Key Analysis
Hoffenheim finished 7th in the Bundesliga with a strong attacking record (1.8 goals/game).
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⚽ Football
BUNDESLIGA
Paderborn
Home
Final
3
-
1
Paderborn Win
2026-09-20 16:30
Hoffenheim
Away
📋
4 ROUND
🗓
2026/2027
🏆
SUMMRIZE
Korean market · Odds & records
🏟 홈 디럭스 아레나
● Paderborn 2025/2026 · 3rd · 18W 8D 8L (GD +14)
● Hoffenheim 2025/2026 · 5th · 18W 7D 9L (GD +13)
🎯 Prediction Accuracy
AI Predicted
Hoffenheim Win
Prediction Missed🎯 Tokti AI Prediction
Prediction
Hoffenheim Win
Confidence
62%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Key Analysis Points
- ✓ Hoffenheim finished 7th in the Bundesliga with a strong attacking record (1.8 goals/game).
- ✓ Paderborn were a mid-table 2. Bundesliga side, with less top-flight experience and a weaker attack.
- ✓ Recent head-to-head history is tight, but Hoffenheim have superior individual quality and depth.
Recommended Bets:
Away Win
(62%)
Over 2.5
(57%)
📊 Win Probability
Paderborn
Hoffenheim
22.5%
27.5%
50.0%
Home 22.5%
Draw 27.5%
Away 50.0%
🧭 Market Signals
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Where the money went
Payout 88.0%
31.7%
34.3%
34.0%
Home 31.7%
Draw 34.3%
Away 34.0%
Most likely scorelines
1-1
11.43%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
7.41%
1-0
7.04%
Next fixtures
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10/10
H
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10/17
A
Werder Bremen
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H
Hamburger SV
Bundesliga
TSG Hoffenheim
10/10
H
Hamburger SV
Bundesliga
10/16
H
Besiktas
UEFA Europa League
10/19
A
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Bundesliga
Compared across 23 bookmakers.
🟡
YELLOW
Caution
Max probability 50.0% · Gap 22.5%p
Analysis data as of 2026-09-24 23:07
Records as of this match, not the teams' current form.
📋 Last 5 Matches
Analysis Data · Recent results
Paderborn
L
D
W
D
D
View 5 recent results
2026-09-05
Bundesliga
Paderborn
0 : 1
Freiburg
2026-08-29
Bundesliga
Mainz
0 : 0
Paderborn
2026-08-24
DFB-Pokal
Phonix Lubeck
2 : 4
Paderborn
2026-05-26
2. Bundesliga
Paderborn
2 : 1
Wolfsburg
2026-05-22
2. Bundesliga
Wolfsburg
0 : 0
Paderborn
Hoffenheim
L
L
W
L
W
View 5 recent results
2026-09-05
Bundesliga
Hoffenheim
2 : 3
Dortmund
2026-08-29
Bundesliga
FC Koln
3 : 2
Hoffenheim
2026-08-22
DFB-Pokal
Aue
0 : 4
Hoffenheim
2026-05-16
Bundesliga
B. Monchengladbach
4 : 0
Hoffenheim
2026-05-09
Bundesliga
Hoffenheim
1 : 0
Werder Bremen
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
4
Home Wins
0
Draws
2
Away Wins
2
Average total goals
1.5
Recent matches
2020-05-23
Bundesliga
Paderborn
1 - 1
Hoffenheim
Draw
2019-11-02
Bundesliga
Hoffenheim
3 - 0
Paderborn
Away team won
2015-03-21
Bundesliga
Paderborn
0 - 0
Hoffenheim
Draw
2014-10-25
Bundesliga
Hoffenheim
1 - 0
Paderborn
Away team won
Last meeting: 2020-05-23 (1-1)
📊 Season Summary
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Paderborn
Rank
13
Games played
2
Record
0W · 1D · 1L
Standing points
1
Standing points / match
0.5
Goals for / against
0 / 1
Avg goals scored / allowed
0.0 / 0.5
Hoffenheim
Rank
16
Games played
2
Record
0W · 0D · 2L
Standing points
0
Standing points / match
0.0
Goals for / against
4 / 6
Avg goals scored / allowed
2.0 / 3.0
🎯 Betting Options
All available bet types with odds
The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.
