The forecast. The market. The evidence.
Analysis recorded · Sep 16 00:40 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-26 15:09
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.


Analysis recorded · Sep 16 00:40 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-26 15:09
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
AI Predicted
Arizona Diamondbacks Win
Prediction Correct!Compare match records, season figures and the source dates.
Prediction
Arizona Diamondbacks Win
Confidence
53%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
4 - 6
Key Analysis Points
As of June 2024, the Diamondbacks have a stronger roster and better recent form than the Rockies.
Arizona leads the 2024 head-to-head series 4-2 and has a more consistent offense, led by Corbin Carroll and Ketel Marte.
Colorado has struggled with pitching and depth, reflected in a significantly worse win percentage and run differential.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks Win
Score: 4 - 6
Given the available data up to June 2024, the Arizona Diamondbacks have shown better performance both in recent games and the season series against the Rockies. The Rockies' pitching issues and overall weaker roster suggest a disadvantage, especially if key players remain injured or underperforming.
Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks Win
Score: 3 - 5
Based on historical NL West dynamics, the Arizona Diamondbacks project as favorites in this late-season matchup. The D-backs have consistently outperformed the Rockies in division standings and possess a superior roster composition with more reliable starting pitching and offensive consistency. While Coors Field presents environmental factors that could favor the home team, Colorado's historically weaker pitching staff struggles more with the altitude than Arizona benefits from it. In September baseball, playoff positioning becomes crucial - Arizona typically maintains better standing and offensive momentum. The Diamondbacks' proven ability to win close games and their superior bullpen depth gives them the edge despite playing in Denver.
Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks Win
Score: 5 - 8
The Arizona Diamondbacks enter this late-season matchup as the clear favorites based on franchise trajectory and roster depth. By late September, Arizona's balanced lineup—led by a core of high-contact hitters and elite baserunners—is typically optimized to exploit the unique dimensions and thin air of Coors Field. Conversely, the Colorado Rockies continue to face significant challenges in recruiting and maintaining a pitching staff capable of neutralizing high-powered offenses in Denver. Statistical trends from the mid-2020s suggest a widening gap between these NL West rivals. Arizona's focus on defensive efficiency and bullpen versatility provides them with a safety net that the Rockies often lack. While the 'Coors Field Effect' can lead to unpredictable high-scoring variance, the Diamondbacks' ability to manufacture runs through stolen bases and extra-base hits gives them a higher floor. Expect a high-scoring game where Arizona's late-inning relief pitching secures the win.
Max probability 64.1% · Gap 28.2%p
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Compared across 22 bookmakers.
Recorded · 2026-09-26 15:09
Colorado Rockies · 2025 · 15th · 43W 119L (RD -424)
Arizona Diamondbacks · 2025 · 9th · 80W 82L (RD +6)
Records as of this match, not current form.
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
4
Draws
0
Away Wins
6
Recent matches
Last meeting: 2026-08-13 (4-6)
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Baseball · Season performance
Colorado Rockies
145 games played
Arizona Diamondbacks
145 games played
Scoring and differential: higher is better. Runs allowed: lower is better. Differential = scored minus allowed per game.
— means the statistic is unavailable. These are season figures, not a prediction.
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Sharp decline
Strong upward trend
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
Home/Away records
Recent
Rank and record by season
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / RD | Avg runs scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | MLB | #15 | 43W 119L | 26.5% -424 RD | 3.69 / 6.3 |
| 2024 | MLB | #15 | 61W 101L | 37.7% -247 RD | 4.21 / 5.73 |
| 2023 | MLB NL West | #15 | 59W 103L | 36.4% -236 RD | 4.45 / 5.91 |
| 2022 | MLB NL West | #12 | 68W 94L | 42.0% -175 RD | 4.31 / 5.39 |
| 2021 | MLB NL West | #10 | 74W 87L | 46.0% -57 RD | 4.59 / 4.94 |
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / RD | Avg runs scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | MLB | #9 | 80W 82L | 49.4% +6 RD | 4.88 / 4.85 |
| 2024 | MLB | #5 | 89W 73L | 54.9% +98 RD | 5.47 / 4.86 |
| 2023 | MLB NL West | #5 | 84W 78L | 51.9% -15 RD | 4.6 / 4.7 |
| 2022 | MLB NL West | #9 | 74W 88L | 45.7% -38 RD | 4.33 / 4.57 |
| 2021 | MLB NL West | #15 | 52W 110L | 32.1% -214 RD | 4.19 / 5.51 |
Compare the same period, market and line. Open a market for its full source detail.
All available bet types with odds
The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing |
|---|---|---|
| Home | - | 2.56 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | - | 1.5 |
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.49 | 2.53 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | 1.36 | 1.55 |
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing | Overseas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win | 3.95 | 2.53 | 2.53 |
| Within 1 | 3.65 | - | - |
| Loss | 1.61 | 1.52 | 1.55 |
Handicap (2.5)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 1.68 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | 2.0 | 2.25 |
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.49 | 2.53 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | 1.36 | 1.55 |
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing | Overseas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win | 4.1 | 2.52 | 2.53 |
| Within 1 | 3.8 | - | - |
| Loss | 1.56 | 1.55 | 1.55 |
Handicap (2.5)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 1.68 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | 2.0 | 2.25 |
Home
2.56
Closing
35.3%
Away
1.5
Closing
64.7%
Home
2.49
Away
1.36
Win
3.95
35.3%
Within 1
3.65
Loss
1.61
64.7%
Home
2.49
Away
1.36
Win
4.1
35.3%
Within 1
3.8
Loss
1.56
64.7%
Home
1.57
56.0%
Away
2.0
44.0%
Home
1.57
Away
2.0
Home
1.57
Away
2.0
Over
1.6
55.1%
Under
1.96
44.9%
Over
1.6
Under
1.96
Over
1.6
Under
1.96
Full game · Over/Under 10.5 · 09-23 (Wed) 09:40 KST · Korean domestic market. Purchase shares and historical samples describe this product.
| Type | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| Current | 1.96 | 1.60 |
| Initial | 1.96 | 1.60 |
| Opening | 1.96 | 1.60 |
| Overseas | 2.04↓ | 1.80↑ |
| Overseas − domestic | +0.08 | +0.20 |
| # | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.96 | 1.60 |
Recorded purchase snapshot. Amount and payout index retain source values; units are not supplied.
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