Key Analysis
Chelsea have dominated the recent head-to-head, winning 9 of the last 10 EPL meetings.
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⚽ Football
EPL
🏠
Sunderland
Home
Scheduled
VS
Match Time
2026-11-08
15:00
✈️
Chelsea
Away
📋
10 ROUND
🗓
2026/2027
● Sunderland 2025/2026 · 7th · 14W 12D 12L (GD -6)
● Chelsea 2025/2026 · 10th · 14W 10D 14L (GD +6)
Chelsea favored
62%
Confidence
Medium
- · Sunderland last 5: 2W 2D 1L
- · Head-to-head 10 matches: home 4W 1D 5L
- · Data-based estimate points the same way
AI analysis 2026-11-01 15:02
·
data as of 2026-11-04 21:20
🎯 Tokti AI Prediction
Prediction
Chelsea Win
Confidence
68%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Key Analysis Points
- ✓ Chelsea have dominated the recent head-to-head, winning 9 of the last 10 EPL meetings.
- ✓ Sunderland's recent historical data suggests they are a Championship-level side, less experienced at EPL level.
- ✓ Chelsea's squad quality, depth, and attacking output significantly surpass Sunderland's based on known data.
Recommended Bets:
Away Win
(68%)
Over 2.5
(63%)
📊 Win Probability
Sunderland
Chelsea
15.0%
22.5%
62.5%
Home 15.0%
Draw 22.5%
Away 62.5%
🟢
GREEN
Safe Bet
Max probability 62.5% · Gap 40.0%p
Strategy: Clear favorite detected. Consider the main market or safe derivative options below for steady compound returns.
Analysis data as of 2026-11-04 21:20
📋 Last 5 Matches
Analysis Data · Recent results
Sunderland
L
W
D
D
W
View 5 recent results
2026-11-01
Premier League
Coventry
3 : 1
Sunderland
2026-10-29
EFL Cup
Sunderland
3 : 2
Brentford
2026-10-26
Premier League
Sunderland
0 : 0
Leeds
2026-10-23
UEFA Europa League
Lech Poznan
1 : 1
Sunderland
2026-10-16
UEFA Europa League
Torreense
1 : 2
Sunderland
Chelsea
W
D
L
W
W
View 5 recent results
2026-10-31
Premier League
Chelsea
2 : 0
Manchester Utd
2026-10-29
EFL Cup
Liverpool
1 : 1
Chelsea
2026-10-25
Premier League
Chelsea
0 : 2
Tottenham
2026-10-17
Premier League
Everton
0 : 2
Chelsea
2026-10-10
Premier League
Chelsea
5 : 1
Bournemouth
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
4
Draws
1
Away Wins
5
Average total goals
3.6
Recent matches
2026-05-25
Premier League
Sunderland
2 - 1
Chelsea
Home team won
2025-10-25
Premier League
Chelsea
1 - 2
Sunderland
Home team won
2017-05-21
Premier League
Chelsea
5 - 1
Sunderland
Away team won
2016-12-15
Premier League
Sunderland
0 - 1
Chelsea
Away team won
2016-05-07
Premier League
Sunderland
3 - 2
Chelsea
Home team won
Last meeting: 2026-05-25 (2-1)
📊 Season Summary
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Sunderland
Rank
19
Games played
8
Record
1W · 2D · 5L
Standing points
5
Standing points / match
0.63
Goals for / against
7 / 14
Avg goals scored / allowed
0.88 / 1.75
Chelsea
Rank
4
Games played
9
Record
5W · 1D · 3L
Standing points
16
Standing points / match
1.78
Goals for / against
19 / 15
Avg goals scored / allowed
2.11 / 1.67
More metrics
🕸️ Team Style Comparison
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Sunderland
GOAL
11
ATTACK
6
RS
29
RA
42
DEFENSE
78
Chelsea
GOAL
33
ATTACK
43
RS
67
RA
46
DEFENSE
55
📈 Recent Form Trend
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Sunderland
↑
1.42
Slight improvement
Chelsea
↑
0.25
Stable
⚖️ Performance Metrics
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
0.63
Standing points / match
1.78
0.88
Avg goals scored
2.11
1.75
Avg goals allowed
1.67
Home/Away records
1
Standing points / match
1.5
0.25
Avg goals scored
1.5
0.75
Avg goals allowed
1.75
Recent
0.63
Standing points / match
1.63
0.88
Avg goals scored
2
1.75
Avg goals allowed
1.63
🔥 Streaks
