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Bournemouth

Bournemouth

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Final
0 - 1

Liverpool Win

2026-09-20 12:00

Liverpool

Liverpool

Away

📋 5 ROUND 🗓 2026/2027 🏆 SUMMRIZE

Korean market · Odds & records

🏟 바이탈리티 스타디움 ● Bournemouth 2025/2026 · 6th · 13W 18D 7L (GD +4) ● Liverpool 2025/2026 · 5th · 17W 9D 12L (GD +10)

🎯 Tokti AI Prediction

Prediction

Liverpool Win

Confidence

73%

How strongly our analysis backs this pick

Predicted Score

1 - 3

Key Analysis Points

  • ✓ Liverpool have a dominant head-to-head record against Bournemouth, winning 13 of their last 17 EPL meetings.
  • ✓ Bournemouth struggled against top-six sides in the latest season and conceded nearly 1.7 goals per game.
Recommended Bets: Away Win (73%) Over 2.5 (68%)

📊 Win Probability

Bournemouth
12.5%
20.0%
67.5%
Liverpool
Home 12.5%
Draw 20.0%
Away 67.5%

🧭 Market Signals

What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved

Where the money went

Payout 89.1%
35.4%
56.8%
Home 7.8% Draw 35.4% Away 56.8%

Odds movement (open → now)

Home
2.75 → 3.00
▲ 0.25
Draw
3.65 → 3.65
Away
2.06 → 1.94
▼ 0.12

Falling odds mean money moved onto that side.

Most likely scorelines

1-1
12.92%
0-1
10.51%
1-0
9.99%
1-2
8.39%
0-0
8.09%

Next fixtures

AFC Bournemouth
10/10 A Chelsea Premier League
10/16 H Sturm Graz UEFA Europa League
10/18 H Sunderland Premier League
Liverpool
10/12 H Manchester City Premier League
10/15 A LASK Linz UEFA Champions League
10/17 A Brentford Premier League

Compared across 24 bookmakers.

🟢

Safe Bet

Max probability 67.5% · Gap 47.5%p

GREEN
Analysis data as of 2026-09-24 23:07

Records as of this match, not the teams' current form.

📋 Last 5 Matches

Analysis Data · Recent results

Bournemouth
D W D D L
View 5 recent results
2026-09-12 Premier League
Bournemouth 2 : 2 Brentford
2026-09-09 EFL Cup
Bournemouth 4 : 0 Lincoln
2026-09-05 Premier League
Newcastle 2 : 2 Bournemouth
2026-08-29 Premier League
Bournemouth 1 : 1 Everton
2026-08-23 Premier League
Manchester City 2 : 1 Bournemouth
Liverpool
D W W D D
View 5 recent results
2026-09-12 Premier League
Liverpool 0 : 0 Fulham
2026-09-10 UEFA Champions League
Liverpool 2 : 1 Atl. Madrid
2026-09-05 Premier League
Ipswich 0 : 2 Liverpool
2026-08-29 Premier League
Liverpool 2 : 2 Nottingham
2026-08-23 Premier League
Newcastle 2 : 2 Liverpool

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Analysis Data · Recent meetings

Total

10

Home Wins

2

Draws

0

Away Wins

8

Average total goals 4.0

Recent matches

2026-01-25 Premier League
Bournemouth 3 - 2 Liverpool
Home team won
2025-08-16 Premier League
Liverpool 4 - 2 Bournemouth
Away team won
2025-02-02 Premier League
Bournemouth 0 - 2 Liverpool
Away team won
2024-09-21 Premier League
Liverpool 3 - 0 Bournemouth
Away team won
2024-01-22 Premier League
Bournemouth 0 - 4 Liverpool
Away team won

Last meeting: 2026-01-25 (3-2)

📊 Season Summary

Analysis Data · Current season stats

Bournemouth

Rank 15
Games played 4
Record 0W · 3D · 1L
Standing points 3
Standing points / match 0.75
Goals for / against 6 / 7
Avg goals scored / allowed 1.5 / 1.75

Liverpool

Rank 6
Games played 4
Record 1W · 3D · 0L
Standing points 6
Standing points / match 1.5
Goals for / against 6 / 4
Avg goals scored / allowed 1.5 / 1.0

🎯 Betting Options

All available bet types with odds

The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.

