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Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

Home

Final
7 - 0

Bayern Munich Win

2026-09-18 17:30

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

Away

📋 4 ROUND 🗓 2026/2027 🏆 SUMMRIZE

Korean market · Odds & records

🏟 알리안츠 아레나 ● Bayern Munich 2025/2026 · 1st · 28W 5D 1L (GD +86) ● Union Berlin 2025/2026 · 11th · 10W 9D 15L (GD -14)

🎯 Tokti AI Prediction

Prediction

Bayern Munich Win

Confidence

85%

How strongly our analysis backs this pick

Predicted Score

3 - 1

Key Analysis Points

  • ✓ Bayern Munich have never lost to Union Berlin in Bundesliga play as of June 2024.
  • ✓ Bayern consistently possess a far superior squad and attacking firepower, especially at home.
  • ✓ Union Berlin historically struggle away from home and have defensive vulnerabilities.
Recommended Bets: Home Win (85%) Over 2.5 (70%)

📊 Win Probability

Bayern Munich
76.5%
16.0%
Union Berlin
Home 76.5%
Draw 16.0%
Away 7.5%

🧭 Market Signals

What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved

Where the money went

Payout 88.0%
59.3%
25.5%
15.2%
Home 59.3% Draw 25.5% Away 15.2%

Odds movement (open → now)

Home
1.02 → 1.01
▼ 0.01
Draw
9.80 → 10.50
▲ 0.70
Away
18.50 → 19.50
▲ 1.00

Falling odds mean money moved onto that side.

Most likely scorelines

6-0
8.71%
5-0
8.33%
7-0
7.74%
4-0
6.56%
8-0
6.13%

Next fixtures

Bayern Munich
10/10 A FC Augsburg Bundesliga
10/14 A 비킹FK UEFA Champions League
10/18 H RB Leipzig Bundesliga

Compared across 24 bookmakers.

🟢

Safe Bet

Max probability 76.5% · Gap 60.5%p

GREEN
Analysis data as of 2026-09-24 23:05

Records as of this match, not the teams' current form.

📋 Last 5 Matches

Analysis Data · Recent results

Bayern Munich
W D W W W
View 5 recent results
2026-09-11 UEFA Champions League
Bayern Munich 5 : 0 Bodo/Glimt
2026-09-06 Bundesliga
Schalke 0 : 0 Bayern Munich
2026-09-03 DFB-Pokal
VfL Osnabruck 1 : 4 Bayern Munich
2026-08-29 Bundesliga
Bayern Munich 5 : 1 Stuttgart
2026-08-23 DFL-Supercup
Dortmund 1 : 2 Bayern Munich
Union Berlin
L D W W W
View 5 recent results
2026-09-05 Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 4 : 0 Union Berlin
2026-08-29 Bundesliga
Union Berlin 3 : 3 Eintracht Frankfurt
2026-08-23 DFB-Pokal
Braunschweig 2 : 4 Union Berlin
2026-05-16 Bundesliga
Union Berlin 4 : 0 Augsburg
2026-05-11 Bundesliga
Mainz 1 : 3 Union Berlin

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Analysis Data · Recent meetings

Total

10

Home Wins

7

Draws

3

Away Wins

0

Average total goals 3.4

Recent matches

2026-03-21 Bundesliga
Bayern Munich 4 - 0 Union Berlin
Home team won
2025-12-04 DFB-Pokal
Union Berlin 2 - 3 Bayern Munich
Home team won
2025-11-08 Bundesliga
Union Berlin 2 - 2 Bayern Munich
Draw
2025-03-15 Bundesliga
Union Berlin 1 - 1 Bayern Munich
Draw
2024-11-02 Bundesliga
Bayern Munich 3 - 0 Union Berlin
Home team won

Last meeting: 2026-03-21 (4-0)

📊 Season Summary

Analysis Data · Current season stats

Bayern Munich

Rank 6
Games played 2
Record 1W · 1D · 0L
Standing points 4
Standing points / match 2.0
Goals for / against 5 / 1
Avg goals scored / allowed 2.5 / 0.5

Union Berlin

Rank 15
Games played 2
Record 0W · 1D · 1L
Standing points 1
Standing points / match 0.5
Goals for / against 3 / 7
Avg goals scored / allowed 1.5 / 3.5

🎯 Betting Options

All available bet types with odds

The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.

