The forecast. The market. The evidence.
Analysis recorded · Sep 15 05:00 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-26 16:05
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.


Analysis recorded · Sep 15 05:00 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-26 16:05
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
AI Predicted
Yomiuri Giants Win
Prediction MissedCompare match records, season figures and the source dates.
Prediction
Yomiuri Giants Win
Confidence
62%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
3 - 4
Key Analysis Points
Yomiuri Giants have a stronger offense, leading in home runs and runs per game.
Recent head-to-head meetings show a slight edge to the Giants, with 3 wins in the last 5.
Both teams are healthy as of June 2024, but the Giants' bullpen and consistency give them an advantage.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Prediction: Yomiuri Giants Win
Score: 3 - 4
Based on the latest available data, the Yomiuri Giants have shown greater offensive power and a slightly better pitching staff compared to the Hiroshima Carp. The Giants' consistency and head-to-head edge suggest they are more likely to secure a narrow away victory. However, Hiroshima's strong pitching and home-field advantage keep the contest close. The analysis is of medium strength due to reliance on 2024 data and lack of 2026-specific updates.
Prediction: Yomiuri Giants Win
Score: 3 - 4
The Yomiuri Giants emerge as the slight favorites in this matchup based on multiple convergent factors from the June 2024 data. Giants demonstrate superior current form with 3 wins in their last 5 games and a better run differential (+26 vs +5). Their offensive firepower is notably stronger (4.3 runs/game, 56 HRs, 2nd in league) compared to Hiroshima's more modest metrics. While Carp employ an effective small-ball strategy with league-leading stolen bases and Sasaoka's tactical approach, the Giants' balanced power/speed game and improved bullpen give them the edge. The match is predicted as competitive but favoring Giants as the away team, with moderate confidence due to the significant time gap (June 2024 data for September 2026 match) and potential roster/form changes.
Prediction: Yomiuri Giants Win
Score: 3 - 5
The Yomiuri Giants enter this matchup with a clear offensive advantage, particularly in their ability to generate runs through power hitting. Based on the 2024 data trends, the Giants' 56 home runs significantly outpace the Carp's 42, giving them a higher ceiling in high-scoring games. While the Carp are excellent at manufacturing runs through speed and aggressive baserunning, they often struggle to keep pace when the Giants' middle order finds its rhythm. Defensively, the Giants maintain a slightly more consistent pitching staff. In late-season NPB matchups where pressure is high, the Giants' ability to rely on veteran leadership and power provides a more reliable path to victory than the Carp's small-ball approach. While Mazda Stadium can provide a home-field advantage for Hiroshima, the Giants' historical head-to-head edge and superior run differential make them the favorites in this encounter.
Max probability 63.1% · Gap 26.2%p
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Falling odds mean money moved onto that side.
Compared across 22 bookmakers.
Recorded · 2026-09-26 16:05
Hiroshima Carp · 2025 · 5th · 59W 5D 79L (RD -56)
Yomiuri Giants · 2025 · 3rd · 70W 4D 69L (RD +2)
Records as of this match, not current form.
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
3
Draws
0
Away Wins
7
Recent matches
Last meeting: 2026-09-06 (0-4)
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Baseball · Season performance
Hiroshima Carp
Yomiuri Giants
The source does not provide the number of games behind these figures.
Scoring and differential: higher is better. Runs allowed: lower is better. Differential = scored minus allowed per game.
— means the statistic is unavailable. These are season figures, not a prediction.
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Sharp decline
Strong upward trend
Rank and record by season
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / RD | Avg runs scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | NPB | #5 | 59W 5D 79L | 42.8% -56 RD | 3.08 / 3.48 |
| 2024 | NPB | #4 | 68W 5D 70L | 49.3% -4 RD | 2.9 / 2.93 |
| 2023 | NPB | #2 | 74W 4D 65L | 53.1% -15 RD | 3.45 / 3.55 |
| 2022 | NPB | #5 | 66W 3D 74L | 47.2% +8 RD | 3.86 / 3.8 |
| 2021 | NPB | #4 | 63W 12D 68L | 48.3% -32 RD | 3.9 / 4.12 |
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / RD | Avg runs scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | NPB | #3 | 70W 4D 69L | 50.4% +2 RD | 3.24 / 3.22 |
| 2024 | NPB | #1 | 77W 7D 59L | 56.6% +81 RD | 3.23 / 2.66 |
| 2023 | NPB | #4 | 71W 2D 70L | 50.3% +16 RD | 3.66 / 3.55 |
| 2022 | NPB | #4 | 68W 3D 72L | 48.6% -41 RD | 3.83 / 4.12 |
| 2021 | NPB | #3 | 61W 20D 62L | 49.7% +11 RD | 3.86 / 3.78 |
Compare the same period, market and line. Open a market for its full source detail.
All available bet types with odds
The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing |
|---|---|---|
| Home | - | 1.91 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | - | 1.9 |
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 2.04 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | 1.68 | 1.79 |
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing | Overseas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win | 3.0 | 1.9 | 2.04 |
| Within 1 | 2.6 | - | - |
| Loss | 2.32 | 1.89 | 1.79 |
Handicap (2.5)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.19 | 1.31 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | 3.38 | 3.43 |
Home
1.91
Closing
Away
1.9
Closing
Home
1.85
Away
1.68
Win
3.0
Within 1
2.6
Loss
2.32
50.9%
Home
1.19
Away
3.38
Home
1.19
74.0%
Away
3.38
26.0%
Over
1.73
Under
1.79
Over
1.73
50.9%
Under
1.79
49.1%
Full game · Over/Under 5.5 · 09-22 (Tue) 15:00 KST · Korean domestic market. Purchase shares and historical samples describe this product.
| Type | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| Current | 1.79 | 1.73 |
| Initial | 1.79 | 1.73 |
| Opening | 1.79 | 1.73 |
| Overseas | 1.98↓ | 1.80↑ |
| Overseas − domestic | +0.19 | +0.07 |
| # | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.79 | 1.73 |
Recorded purchase snapshot. Amount and payout index retain source values; units are not supplied.
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