The forecast. The market. The evidence.
Analysis recorded · Sep 18 13:00 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-26 17:04
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.


Analysis recorded · Sep 18 13:00 UTC
Data as of · 2026-09-26 17:04
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
AI Predicted
Panama Win
Prediction MissedCompare match records, season figures and the source dates.
Prediction
Panama Win
Confidence
73%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
0 - 2
Key Analysis Points
Panama is ranked significantly higher (44th vs 103rd) and has a stronger attack.
India has scored just 1 goal in their last 5 matches and is missing key players.
Panama's recent form shows attacking capability, though their defense is occasionally vulnerable.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Prediction: Panama Win
Score: 0 - 2
Based on recent form, FIFA rankings, and squad strength, Panama is the clear favorite. India has struggled to score and is transitioning after Chhetri's retirement, while Panama regularly faces stronger opposition and scores more frequently. Though India's defense is organized, the lack of attacking threat makes it unlikely they can exploit Panama's defensive weaknesses. Given Panama's superior quality and form, an away win is the most probable result, though a low-scoring contest is likely.
Prediction: Panama Win
Score: 1 - 2
Panama enters as clear favorites based on FIFA rankings (44th vs 103rd) and recent form metrics. The statistical disparity is stark: Panama averages 1.4 goals per game while India manages only 0.2 goals across their last five matches. India's defensive organization remains solid (0.8 goals conceded per game) but their attacking void—exacerbated by Sunil Chhetri's retirement—creates a fundamental imbalance. Panama's coach Thomas Christiansen employs aggressive pressing with a flexible 4-2-3-1 setup, which will overwhelm India's transition-based approach. While India's defense may contain threats, they lack the creative force to exploit Panama's defensive inconsistencies (1.4 goals conceded per game). Panama's first-time away record this year (1-1-2) demonstrates they can perform outside home, particularly when facing lower-ranked opposition. Predicting a 2-1 Panama victory reflects their attacking superiority while acknowledging India's defensive resilience and occasional counter-threat potential.
Prediction: Panama Win
Score: 0 - 2
Panama enters this fixture as the heavy favorites due to a stark disparity in squad depth and technical quality. While India has maintained a respectable defensive record, their inability to generate high-quality scoring chances is a critical weakness. Since the retirement of legend Sunil Chhetri, the Blue Tigers have lacked a focal point in attack, which will likely allow Panama to push their defensive line higher and dominate possession. Panama's experience in high-intensity CONCACAF qualifiers against teams like Mexico and Colombia suggests they possess the physicality and tactical discipline to break down India's low block. Led by Adalberto Carrasquilla in midfield, Panama should control the tempo throughout the match. India may hold out for a period, but Panama's superior athleticism and finishing ability in the final third are expected to secure a comfortable victory, likely keeping a clean sheet in the process.
Max probability 62.5% · Gap 38.5%p
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Compared across 16 bookmakers.
Recorded · 2026-09-26 17:04
Records as of this match, not current form.