Match Winner 2 sources #3524 Odds & records

Home

3.0

32.4%

Draw

3.65

24.4%

Away

1.94

43.2%

More metrics

🕸️ Team Style Comparison

Analysis Data · 5 source indices

Bournemouth
GOAL 35 ATTACK 35 RS 50 RA 42 DEFENSE 53
Liverpool
GOAL 70 ATTACK 40 RS 50 RA 67 DEFENSE 76

📈 Recent Form Trend

Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance

Bournemouth
↑ 1.88

Slight improvement

Liverpool
↑ 0.01

Stable

⚖️ Performance Metrics

Overall · home/away records · recent form

Overall

0.75 Standing points / match 1.5
1.5 Avg goals scored 1.5
1.75 Avg goals allowed 1

Home/Away records

1 Standing points / match 2
1.5 Avg goals scored 2
1.5 Avg goals allowed 1

Recent

0.75 Standing points / match 1.5
1.5 Avg goals scored 1.5
1.75 Avg goals allowed 1

🔥 Streaks

Analysis Data · Current form indicators

Bournemouth

Overall

Unbeaten 3 Winless 4

Best: Unbeaten 3

At Home

Unbeaten 2 Winless 2

Best: Unbeaten 2

Away

Unbeaten 1 Winless 2

Best: Unbeaten 1

Liverpool

Overall

Unbeaten 4 Winless 1

Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 4

At Home

Unbeaten 2 Winless 2

Best: Unbeaten 2

Away

Win 1 Unbeaten 2

Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 2

📚 Season History

Rank and record by season

Bournemouth

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / GD Avg goals scored / allowed
2025/2026 Premier League #6 13W 18D 7L +4 GD 1.53 / 1.42
2024/2025 Premier League #9 15W 11D 12L +12 GD 1.53 / 1.21
2023/2024 Premier League #12 13W 9D 16L -13 GD 1.42 / 1.76
2022/2023 Premier League #15 11W 6D 21L 39 pts -34 GD 0.97 / 1.87
2021/2022 EFL Championship #2 25W 13D 8L 88 pts +35 GD 1.61 / 0.85

Liverpool

Season Comp. Rank Record Standing points / win% / GD Avg goals scored / allowed
2025/2026 Premier League #5 17W 9D 12L +10 GD 1.66 / 1.39
2024/2025 Premier League #1 25W 9D 4L +45 GD 2.26 / 1.08
2023/2024 Premier League #3 24W 10D 4L +45 GD 2.26 / 1.08
2022/2023 Premier League #5 19W 10D 9L 67 pts +28 GD 1.97 / 1.24
2021/2022 Premier League #2 28W 8D 2L 92 pts +68 GD 2.47 / 0.68

👥 Squads

Registered players with season stats

Bournemouth

22 players
View squad
Pos Player GP Goals Cards
FW 8 Alrekseu Seukot (56) 31 2 3
FW 9 Evanilson (27) 29 6 1
FW 19 Jeoseutin Keulruibereuteu (27) Knee Injury27.04.2026 18 2 4
FW 26 Eneseu Unal (29) 17 1 1
FW 37 Rayan (20) 8 2 1
FW 11 Ben Doak (56) 5 0 -
MF 21 Amin Aedeulri (26) 27 3 2
MF 16 Marcus Tavernier (27) 27 5 4
MF 22 Eli Junior Kroupi (20) 26 9 3
MF 7 Deibit Beurukseu (29) 25 1 7
MF 10 Raieon Keuriseuti (31) 21 2 2
MF 4 Ruiseu Kuk (29) Hamstring Injury13.04.2026 16 0 1 1
MF 27 Alex Toth (21) 4 0 1
DF 3 Aedeurieon Teureopeoteu (25) 31 0 3
DF 5 Mareukoseu Senesi (29) 30 0 8
DF 20 Alejandro Jimenez (21) 27 1 9
DF 23 Jeimseu Hil (24) 22 0 2
DF 12 Tyler Adams (27) Injury13.04.2026 18 2 7
DF 15 Adam Smith (35) 18 0 3
DF 18 Bafode Diakite (25) 18 0 1
DF 6 Julio Cesar Soler Barreto (21) Hamstring Injury04.05.2026 3 0 -
GK 1 Joreuje Peteurobichi (27) 31 0 2

