The forecast. The market. The evidence.
Analysis recorded · Sep 13 12:10 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-24 23:07
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.


Analysis recorded · Sep 13 12:10 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-24 23:07
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
AI Predicted
Manchester City Win
Prediction Correct!Compare match records, season figures and the source dates.
Prediction
Manchester City Win
Confidence
92%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
3 - 0
Key Analysis Points
Manchester City have been dominant at home, typically averaging over 2 goals per game at the Etihad.
Sunderland, as a newly promoted side, are likely to struggle against top-tier opposition and have a recent history of poor results versus City.
City's squad depth and attacking power, led by players like Haaland and De Bruyne, far outweigh Sunderland's expected defensive setup.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Prediction: Manchester City Win
Score: 3 - 0
Based on historical trends, Manchester City are overwhelming favorites, especially at home against newly promoted teams. Sunderland have not played in the Premier League since 2017 and, even with improvements, are likely to focus on defense and damage limitation. City's recent head-to-head dominance and squad quality give them a significant edge. While up-to-date form and injuries are not available, all data points to a comfortable home win unless unexpected developments occur closer to the date.
Prediction: Manchester City Win
Score: 3 - 0
Manchester City are overwhelming favorites for this fixture. Historically, City have dominated Sunderland with a 18-7-7 all-time record and crucially won their last 7 consecutive EPL meetings. The most recent encounters show dominant scorelines (4-1, 2-1, 1-0, 2-0), establishing a clear pattern. As a newly-promoted side, Sunderland will face an elite Manchester City team at the Etihad in September when City typically start seasons strong. City's attacking prowess (averaging 2.4 goals/game at home) heavily outmatches promoted Sunderland's defensive capabilities. The tactical mismatch is stark: City's possession-based attacking football with world-class individuals versus Sunderland's likely pragmatic, defensive approach. Sunderland would need to execute a historically rare upset against a top-6 side playing at home.
Prediction: Manchester City Win
Score: 4 - 0
Manchester City enters this fixture as the overwhelming favorite, continuing their trend of dominance at the Etihad Stadium. Given their tactical consistency and high-possession style, they are expected to pin Sunderland into a deep defensive block for the majority of the match. Historically, City has struggled little against Sunderland, winning their last seven top-flight encounters. The technical gulf between City's world-class midfield and a Sunderland side likely focused on survival will be the deciding factor. Sunderland's path to a result relies on a perfect defensive performance and clinical counter-attacks, a strategy that rarely succeeds against Pep Guardiola's structure. While Sunderland may show resilience early on, City's ability to stretch the pitch and utilize clinical finishers like Erling Haaland makes a multi-goal margin highly probable. Expect City to control over 70% of the ball and exploit the gaps as the promoted side tires in the second half.
Max probability 85.0% · Gap 75.0%p
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Falling odds mean money moved onto that side.
Compared across 22 bookmakers.
Recorded · 2026-09-24 23:07
Manchester City · 2025/2026 · 2nd · 23W 9D 6L (GD +42)
Sunderland · 2025/2026 · 7th · 14W 12D 12L (GD -6)
Records as of this match, not current form.
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
7
Draws
2
Away Wins
1
Recent matches
Last meeting: 2026-01-02 (0-0)
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Sharp decline
Strong upward trend
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
Home/Away records
Recent
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Overall
Best: Win 3 · Unbeaten 3
At Home
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 2
Away
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1
Overall
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 2
At Home
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1
Away
Best: Unbeaten 1
Rank and record by season
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Premier League | #2 | 23W 9D 6L | +42 GD | 2.03 / 0.92 |
