The forecast. The market. The evidence.
Analysis recorded · Sep 17 07:20 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-26 17:04
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.


Analysis recorded · Sep 17 07:20 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-26 17:04
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
Compare match records, season figures and the source dates.
Prediction
SSG Landers Win
Confidence
73%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
6 - 3
Key Analysis Points
| Outcome | Odds | Market Prob | AI Prob | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSG Landers Win | 2.11 | 44.8% | 72.6% | +53.2% |
| Samsung Lions Win | 1.71 | 55.2% | 27.4% | -53.1% |
📊 High Odds Investment: Value bets with odds ≥ 2.0 have lower hit rates but positive expected returns over time. The math works when you bet consistently — even hitting 1 out of 3 at 4.0x odds yields profit. Never bet more than Kelly suggests. Patience and bankroll discipline are key.
SSG Landers have a stronger recent form and higher run differential.
Head-to-head favors SSG, especially at home where they have a .644 win percentage.
Samsung Lions struggle offensively and have inconsistent bullpen performance.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Prediction: SSG Landers Win
Score: 6 - 3
SSG Landers enter the match with clear statistical advantages: superior offense, better bullpen, and strong home performance. Their recent head-to-head record against Samsung and overall season consistency further support their edge. While Samsung has occasional strong outings, their issues with run production and bullpen reliability reduce their upset potential. The analysis is based on projected and historical data, so while the confidence is high, lack of real-time specifics lowers the analysis strength slightly.
Prediction: SSG Landers Win
Score: 5 - 3
SSG Landers enter this matchup as clear favorites based on multiple converging factors. The team holds a commanding 7-4 head-to-head advantage over Samsung Lions in 2026 and maintains the 3rd seed position with a .561 win percentage versus Samsung's .484 average. SSG's statistical dominance is pronounced: their 5.1 runs/game average and superior pitching (3.97 ERA) create structural advantages against a Samsung team struggling with both offensive consistency and bullpen stability. The home field advantage amplifies this edge significantly, with SSG posting a .644 win% at home compared to Samsung's .467 away record. While Samsung possesses offensive threats like Pirela and Kang Min-ho, recent form shows inconsistency and the team's current injury concerns further limit their upside. Font's starting performance for SSG combined with their proven late-inning execution patterns suggest they should control this matchup and secure a home victory in a competitive but decisive contest.
Prediction: SSG Landers Win
Score: 6 - 3
SSG Landers enter this matchup as favorites based on their superior season-long performance and league standing. Ranking 3rd in the KBO, SSG boasts a potent offense averaging 5.1 runs per game, anchored by veteran slugger Choi Jeong. Their home dominance is a critical factor, where they maintain a high winning percentage. In contrast, the Samsung Lions have struggled with consistency, particularly on the road, and their bullpen has shown a tendency to collapse in high-leverage situations. Tactically, SSG’s ability to capitalize on errors will likely pressure a Samsung defense prone to lapses. While Samsung’s David Buchanan remains a reliable starter, the Lions' offense often goes cold against quality right-handed pitching. Given SSG's 7-4 head-to-head advantage this season and a significantly stronger run differential (+62 vs -18), they are well-positioned to secure a victory, likely pulling away in the middle to late innings.
Max probability 72.6% · Gap 45.2%p
Strategy: Clear favorite detected. Consider the main market or safe derivative options below for steady compound returns.
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Compared across 22 bookmakers.
Recorded · 2026-09-26 17:04
SSG Landers · 2025 · 3rd · 75W 4D 65L (RD +33)
Samsung Lions · 2025 · 4th · 74W 2D 68L (RD +128)
Records as of this match, not current form.
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
3
Draws
0
Away Wins
7
Recent matches
Last meeting: 2026-08-20 (4-6)
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Baseball · Season performance
SSG Landers
129 games played
Samsung Lions
130 games played
Scoring and differential: higher is better. Runs allowed: lower is better. Differential = scored minus allowed per game.
— means the statistic is unavailable. These are season figures, not a prediction.
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Strong upward trend
Sharp decline
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
Home/Away records
Recent
Rank and record by season
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / RD | Avg runs scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | KBO | #3 | 75W 4D 65L | 53.6% +33 RD | 4.23 / 4.0 |
| 2024 | KBO | #6 | 72W 2D 71L | 50.3% -59 RD | 5.23 / 5.64 |
| 2023 | KBO | #3 | 76W 3D 65L | 53.8% -40 RD | 4.57 / 4.85 |
| 2022 | KBO | #1 | 88W 4D 52L | 62.5% +98 RD | 5.0 / 4.32 |
| 2021 | KBO | #6 | 66W 14D 64L | 50.7% +14 RD | 5.24 / 5.15 |
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / RD | Avg runs scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | KBO | #4 | 74W 2D 68L | 52.1% +128 RD | 5.38 / 4.49 |
| 2024 | KBO | #2 | 78W 2D 64L | 54.9% +51 RD | 5.35 / 4.99 |
| 2023 | KBO | #8 | 61W 1D 82L | 42.7% -92 RD | 4.42 / 5.06 |
| 2022 | KBO | #7 | 66W 2D 76L | 46.5% -32 RD | 4.6 / 4.83 |
| 2021 | KBO | #2 | 76W 9D 59L | 55.9% +54 RD | 4.94 / 4.57 |
Compare the same period, market and line. Open a market for its full source detail.
All available bet types with odds
The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing |
|---|---|---|
| Home | - | 2.11 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | - | 1.71 |
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.53 | 2.8 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | 1.35 | 1.44 |
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Win | 3.95 | 2.8 |
| Within 1 | 3.6 | - |
| Loss | 1.62 | 1.44 |
Handicap (2.5)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 1.78 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | 2.02 | 2.04 |
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing | Overseas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.8 | 2.65 | 2.8 |
| Draw | 5.1 | - | - |
| Away | 1.68 | 1.46 | 1.44 |
Handicap (1.5)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.53 | 2.8 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | 2.07 | 1.44 |
Home
2.11
Closing
Away
1.71
Closing
Home
2.53
Away
1.35
Win
3.95
Within 1
3.6
Loss
1.62
Home
2.8
34.8%
Draw
5.1
Away
1.68
65.2%
Home
1.56
Away
2.02
Home
1.53
Away
2.07
Home
1.56
56.4%
Away
2.02
43.6%
Home
1.53
57.5%
Away
2.07
42.5%
Over
1.75
Under
1.77
Over
1.93
Under
1.62
Over
1.75
50.3%
Under
1.77
49.7%
Over
1.85
47.6%
Under
1.68
52.4%
1st half · Over/Under 5.5 · 09-24 (Thu) 17:00 KST · Korean domestic market. Purchase shares and historical samples describe this product.
| Type | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| Current | 1.62↓ | 1.93↑ |
| Initial | 1.68 | 1.85 |
| Opening | 1.68 | 1.85 |
| Overseas | 2.80↑ | 1.44↓ |
| Overseas − domestic | +1.18 | -0.49 |
| # | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.68 | 1.85 |
| 2 | 1.62 ↓ | 1.93 ↑ |
Recorded purchase snapshot. Amount and payout index retain source values; units are not supplied.
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