Key Analysis
Nottingham Forest have a stronger recent head-to-head record against Coventry.
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⚽ Football
CHAMPIONSHIP
Nottingham
Home
Final
0
-
1
Coventry Win
2026-09-19 15:30
Coventry
Away
📋
5 ROUND
🗓
2026/2027
🏆
SUMMRIZE
Korean market · Odds & records
🏟 시티 그라운드
● Nottingham 2025/2026 · 16th · 11W 11D 16L (GD -3)
● Coventry 2025/2026 · 1st · 28W 11D 7L (GD +52)
🎯 Prediction Accuracy
AI Predicted
Nottingham Win
Prediction Missed🎯 Tokti AI Prediction
Prediction
Nottingham Win
Confidence
64%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
2 - 1
Key Analysis Points
- ✓ Nottingham Forest have a stronger recent head-to-head record against Coventry.
- ✓ Forest's home advantage and higher-level experience in the Premier League provide an edge.
Recommended Bets:
Home Win
(64%)
Over 2.5
(59%)
📊 Win Probability
Nottingham
Coventry
49.5%
28.0%
22.5%
Home 49.5%
Draw 28.0%
Away 22.5%
🧭 Market Signals
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Where the money went
Payout 89.0%
80.0%
Home 80.0%
Draw 11.6%
Away 8.4%
Most likely scorelines
1-0
17.56%
0-0
13.29%
1-1
12.04%
2-0
11.9%
0-1
9.0%
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Compared across 24 bookmakers.
🟡
YELLOW
Caution
Max probability 49.5% · Gap 21.5%p
Analysis data as of 2026-09-24 23:06
Records as of this match, not the teams' current form.
📋 Last 5 Matches
Analysis Data · Recent results
Nottingham
W
D
D
L
L
View 5 recent results
2026-09-12
Premier League
Aston Villa
1 : 2
Nottingham
2026-09-05
Premier League
Nottingham
0 : 0
Tottenham
2026-08-29
Premier League
Liverpool
2 : 2
Nottingham
2026-08-26
EFL Cup
Nottingham
0 : 2
Leeds
2026-08-22
Premier League
Nottingham
0 : 1
Leeds
Coventry
L
L
W
L
W
View 5 recent results
2026-09-05
Premier League
Manchester City
1 : 0
Coventry
2026-08-29
Premier League
Coventry
0 : 1
Hull
2026-08-26
EFL Cup
Plymouth
2 : 4
Coventry
2026-08-22
Premier League
Arsenal
3 : 0
Coventry
2026-05-02
EFL Championship
Watford
0 : 4
Coventry
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
4
Home Wins
3
Draws
0
Away Wins
1
Average total goals
2.75
Recent matches
2022-04-07
EFL Championship
Nottingham
2 - 0
Coventry
Home team won
2021-08-09
EFL Championship
Coventry
2 - 1
Nottingham
Away team won
2021-02-03
EFL Championship
Coventry
1 - 2
Nottingham
Home team won
2020-11-05
EFL Championship
Nottingham
2 - 1
Coventry
Home team won
Last meeting: 2022-04-07 (2-0)
📊 Season Summary
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Nottingham
Rank
11
Games played
4
Record
1W · 2D · 1L
Standing points
5
Standing points / match
1.25
Goals for / against
4 / 4
Avg goals scored / allowed
1.0 / 1.0
Coventry
Rank
20
Games played
3
Record
0W · 0D · 3L
Standing points
0
Standing points / match
0.0
Goals for / against
0 / 5
Avg goals scored / allowed
0.0 / 1.67
🎯 Betting Options
All available bet types with odds
The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.