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Sunderland
Overall
Lose 1
Winless 6
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 2
At Home
Unbeaten 1
Winless 3
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1
Away
Lose 2
Winless 4
Best: Unbeaten 1
Chelsea
Overall
Win 1
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 2
At Home
Win 1
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 3
Away
Win 1
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1
📚 Season History
Rank and record by season
Sunderland
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Premier League | #7 | 14W 12D 12L | -6 GD | 1.11 / 1.26 |
| 2024/2025 | EFL Championship | #4 | 21W 13D 12L | +14 GD | 1.26 / 0.96 |
| 2023/2024 | EFL Championship | #16 | 16W 8D 22L | -2 GD | 1.13 / 1.17 |
| 2022/2023 | EFL Championship | #6 | 18W 15D 13L | 69 pts +13 GD | 1.48 / 1.2 |
| 2021/2022 | EFL League One | #5 | 24W 12D 10L | 84 pts +26 GD | 1.72 / 1.15 |
Chelsea
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/2026 | Premier League | #10 | 14W 10D 14L | +6 GD | 1.53 / 1.37 |
| 2024/2025 | Premier League | #4 | 20W 9D 9L | +21 GD | 1.68 / 1.13 |
| 2023/2024 | Premier League | #6 | 18W 9D 11L | +14 GD | 2.03 / 1.66 |
| 2022/2023 | Premier League | #12 | 11W 11D 16L | 44 pts -9 GD | 1.0 / 1.24 |
| 2021/2022 | Premier League | #3 | 21W 11D 6L | 74 pts +43 GD | 2.0 / 0.87 |
👥 Squads
Registered players with season stats
Sunderland
22 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 18 Aisidoreu Wilseun | 26 | 4 | 2 |
| FW | 9 Beuraieon Beurobi (24) | 24 | 6 | 4 |
| FW | 12 Eliezer Mayenda (21) | 19 | 2 | - |
| FW | 25 Bereuteurandeu Teuraore (31) Knee Injury04.05.2026 | 12 | 1 | 1 |
| MF | 28 Enjo Reupi (26) | 29 | 4 | 5 |
| MF | 34 Geuraniteu Syaka (34) | 27 | 1 | 5 |
| MF | 27 Noah Sadiki (22) | 26 | 0 | 7 |
| MF | 7 Chemsdine Talbi (56) | 23 | 4 | - |
| MF | 14 Meondeul Romein Hamstring Injury01.06.2026 | 14 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 19 Habib Diara (22) | 14 | 2 | 4 |
| MF | 11 Christopher Rigg (19) | 13 | 0 | - |
| MF | 13 Rukeu Onien (32) | 8 | 0 | 1 1 |
| MF | 10 Nilseun Deibideu Anggulro Ramireseu (23) Injured | 5 | 0 | - |
| DF | 32 Hyum Teurei | 31 | 0 | 8 |
| DF | 15 Omareu Alderiteu (30) | 27 | 1 | 6 |
| DF | 5 Daniel Balradeu (27) Muscle injury | 26 | 2 | 3 |
| DF | 6 Ruteusyarel Geoteuruida (26) | 25 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 20 Noreudi Mulrereu Mukiel (29) | 25 | 1 | 4 |
| DF | 17 Rinildo Mandaba (32) | 18 | 0 | 7 1 |
| DF | 3 Deniseu Seokin (23) | 7 | 0 | 1 |
| GK | 22 Roepeuseu Robin Muscle injury | 28 | 0 | 3 |
| GK | 31 Elbori Melkeo | 3 | 0 | - |
Chelsea
23 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 20 Juang Pedeuro (25) | 31 | 14 | 4 |
| FW | 7 Pedeuro Neto (26) | 29 | 5 | 4 1 |
| FW | 9 Riam Delrap (23) | 22 | 1 | 2 |
| FW | 49 Alrehandeuro Gareunacho (22) | 20 | 1 | 2 |
| FW | 41 Estevao (2026) | 20 | 2 | 3 |
| FW | 11 Biyon Giteunseu Jeimi Muscle injury | 16 | 0 | - |
| FW | 38 Marc Guiu (20) | 7 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 8 Enjo Pereunandeseu (25) | 30 | 8 | 8 |
| MF | 25 Moiseu Keisedo (25) | 26 | 3 | 9 1 |
| MF | 17 Andeurei Aireuton (22) | 23 | 0 | 4 |
| MF | 10 Kol Palmeo (24) | 20 | 9 | 4 |
| MF | 45 Romio Rabia (22) | 8 | 0 | - |
| DF | 23 Teurebo Chalroba (27) Ankle injury | 29 | 3 | 3 1 |
| DF | 27 Malro Guseuto (23) | 28 | 2 | 4 1 |
| DF | 24 Riseu Jeimseu (27) Hamstring injury | 27 | 2 | 4 |
| DF | 3 Makeu Kukurelra (28) | 27 | 1 | 5 1 |
| DF | 29 Weseulri Popana (26) | 19 | 0 | 6 1 |
