Key Analysis
Stuttgart finished the 2023/24 season in superb form, with a dominant home record and high-scoring attack.
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⚽ Football
BUNDESLIGA
🏠
Stuttgart
Home
Scheduled
VS
Match Time
2026-11-07
18:30
✈️
Werder Bremen
Away
📋
9 ROUND
🗓
2026/2027
● Stuttgart 2025/2026 · 4th · 18W 8D 8L (GD +22)
● Werder Bremen 2025/2026 · 15th · 8W 8D 18L (GD -23)
Stuttgart favored
65%
Confidence
High
- · Stuttgart last 5: 2W 2D 1L
- · Head-to-head 10 matches: home 4W 3D 3L
- · Data-based estimate points the same way
AI analysis 2026-10-31 23:33
·
data as of 2026-11-02 21:19
🎯 Tokti AI Prediction
Prediction
Stuttgart Win
Confidence
75%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
3 - 1
Key Analysis Points
- ✓ Werder Bremen struggled defensively, especially away, conceding 56 goals and winning only 4 away games.
- ✓ Stuttgart's offensive trio, led by Guirassy, consistently outperformed Bremen's defense; no major injuries reported for either team.
Recommended Bets:
Home Win
(75%)
Over 2.5
(70%)
📊 Win Probability
Stuttgart
Werder Bremen
65.0%
20.0%
15.0%
Home 65.0%
Draw 20.0%
Away 15.0%
🟢
GREEN
Safe Bet
Max probability 65.0% · Gap 45.0%p
Strategy: Clear favorite detected. Consider the main market or safe derivative options below for steady compound returns.
Analysis data as of 2026-11-02 21:19
📋 Last 5 Matches
Analysis Data · Recent results
Stuttgart
W
W
L
D
D
View 5 recent results
2026-10-31
Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
1 : 4
Stuttgart
2026-10-29
DFB-Pokal
Paderborn
0 : 1
Stuttgart
2026-10-24
Bundesliga
Stuttgart
2 : 3
B. Monchengladbach
2026-10-21
UEFA Champions League
Stuttgart
1 : 1
Atl. Madrid
2026-10-17
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
0 : 0
Stuttgart
Werder Bremen
W
L
W
D
D
View 5 recent results
2026-10-31
Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
1 : 0
Hoffenheim
2026-10-28
DFB-Pokal
Dortmund
3 : 2
Werder Bremen
2026-10-24
Bundesliga
Mainz
2 : 3
Werder Bremen
2026-10-17
Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
2 : 2
Paderborn
2026-10-11
Bundesliga
Dortmund
2 : 2
Werder Bremen
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
4
Draws
3
Away Wins
3
Average total goals
2.8
Recent matches
2026-04-26
Bundesliga
Stuttgart
1 - 1
Werder Bremen
Draw
2025-12-15
Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
0 - 4
Stuttgart
Home team won
2025-04-13
Bundesliga
Stuttgart
1 - 2
Werder Bremen
Away team won
2024-11-30
Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
2 - 2
Stuttgart
Draw
2024-04-21
Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
2 - 1
Stuttgart
Away team won
Last meeting: 2026-04-26 (1-1)
📊 Season Summary
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Stuttgart
Rank
7
Games played
7
Record
3W · 1D · 3L
Standing points
10
Standing points / match
1.43
Goals for / against
13 / 11
Avg goals scored / allowed
1.86 / 1.57
Werder Bremen
Rank
3
Games played
8
Record
4W · 3D · 1L
Standing points
15
Standing points / match
1.88
Goals for / against
16 / 14
Avg goals scored / allowed
2.0 / 1.75
More metrics
🕸️ Team Style Comparison
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Stuttgart
GOAL
88
ATTACK
39
RS
62
RA
48
DEFENSE
56
Werder Bremen
GOAL
77
ATTACK
46
RS
67
RA
42
DEFENSE
56
📈 Recent Form Trend
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Stuttgart
↓
-4.6
Sharp decline
Werder Bremen
↑
10.54
Strong upward trend
⚖️ Performance Metrics
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
1.43
Standing points / match
1.88
1.86
Avg goals scored
2
1.57
Avg goals allowed
1.75
Home/Away records
1
Standing points / match
1.25
2
Avg goals scored
1.75
1.67
Avg goals allowed
2.25
Recent
1.43
Standing points / match
1.88
1.86
Avg goals scored
2
1.57
Avg goals allowed
1.75
🔥 Streaks
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Stuttgart
Overall
Win 1
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 2
