The forecast. The market. The evidence.
Analysis recorded · Sep 13 22:30 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-24 23:07
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.


Analysis recorded · Sep 13 22:30 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-24 23:07
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
AI Predicted
Villarreal Win
Prediction Correct!Compare match records, season figures and the source dates.
Prediction
Villarreal Win
Confidence
70%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
2 - 1
Key Analysis Points
Villarreal has a strong recent head-to-head record against Levante, winning 4 of the last 5 meetings.
Villarreal's attack is potent, especially at home, but their defense can be inconsistent.
Levante's recent form in the Segunda División shows defensive solidity, but their attack is less proven at top-flight level.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick. Confidence is limited — treat this match as uncertain.
Prediction: Villarreal Win
Score: 2 - 1
While Villarreal often concedes, their ability to score multiple goals should be decisive against a Levante side that may still be adapting to LaLiga if recently promoted. Levante's tendency to draw and defensive focus could keep the match close, but Villarreal's attacking options give them the edge. However, the analysis strength is medium due to the lack of up-to-date 2026 data.
Prediction: Villarreal Win
Score: 3 - 1
Villarreal enters as clear favorites based on their overwhelming recent head-to-head dominance (winning 4 of last 5 matches, including 5-1 and 5-1 thrashings). Historically, Villarreal's creative midfield setup and attacking football has proven too much for Levante's defensive structure. Levante, potentially recently promoted from Segunda División, faces adjustment challenges to LaLiga's intensity. The tactical mismatch favors Villarreal's established system with key playmakers like Álex Baena and Gerard Moreno creating constant threats.
Prediction: Villarreal Win
Score: 2 - 1
Villarreal enters this matchup as the favorite based on their historical standing as a top-half LaLiga contender and their superior squad depth. The 'Yellow Submarine' has a proven track record of dominating Levante, particularly in home fixtures where their technical midfield and creative wing play tend to exploit Levante's defensive gaps. While Levante often shows resilience and a competitive spirit, they have historically struggled to neutralize Villarreal's clinical finishers like Gerard Moreno. From a tactical perspective, Villarreal's ability to maintain high possession and transition quickly will likely force Levante into a deep defensive block. While Levante may find success on the counter-attack, especially if Villarreal's defensive inconsistencies persist, the home side's quality in the final third should be sufficient to secure a victory. Given the early season timing, Villarreal's tactical continuity is expected to outweigh Levante's adaptation efforts.
Max probability 58.5% · Gap 34.5%p
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Compared across 24 bookmakers.
Recorded · 2026-09-24 23:07
Villarreal · 2025/2026 · 3rd · 22W 6D 10L (GD +26)
Levante · 2025/2026 · 16th · 11W 9D 18L (GD -14)
Records as of this match, not current form.
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
7
Draws
1
Away Wins
2
Recent matches
Last meeting: 2026-05-02 (5-1)
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Sharp decline
Strong upward trend
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
Home/Away records
Recent
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Overall
Best: Unbeaten 2
At Home
Away
Best: Unbeaten 2
Overall
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 3
At Home
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1
Away
Best: Unbeaten 2
Rank and record by season
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | La Liga | #3 | 22W 6D 10L | +26 GD | 1.89 / 1.21 |
