Key Analysis
Leverkusen ended the 2023/24 season unbeaten and were especially strong at home.
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⚽ Football
BUNDESLIGA
Bayer Leverkusen
Home
Final
2
-
0
Bayer Leverkusen Win
2026-09-20 12:30
RB Leipzig
Away
📋
4 ROUND
🗓
2026/2027
🏆
SUMMRIZE
Korean market · Odds & records
🏟 바이 아레나
● Bayer Leverkusen 2025/2026 · 6th · 17W 8D 9L (GD +21)
● RB Leipzig 2025/2026 · 3rd · 20W 5D 9L (GD +19)
🎯 Prediction Accuracy
AI Predicted
Bayer Leverkusen Win
Prediction Correct!🎯 Tokti AI Prediction
Prediction
Bayer Leverkusen Win
Confidence
70%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
2 - 1
Key Analysis Points
- ✓ Head-to-head history is balanced but Leverkusen won the last two meetings.
- ✓ Leipzig have a potent attack but less consistent away form and a less robust defense.
Recommended Bets:
Home Win
(70%)
Over 2.5
(65%)
📊 Win Probability
Bayer Leverkusen
RB Leipzig
57.5%
25.0%
17.5%
Home 57.5%
Draw 25.0%
Away 17.5%
🧭 Market Signals
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Where the money went
Payout 87.9%
35.6%
52.5%
Home 35.6%
Draw 52.5%
Away 11.8%
Most likely scorelines
2-1
8.37%
1-1
7.07%
2-2
6.82%
3-1
6.68%
1-2
5.75%
Next fixtures
Bayer Leverkusen
10/10
A
1. FSV Mainz 05
Bundesliga
10/16
A
Lech Poznan
UEFA Europa League
10/18
H
SC Freiburg
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
10/11
H
Eintracht Frankfurt
Bundesliga
10/14
H
PSV Eindhoven
UEFA Champions League
10/18
A
Bayern Munich
Bundesliga
Compared across 23 bookmakers.
🟡
YELLOW
Caution
Max probability 57.5% · Gap 32.5%p
Analysis data as of 2026-09-24 23:07
Records as of this match, not the teams' current form.
📋 Last 5 Matches
Analysis Data · Recent results
Bayer Leverkusen
W
L
W
D
L
View 5 recent results
2026-09-05
Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0
Union Berlin
2026-08-29
Bundesliga
Elversberg
3 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen
2026-08-22
DFB-Pokal
Wehen
0 : 4
Bayer Leverkusen
2026-05-16
Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
1 : 1
Hamburger SV
2026-05-09
Bundesliga
Stuttgart
3 : 1
Bayer Leverkusen
RB Leipzig
L
L
W
W
L
View 5 recent results
2026-09-11
UEFA Champions League
Como
4 : 1
RB Leipzig
2026-09-05
Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
3 : 1
RB Leipzig
2026-08-29
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
3 : 1
B. Monchengladbach
2026-08-23
DFB-Pokal
Eintracht Trier
0 : 5
RB Leipzig
2026-05-16
Bundesliga
Freiburg
4 : 1
RB Leipzig
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
6
Draws
1
Away Wins
3
Average total goals
3.7
Recent matches
2026-05-03
Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
4 - 1
RB Leipzig
Home team won
2025-12-21
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
1 - 3
Bayer Leverkusen
Home team won
2025-01-25
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
2 - 2
Bayer Leverkusen
Draw
2024-09-01
Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
2 - 3
RB Leipzig
Away team won
2024-01-21
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
2 - 3
Bayer Leverkusen
Home team won
Last meeting: 2026-05-03 (4-1)
📊 Season Summary
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Bayer Leverkusen
Rank
10
Games played
2
Record
1W · 0D · 1L
Standing points
3
Standing points / match
1.5
Goals for / against
6 / 3
Avg goals scored / allowed
3.0 / 1.5
RB Leipzig
Rank
11
Games played
2
Record
1W · 0D · 1L
Standing points
3
Standing points / match
1.5
Goals for / against
4 / 4
Avg goals scored / allowed
2.0 / 2.0
🎯 Betting Options
All available bet types with odds
The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.
