Key Analysis
Newcastle's recent form (as of 2024) is strong, especially at home, with a high goal-scoring record.
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⚽ Football
Carabao Cup
Newcastle
Home
Final
2
-
1
Newcastle Win
2026-09-19 13:00
Hull
Away
📋
5 ROUND
🗓
2026/2027
🏆
SUMMRIZE
Korean market · Odds & records
🏟 세인트 제임스 파크
● Newcastle 2025/2026 · 12th · 14W 7D 17L (GD -2)
● Hull 2025/2026 · 6th · 21W 10D 15L (GD +4)
🎯 Prediction Accuracy
AI Predicted
Newcastle Win
Prediction Correct!🎯 Tokti AI Prediction
Prediction
Newcastle Win
Confidence
74%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
2 - 1
Key Analysis Points
- ✓ Head-to-head history favors Newcastle, and Hull has not beaten Newcastle in regular time since 2016.
- ✓ Newcastle's squad quality and depth, even with possible Carabao Cup rotation, should surpass Hull's Championship-level roster.
Recommended Bets:
Home Win
(74%)
Over 2.5
(69%)
📊 Win Probability
Newcastle
Hull
70.0%
17.5%
12.5%
Home 70.0%
Draw 17.5%
Away 12.5%
🧭 Market Signals
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Where the money went
Payout 89.0%
26.7%
37.5%
35.9%
Home 26.7%
Draw 37.5%
Away 35.9%
Most likely scorelines
1-0
14.86%
0-0
14.33%
1-1
13.51%
0-1
13.13%
2-0
7.59%
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Compared across 24 bookmakers.
🟢
GREEN
Safe Bet
Max probability 70.0% · Gap 52.5%p
Analysis data as of 2026-09-24 23:06
Records as of this match, not the teams' current form.
📋 Last 5 Matches
Analysis Data · Recent results
Newcastle
W
D
W
W
D
View 5 recent results
2026-09-09
EFL Cup
Millwall
0 : 1
Newcastle
2026-09-05
Premier League
Newcastle
2 : 2
Bournemouth
2026-08-30
Premier League
Tottenham
0 : 2
Newcastle
2026-08-27
EFL Cup
Newcastle
3 : 2
West Brom
2026-08-23
Premier League
Newcastle
2 : 2
Liverpool
Hull
L
D
W
D
W
View 5 recent results
2026-09-09
EFL Cup
Sunderland
1 : 0
Hull
2026-09-06
Premier League
Hull
0 : 0
Aston Villa
2026-08-29
Premier League
Coventry
0 : 1
Hull
2026-08-26
EFL Cup
Stoke
1 : 1
Hull
2026-08-22
Premier League
Hull
2 : 0
Manchester Utd
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
5
Home Wins
2
Draws
2
Away Wins
1
Average total goals
4.0
Recent matches
2016-11-30
EFL Cup
Hull
2 - 1
Newcastle
Draw
2015-01-31
Premier League
Hull
0 - 3
Newcastle
Home team won
2014-09-20
Premier League
Newcastle
2 - 2
Hull
Draw
2014-03-01
Premier League
Hull
1 - 4
Newcastle
Home team won
2013-09-21
Premier League
Newcastle
2 - 3
Hull
Away team won
Last meeting: 2016-11-30 (2-1)
📊 Season Summary
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Newcastle
Rank
6
Games played
3
Record
1W · 2D · 0L
Standing points
5
Standing points / match
1.67
Goals for / against
6 / 4
Avg goals scored / allowed
2.0 / 1.33
Hull
Rank
3
Games played
3
Record
2W · 1D · 0L
Standing points
7
Standing points / match
2.33
Goals for / against
3 / 0
Avg goals scored / allowed
1.0 / 0.0
🎯 Betting Options
All available bet types with odds
The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.