More metrics
🕸️ Team Style Comparison
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Nottingham
GOAL
38
ATTACK
23
RS
33
RA
67
DEFENSE
74
Coventry
GOAL
7
ATTACK
7
RS
0
RA
44
DEFENSE
62
📈 Recent Form Trend
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Nottingham
↓
-6.3
Sharp decline
Coventry
↑
2.5
Strong upward trend
⚖️ Performance Metrics
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
1.25
Standing points / match
0
1
Avg goals scored
0
1
Avg goals allowed
1.67
Home/Away records
0.5
Standing points / match
0
0
Avg goals scored
0
0.5
Avg goals allowed
2
Recent
1.25
Standing points / match
0
1
Avg goals scored
0
1
Avg goals allowed
1.67
🔥 Streaks
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Nottingham
Overall
Win 1
Unbeaten 3
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 3
At Home
Unbeaten 1
Winless 2
Best: Unbeaten 1
Away
Win 1
Unbeaten 2
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 2
Coventry
Overall
Lose 3
At Home
Lose 1
Away
Lose 2
📚 Season History
Rank and record by season
Nottingham
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Premier League | #16 | 11W 11D 16L | -3 GD | 1.26 / 1.34 |
| 2024/2025 | Premier League | #7 | 19W 8D 11L | +12 GD | 1.53 / 1.21 |
| 2023/2024 | Premier League | #17 | 9W 9D 20L | -18 GD | 1.29 / 1.76 |
| 2022/2023 | Premier League | #16 | 9W 11D 18L | 38 pts -30 GD | 1.0 / 1.79 |
| 2021/2022 | EFL Championship | #4 | 23W 11D 12L | 80 pts +33 GD | 1.59 / 0.87 |
Coventry
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | EFL Championship | #1 | 28W 11D 7L | +52 GD | 2.11 / 0.98 |
| 2024/2025 | EFL Championship | #5 | 20W 9D 17L | +6 GD | 1.39 / 1.26 |
| 2023/2024 | EFL Championship | #9 | 17W 13D 16L | +11 GD | 1.52 / 1.28 |
| 2022/2023 | EFL Championship | #5 | 18W 16D 12L | 70 pts +12 GD | 1.26 / 1.0 |
| 2021/2022 | EFL Championship | #12 | 17W 13D 16L | 64 pts +1 GD | 1.3 / 1.28 |
👥 Squads
Registered players with season stats
Nottingham
26 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 19 Igoreuda Keurujeu (25) | 30 | 3 | - |
| FW | 14 Daen Eundoye (26) | 23 | 1 | 1 |
| FW | 9 Aonii Taio (29) Inactive | 12 | 2 | 1 |
| FW | 29 Dilrein Bakeuwa (24) | 10 | 0 | 1 |
| FW | 9 Keuriseu Udeu (35) Poor condition | 8 | 2 | - |
| FW | 20 Ruka Rorenjo | 3 | 1 | - |
| MF | 8 Elrieot Andereuson (24) | 31 | 2 | 6 |
| MF | 10 Mogeon Gipseu-hwaiteu (26) | 31 | 9 | 1 |
| MF | 7 Kalreom Heodeuseun-odoi (26) | 29 | 3 | - |
| MF | 21 Omari Heochinseun (23) | 24 | 1 | - |
| MF | 6 Ibeurahim Sanggare (29) | 23 | 2 | 5 |
| MF | 16 Nikolraseu Dominggeseu (28) | 20 | 1 | 2 |
| MF | 22 Raieon Yateseu (29) | 16 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 24 Jeimseu Maekati (24) | 10 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 31 Nikolra Milrenkobichi (29) | 31 | 0 | 6 |
| DF | 3 Neko Wilrieomseu (25) | 30 | 1 | 5 1 |
| DF | 5 Muriyo (24) | 23 | 1 | 4 |
| DF | 4 Morato (25) | 15 | 0 | 4 |
| DF | 34 Olra Aina (30) | 15 | 0 | 3 |
| DF | 23 Jair Paula da Cunha Filho (21) Foot injury | 3 | 0 | - |
| DF | 25 Ruka Netcheu (23) Inactive | 2 | 0 | - |
| DF | 44 Jaek Abbott (20) | 2 | 0 | - |
| GK | 26 Macheu Selseu (34) | 24 | 0 | 2 |
| GK | 13 Jon (30) Knee injury | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| GK | 27 Seutepan Oreutega (34) | 3 | 0 | - |
| GK | 18 Geon Aenggeoseu | 1 | 0 | - |
Coventry
23 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 10 Epeuron Meiseunkeulrakeu (27) | 35 | 7 | 4 |
| FW | 11 Haji Raiteu (28) | 33 | 16 | 4 |
| FW | 23 Tomaseu Asante Beuraendeun (28) | 27 | 12 | 1 |
| FW | 24 Mareukelro Yaheunoa | 3 | 0 | - |
| MF | 6 Matt Grimes (31) | 39 | 2 | 4 |
| MF | 9 Ellis Simms (25) | 36 | 10 | 1 |
| MF | 7 Tatsuhiro Sakamoto (31) | 33 | 7 | 4 |
| MF | 29 Biktoreu Topeu (27) | 32 | 8 | 5 |
| MF | 5 Jack Rudoni (26) | 25 | 5 | - |
| MF | 8 Jeimi Alren (31) | 21 | 1 | - |
| MF | 14 Romain Esse (56) | 11 | 2 | 2 |
| MF | 16 Ogochukuoneka (28) | 8 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 27 Pan Ebaikeu Milran | 37 | 0 | 8 |
| DF | 3 Jay Dasilva (28) | 36 | 0 | 6 1 |
| DF | 15 Liam Kitching (27) | 32 | 2 | 7 |
| DF | 4 Bobby Thomas (25) | 29 | 2 | 6 1 |
| DF | 28 Josi Ekeulseu (26) | 29 | 4 | 5 |
| DF | 20 Keseulreo Kein | 20 | 1 | 1 |
| DF | 26 Rukeu Ulpendeon (28) | 16 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 22 Joel Latibeaudiere (26) | 11 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 21 Jeikeu Bideuwel (33) | 9 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 33 Miguel Brau (25) Muscle injury | 8 | 0 | - |
| GK | 19 Reosiwoseu Kal | 39 | 0 | 2 |
Detailed Analysis
Match Outlook
Coventry finished the 2023-24 season in poor form, winless in their last five games.
