Key Analysis
RB Leipzig are unbeaten in their last 5 matches and finished 4th with a strong goal difference.
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⚽ Football
BUNDESLIGA
⭐ Featured
🏠
RB Leipzig
Home
Scheduled
VS
Match Time
2026-11-07
15:30
✈️
Augsburg
Away
📋
9 ROUND
🗓
2026/2027
● RB Leipzig 2025/2026 · 3rd · 20W 5D 9L (GD +19)
● Augsburg 2025/2026 · 9th · 12W 7D 15L (GD -16)
RB Leipzig favored
74%
Confidence
High
- · RB Leipzig last 5: 3W 0D 2L
- · Head-to-head 10 matches: home 6W 4D 0L
- · Data-based estimate points the same way
AI analysis 2026-10-31 15:31
·
data as of 2026-11-02 21:16
🎯 Tokti AI Prediction
Prediction
RB Leipzig Win
Confidence
83%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
3 - 1
Key Analysis Points
- ✓ RB Leipzig are unbeaten in their last 5 matches and finished 4th with a strong goal difference.
- ✓ Augsburg have struggled defensively, conceding 12 goals in their last 5 games and winning only 1 of 17 Bundesliga encounters with Leipzig.
- ✓ Leipzig's attacking depth and home advantage statistically outweigh Augsburg's poor away form and defensive issues.
Recommended Bets:
Home Win
(83%)
Over 2.5
(70%)
📊 Win Probability
RB Leipzig
Augsburg
74.0%
17.5%
Home 74.0%
Draw 17.5%
Away 8.5%
🟢
GREEN
Safe Bet
Max probability 74.0% · Gap 56.5%p
Strategy: Clear favorite detected. Consider the main market or safe derivative options below for steady compound returns.
Analysis data as of 2026-11-02 21:16
📋 Last 5 Matches
Analysis Data · Recent results
RB Leipzig
W
W
L
L
W
View 5 recent results
2026-10-28
DFB-Pokal
RW Essen
1 : 2
RB Leipzig
2026-10-24
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
3 : 0
Elversberg
2026-10-22
UEFA Champions League
Real Madrid
4 : 1
RB Leipzig
2026-10-18
Bundesliga
Bayern Munich
6 : 0
RB Leipzig
2026-10-14
UEFA Champions League
RB Leipzig
1 : 0
PSV
Augsburg
W
D
L
D
L
View 5 recent results
2026-10-28
DFB-Pokal
Grossaspach
2 : 4
Augsburg
2026-10-24
Bundesliga
Augsburg
1 : 1
Union Berlin
2026-10-17
Bundesliga
Elversberg
4 : 3
Augsburg
2026-10-10
Bundesliga
Augsburg
2 : 2
Bayern Munich
2026-09-19
Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
3 : 2
Augsburg
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
6
Draws
4
Away Wins
0
Average total goals
3.7
Recent matches
2026-03-07
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
2 - 1
Augsburg
Home team won
2025-10-25
Bundesliga
Augsburg
0 - 6
RB Leipzig
Home team won
2025-02-15
Bundesliga
Augsburg
0 - 0
RB Leipzig
Draw
2024-09-28
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
4 - 0
Augsburg
Home team won
2024-02-10
Bundesliga
Augsburg
2 - 2
RB Leipzig
Draw
Last meeting: 2026-03-07 (2-1)
📊 Season Summary
Analysis Data · Current season stats
RB Leipzig
Rank
8
Games played
6
Record
3W · 0D · 3L
Standing points
9
Standing points / match
1.5
Goals for / against
12 / 12
Avg goals scored / allowed
2.0 / 2.0
Augsburg
Rank
9
Games played
6
Record
2W · 2D · 2L
Standing points
8
Standing points / match
1.33
Goals for / against
15 / 11
Avg goals scored / allowed
2.5 / 1.83
More metrics
🕸️ Team Style Comparison
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
RB Leipzig
GOAL
100
ATTACK
69
RS
67
RA
33
DEFENSE
92
Augsburg
GOAL
25
ATTACK
77
RS
83
RA
39
DEFENSE
50
📈 Recent Form Trend
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
RB Leipzig
↓
-1.59
Slight decline
Augsburg
↑
3.27
Strong upward trend
⚖️ Performance Metrics
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
1.5
Standing points / match
1.33
2
Avg goals scored
2.5
2
Avg goals allowed
1.83
Home/Away records
3
Standing points / match
1
3.67
Avg goals scored
3
0.33
Avg goals allowed
2.67
Recent
1.5
Standing points / match
1.33
2
Avg goals scored
2.5
2
Avg goals allowed
1.83