At Home
Lose 2
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1
Away
Win 1
Unbeaten 3
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 3
Werder Bremen
Overall
Win 2
Unbeaten 7
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 7
At Home
Win 1
Unbeaten 4
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 4
Away
Win 1
Unbeaten 3
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 3
📚 Season History
Rank and record by season
Stuttgart
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Bundesliga | #4 | 18W 8D 8L | +22 GD | 2.09 / 1.44 |
| 2024/2025 | Bundesliga | #9 | 14W 8D 12L | +11 GD | 1.88 / 1.56 |
| 2023/2024 | Bundesliga | #2 | 23W 4D 7L | +39 GD | 2.29 / 1.15 |
| 2022/2023 | Bundesliga | #16 | 7W 12D 15L | 33 pts -12 GD | 1.32 / 1.68 |
| 2021/2022 | Bundesliga | #15 | 7W 12D 15L | 33 pts -18 GD | 1.21 / 1.74 |
Werder Bremen
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Bundesliga | #15 | 8W 8D 18L | -23 GD | 1.09 / 1.76 |
| 2024/2025 | Bundesliga | #8 | 14W 9D 11L | -3 GD | 1.59 / 1.68 |
| 2023/2024 | Bundesliga | #9 | 11W 9D 14L | -6 GD | 1.41 / 1.59 |
| 2022/2023 | Bundesliga | #13 | 10W 6D 18L | 36 pts -13 GD | 1.5 / 1.88 |
| 2021/2022 | Germany 2. Bundesliga | #2 | 18W 9D 7L | 63 pts +22 GD | 1.91 / 1.26 |
👥 Squads
Registered players with season stats
Stuttgart
23 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 16 Atakan Karajoreu (30) | 25 | 0 | 4 |
| FW | 26 Denijeu Undabeu (30) | 23 | 18 | 4 |
| FW | 8 Tomas Tiagu (24) | 20 | 4 | 3 |
| FW | 27 Badredine Bouanani (22) | 12 | 0 | 1 |
| FW | 25 Jeremy Arevalo (21) | 6 | 0 | - |
| MF | 6 Seutilreo Anjelro | 27 | 1 | 1 |
| MF | 10 Keuriseu Purihi (28) | 26 | 4 | 1 |
| MF | 18 Jeimi Reuwelring (25) Calf injury | 25 | 7 | 4 |
| MF | 29 Finn Jeltsch (20) | 20 | 0 | 3 |
| MF | 11 Bilal El Khannous (22) | 19 | 3 | 5 |
| MF | 9 Ereumedin Demirobichi (28) | 18 | 9 | 4 |
| MF | 45 Rajareu Yobanobichi (20) Back injury | 3 | 0 | - |
| DF | 7 Maksimilrian Mitelsyutateu (29) | 25 | 4 | 3 |
| DF | 3 Hendeurikseu Ramon | 24 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 28 Nikolraseu Nareutei (26) | 23 | 3 | 2 |
| DF | 4 Yosya Bageunoman (26) | 22 | 1 | 3 |
| DF | 24 Yulrian Chaboteu (28) | 21 | 0 | 3 |
| DF | 22 Rorencheue Haldang | 19 | 0 | 3 1 |
| DF | 14 Ruka Yakeseu (23) | 9 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 2 Al Dakil Amin | 8 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 15 Paseukal Seutenjel (30) | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 23 Dan-aksel Jagadu (27) Muscle injury | 2 | 0 | - |
| GK | 33 Alreksandeo Nubel (30) | 27 | 0 | - |
Werder Bremen
21 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 11 Juseutin Gideon (26) | 26 | 5 | 1 |
| FW | 7 Samuel Mbangula (22) | 21 | 3 | - |
| FW | 9 Keke Topp (22) | 20 | 1 | 4 |
| FW | 23 Aijak Syumiteu (27) | 16 | 1 | 2 |
| FW | 44 Victor Boniface (27) Knee injury | 11 | 0 | 1 |
| FW | 19 Jovan Milosevic (56) Back injury | 8 | 3 | 1 |
| MF | 17 Mareuko Geurul (28) | 27 | 3 | 4 |
| MF | 20 Romano Syumideu (26) | 27 | 2 | 4 |
| MF | 6 Jenseu Seuteiji (30) | 24 | 7 | 5 |
| MF | 14 Senneu Rinnen (27) Muscle injury | 24 | 0 | 4 |
| MF | 18 Cameron Puertas Castro (28) | 22 | 0 | 4 |
| MF | 10 Reonareudo Bitenkureuteu (33) | 13 | 0 | 3 |
| MF | 5 Amoseu Paipeo (28) Knee injury | 12 | 0 | 3 |
| MF | 2 Olribereu Deumong (26) | 9 | 1 | 2 |
| DF | 3 Seugawara Yukinari (26) | 25 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 32 Mareuko Peurideul (28) | 25 | 1 | 7 |
| DF | 4 Nikeulraseu Syutakeu (31) Injured | 12 | 0 | 8 2 |
| DF | 22 Julrian Malratini (25) Ankle injury | 11 | 0 | 3 |
| DF | 27 Pelrikseu Agu (27) | 9 | 0 | 1 |
| GK | 30 Mio Baekhauseu (22) | 25 | 0 | - |
| GK | 13 Kal Hain (24) Hand injury | 2 | 0 | - |
Detailed Analysis
Match Outlook
Werder Bremen struggled defensively, especially away, conceding 56 goals and winning only 4 away games.