| 2024/2025 | Premier League | #3 | 21W 8D 9L | +28 GD | 1.89 / 1.16 |
| 2023/2024 | Premier League | #1 | 28W 7D 3L | +62 GD | 2.53 / 0.89 |
| 2022/2023 | Premier League | #1 | 28W 5D 5L | 89 pts +61 GD | 2.47 / 0.87 |
| 2021/2022 | Premier League | #1 | 29W 6D 3L | 93 pts +73 GD | 2.61 / 0.68 |
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Premier League | #7 | 14W 12D 12L | -6 GD | 1.11 / 1.26 |
| 2024/2025 | EFL Championship | #4 | 21W 13D 12L | +14 GD | 1.26 / 0.96 |
| 2023/2024 | EFL Championship | #16 | 16W 8D 22L | -2 GD | 1.13 / 1.17 |
| 2022/2023 | EFL Championship | #6 | 18W 15D 13L | 69 pts +13 GD | 1.48 / 1.2 |
| 2021/2022 | EFL League One | #5 | 24W 12D 10L | 84 pts +26 GD | 1.72 / 1.15 |
Registered players with season stats
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 9 Elring Beurauteu Holrandeu (26) | 3 | 3 | - |
| FW | 10 Maetiseu Raieon Chereuki (23) | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| FW | 42 Angtuan Semenyo (26) | 3 | 0 | - |
| MF | 5 Elrieot Andereuson (24) | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 47 Pil Podeun (26) | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 32 Eiyubeu Buadi (2026) | 2 | 0 | - |
| MF | 33 Nico Orilri (21) | 2 | 0 | - |
| MF | 8 Mateo Kobasichi (32) | 2 | 0 | - |
| MF | 18 Jaek Geurilriswi (31) | 1 | 0 | - |
| MF | 7 Ilriman Eundiaye (26) Injured | 1 | 0 | - |
| MF | 27 Mateuseu (28) | 1 | 0 | - |
| MF | 17 Enjo Pereunandeseu (25) | 1 | 0 | - |
| DF | 6 Gwehi Mareukeu | 3 | 1 | - |
| DF | 3 Ruben Diaseu (29) | 3 | 0 | - |
| DF | 24 Yoseuko Geubareudiol (24) | 3 | 1 | - |
| DF | 45 Abdukodir Khusanov (22) | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 82 Riko Ruiseu (22) | 1 | 0 | - |
| GK | 1 Jianruiji Donnarumma (27) | 3 | 0 | - |
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 18 Aisidoreu Wilseun | 26 | 4 | 2 |
| FW | 9 Beuraieon Beurobi (24) | 24 | 6 | 4 |
| FW | 12 Eliezer Mayenda (21) | 19 | 2 | - |
| FW | 25 Bereuteurandeu Teuraore (31) Knee Injury04.05.2026 | 12 | 1 | 1 |
| MF | 28 Enjo Reupi (26) | 29 | 4 | 5 |
| MF | 34 Geuraniteu Syaka (34) | 27 | 1 | 5 |
| MF | 27 Noah Sadiki (22) | 26 | 0 | 7 |
| MF | 7 Chemsdine Talbi (56) | 23 | 4 | - |
| MF | 14 Meondeul Romein Hamstring Injury01.06.2026 | 14 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 19 Habib Diara (22) | 14 | 2 | 4 |
| MF | 11 Christopher Rigg (19) | 13 | 0 | - |
| MF | 13 Rukeu Onien (32) | 8 | 0 | 1 1 |
| MF | 10 Nilseun Deibideu Anggulro Ramireseu (23) Injured | 5 | 0 | - |
| DF | 32 Hyum Teurei | 31 | 0 | 8 |
| DF | 15 Omareu Alderiteu (30) | 27 | 1 | 6 |
| DF | 5 Daniel Balradeu (27) Muscle injury | 26 | 2 | 3 |
| DF | 6 Ruteusyarel Geoteuruida (26) | 25 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 20 Noreudi Mulrereu Mukiel (29) | 25 | 1 | 4 |
| DF | 17 Rinildo Mandaba (32) | 18 | 0 | 7 1 |
| DF | 3 Deniseu Seokin (23) | 7 | 0 | 1 |
| GK | 22 Roepeuseu Robin Muscle injury | 28 | 0 | 3 |
| GK | 31 Elbori Melkeo | 3 | 0 | - |
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Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing | Overseas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.23 | 1.3 | 1.35 |
| Draw | 5.1 | 5.69 | 5.33 |
| Away | 8.7 | 9.48 | 9.09 |
Handicap (-1)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 1.96 |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.63 |
| Away | 3.4 | 3.36 |
Handicap (-2)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.95 | 3.42 |
| Draw | 4.15 | 4.1 |
| Away | 1.8 | 1.8 |
Handicap (-3.5)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.18 | 6.95 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | 1.06 | 1.11 |
Home
1.23
70.1%
Draw
5.1
19.4%
Away
8.7
10.6%
Home
1.77
Draw
3.6
Away
3.4
Home
2.95
Draw
4.15
Away
1.8
Home
5.18
Away
1.06
Home
1.84
47.8%
Draw
3.45
25.5%
Away
3.3
26.7%
Home
3.05
28.9%
Draw
3.75
23.5%
Away
1.85
47.6%
Home
6.04
14.6%
Away
1.03
85.4%
Over
1.46
Under
2.28
Over
1.5
59.4%
Under
2.19
40.6%
Odd
1.8
50.0%
Even
1.8
50.0%
Full game · Match result · 09-20 (Sun) 22:00 KST · Korean domestic market. Purchase shares and historical samples describe this product.
| Type | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 1.23↓ | 5.10↑ | 8.70↑ |
| Initial | 1.27 | 4.60 | 8.40 |
| Opening | 1.27 | 4.60 | 8.40 |
| Overseas | 1.35↑ | 5.33↓ | 9.09↓ |
| Overseas − domestic | +0.12 | +0.23 | +0.39 |
| # | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.27 | 4.60 | 8.40 |
| 2 | 1.23 ↓ | 5.10 ↑ | 8.70 ↑ |
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