Team Status
Forest's home advantage and higher-level experience in the Premier League provide an edge.
Stored match probabilities
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
Home win49.0%
Draw28.0%
Away win23.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win100%
Draw0%
Away Win0%
🔎 Forecast Agreement
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Show each forecast
ChatGPT · Forecast 1
68%Prediction: Nottingham Win
Score: 2 - 1
- Nottingham Forest have a stronger recent head-to-head record against Coventry.
- Forest's home advantage and higher-level experience in the Premier League provide an edge.
Read full reasoning
Nottingham Forest, despite a difficult Premier League campaign, have shown resilience at home and often edge tight games against Coventry. The head-to-head history slightly favors Forest, and their core squad remains strong, with key creative and attacking players available. Coventry struggled at the end of the 2023-24 Championship season and have defensive vulnerabilities. However, the analysis is based on data from two years prior, so confidence is moderate. Forest’s home advantage and top-flight experience make them slight favorites, but Coventry's tactical organization could keep the match close.
Claude · Forecast 2
62%Prediction: Nottingham Win
Score: 2 - 1
- Nottingham Forest's superior head-to-head record (3W-2L in last 5 meetings) suggests tactical familiarity and psychological advantage over Coventry
- Home advantage is crucial—Forest's home record historically stronger than away; Coventry showed mixed away form (7W-8D-8L in 2023-24)
- Coventry entering severe downturn form (L-L-L-D-L in final 5 games 2023-24) vs Forest's more volatile but recent win streak; momentum shift favors Forest
- If Forest relegated to Championship by 2026, their quality squad and experience at higher level should dominate; Coventry's solid defense (1.18 goals conceded/game) limits scoreline but insufficient to prevent Forest victory
Read full reasoning
Nottingham Forest are favored at home despite the speculative nature of 2026-27 data. While Coventry showed Championship consistency with good defensive discipline (1.18 conceded/game), their late-season collapse (1 point in final 5 games) undermines confidence. Forest's home strength and likely squad quality advantage point to a narrow victory. Coventry's away record (7W-8D-8L) shows inconsistency, making an away comeback unlikely. Score prediction: 2-1 Forest reflects both teams' attacking capability but Forest's defensive solidity and home control.
Gemini · Forecast 3
65%Prediction: Nottingham Win
Score: 2 - 1
- Nottingham Forest's home advantage at the City Ground remains a significant factor in high-stakes matches.
- Forest possesses higher individual quality with players like Gibbs-White and Awoniyi compared to Championship standards.
- Coventry City has shown defensive vulnerability in recent league outings, particularly in away fixtures.
Read full reasoning
Nottingham Forest enters this fixture as the favorites, largely due to their recent experience at the Premier League level and the technical superiority of their core squad. Historically, Forest has held the edge in head-to-head encounters, winning three of the last five meetings. Their ability to transition quickly through Morgan Gibbs-White and utilize the pace of their wingers makes them a difficult prospect for a Coventry side that has struggled for clean sheets in recent seasons. Coventry City, under the long-term guidance of Mark Robins, remains a tactically disciplined unit capable of causing upsets through effective transitions and the goal-scoring instincts of Ellis Simms. However, their winless streak at the end of the previous campaign suggests a struggle with consistency against top-tier opposition. At the City Ground, Forest's intensity and superior depth should be enough to secure a narrow victory in what is expected to be a closely contested midlands battle.