More metrics
🕸️ Team Style Comparison
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Newcastle
GOAL
13
ATTACK
45
RS
67
RA
56
DEFENSE
63
Hull
GOAL
37
ATTACK
28
RS
33
RA
100
DEFENSE
93
📈 Recent Form Trend
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Newcastle
↑
4.38
Strong upward trend
Hull
↑
16.3
Strong upward trend
⚖️ Performance Metrics
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
1.67
Standing points / match
2.33
2
Avg goals scored
1
1.33
Avg goals allowed
0
Home/Away records
1
Standing points / match
3
2
Avg goals scored
1
2
Avg goals allowed
0
Recent
1.67
Standing points / match
2.33
2
Avg goals scored
1
1.33
Avg goals allowed
0
🔥 Streaks
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Newcastle
Overall
Unbeaten 3
Winless 1
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 3
At Home
Unbeaten 2
Winless 2
Best: Unbeaten 2
Away
Win 1
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1
Hull
Overall
Unbeaten 3
Winless 1
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 3
At Home
Unbeaten 2
Winless 1
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 2
Away
Win 1
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1
📚 Season History
Rank and record by season
Newcastle
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Premier League | #12 | 14W 7D 17L | -2 GD | 1.39 / 1.45 |
| 2024/2025 | Premier League | #5 | 20W 6D 12L | +21 GD | 1.79 / 1.24 |
| 2023/2024 | Premier League | #7 | 18W 6D 14L | +23 GD | 2.24 / 1.63 |
| 2022/2023 | Premier League | #4 | 19W 14D 5L | 71 pts +35 GD | 1.79 / 0.87 |
| 2021/2022 | Premier League | #11 | 13W 10D 15L | 49 pts -18 GD | 1.16 / 1.63 |
Hull
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | EFL Championship | #6 | 21W 10D 15L | +4 GD | 1.52 / 1.43 |
| 2024/2025 | EFL Championship | #21 | 12W 13D 21L | -10 GD | 0.96 / 1.17 |
| 2023/2024 | EFL Championship | #7 | 19W 13D 14L | +8 GD | 1.48 / 1.3 |
| 2022/2023 | EFL Championship | #15 | 14W 16D 16L | 58 pts -10 GD | 1.11 / 1.33 |
| 2021/2022 | EFL Championship | #19 | 14W 9D 23L | 51 pts -13 GD | 0.89 / 1.17 |
👥 Squads
Registered players with season stats
Newcastle
24 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 27 Nik Ultemaideu (24) | 27 | 7 | - |
| FW | 20 Aenseoni Elrangga (24) | 27 | 0 | - |
| FW | 23 Jeikop Meopi (31) | 26 | 3 | 1 |
| FW | 10 Aenseoni Godeun (25) | 25 | 6 | 3 1 |
| FW | 7 Joelrington (30) | 24 | 2 | 9 |
| FW | 18 William Osula (23) | 17 | 2 | - |
| FW | 9 Yoan Wisa (30) | 13 | 1 | 1 |
| MF | 11 Habi Banseu (29) | 30 | 5 | 1 |
| MF | 8 Sandeuro Tonalri (26) | 29 | 0 | 3 |
| MF | 3 Ruiseu Hol (22) | 24 | 1 | 4 |
| MF | 39 Beuruno (29) Muscle injury | 23 | 9 | 5 |
| MF | 41 Jeikop Raemji (25) | 21 | 2 | 5 1 |
| MF | 28 Josep Wilrok (27) | 20 | 0 | 3 |
| MF | 67 Ruiseu Miley (20) Knee injury | 19 | 1 | - |
| DF | 12 Malrik Tiau (25) | 28 | 4 | 3 |
| DF | 33 Daen Beon (34) | 23 | 0 | 9 1 |
| DF | 2 Kieoreon Teuripieo (36) | 18 | 0 | 3 |
| DF | 4 Seuben Boteuman (26) Face Injury27.04.2026 | 18 | 1 | 1 |
| DF | 5 Pabian Syareu (35) Ankle injury | 16 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 21 Ribeuramento Balrentino | 15 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 17 Emil Keurapeuteu (32) Knee injury | 1 | 0 | - |
| DF | 37 Alex Murphy (56) | 1 | 0 | - |
| GK | 1 Nik Pope (34) | 22 | 0 | 1 |
| GK | 32 Aron Ramseudeil (28) | 10 | 0 | 1 |
Hull
25 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 22 Kail Josep (25) | 37 | 8 | 6 |
| FW | 21 Gelhareuteu Jo | 32 | 13 | 4 |
| FW | 9 Olribeo Maekbeoni (30) | 30 | 13 | 7 |
| FW | 7 Riam Milreo (27) | 26 | 2 | 3 |
| FW | 10 Belrumi Mohamedeu | 15 | 1 | 2 |
| FW | 13 Yu Hirakawa (25) Knee injury | 5 | 0 | - |
| MF | 27 Regan Seulraeteo (27) Ankle injury | 39 | 2 | 7 |
| MF | 20 Amireu Hajiametobichi (29) | 34 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 3 Jailseu Raieon Hamstring injury | 28 | 0 | 6 |
| MF | 25 Maet Keurukseu (32) | 24 | 4 | 12 |
| MF | 5 Jon Runseuteureom (32) | 23 | 1 | 8 |
| MF | 11 Babahide Dabideu Akintolra (30) Inactive | 20 | 1 | 4 |
| MF | 24 Dareuko Gyabi (22) Groin injury | 20 | 2 | - |
| MF | 36 Louie Koumas (21) | 11 | 3 | - |
| MF | 26 Kieoreon Dowel (29) | 9 | 1 | 1 |
| MF | 37 Paedi Maekneeo (31) | 7 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 33 Tobi Collyer (22) | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 15 Jon Igeon (34) | 35 | 2 | 7 |
| DF | 4 Chalri Hyujeu (23) | 35 | 1 | 5 1 |
| DF | 2 Rui Koil (31) | 32 | 0 | 9 |
| DF | 18 Deurame Kodi | 19 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 6 Semi Ajai (33) | 16 | 1 | - |
| DF | 23 Peimu Akin Calf injury | 15 | 1 | 1 |
| DF | 16 Jeikop Maeti Knee injury | 5 | 0 | - |
| GK | 1 Iboreu Pandureu (26) | 39 | 0 | 6 |
Detailed Analysis
Match Outlook
Head-to-head history favors Newcastle, and Hull has not beaten Newcastle in regular time since 2016.