🔥 Streaks
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
RB Leipzig
Overall
Win 1
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1
At Home
Win 3
Best: Win 3 · Unbeaten 3
Away
Lose 3
Augsburg
Overall
Unbeaten 1
Winless 4
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 2
At Home
Unbeaten 3
Winless 2
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 3
Away
Lose 2
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1
📚 Season History
Rank and record by season
RB Leipzig
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Bundesliga | #3 | 20W 5D 9L | +19 GD | 1.94 / 1.38 |
| 2024/2025 | Bundesliga | #7 | 13W 12D 9L | +5 GD | 1.56 / 1.41 |
| 2023/2024 | Bundesliga | #4 | 19W 8D 7L | +38 GD | 2.26 / 1.15 |
| 2022/2023 | Bundesliga | #3 | 20W 6D 8L | 66 pts +23 GD | 1.88 / 1.21 |
| 2021/2022 | Bundesliga | #4 | 17W 7D 10L | 58 pts +35 GD | 2.12 / 1.09 |
Augsburg
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Bundesliga | #9 | 12W 7D 15L | -16 GD | 1.32 / 1.79 |
| 2024/2025 | Bundesliga | #12 | 11W 10D 13L | -16 GD | 1.03 / 1.5 |
| 2023/2024 | Bundesliga | #11 | 10W 9D 15L | -10 GD | 1.47 / 1.76 |
| 2022/2023 | Bundesliga | #15 | 9W 7D 18L | 34 pts -21 GD | 1.24 / 1.85 |
| 2021/2022 | Bundesliga | #14 | 10W 8D 16L | 38 pts -17 GD | 1.15 / 1.65 |
👥 Squads
Registered players with season stats
RB Leipzig
22 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 7 Antonio Nusa (21) | 24 | 2 | - |
| FW | 40 Romyulro Kareudoso (24) | 23 | 7 | 3 |
| FW | 6 Ezechiel Banzuzi (21) | 23 | 0 | 3 |
| FW | 9 Bakayoko Yohan | 16 | 2 | 1 |
| FW | 27 Tidiam Gomis (20) | 15 | 1 | - |
| FW | 10 Brajan Gruda (22) | 7 | 3 | - |
| MF | 13 Nicolas Seiwald (25) | 27 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 22 David Raum (28) | 26 | 3 | 6 |
| MF | 14 Keuriseutopeu Baumgareuteuneo (27) | 26 | 12 | 6 |
| MF | 17 Ridle Baku (28) | 25 | 1 | 3 |
| MF | 24 Jabeo Syulrageo (29) | 21 | 2 | 4 |
| MF | 20 Assan Ouedraogo (20) Knee injury | 12 | 3 | - |
| MF | 39 Benjamin Henrichs (29) | 10 | 1 | - |
| MF | 33 Andrija Maksimobichi (2026) | 8 | 0 | - |
| DF | 4 Willi Orbán (34) | 27 | 1 | 4 |
| DF | 23 Castello Lukeba | 22 | 1 | 2 |
| DF | 5 Bitsiabu El Chadayu | 7 | 0 | - |
| DF | 35 Max Finkgrafe (22) | 7 | 0 | - |
| DF | 19 Kosta Nedeljkovic (56) | 5 | 0 | - |
| DF | 16 Rukaseu Keulroseuteoman (30) | 4 | 0 | - |
| GK | 1 Piteo Gulrasi (36) Knee injury | 22 | 0 | 1 |
| GK | 26 Maarten Vandevoordt (24) | 6 | 0 | - |
Augsburg
21 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 20 Alreksiseu Keulrodeu Moriseu (28) | 23 | 4 | 3 |
| FW | 27 Mariuseu Bolpeu (31) | 22 | 1 | 2 |
| FW | 38 Mikael Geuregorichi (32) | 11 | 3 | 2 |
| FW | 21 Rodrigo Hibeiru (21) | 7 | 2 | 1 |
| MF | 4 Hannoa Masengo (25) | 27 | 2 | 2 |
| MF | 32 Pabian Rideo (24) | 25 | 4 | 2 |
| MF | 8 Elbiseu Rekseubekai (29) | 24 | 2 | 4 |
| MF | 36 Mereuteu Komureu (21) | 23 | 2 | 1 |
| MF | 17 Keuriseutijan Yakichi (29) | 22 | 1 | 4 |
| MF | 30 Anton Kade (22) | 21 | 3 | 3 |
| MF | 11 Gareubi Iseumael | 5 | 0 | - |
| MF | 14 Yanikeu Kitel (26) Knee injury | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 19 Robin Pelhaueo (28) | 27 | 2 | 2 |
| DF | 31 Keben Syuroteobek (29) | 22 | 0 | 6 1 |
| DF | 13 Dimiteuriseu Jiannulriseu (30) | 21 | 2 | 7 |
| DF | 16 Sedeurik Jesigeo (28) | 20 | 0 | 5 |
| DF | 5 Matima Keuriseulrein (24) Muscle injury | 14 | 1 | 5 |
| DF | 34 Aseo Chabeseu Rareugura | 6 | 1 | - |
| DF | 3 Maejeu Pedeoseun (30) | 6 | 0 | - |
| DF | 6 Jepeuri Guwilriu (35) | 5 | 0 | 2 |
| GK | 1 Pin Damen (28) | 27 | 0 | 1 |
Detailed Analysis
Match Outlook
Augsburg have struggled defensively, conceding 12 goals in their last 5 games and winning only 1 of 17 Bundesliga encounters with Leipzig.