Match Winner 2 sources #2739 Odds & records

Home

1.01

86.3%

Draw

10.5

9.0%

Away

19.5

4.8%

More metrics

🕸️ Team Style Comparison

Analysis Data · 5 source indices

Bayern Munich
GOAL 100 ATTACK 39 RS 83 RA 83 DEFENSE 88
Union Berlin
GOAL 18 ATTACK 36 RS 50 RA 0 DEFENSE 45

📈 Recent Form Trend

Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance

Bayern Munich
↑ 8.22

Strong upward trend

Union Berlin
↑ 3.91

Strong upward trend

⚖️ Performance Metrics

Overall · home/away records · recent form

Overall

2 Standing points / match 0.5
2.5 Avg goals scored 1.5
0.5 Avg goals allowed 3.5

Home/Away records

3 Standing points / match 0
5 Avg goals scored 0
1 Avg goals allowed 4

Recent

2 Standing points / match 0.5
2.5 Avg goals scored 1.5
0.5 Avg goals allowed 3.5

🔥 Streaks

Analysis Data · Current form indicators

Bayern Munich

Overall

Unbeaten 2 Winless 1

Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 2

At Home

Win 1

Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1

Away

Unbeaten 1 Winless 1

Best: Unbeaten 1

Union Berlin

Overall

Lose 1 Winless 2

Best: Unbeaten 1

At Home

Unbeaten 1 Winless 1

Best: Unbeaten 1

Away

Lose 1

📚 Season History

Rank and record by season

Bayern Munich

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / GD Avg goals scored / allowed
2025/2026 Bundesliga #1 28W 5D 1L +86 GD 3.59 / 1.06
2024/2025 Bundesliga #1 25W 7D 2L +67 GD 2.91 / 0.94
2023/2024 Bundesliga #3 23W 3D 8L +49 GD 2.76 / 1.32
2022/2023 Bundesliga #1 21W 8D 5L 71 pts +54 GD 2.71 / 1.12
2021/2022 Bundesliga #1 24W 5D 5L 77 pts +60 GD 2.85 / 1.09

Union Berlin

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / GD Avg goals scored / allowed
2025/2026 Bundesliga #11 10W 9D 15L -14 GD 1.29 / 1.71
2024/2025 Bundesliga #13 10W 10D 14L -16 GD 1.03 / 1.5
2023/2024 Bundesliga #15 9W 6D 19L -25 GD 0.97 / 1.71
2022/2023 Bundesliga #4 18W 8D 8L 62 pts +13 GD 1.5 / 1.12
2021/2022 Bundesliga #5 16W 9D 9L 57 pts +6 GD 1.47 / 1.29

👥 Squads

Registered players with season stats

Bayern Munich

21 players
View squad
Pos Player GP Goals Cards
FW 9 Haeri Kein (33) 26 31 1
FW 7 Sereujyu Nabeuri (31) 20 8 1
MF 14 Ruiseu Diaseu (29) 25 15 7 1
MF 17 Michael Olise (25) 25 11 5
MF 8 Reon Gorecheuka (31) 24 2 4
MF 6 Joshua Kimmich (31) 23 2 4
MF 27 Konrad Laimer (29) 22 3 5
MF 20 Tom Bisyopeu (21) 22 0 2
MF 45 Aleksandar Pavlovic (22) Hip injury 21 3 2
MF 11 Nikolraseu Jaekseun (25) 17 4 1 1
MF 21 Hiroki Ito (27) 11 1 -
MF 10 Jamal Musaalra (23) Ankle injury 8 1 1
DF 4 Jonathan Tah (30) 22 2 5
DF 2 Dayot Upamecano (28) 22 1 4
DF 44 Josip Stanišić (26) 19 2 1
DF 3 Kim Min-jae (30) 19 1 1
DF 22 Hapael Geheiru (33) 13 3 -
DF 19 Alronso Deibiseu (26) Hamstring injury 8 0 1
GK 1 Manuel Neuer (40) Calf injury 19 0 -
GK 40 Jonas Urbig (23) 9 0 -
GK 26 Seuben Ulraihi (38) Muscle injury 1 0 1

