 | 2 | 1 |
| MF | 44 Ilria Geuruepeu (26) | 21 | 0 | 3 |
| MF | 15 Jaka Bijol (27) | 18 | 1 | 3 |
| MF | 8 Syeon Rongseutaepeu (29) | 17 | 1 | 2 |
| MF | 7 Daniel Jeimseu (29) | 15 | 0 | - |
| MF | 40 Pakundo Buonanote (56) | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 2 Jeideun Bogeul (26) | 29 | 1 | 6 |
| DF | 6 Jo Rodeon (29) | 29 | 2 | 1 |
| DF | 5 Paseukal Syuteuruikeu (27) | 28 | 0 | 4 |
| DF | 24 Jeimseu Jeoseutin (28) | 22 | 1 | 2 |
| DF | 23 Sebaseutian Boreunou (27) | 9 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 25 Samuel Bairam (33) | 1 | 0 | - |
| GK | 1 Rukaseu Peri (29) | 16 | 0 | 2 |
| GK | 26 Kal Dalrou (36) | 15 | 0 | 1 |
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 14 Jang Pilripeu Mateta (29) | 24 | 8 | 2 |
| FW | 7 Iseumailra Sareu (28) | 20 | 7 | 2 |
| FW | 9 Edeuwodeu Eunketia (27) Thigh injury | 12 | 2 | 2 |
| FW | 11 Beureneon Jonseun (25) | 11 | 0 | 3 |
| FW | 22 Jørgen Strand Larsen (26) | 6 | 3 | 2 |
| FW | 29 Evann Guessand (25) | 6 | 1 | - |
| MF | 10 Yéremy Pino (24) | 27 | 2 | 4 |
| MF | 19 Wil Hyujeu (31) | 27 | 0 | 7 |
| MF | 8 Hepereuson Rereuma (32) | 24 | 0 | 6 |
| MF | 18 Daichi Kamada (30) | 20 | 0 | 2 |
| MF | 55 Juseutin Devenny (23) | 18 | 1 | - |
| MF | 4 Kaden Rodney (22) | 1 | 0 | - |
| DF | 3 Tyrick Mitchell (27) | 30 | 1 | 5 |
| DF | 5 Maeksenseu Rakeurukseu (26) | 28 | 1 | 3 1 |
| DF | 20 Adam Wharton (56) | 27 | 0 | 6 1 |
| DF | 26 Keuriseu Richajeu (26) | 26 | 1 | 3 |
| DF | 2 Daniel Muñoz (30) | 21 | 3 | 5 |
| DF | 17 Nadaniel Keulrain (35) | 8 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 34 Chadi Riadeu (23) | 6 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 24 Boreuna Sosa (28) | 5 | 0 | - |
| GK | 1 Dean Henderson (29) Illness | 29 | 0 | 3 |
| GK | 44 Walter Benítez (33) | 1 | 0 | - |
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The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing | Overseas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 1.78 | 1.69 |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.79 | 4.0 |
| Away | 4.3 | 4.42 | 5.07 |
Handicap (-1)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.65 | 2.81 |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.48 |
| Away | 2.19 | 2.23 |
Handicap (-2)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.95 | 5.46 |
| Draw | 4.65 | 5.14 |
| Away | 1.39 | 1.41 |
Home
1.62
51.8%
Draw
3.65
25.4%
Away
4.3
22.8%
Home
2.65
Draw
3.3
Away
2.19
Home
4.95
Draw
4.65
Away
1.39
Home
3.0
29.3%
Draw
3.45
25.5%
Away
1.95
45.1%
Home
6.1
14.4%
Draw
4.9
17.9%
Away
1.3
67.6%
Over
1.56
Under
2.07
Over
1.64
54.3%
Under
1.95
45.7%
Odd
1.81
49.7%
Even
1.79
50.3%
Full game · Home handicap -2.0 · 09-20 (Sun) 22:00 KST · Korean domestic market. Purchase shares and historical samples describe this product.
| Type | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 4.95↓ | 4.65↓ | 1.39↑ |
| Initial | 7.67 | 5.52 | 1.26 |
| Opening | 6.10 | 4.90 | 1.30 |
| Overseas | 5.46↓ | 5.14↑ | 1.41↑ |
| Overseas − domestic | +0.51 | +0.49 | +0.02 |
| # | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6.10 | 4.90 | 1.30 |
| 2 | 5.70 ↓ | 4.80 ↓ | 1.33 ↑ |
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