The forecast. The market. The evidence.
Analysis recorded · Sep 18 07:10 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-26 16:04
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.


Analysis recorded · Sep 18 07:10 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-26 16:04
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
Compare match records, season figures and the source dates.
Prediction
Doosan Bears Win
Confidence
70%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
6 - 3
Key Analysis Points
| Outcome | Odds | Market Prob | AI Prob | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doosan Bears Win | 1.58 | 60.7% | 65.8% | +4.0% |
| Lotte Giants Win | 2.44 | 39.3% | 34.2% | -16.6% |
Doosan Bears have a superior head-to-head record and have consistently outperformed Lotte Giants in recent years.
Doosan's pitching staff ranks among the best in the KBO, while Lotte has struggled with bullpen depth and late-game consistency.
Key Doosan players like Kim Jae-hwan and Gwak Bin are strong contributors, and the team has had fewer injury concerns.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Prediction: Doosan Bears Win
Score: 6 - 3
Based on trends up to 2024, Doosan Bears hold a clear statistical and historical edge over Lotte Giants, especially at home. Doosan's pitching has regularly limited Lotte's streaky offense, and their top hitters provide reliable run support. While Lotte can be dangerous if their offense clicks, persistent bullpen issues and defensive lapses make them less likely to win on the road. Given the data quality and the time gap until the match, confidence is good but not absolute.
Prediction: Doosan Bears Win
Score: 5 - 3
Doosan Bears are favored in this matchup based on multiple analytical factors. Doosan's pitching rotation, anchored by young ace Gwak Bin, combined with their top-3 ranked bullpen and strong team ERA, provides a significant edge against Lotte's inconsistent offense and weaker pitching depth. Lotte's documented struggles in late-inning situations and their middle-to-lower tier run production make them vulnerable. Doosan's stable roster with key contributors like Yang Eui-ji (clutch hitting) and Kim Jae-hwan (power production) gives them a 72% confidence prediction. While Lotte shows occasional explosiveness, their overall 2024 form suggests they'll struggle to overcome Doosan's pitching advantage.
Prediction: Doosan Bears Win
Score: 6 - 4
Based on longitudinal KBO performance patterns, the Doosan Bears enter this matchup with a structural advantage in pitching depth. Doosan has historically maintained a more robust developmental pipeline for starters, which typically results in more consistent outings compared to Lotte's often volatile rotation. In late-season scenarios like September, Doosan's tactical management of the bullpen often provides the edge needed to secure close games, whereas Lotte has frequently struggled with relief depth and defensive errors during high-leverage moments. While Lotte possesses significant offensive potential through their core hitters, their lack of pitching consistency makes them vulnerable on the road. Doosan's balanced approach, combining veteran leadership from players like Yang Eui-ji with a disciplined pitching staff, makes them the statistical favorite. We expect a mid-scoring game where Doosan's ability to limit big innings for Lotte proves decisive.
Max probability 65.8% · Gap 31.6%p
Strategy: Clear favorite detected. Consider the main market or safe derivative options below for steady compound returns.
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Compared across 22 bookmakers.
Recorded · 2026-09-26 16:04
Doosan Bears · 2025 · 9th · 61W 6D 77L (RD -39)
Lotte Giants · 2025 · 7th · 66W 6D 72L (RD -73)
Records as of this match, not current form.
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
7
Draws
0
Away Wins
3
Recent matches
Last meeting: 2026-08-23 (3-1)
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Baseball · Season performance
Doosan Bears
129 games played
Lotte Giants
126 games played
Scoring and differential: higher is better. Runs allowed: lower is better. Differential = scored minus allowed per game.
— means the statistic is unavailable. These are season figures, not a prediction.