Team Status
Stuttgart's offensive trio, led by Guirassy, consistently outperformed Bremen's defense; no major injuries reported for either team.
Stored match probabilities
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
Home win65.0%
Draw20.0%
Away win15.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win100%
Draw0%
Away Win0%
🔎 Forecast Agreement
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Show each forecast
ChatGPT · Forecast 1
80%Prediction: Stuttgart Win
Score: 3 - 1
- Werder Bremen struggled defensively, especially away, conceding 56 goals and winning only 4 away games.
- Stuttgart's offensive trio, led by Guirassy, consistently outperformed Bremen's defense; no major injuries reported for either team.
Read full reasoning
Based on the latest available data, Stuttgart are clear favorites at home, boasting the Bundesliga's second-best attack and defense in 2023/24. Their home form was particularly strong, while Bremen were inconsistent away and struggled defensively. Although Bremen did defeat Stuttgart late last season, the overall trends and squad quality favor Stuttgart. The analysis relies on data from 2023/24, so confidence is adjusted for potential squad changes by 2026.
Claude · Forecast 2
72%Prediction: Stuttgart Win
Score: 2 - 1
- Stuttgart's elite attacking form with Guirassy leading the charge, combined with their 2nd-best defense in Bundesliga
- Werder Bremen's defensive vulnerability, particularly in away matches where they recorded only 4 wins all season
- Stuttgart's dominant home record (only 2 home losses in 2023/24) vs Bremen's away form inconsistency
- Historical balance in head-to-head record, but Stuttgart's recent trajectory and squad quality advantage
- Stuttgart's Champions League qualification and momentum vs Bremen's mid-table finish and need for defensive reinforcement
Read full reasoning
Stuttgart enters this matchup as strong favorites based on multiple analytical factors. Star striker Serhou Guirassy's 28-goal haul provides clinical finishing, supported by quality creators like Führich. Stuttgart's home dominance is particularly relevant—only 2 home losses all season signals fortress mentality. Conversely, Werder Bremen finished 9th with defensive fragility (56 goals conceded), and critically, their away record was dismal with just 4 victories on the road. While Bremen did beat Stuttgart 2-1 recently, this appears anomalous given Stuttgart's trajectory. Stuttgart's Champions League qualification reflects their overall squad superiority and tactical coherence under Hoeneß. The 2-1 home victory reflects realistic scoreline given Bremen's capability to score (Ducksch), but Stuttgart's defensive solidity and attacking prowess should prevail.
Gemini · Forecast 3
75%Prediction: Stuttgart Win
Score: 3 - 1
- Significant defensive disparity, with Stuttgart conceding 17 fewer goals than Bremen in their last full campaign.
- The tactical superiority of Sebastian Hoeneß's high-pressing system against Bremen's inconsistent away form.
Read full reasoning
VfB Stuttgart enters this fixture as the heavy favorite based on their transformation into a Bundesliga powerhouse. Their second-place finish in 2024 was no fluke, driven by an elite offensive output and a disciplined defensive structure that remains difficult for mid-table sides to break down. Playing at the MHPArena provides a significant psychological and statistical advantage, as they have consistently dominated possession and shot creation metrics against non-top-four opposition. Werder Bremen, while capable of causing upsets as seen in their April 2024 victory, lacks the defensive depth to withstand Stuttgart's sustained pressure over 90 minutes. Bremen's reliance on counter-attacks and set pieces may yield a goal, but their historical struggles on the road and a goal difference that trended negatively suggest they will struggle to contain Stuttgart's versatile front line. Expect Stuttgart to control the tempo and secure a multi-goal victory.