Team Status
Leipzig's attacking depth and home advantage statistically outweigh Augsburg's poor away form and defensive issues.
Stored match probabilities
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
Home win74.0%
Draw17.0%
Away win9.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win100%
Draw0%
Away Win0%
🔎 Forecast Agreement
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Show each forecast
ChatGPT · Forecast 1
88%Prediction: RB Leipzig Win
Score: 3 - 1
- RB Leipzig are unbeaten in their last 5 matches and finished 4th with a strong goal difference.
- Augsburg have struggled defensively, conceding 12 goals in their last 5 games and winning only 1 of 17 Bundesliga encounters with Leipzig.
- Leipzig's attacking depth and home advantage statistically outweigh Augsburg's poor away form and defensive issues.
Read full reasoning
Based on historical data and recent form, RB Leipzig are clear favorites against Augsburg. Leipzig's consistent top-four finishes, potent attack (77 goals in 2023/24), and strong home record contrast sharply with Augsburg's defensive frailty and poor away results. Head-to-head history heavily favors Leipzig, who rarely drop points in this fixture. While squad changes may occur by 2026, the structural gap between the teams is significant. A Leipzig win is highly probable, with Augsburg's best hope being a counter-attacking goal.
Claude · Forecast 2
82%Prediction: RB Leipzig Win
Score: 3 - 1
- RB Leipzig dominated recent form with 10 wins in 17 head-to-head meetings vs Augsburg
- Leipzig finished 4th (CL qualification, +38 goal difference) vs Augsburg's 11th (negative GD, defensive issues)
- Augsburg's away record is poor (3-5-9) and they struggle against top teams; Leipzig averages 2.4 goals/game in strong form
- Historical advantage: Leipzig won 3-0 and 3-2 in recent meetings; Augsburg has only 1 win in 17 matches against Leipzig
Read full reasoning
RB Leipzig enter as overwhelming favorites in this fixture based on comprehensive historical and statistical evidence. Leipzig finished 4th in 2023/24 with 77 goals and strong defensive organization (+38 GD), while Augsburg struggled in 11th with defensive vulnerabilities (conceded 60 goals). The head-to-head record is damning for Augsburg—only 1 win in 17 matches against Leipzig since 2016. Recent form heavily favors Leipzig, who were unbeaten in their last 5 games (averaging 2.4 goals/game) while Augsburg went winless in their last 5 with just 2 goals. Augsburg's away performance (3-5-9) is particularly weak, and they'll likely employ a defensive approach against Leipzig's high-pressing 4-2-3-1 system led by Openda and Šeško.
Gemini · Forecast 3
80%Prediction: RB Leipzig Win
Score: 3 - 1
- RB Leipzig's dominant head-to-head record with only one loss in 17 meetings.
- Augsburg's significant defensive struggles, conceding an average of 2.4 goals in recent form.
- Leipzig's superior home record (10-4-3) versus Augsburg's poor away performance (3-5-9).
Read full reasoning
RB Leipzig enters this fixture as the clear favorite, maintaining their status as a top-four Bundesliga contender with a potent attacking duo in Loïs Openda and Benjamin Šeško. Their high-pressing system and quick transitions typically overwhelm mid-table sides like Augsburg, especially at the Red Bull Arena. Leipzig's historical record against Augsburg is overwhelmingly positive, losing only once in their last 17 Bundesliga meetings, which suggests a significant psychological and tactical edge. Augsburg's primary struggle remains their defensive consistency and poor away record. While Ermedin Demirović provides a goal-scoring threat, the team often lacks the midfield control necessary to withstand Leipzig's sustained pressure. Given Augsburg's tendency to concede multiple goals against top-tier opposition and Leipzig's home efficiency, a comfortable victory for the hosts is the most probable outcome.