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Slight improvement
Strong upward trend
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
Home/Away records
Recent
Rank and record by season
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / RD | Avg runs scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | KBO | #9 | 61W 6D 77L | 44.2% -39 RD | 4.49 / 4.76 |
| 2024 | KBO | #4 | 74W 2D 68L | 52.1% +41 RD | 5.48 / 5.19 |
| 2023 | KBO | #5 | 74W 2D 68L | 52.1% -5 RD | 4.31 / 4.34 |
| 2022 | KBO | #9 | 60W 2D 82L | 42.4% -83 RD | 4.43 / 5.01 |
| 2021 | KBO | #4 | 71W 8D 65L | 52.1% +82 RD | 5.13 / 4.56 |
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / RD | Avg runs scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | KBO | #7 | 66W 6D 72L | 47.8% -73 RD | 4.69 / 5.2 |
| 2024 | KBO | #7 | 66W 4D 74L | 47.1% +11 RD | 5.57 / 5.49 |
| 2023 | KBO | #7 | 68W 0D 76L | 47.2% -7 RD | 4.53 / 4.58 |
| 2022 | KBO | #8 | 64W 4D 76L | 45.8% -107 RD | 4.2 / 4.94 |
| 2021 | KBO | #8 | 65W 8D 71L | 47.9% -81 RD | 5.05 / 5.61 |
29 updates · opening vs current
Home
1.58
▼ 0.02 (1.60)
Away
2.44
▲ 0.10 (2.34)
| Time | Home | Draw | Away | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 (18:31) | 1.58 60.7% | - | 2.44 39.3% | 95.9% |
| 2026-08-22 (18:21) | 1.59 60.05% | - | 2.39 39.95% | 95.48% |
| 2026-08-22 (18:10) | 1.59 60.05% | - | 2.39 39.95% | 95.48% |
| 2026-08-22 (18:00) | 1.59 60.05% | - | 2.39 39.95% | 95.48% |
| 2026-08-22 (17:50) | 1.59 59.95% | - | 2.38 40.05% | 95.32% |
| 2026-08-22 (17:41) | 1.59 59.95% | - | 2.38 40.05% | 95.32% |
| 2026-08-22 (17:31) | 1.58 60.0% | - | 2.37 40.0% | 94.8% |
| 2026-08-22 (17:21) | 1.58 60.0% | - | 2.37 40.0% | 94.8% |
| 2026-08-22 (17:11) | 1.58 60.0% | - | 2.37 40.0% | 94.8% |
| 2026-08-22 (17:00) | 1.59 59.85% | - | 2.37 40.15% | 95.17% |
| 2026-08-22 (16:51) | 1.59 59.85% | - | 2.37 40.15% | 95.17% |
| 2026-08-22 (16:41) | 1.58 60.0% | - | 2.37 40.0% | 94.8% |
| 2026-08-22 (16:31) | 1.58 60.0% | - | 2.37 40.0% | 94.8% |
| 2026-08-22 (16:20) | 1.58 60.0% | - | 2.37 40.0% | 94.8% |
| 2026-08-22 (16:10) | 1.58 60.0% | - | 2.37 40.0% | 94.8% |
| 2026-08-22 (16:01) | 1.58 60.0% | - | 2.37 40.0% | 94.8% |
| 2026-08-22 (15:51) | 1.58 60.0% | - | 2.37 40.0% | 94.8% |
| 2026-08-22 (15:42) | 1.58 60.0% | - | 2.37 40.0% | 94.8% |
| 2026-08-22 (15:31) | 1.59 59.85% | - | 2.37 40.15% | 95.17% |
| 2026-08-22 (15:21) | 1.58 60.0% | - | 2.37 40.0% | 94.8% |
| 2026-08-22 (15:10) | 1.58 60.0% | - | 2.37 40.0% | 94.8% |
| 2026-08-22 (15:01) | 1.58 60.0% | - | 2.37 40.0% | 94.8% |
| 2026-08-22 (14:51) | 1.58 59.9% | - | 2.36 40.1% | 94.64% |
| 2026-08-22 (14:41) | 1.58 59.9% | - | 2.36 40.1% | 94.64% |
| 2026-08-22 (14:30) | 1.58 59.9% | - | 2.36 40.1% | 94.64% |
| 2026-08-22 (14:21) | 1.58 59.9% | - | 2.36 40.1% | 94.64% |
| 2026-08-22 (14:10) | 1.58 59.9% | - | 2.36 40.1% | 94.64% |
| 2026-08-22 (14:01) | 1.58 59.9% | - | 2.36 40.1% | 94.64% |
| 2026-08-22 (13:50) | 1.60 59.39% | - | 2.34 40.61% | 95.02% |
Compare the same period, market and line. Open a market for its full source detail.
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The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing |
|---|---|---|
| Home | - | 1.58 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | - | 2.44 |
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 1.92 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | 1.74 | 1.89 |
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Win | 2.6 | 1.92 |
| Within 1 | 3.15 | - |
| Loss | 2.24 | 1.89 |
Handicap (2.5)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.25 | 1.36 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | 2.97 | 3.16 |
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing | Overseas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.1 | 1.89 | 1.92 |
| Draw | 5.7 | - | - |
| Away | 2.01 | 1.88 | 1.89 |
Handicap (1.5)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.28 | 1.92 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | 2.82 | 1.89 |
Home
1.58
Closing
Away
2.44
Closing
Home
1.78
Away
1.74
Win
2.6
Within 1
3.15
Loss
2.24
Home
2.1
49.4%
Draw
5.7
Away
2.01
50.6%
Home
1.25
Away
2.97
Home
1.28
Away
2.82
Home
1.25
70.4%
Away
2.97
29.6%
Home
1.28
68.8%
Away
2.82
31.2%
Over
1.82
Under
1.7
Over
1.77
Under
1.75
Over
1.89
46.6%
Under
1.65
53.4%
Over
1.77
49.7%
Under
1.75
50.3%
1st half · Home handicap +1.5 · 09-25 (Fri) 17:00 KST · Korean domestic market. Purchase shares and historical samples describe this product.
| Type | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Current | 1.28 | 2.82 |
| Initial | 1.28 | 2.82 |
| Opening | 1.28 | 2.82 |
| Overseas | 1.92↑ | 1.89↓ |
| Overseas − domestic | +0.64 | -0.93 |
| # | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.28 | 2.82 |
Recorded purchase snapshot. Amount and payout index retain source values; units are not supplied.
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