More metrics
🕸️ Team Style Comparison
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Paderborn
GOAL
20
ATTACK
7
RS
0
RA
83
DEFENSE
88
Hoffenheim
GOAL
24
ATTACK
47
RS
67
RA
0
DEFENSE
50
📈 Recent Form Trend
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Paderborn
↑
0.25
Stable
Hoffenheim
↓
-1.14
Slight decline
⚖️ Performance Metrics
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
0.5
Standing points / match
0
0
Avg goals scored
2
0.5
Avg goals allowed
3
Home/Away records
0
Standing points / match
0
0
Avg goals scored
2
1
Avg goals allowed
3
Recent
0.5
Standing points / match
0
0
Avg goals scored
2
0.5
Avg goals allowed
3
🔥 Streaks
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Paderborn
Overall
Lose 1
Winless 2
Best: Unbeaten 1
At Home
Lose 1
Away
Unbeaten 1
Winless 1
Best: Unbeaten 1
Hoffenheim
Overall
Lose 2
At Home
Lose 1
Away
Lose 1
📚 Season History
Rank and record by season
Paderborn
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Germany 2. Bundesliga | #3 | 18W 8D 8L | +14 GD | 1.74 / 1.32 |
| 2024/2025 | Germany 2. Bundesliga | #4 | 15W 10D 9L | +10 GD | 1.65 / 1.35 |
| 2023/2024 | Germany 2. Bundesliga | #7 | 15W 7D 12L | 0 GD | 1.59 / 1.59 |
| 2022/2023 | Germany 2. Bundesliga | #6 | 16W 7D 11L | 55 pts +24 GD | 2.0 / 1.29 |
| 2021/2022 | Germany 2. Bundesliga | #7 | 13W 12D 9L | 51 pts +12 GD | 1.65 / 1.29 |
Hoffenheim
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Bundesliga | #5 | 18W 7D 9L | +13 GD | 1.91 / 1.53 |
| 2024/2025 | Bundesliga | #15 | 7W 11D 16L | -22 GD | 1.35 / 2.0 |
| 2023/2024 | Bundesliga | #7 | 13W 7D 14L | 0 GD | 1.94 / 1.94 |
| 2022/2023 | Bundesliga | #12 | 10W 6D 18L | 36 pts -9 GD | 1.41 / 1.68 |
| 2021/2022 | Bundesliga | #9 | 13W 7D 14L | 46 pts -2 GD | 1.71 / 1.76 |
👥 Squads
Registered players with season stats
Paderborn
16 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 27 Syutepen Tigeseu (28) | 25 | 6 | 1 |
| FW | 7 Bilbiya Pilripeu | 22 | 9 | 2 |
| FW | 11 Seuben Misyel (36) | 21 | 2 | 5 |
| FW | 30 Seutepano Marino (22) | 20 | 3 | 1 |
| FW | 28 Rukaseu Kopado (22) Muscle injury | 9 | 1 | - |
| MF | 14 Mika Baureu (22) | 26 | 4 | 4 |
| MF | 23 Rapael Obeomaireu (30) | 25 | 2 | 3 |
| MF | 22 Mattes Hansen (22) | 25 | 0 | 5 1 |
| MF | 9 Nik Bacheuneo (26) | 25 | 2 | 3 |
| MF | 25 Tjark Scheller (24) | 25 | 2 | 3 1 |
| MF | 20 Pilrekseu Goeche (28) | 24 | 0 | 4 |
| MF | 26 Sebaseutian Keulraaseu (28) | 21 | 4 | 2 |
| MF | 8 Dabideu Kinsombi (31) | 2 | 0 | - |
| DF | 17 Laurin Curda (25) | 25 | 6 | 7 |
| DF | 4 Calvin Brackelmann (27) | 17 | 1 | 2 1 |
| GK | 41 Dennis Seimen (21) | 27 | 0 | - |
Hoffenheim
20 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 27 Andeurei Keuramarichi (35) | 27 | 10 | 1 |
| FW | 11 Fisnik Asllani (24) | 26 | 8 | 1 |
| FW | 19 Tim Rempeol (24) | 22 | 7 | 1 |
| FW | 7 Kaembel Kol | 2 | 0 | - |
| FW | 31 Yannick Eduardo (2026) | 1 | 0 | - |
| MF | 6 Geurisya Peuromel (31) | 27 | 7 | 3 |
| MF | 7 Leon Avdullahu (22) Muscle injury | 26 | 0 | 4 |
| MF | 22 Peuraseu Alreksandeo | 25 | 3 | 2 |
| MF | 18 Beogeowoteo | 24 | 4 | 4 1 |
| MF | 9 Iheulraseu Bebu (32) | 15 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 10 Damareu Muhamedeu | 13 | 0 | - |
| MF | 23 Aedeom Helrojekeu (24) Calf injury | 3 | 0 | - |
| DF | 34 Beulradimireu Kupal (34) | 27 | 1 | 3 |
| DF | 2 Robin Heuranak (26) | 25 | 0 | 4 |
| DF | 21 Albian Hajiri (23) | 23 | 1 | 8 |
| DF | 13 Bereunareudu (31) | 22 | 0 | 7 |
| DF | 5 Ojan Kabak (26) | 18 | 4 | 2 |
| DF | 15 Balrentin Gendeurei (26) Ankle injury | 8 | 1 | - |
| DF | 25 Kebin Akeupoguma (31) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| GK | 1 Olribeo Bauman (36) | 27 | 0 | 1 |
Detailed Analysis
Match Outlook
Paderborn were a mid-table 2. Bundesliga side, with less top-flight experience and a weaker attack.