Team Status
Newcastle's squad quality and depth, even with possible Carabao Cup rotation, should surpass Hull's Championship-level roster.
Stored match probabilities
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
Home win70.0%
Draw17.0%
Away win12.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win100%
Draw0%
Away Win0%
🔎 Forecast Agreement
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick. Confidence is limited — treat this match as uncertain.
Show each forecast
ChatGPT · Forecast 1
75%Prediction: Newcastle Win
Score: 2 - 1
- Head-to-head history favors Newcastle, and Hull has not beaten Newcastle in regular time since 2016.
- Newcastle's squad quality and depth, even with possible Carabao Cup rotation, should surpass Hull's Championship-level roster.
Read full reasoning
Based on the latest available data until June 2024, Newcastle United are clearly the stronger side, with a better record both in recent matches and historically against Hull City. Their attacking style and home advantage at St. James' Park further tip the scales. While Hull can be competitive, especially if Newcastle rotates their squad, the gulf in squad quality and Newcastle's cup ambitions make them favorites.
Claude · Forecast 2
68%Prediction: Newcastle Win
Score: 2 - 1
- Newcastle's superior Premier League pedigree and home advantage at St. James' Park provides significant edge over Championship side Hull City
- Historical head-to-head heavily favors Newcastle (10 wins vs 4 for Hull), with recent encounters showing Newcastle's quality advantage
- Carabao Cup typically sees Newcastle field competitive lineups while Hull may rotate more as lower division side; squad depth difference crucial factor
- Hull's attacking threats remain credible with Philogene and proven scorers, making comfortable victory unlikely despite Newcastle favoritism
Read full reasoning
Newcastle United enter as clear favorites given their Premier League status, strong home record at St. James' Park, and commanding historical record against Hull City (10 wins, 4 losses). Hull City, though competitive in their league, face a significant step up. The Carabao Cup knockout format typically draws Newcastle's stronger XI, while Hull may prioritize league commitments. However, Hull's demonstrated ability to score (68 goals in 2023-24) and compete means Newcastle cannot afford complacency. A narrow victory (2-1) reflects Newcastle's dominance tempered by Hull's competitive quality and cup unpredictability.
Gemini · Forecast 3
80%Prediction: Newcastle Win
Score: 3 - 0
- Newcastle's significant advantage in squad depth and Premier League experience.
- Home field advantage at St. James' Park, which remains a difficult venue for visiting EFL sides.
- The disparity in technical quality and physical conditioning between PL and Championship-level rosters.
Read full reasoning
Newcastle United enters this fixture as heavy favorites, benefiting from a squad optimized for Premier League and European competition. Even with potential rotation—common in the early rounds of the Carabao Cup—Newcastle's fringe players often possess the quality of starters at the Championship level. Their high-intensity pressing style is expected to disrupt Hull City's build-up play, forcing turnovers in dangerous areas. Hull City will likely prioritize defensive solidity and look for opportunities on the counter-attack, but maintaining that discipline for 90 minutes against top-tier opposition is a difficult task. Historically, the gap between the top half of the Premier League and the Championship has widened, making a cupset unlikely in this specific matchup. Hull's best chance lies in Newcastle underestimating the tie and fielding an overly experimental lineup, but the home crowd and the prestige of the tournament usually ensure a professional performance from the Magpies.