More metrics
🕸️ Team Style Comparison
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Bayer Leverkusen
GOAL
100
ATTACK
50
RS
100
RA
50
DEFENSE
66
RB Leipzig
GOAL
69
ATTACK
46
RS
67
RA
33
DEFENSE
67
📈 Recent Form Trend
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Bayer Leverkusen
↓
-1.41
Slight decline
RB Leipzig
↓
-2.42
Sharp decline
⚖️ Performance Metrics
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
1.5
Standing points / match
1.5
3
Avg goals scored
2
1.5
Avg goals allowed
2
Home/Away records
3
Standing points / match
0
4
Avg goals scored
1
0
Avg goals allowed
3
Recent
1.5
Standing points / match
1.5
3
Avg goals scored
2
1.5
Avg goals allowed
2
🔥 Streaks
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Bayer Leverkusen
Overall
Win 1
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1
At Home
Win 1
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1
Away
Lose 1
RB Leipzig
Overall
Lose 1
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1
At Home
Win 1
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1
Away
Lose 1
📚 Season History
Rank and record by season
Bayer Leverkusen
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Bundesliga | #6 | 17W 8D 9L | +21 GD | 2.0 / 1.38 |
| 2024/2025 | Bundesliga | #2 | 19W 12D 3L | +29 GD | 2.12 / 1.26 |
| 2023/2024 | Bundesliga | #1 | 28W 6D 0L | +65 GD | 2.62 / 0.71 |
| 2022/2023 | Bundesliga | #6 | 14W 8D 12L | 50 pts +8 GD | 1.68 / 1.44 |
| 2021/2022 | Bundesliga | #3 | 19W 7D 8L | 64 pts +33 GD | 2.35 / 1.38 |
RB Leipzig
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Bundesliga | #3 | 20W 5D 9L | +19 GD | 1.94 / 1.38 |
| 2024/2025 | Bundesliga | #7 | 13W 12D 9L | +5 GD | 1.56 / 1.41 |
| 2023/2024 | Bundesliga | #4 | 19W 8D 7L | +38 GD | 2.26 / 1.15 |
| 2022/2023 | Bundesliga | #3 | 20W 6D 8L | 66 pts +23 GD | 1.88 / 1.21 |
| 2021/2022 | Bundesliga | #4 | 17W 7D 10L | 58 pts +35 GD | 2.12 / 1.09 |
👥 Squads
Registered players with season stats
Bayer Leverkusen
21 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 19 Eoniseuteu Poku (22) | 25 | 5 | - |
| FW | 10 Tilmeon Malrikeu | 22 | 5 | 1 |
| FW | 14 Paeteurik Swikeu (30) | 21 | 9 | 2 |
| FW | 11 Matin Terieo (29) Hamstring injury | 18 | 4 | 1 |
| MF | 24 Alreikseu Gareusia (29) | 27 | 2 | 5 |
| MF | 8 Robeoteu Aendeurihi (32) | 26 | 1 | 6 1 |
| MF | 30 Ibeurahim Maza (21) | 21 | 2 | 2 |
| MF | 7 Yonaseu Hopeuman (34) | 21 | 2 | 3 |
| MF | 5 Roikeu Beideu (26) Muscle injury | 19 | 0 | 5 |
| MF | 6 Igeunasio Pereunandeseu (24) | 17 | 0 | 4 1 |
| MF | 23 Nadan Telra (27) | 12 | 0 | 2 |
| MF | 25 Ekselkwiel Palrasioseu (28) | 11 | 0 | 2 |
| MF | 21 Rukaseu (35) Calf injury | 9 | 1 | 2 |
| MF | 17 Eliesse Ben Seghir (21) Ankle injury | 7 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 4 Jaereol Kwansa (23) Thigh injury | 23 | 3 | 8 |
| DF | 12 Edeumong Tapsoba (27) | 22 | 4 | 5 |
| DF | 20 Alrekseu Geurimaldo (31) | 22 | 6 | 5 |
| DF | 13 Areutureu (23) Ankle injury | 16 | 1 | 2 |
| DF | 15 Tim Oeoman (23) | 2 | 0 | - |
| GK | 1 Makeu Peulreken (33) | 18 | 0 | 1 |
| GK | 28 Jaeniseu Beulrasichi (35) | 10 | 0 | - |
RB Leipzig
22 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 7 Antonio Nusa (21) | 24 | 2 | - |
| FW | 40 Romyulro Kareudoso (24) | 23 | 7 | 3 |
| FW | 6 Ezechiel Banzuzi (21) | 23 | 0 | 3 |
| FW | 9 Bakayoko Yohan | 16 | 2 | 1 |
| FW | 27 Tidiam Gomis (20) | 15 | 1 | - |
| FW | 10 Brajan Gruda (22) | 7 | 3 | - |
| MF | 13 Nicolas Seiwald (25) | 27 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 22 David Raum (28) | 26 | 3 | 6 |
| MF | 14 Keuriseutopeu Baumgareuteuneo (27) | 26 | 12 | 6 |
| MF | 17 Ridle Baku (28) | 25 | 1 | 3 |
| MF | 24 Jabeo Syulrageo (29) | 21 | 2 | 4 |
| MF | 20 Assan Ouedraogo (20) Knee injury | 12 | 3 | - |
| MF | 39 Benjamin Henrichs (29) | 10 | 1 | - |
| MF | 33 Andrija Maksimobichi (2026) | 8 | 0 | - |
| DF | 4 Willi Orbán (34) | 27 | 1 | 4 |
| DF | 23 Castello Lukeba | 22 | 1 | 2 |
| DF | 35 Max Finkgrafe (22) | 7 | 0 | - |
| DF | 5 Bitsiabu El Chadayu | 7 | 0 | - |
| DF | 19 Kosta Nedeljkovic (56) | 5 | 0 | - |
| DF | 16 Rukaseu Keulroseuteoman (30) | 4 | 0 | - |
| GK | 1 Piteo Gulrasi (36) Knee injury | 22 | 0 | 1 |
| GK | 26 Maarten Vandevoordt (24) | 6 | 0 | - |
Detailed Analysis
Match Outlook
Head-to-head history is balanced but Leverkusen won the last two meetings.