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
4
Home Wins
1
Draws
1
Away Wins
2
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Sharp decline
Stable
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
Home/Away records
Recent
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All available bet types with odds
The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing |
|---|---|---|
| Home | - | 6.5 |
| Draw | - | 4.0 |
| Away | - | 1.4 |
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing | Overseas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.07 | 6.5 | 1.21 |
| Draw | 6.8 | 4.0 | 5.86 |
| Away | 15.0 | 1.4 | 12.73 |
Handicap (-1)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 1.63 |
| Draw | 4.05 | 4.15 |
| Away | 5.5 | 3.99 |
Handicap (-2)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 2.5 |
| Draw | 3.6 | 4.24 |
| Away | 2.8 | 2.16 |
Handicap (-3.5)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.3 | 4.27 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | 1.2 | 1.18 |
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing | Overseas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.4 | 8.17 | 10.29 |
| Draw | 3.8 | 4.38 | 5.63 |
| Away | 1.33 | 1.38 | 1.28 |
Handicap (1)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.8 | 3.64 |
| Draw | 3.1 | 3.49 |
| Away | 2.13 | 1.79 |
Handicap (2)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 1.91 |
| Draw | 3.8 | 3.7 |
| Away | 3.95 | 3.14 |
Handicap (3.5)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.01 | 1.1 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | 6.84 | 6.17 |
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing | Overseas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.7 | 8.3 | 10.29 |
| Draw | 4.1 | 4.78 | 5.63 |
| Away | 1.29 | 1.35 | 1.28 |
Handicap (1)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.9 | 3.64 |
| Draw | 3.8 | 3.49 |
| Away | 1.85 | 1.79 |
Handicap (2)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 1.91 |
| Draw | 3.8 | 3.7 |
| Away | 3.4 | 3.14 |
Handicap (3.5)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.01 | 1.1 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | 6.84 | 6.17 |
Match Winner
| Outcome | Odds | Closing | Overseas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.14 | 8.3 | 1.21 |
| Draw | 5.8 | 4.78 | 5.86 |
| Away | 10.0 | 1.35 | 12.73 |
Handicap (-1)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 1.63 |
| Draw | 3.95 | 4.15 |
| Away | 4.85 | 3.99 |
Handicap (-2)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.3 | 2.5 |
| Draw | 3.7 | 4.24 |
| Away | 2.25 | 2.16 |
Handicap (-3.5)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.3 | 4.27 |
| Draw | - | - |
| Away | 1.2 | 1.18 |
Home
6.5
Closing
Draw
4.0
Closing
Away
1.4
Closing
Home
1.07
81.4%
Draw
6.8
12.8%
Away
15.0
5.8%
Home
7.4
Draw
3.8
12.8%
Away
1.33
Home
7.7
Draw
4.1
12.8%
Away
1.29
Home
1.14
81.4%
Draw
5.8
12.8%
Away
10.0
5.8%
Home
1.39
Draw
4.05
Away
5.5
Home
1.94
Draw
3.6
Away
2.8
Home
3.3
Away
1.2
Home
1.39
62.7%
Draw
4.05
21.5%
Away
5.5
15.8%
Home
1.94
44.8%
Draw
3.6
24.1%
Away
2.8
31.0%
Home
3.3
26.7%
Away
1.2
73.3%
Home
2.8
31.1%
Draw
3.1
28.1%
Away
2.13
40.9%
Home
1.58
55.1%
Draw
3.8
22.9%
Away
3.95
22.0%
Home
1.01
87.1%
Away
6.84
12.9%
Home
2.8
Draw
3.1
Away
2.13
Home
1.58
Draw
3.8
Away
3.95
Home
1.01
Away
6.84
Home
2.9
Draw
3.8
Away
1.85
Home
1.69
Draw
3.8
Away
3.4
Home
1.01
Away
6.84
Home
1.45
Draw
3.95
Away
4.85
Home
2.3
Draw
3.7
Away
2.25
Home
3.3
Away
1.2
Over
1.78
Under
1.74
Over
1.78
49.4%
Under
1.74
50.6%
Over
1.82
48.3%
Under
1.7
51.7%
Over
1.82
Under
1.7
Over
1.77
Under
1.75
Over
1.9
Under
1.64
Full game · Over/Under 2.5 · 09-25 (Fri) 23:00 KST · Korean domestic market. Purchase shares and historical samples describe this product.
| Type | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| Current | 1.75↑ | 1.77↓ |
| Initial | 1.70 | 1.82 |
| Opening | 1.70 | 1.82 |
| Overseas | 2.05↑ | 1.75↓ |
| Overseas − domestic | +0.30 | -0.02 |
| # | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.70 | 1.82 |
| 2 | 1.75 ↑ | 1.77 ↓ |
Recorded purchase snapshot. Amount and payout index retain source values; units are not supplied.
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