Liverpool

21 players
View squad
Pos Player GP Goals Cards
FW 18 Cody Gakpo (27) 29 6 2
FW 22 Ekitike Wigo 28 11 -
FW 14 Pederiko Chiesa (29) Injured 23 2 3
FW 11 Mohamedeu Salra (34) Muscle injury 22 5 1
FW 9 Alexander Isak (27) Leg fracture 10 2 -
MF 10 Alreksiseu Alriseutereu (28) 30 2 5
MF 38 Raieon Geurabenbeochi (24) 29 4 5
MF 8 Dominik Szoboszlai 29 5 7 1
MF 17 Keotiseu Jonseu (25) 27 0 1
MF 7 Peulrorian Bireucheu (23) 27 4 1
MF 12 Koneo Beuraedeulri (23) Knee Injury01.07.2026 15 0 5
MF 42 Trey Nyoni (2026) 4 0 -
DF 4 Beojil Ban Daikeu (35) 31 3 4
DF 5 Ibeurahima Konate (27) 29 1 6
DF 6 Milos Kerkez 28 2 4
DF 26 Aendeuryu Robeoteuseun (32) 19 0 -
DF 2 Jo Gomejeu (29) 16 0 2
DF 30 Jeremie Frimpong (26) 15 0 1
DF 3 Wataru Endo (33) Foot Injury25.05.2026 8 0 1
GK 1 Alisson (34) Injury20.04.2026 25 0 1
GK 25 Giorgi Mamardashvili (26) 6 0 -

Detailed Analysis

Key Analysis

Liverpool have a dominant head-to-head record against Bournemouth, winning 13 of their last 17 EPL meetings.

Match Outlook

Liverpool finished the 2023/24 season with strong away form and significantly superior attacking and defensive stats compared to Bournemouth.

Team Status

Bournemouth struggled against top-six sides in the latest season and conceded nearly 1.7 goals per game.

Stored match probabilities

Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.

Home win12.0%
Draw20.0%
Away win68.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win0%
Draw0%
Away Win100%

🔎 Forecast Agreement

3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.

Show each forecast

ChatGPT · Forecast 1

80%

Prediction: Liverpool Win

Score: 1 - 3

  • Liverpool have a dominant head-to-head record against Bournemouth, winning 13 of their last 17 EPL meetings.
  • Bournemouth struggled against top-six sides in the latest season and conceded nearly 1.7 goals per game.
Read full reasoning

Based on the most recent available data (2023/24), Liverpool's quality, squad depth, and consistent results against Bournemouth make them clear favorites. Bournemouth's improved attack under Iraola is notable, but their defensive issues remain a concern against top teams. While Liverpool will have a new manager by 2026, their historical and statistical dominance provides a strong basis for predicting another away win. However, given the speculative nature of projecting two years ahead, confidence is high but not absolute.

Claude · Forecast 2

72%

Prediction: Liverpool Win

Score: 1 - 2

  • Liverpool's superior away form and 13-2 H2H advantage over Bournemouth demonstrates clear historical dominance
  • Bournemouth's defensive vulnerabilities (1.71 goals conceded/game) will be exposed against Liverpool's potent attack (2.26 goals/game, 2.11 xG)
  • New Liverpool manager Arne Slot's possession-based style should control the tempo; Bournemouth's 44% possession average suggests they'll struggle to impose their game
Read full reasoning

Liverpool enters this fixture as clear favorites based on multiple analytical dimensions. Historically, Liverpool dominates the H2H record with 13 wins compared to Bournemouth's 2 across 17 meetings, reflecting a consistent performance gap. Liverpool's attacking output (2.26 goals/game, 17.3 shots/game) significantly exceeds Bournemouth's defensive capability (1.71 goals conceded/game, only 8 clean sheets). Away from home, Liverpool demonstrated resilience with an 11-5-3 record. With new manager Arne Slot bringing a possession-dominant approach, Liverpool should control the match's rhythm. Bournemouth's main threat remains Dominic Solanke (19 EPL goals), but Liverpool's defensive anchor Virgil van Dijk should effectively neutralize this threat. The margin of quality is substantial enough to project a Liverpool victory, likely by a single goal.

Gemini · Forecast 3

70%

Prediction: Liverpool Win

Score: 1 - 3

  • Liverpool holds a dominant head-to-head record with 13 wins in their last 17 encounters.
  • The transition to Arne Slot's possession-heavy system (60% avg) targets Bournemouth's defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Bournemouth's high goals-conceded rate (1.71 per game) poses a significant risk against Liverpool's elite attack.
Read full reasoning

Liverpool enters this fixture as the clear favorite, maintaining a significant historical advantage with 13 wins in their last 17 meetings. Under the tactical shift expected in the post-Klopp era, Liverpool's high-pressing and possession-based style likely overwhelms mid-table sides. Their offensive output, which averaged over 2 goals per game in the latest data, remains a major threat against a Bournemouth defense that has historically struggled to contain elite attacking units. Bournemouth, while resilient at the Vitality Stadium under Andoni Iraola, typically lacks the depth to withstand sustained pressure from a top-tier side. While Dominic Solanke provides a potent counter-attacking threat, the technical gap in midfield usually allows Liverpool to dictate the tempo. Given the match occurs in the 2026 season, Liverpool's superior squad quality and historical dominance make an away victory the most statistically probable outcome, despite the inherent unpredictability of long-term projections.

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