The forecast. The market. The evidence.
Analysis recorded · Sep 23 01:20 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-26 16:04
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.


Analysis recorded · Sep 23 01:20 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-26 16:04
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
AI Predicted
Yakult Swallows Win
Prediction Correct!Compare match records, season figures and the source dates.
Prediction
Yakult Swallows Win
Confidence
69%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
5 - 2
Key Analysis Points
Yakult Swallows have superior recent form and home record.
Swallows' offense and bullpen statistically outperform Chunichi in 2024.
Dragons rank last in both offense and pitching, especially struggling on the road.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Prediction: Yakult Swallows Win
Score: 5 - 2
Based on the most recent available data, the Yakult Swallows hold significant advantages in both team offense and bullpen performance, especially at home. Their key players, like Munetaka Murakami, add power and consistency, while Chunichi continues to struggle with run production and pitching stability. Although historical head-to-head slightly favors Chunichi, recent matchups and trends point to Yakult dominating. Confidence is moderate due to the data being from 2024 and the possibility of roster changes by 2026.
Prediction: Yakult Swallows Win
Score: 5 - 2
The Yakult Swallows are clear favorites in this matchup based on comprehensive statistical and recent form advantages. The recent head-to-head record strongly favors Swallows, who have won 15 of 25 games in 2023 and maintained a 6-4 advantage through early 2024. Dragons' particularly poor away performance (8-19-2) makes them vulnerable at Swallows' home stadium. Munetaka Murakami's established power threat and Kazuto Taguchi's reliability as closer should provide Swallows with crucial offensive and defensive advantages against Dragons' struggling lineup. While historical all-time record slightly favors Dragons, current form and momentum heavily tip the scales toward Yakult.
Prediction: Yakult Swallows Win
Score: 4 - 2
The Yakult Swallows enter this matchup as the favorites, primarily driven by their superior offensive depth and power-hitting core. Historically, the Swallows have maintained a significant edge in matchups against the Dragons, leveraging their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities in late-inning scenarios. The presence of elite sluggers like Munetaka Murakami creates a mismatch for a Dragons pitching staff that has struggled with consistency. Conversely, the Chunichi Dragons have faced ongoing challenges with run production, often ranking near the bottom of the Central League in team batting average and home runs. While their starting rotation can keep games competitive, their bullpen has shown vulnerability under pressure. Given the Swallows' more reliable relief corps and the Dragons' historically poor road record, the home side is well-positioned to secure a victory in this late-season encounter.
Max probability 64.9% · Gap 29.8%p
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Compared across 22 bookmakers.
Recorded · 2026-09-26 16:04
Yakult Swallows · 2025 · 6th · 57W 7D 79L (RD -121)
Chunichi Dragons · 2025 · 4th · 63W 2D 78L (RD -60)
Records as of this match, not current form.
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
2
Draws
1
Away Wins
7
Recent matches
Last meeting: 2026-09-12 (5-6)
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Baseball · Season performance
Yakult Swallows
Chunichi Dragons
The source does not provide the number of games behind these figures.
Scoring and differential: higher is better. Runs allowed: lower is better. Differential = scored minus allowed per game.
— means the statistic is unavailable. These are season figures, not a prediction.
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Sharp decline
Strong upward trend
Rank and record by season
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / RD | Avg runs scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | NPB | #6 | 57W 7D 79L | 41.9% -121 RD | 3.1 / 3.94 |
| 2024 | NPB | #5 | 62W 4D 77L | 44.6% -50 RD | 3.54 / 3.89 |
| 2023 | NPB | #5 | 57W 3D 83L | 40.9% -33 RD | 3.73 / 3.97 |
| 2022 | NPB | #1 | 80W 4D 59L | 57.3% +53 RD | 4.33 / 3.96 |
| 2021 | NPB | #1 | 73W 18D 52L | 57.3% +94 RD | 4.37 / 3.71 |
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / RD | Avg runs scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | NPB | #4 | 63W 2D 78L | 44.7% -60 RD | 2.82 / 3.24 |
| 2024 | NPB | #6 | 60W 8D 75L | 44.4% -105 RD | 2.61 / 3.34 |
| 2023 | NPB | #6 | 56W 5D 82L | 40.9% -108 RD | 2.73 / 3.48 |
| 2022 | NPB | #6 | 66W 2D 75L | 46.9% -81 RD | 2.9 / 3.46 |
| 2021 | NPB | #5 | 55W 17D 71L | 44.4% -73 RD | 2.83 / 3.34 |
Compare the same period, market and line. Open a market for its full source detail.
All available bet types with odds
The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing |
|---|---|---|
| Home | - | 1.89 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | - | 1.9 |
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 1.97 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | 1.74 | 1.86 |
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing | Overseas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win | 2.8 | 1.91 | 1.97 |
| Within 1 | 2.8 | - | - |
| Loss | 2.3 | 1.88 | 1.86 |
Handicap (2.5)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.21 | 1.35 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | 3.23 | 3.22 |
Home
1.89
Closing
Away
1.9
Closing
Home
1.78
Away
1.74
Win
2.8
49.4%
Within 1
2.8
Loss
2.3
50.6%
Home
1.21
Away
3.23
Home
1.21
72.8%
Away
3.23
27.2%
Over
1.59
Under
1.97
Over
1.59
55.3%
Under
1.97
44.7%
Full game · Home handicap +2.5 · 09-25 (Fri) 18:00 KST · Korean domestic market. Purchase shares and historical samples describe this product.
| Type | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Current | 1.21 | 3.23 |
| Initial | 1.21 | 3.23 |
| Opening | 1.21 | 3.23 |
| Overseas | 1.35↑ | 3.22↓ |
| Overseas − domestic | +0.14 | -0.01 |
| # | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.21 | 3.23 |
Recorded purchase snapshot. Amount and payout index retain source values; units are not supplied.
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