Union Berlin

21 players
View squad
Pos Player GP Goals Cards
FW 10 Ilyas Ansah (22) 26 5 1
FW 23 Andeurei Ilrichi (26) 25 1 5
FW 7 Olribeo Beokeu (29) 22 4 2
FW 21 Tim Skarke (30) 17 1 -
FW 24 Robeoteu Seukopeu (30) Muscle injury 3 0 -
MF 8 Rani Khedira (32) 26 5 6
MF 14 Reopolteu Kwereupelteu (23) 26 2 6
MF 6 Aljoscha Kemlein (22) 25 0 3
MF 11 Jeong Woo-yeong (27) 25 3 -
MF 19 Janik Haberer (32) 24 0 8
MF 13 Andeuraseu Syapeo (27) 21 1 2 1
MF 33 Alrekseu Keural (28) 17 0 1
MF 18 Josip Juranović (31) 7 0 1
DF 5 Danilho Doeki (28) 27 4 4
DF 39 Kon Derik Aseo 25 1 4 1
DF 28 Christopher Trimmel (39) 24 0 7
DF 4 Diogo Reiteu (27) 16 0 2
DF 15 Tom Rothe 14 1 1 1
DF 34 Seutaenri Eunsoki (27) 12 1 2
GK 1 Peurederik Ronnou (34) 26 0 2
GK 31 Matheo Raab (28) Hand injury 1 0 -

Detailed Analysis

Key Analysis

Bayern Munich have never lost to Union Berlin in Bundesliga play as of June 2024.

Match Outlook

Bayern consistently possess a far superior squad and attacking firepower, especially at home.

Team Status

Union Berlin historically struggle away from home and have defensive vulnerabilities.

Stored match probabilities

Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.

Home win77.0%
Draw16.0%
Away win7.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win100%
Draw0%
Away Win0%

🔎 Forecast Agreement

3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.

Show each forecast

ChatGPT · Forecast 1

90%

Prediction: Bayern Munich Win

Score: 3 - 1

  • Bayern Munich have never lost to Union Berlin in Bundesliga play as of June 2024.
  • Bayern consistently possess a far superior squad and attacking firepower, especially at home.
  • Union Berlin historically struggle away from home and have defensive vulnerabilities.
Read full reasoning

All historical trends and statistical analysis favor Bayern Munich, especially at home, where they have a dominant record and average nearly three goals per game. Union Berlin, though resilient, have limited attacking threat and struggle on the road, as indicated by their poor away record and negative goal differential. Unless significant changes occur in the squads or form by 2026, Bayern are clear favorites, with only a modest chance for a draw or upset. Confidence is medium due to the reliance on 2024 data rather than current season specifics.

Claude · Forecast 2

82%

Prediction: Bayern Munich Win

Score: 3 - 1

  • Bayern Munich's dominant historical record vs Union Berlin (6W-4D-0L suggests overwhelming superiority)
  • Union Berlin's severe away form in 2023/24 (2W-3D-12L) indicates vulnerability on the road
  • Bayern's strong home record (13W-2D-2L) combined with superior attacking prowess (94 goals in 2023/24)
  • Union Berlin's defensive struggles (58 GA in 2023/24) will be tested by Bayern's elite attacking options
  • Vincent Kompany's Bayern likely motivated to reclaim Bundesliga title after 2nd place finish in 2023/24
Read full reasoning

Bayern Munich are clear favorites based on historical dominance, superior squad quality, and current form trajectory. Union Berlin has never beaten Bayern in the Bundesliga and showed severe defensive vulnerabilities (58 goals conceded) in 2023/24. Bayern's home record is excellent (13W-2D-2L) and they possess elite attacking talent including Harry Kane. Union Berlin's away form was catastrophic last season (2W-3D-12L), and they offer minimal defensive resilience against Bayern's high-intensity pressing. The 5-1 demolition from earlier in 2023/24 exemplifies the gulf in class. While Union's compact defensive approach may limit the margin, Bayern's superior depth and attacking quality should comfortably secure victory at home.

Gemini · Forecast 3

85%

Prediction: Bayern Munich Win

Score: 3 - 0

  • Historical Dominance: Bayern remains undefeated in all-time Bundesliga head-to-head meetings against Union Berlin.
  • Home Advantage: Bayern Munich maintains one of the strongest home records in European football at the Allianz Arena.
  • Tactical Disparity: Bayern's high-pressing offensive system typically exploits Union Berlin's low-block defensive strategy.
Read full reasoning

Bayern Munich enters this fixture as the clear favorite based on historical performance and squad depth. Historically, Union Berlin has struggled to cope with Bayern's relentless offensive rotations and high possession stats. While Union is known for their tactical discipline and defensive organization, they have yet to prove they can withstand the individual quality of Bayern's elite forwards over 90 minutes, especially in an away setting. Furthermore, the early-season timing suggests Bayern will be looking to establish dominance in the standings. Union's reliance on set pieces and counter-attacks often falls short against Bayern's recovery pace and ball retention. Given the historical trend of high-scoring victories for the home side in this matchup, a comfortable multi-goal win for Bayern is the most probable outcome. Union's primary challenge will be damage limitation rather than chasing an unlikely three points.

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