Team Status
Leipzig have a potent attack but less consistent away form and a less robust defense.
Stored match probabilities
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
Home win57.0%
Draw25.0%
Away win17.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win100%
Draw0%
Away Win0%
🔎 Forecast Agreement
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Show each forecast
ChatGPT · Forecast 1
80%Prediction: Bayer Leverkusen Win
Score: 2 - 1
- Head-to-head history is balanced but Leverkusen won the last two meetings.
- Leipzig have a potent attack but less consistent away form and a less robust defense.
Read full reasoning
Based on the latest available data, Bayer Leverkusen have a significant edge: they are unbeaten domestically and boast the league's best defense and home record. Leipzig's attacking strength is notable, but their away performances have been less convincing, and they conceded more goals. While Leipzig can be dangerous, Leverkusen's consistency, tactical discipline, and home advantage make them strong favorites to win a closely contested match.
Claude · Forecast 2
68%Prediction: Bayer Leverkusen Win
Score: 2 - 1
- Strong home advantage: Leverkusen's 13W-4D-0L home record significantly favors them; Leipzig's away record is weaker at 9W-3D-5L
- Recent H2H momentum: Leverkusen won 3-2 at home against Leipzig in August 2023 and 2-0 in April 2023, showing recent dominance
- Tactical superiority under Xabi Alonso: High-pressing, possession-oriented style with fast transitions has proven highly effective; Leipzig's counterattack style plays into Leverkusen's hands at home
Read full reasoning
Bayer Leverkusen enters as clear favorites despite Leipzig's quality. The 2023/24 data shows Leverkusen's exceptional defensive record (24 GA) combined with prolific attack (89 GF) creates a significant edge. At home, Leverkusen was nearly invincible (13W-4D), while Leipzig's away form remains inconsistent (5 losses). Tactically, Xabi Alonso's possession-based high-pressing system at the Bundesliga-leading Leverkusen has neutralized Leipzig in recent encounters. Leipzig's attack (Openda, Šeško) remains dangerous, but Leverkusen's defensive cohesion and midfield control via Wirtz and Xhaka should dominate possession and limit counterattack opportunities. A 2-1 Leverkusen victory reflects likely scenario: one Leipzig goal from transition, but Leverkusen's control and scoring prowess prevail.
Gemini · Forecast 3
65%Prediction: Bayer Leverkusen Win
Score: 2 - 1
- Leverkusen's exceptional home record and defensive stability established during their unbeaten run.
- Tactical battle between Leverkusen's possession control and Leipzig's elite transition play.
- The clinical finishing of Loïs Openda vs. the creative playmaking of Florian Wirtz.
Read full reasoning
Bayer Leverkusen enters this fixture as the favorite, maintaining the tactical identity established during their historic unbeaten period. Their ability to control the tempo through the midfield and create high-value chances via Florian Wirtz makes them incredibly difficult to beat at the BayArena. Xabi Alonso’s system emphasizes defensive structural integrity, which was statistically the best in Germany, allowing them to neutralize high-pressing opponents effectively. RB Leipzig remains a significant threat due to their verticality and the clinical finishing of Loïs Openda. Their transition play is designed to exploit the space left by Leverkusen’s high-positioned wing-backs. However, Leipzig has shown occasional defensive lapses in away fixtures against elite opposition. While Leipzig's high-octane style will likely result in goals, Leverkusen’s superior ball retention and home-field advantage should see them edge out a narrow victory in a highly competitive tactical battle.