Team Status
Recent head-to-head history is tight, but Hoffenheim have superior individual quality and depth.
Stored match probabilities
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
Home win23.0%
Draw28.0%
Away win50.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win0%
Draw0%
Away Win100%
🔎 Forecast Agreement
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick. Confidence is limited — treat this match as uncertain.
Show each forecast
ChatGPT · Forecast 1
65%Prediction: Hoffenheim Win
Score: 1 - 2
- Hoffenheim finished 7th in the Bundesliga with a strong attacking record (1.8 goals/game).
- Paderborn were a mid-table 2. Bundesliga side, with less top-flight experience and a weaker attack.
- Recent head-to-head history is tight, but Hoffenheim have superior individual quality and depth.
Read full reasoning
Based on available data up to June 2024, Hoffenheim are better equipped for top-flight competition, boasting proven Bundesliga scorers like Kramaric and Beier and a more dynamic attacking style. Paderborn, while solid at home and defensively organized, have struggled against higher-caliber opponents and have less experience at this level. Hoffenheim's defensive vulnerabilities make a close match likely, but their offensive quality should give them the edge. Confidence is moderate due to the speculative nature of 2026-27 squad and form data.
Claude · Forecast 2
62%Prediction: Hoffenheim Win
Score: 1 - 2
- Hoffenheim's superior attacking prowess (1.8 goals/game vs Paderborn's 1.3) gives them edge despite defensive vulnerabilities
- Head-to-head history shows closely contested matches with low scoring, but Hoffenheim have won 2 of 6 recent Bundesliga meetings
- Paderborn's weak away record (5W-7D-5L in 2. Bundesliga) suggests vulnerability when visiting stronger opposition
- Hoffenheim's established Bundesliga pedigree vs Paderborn's recent 2. Bundesliga status creates quality gap
- Matarazzo's high-pressing tactics suit attacking players like Kramaric and Beier, likely to penetrate Paderborn's mid-table defense
Read full reasoning
Hoffenheim are favored as the away team despite playing at Paderborn's home due to their established Bundesliga status and superior attacking output. Hoffenheim finished 2023-24 with 1.8 goals per game and demonstrated late-season form against top sides (4-2 over Bayern, 4-3 over Union Berlin), indicating clinical finishing. Paderborn, recently competing in 2. Bundesliga with only 1.3 goals/game average, face a significant quality gap. Their poor away record (33% win rate away from home) and defensive vulnerabilities make them susceptible to Hoffenheim's high-pressing, attacking approach. Historical head-to-head meetings show tight contests with low scoring, but Hoffenheim's tactical sophistication under Matarazzo and possession-based creativity should overcome Paderborn's defensive solidity. A narrow away victory for Hoffenheim (2-1) reflects both teams' typical output patterns while favoring the superior attacking threat.
Gemini · Forecast 3
60%Prediction: Hoffenheim Win
Score: 1 - 2
- Hoffenheim maintains a higher offensive ceiling with a 1.8 goals per game average.
- Historical head-to-head records show frequent draws, indicating tight tactical matchups.
- Paderborn's home advantage is offset by the quality gap between 2. Bundesliga and established top-tier sides.
Read full reasoning
Hoffenheim enters this hypothetical 2026 matchup as the favorite based on their established Bundesliga pedigree and potent offensive threat. While Paderborn has historically shown resilience at home, the step up in quality from 2. Bundesliga competition remains a significant hurdle. Hoffenheim's tendency for high-scoring games (averaging 1.8 goals) suggests they will find the net, but their defensive vulnerability (conceding 1.7 goals per game) ensures Paderborn stays in the contest. Historically, these sides have played very close games, with 50% of their previous top-flight meetings ending in draws. However, the individual quality of the Hoffenheim attack, led by experienced goal-scorers, is expected to be the deciding factor. Expect a narrow away victory where Hoffenheim's clinical finishing eventually overcomes a disciplined but outmatched Paderborn defense.