| 2024/2025 | La Liga | #5 | 20W 10D 8L | +20 GD | 1.87 / 1.34 |
| 2023/2024 | La Liga | #8 | 14W 11D 13L | 0 GD | 1.71 / 1.71 |
| 2022/2023 | La Liga | #5 | 19W 7D 12L | 64 pts +19 GD | 1.55 / 1.05 |
| 2021/2022 | La Liga | #7 | 16W 11D 11L | 59 pts +26 GD | 1.66 / 0.97 |
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | La Liga | #16 | 11W 9D 18L | -14 GD | 1.24 / 1.61 |
| 2024/2025 | LaLiga 2 | #1 | 22W 13D 7L | +27 GD | 1.64 / 1.0 |
| 2023/2024 | LaLiga 2 | #8 | 13W 20D 9L | +4 GD | 1.17 / 1.07 |
| 2022/2023 | LaLiga 2 | #3 | 18W 18D 6L | 72 pts +16 GD | 1.1 / 0.71 |
| 2021/2022 | La Liga | #19 | 8W 11D 19L | 35 pts -25 GD | 1.34 / 2.0 |
Registered players with season stats
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 19 Nikolra Pepe (31) | 28 | 5 | 3 |
| FW | 9 Joreuju Mikautaje (26) | 24 | 9 | 1 |
| FW | 21 Oluwaseyi (26) | 23 | 2 | 1 |
| FW | 22 Ayose Pereseu (33) Bruise | 18 | 2 | 3 |
| FW | 7 Gerareudeu Moreno (34) | 15 | 8 | - |
| FW | 3 Alreksandereu Freeman (56) | 4 | 0 | - |
| FW | 11 Alponso Gonsalreseu (27) | 4 | 0 | - |
| MF | 20 Alberto Moleiro (23) | 28 | 9 | 3 |
| MF | 14 Santiago Komesana (30) | 27 | 3 | 4 1 |
| MF | 17 Tajong Buchanan (27) | 27 | 6 | 7 |
| MF | 12 Renato Beiga (23) | 25 | 0 | 3 1 |
| MF | 10 Daniel Pareho (37) | 24 | 0 | 2 |
| MF | 18 Peipeu Guye (27) | 23 | 4 | 7 |
| MF | 24 Alponso Pedeuraja (30) | 22 | 1 | 6 |
| MF | 16 Tomaseu (33) | 19 | 0 | - |
| DF | 23 Sereuhio Kareudona (27) | 23 | 0 | 4 |
| DF | 15 Santiago Mourino (24) | 22 | 1 | 9 1 |
| DF | 4 Rapa Marin (24) | 18 | 1 | 1 |
| DF | 8 Huan Poiseu (28) Achilles injury | 13 | 0 | 2 |
| GK | 1 Ruiseu Junieo (25) | 26 | 0 | 3 |
| GK | 25 Tena Urena Areunau | 3 | 0 | - |
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 24 Albarejeu Kareulroseu Injured | 26 | 3 | 3 |
| FW | 9 Ivan Romero | 25 | 5 | 3 |
| FW | 18 Ikereu Rosada (25) Injured | 17 | 3 | 1 |
| FW | 7 Beurugeu Rojeo Knee injury | 15 | 0 | 1 |
| FW | 17 Bikteo Gareusia (29) | 15 | 0 | - |
| FW | 6 Diego Barelra Pampin (26) | 6 | 0 | 2 |
| MF | 23 Manu Sánchez (26) | 25 | 1 | 7 |
| MF | 8 Jon Olasagasti (26) | 24 | 1 | 3 1 |
| MF | 16 Kereubin Ariaga (28) | 20 | 1 | 6 1 |
| MF | 11 Hose Moralreseu (39) | 19 | 1 | 1 |
| MF | 10 Pabeulro Mareutineseu Andeureseu (28) | 18 | 1 | 2 |
| MF | 20 Oriol Rey (28) | 17 | 0 | 3 |
| MF | 12 Unai Bensedoreu (26) | 16 | 0 | 3 1 |
| MF | 14 Ugo Raghouber (23) | 8 | 0 | - |
| MF | 55 Tai Abed Kassus (22) | 3 | 0 | - |
| DF | 22 Jeremy Toljan (32) | 28 | 1 | 7 |
| DF | 4 Adrian De La Fuente (27) | 25 | 2 | 5 |
| DF | 21 Karl Etta Eyong (56) | 23 | 5 | 2 |
| DF | 3 Alan Matturro Romero (22) | 15 | 1 | 1 |
| DF | 5 Unai Elgejabal Udondo (33) Knee injury | 12 | 1 | 2 |
| GK | 13 Ton Meikeo (34) | 27 | 0 | 2 |
| GK | 1 Pabeulro Kamposeu (24) | 2 | 0 | - |
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Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing | Overseas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.44 | 1.56 | 1.57 |
| Draw | 4.15 | 4.51 | 4.58 |
| Away | 5.0 | 5.31 | 5.43 |
Handicap (-1)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.2 | 2.46 |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.8 |
| Away | 2.45 | 2.43 |
Home
1.44
58.7%
Draw
4.15
22.6%
Away
5.0
18.7%
Home
2.2
Draw
3.5
Away
2.45
Home
2.35
37.0%
Draw
3.5
24.9%
Away
2.28
38.1%
Over
1.99
Under
1.61
Over
2.13
41.8%
Under
1.53
58.2%
Odd
1.8
50.0%
Even
1.8
50.0%
Full game · Match result · 09-21 (Mon) 01:30 KST · Korean domestic market. Purchase shares and historical samples describe this product.
| Type | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 1.44↓ | 4.15↑ | 5.00↑ |
| Initial | 1.50 | 3.90 | 4.70 |
| Opening | 1.50 | 3.90 | 4.70 |
| Overseas | 1.57↓ | 4.58↑ | 5.43↑ |
| Overseas − domestic | +0.13 | +0.43 | +0.43 |
| # | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.50 | 3.90 | 4.70 |
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