| DF | 21 Jorrel Hato (20) | 16 | 0 | 4 |
| DF | 4 Apdul Nasireu Adarabiyo (29) | 15 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 5 Benuiteu Badiasil (25) | 8 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 19 Mamadu Sarr (21) | 2 | 0 | - |
| GK | 1 Robereuteu Sancheseu (29) | 29 | 0 | 4 1 |
| GK | 12 Yoreugensen Pilripeu Groin Injury13.04.2026 | 3 | 0 | - |
Detailed Analysis
Match Outlook
Sunderland's recent historical data suggests they are a Championship-level side, less experienced at EPL level.
Team Status
Chelsea's squad quality, depth, and attacking output significantly surpass Sunderland's based on known data.
Stored match probabilities
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
Home win15.0%
Draw23.0%
Away win62.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win0%
Draw0%
Away Win100%
🔎 Forecast Agreement
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Show each forecast
ChatGPT · Forecast 1
70%Prediction: Chelsea Win
Score: 0 - 2
- Chelsea have dominated the recent head-to-head, winning 9 of the last 10 EPL meetings.
- Sunderland's recent historical data suggests they are a Championship-level side, less experienced at EPL level.
- Chelsea's squad quality, depth, and attacking output significantly surpass Sunderland's based on known data.
Read full reasoning
Based on the latest available data, Chelsea are clear favorites. Their superior squad quality, tactical approach, and historical dominance over Sunderland point to an away win. Sunderland would likely be newly promoted and less equipped to handle Chelsea's attacking threats. However, the analysis is based on data from 2023-24, so confidence is limited by the absence of 2026-27 season data and unknown variables such as transfers, injuries, or managerial changes.
Claude · Forecast 2
72%Prediction: Chelsea Win
Score: 1 - 2
- Chelsea's superior squad depth and experience despite Sunderland's home advantage
- Historical dominance: Chelsea 9W-1W over past 10 EPL meetings, including recent 5-1 victory
- Chelsea's attacking prowess (1.8 goals/game) vs Sunderland's defensive vulnerability away from home
- Tactical edge: Chelsea's organized 4-2-3-1 and high press likely to exploit Sunderland's mid-table inconsistency
- Potential Sunderland resilience if promotion-motivated with strong home support
Read full reasoning
Chelsea are clear favorites based on historical dominance (9 wins in last 10 EPL meetings) and squad quality. While Sunderland would need promotion to reach the EPL by 2026, their home advantage provides some mitigation. Chelsea's attacking capabilities (1.8 goals/game) combined with tactical organization under established management positions them to control this fixture. Sunderland's away record (8W-5D-10L in Championship context) suggests vulnerability on the road. However, this is a single fixture where Sunderland's home support and potential tactical discipline warrant a 28% non-Chelsea outcome probability. Chelsea's young, talented squad should capitalize on their experience premium.
Gemini · Forecast 3
65%Prediction: Chelsea Win
Score: 1 - 2
- Chelsea's historical dominance with 9 wins in their last 10 EPL meetings against Sunderland.
- Disparity in squad market value and recruitment depth between a 'Big Six' side and a developing Sunderland squad.
- Sunderland's strong home-field advantage at the Stadium of Light and reliance on youth-driven high energy.
Read full reasoning
Chelsea enters this fixture as the statistical favorite, maintaining a superior head-to-head record and a squad built on high-value international talent. Their tactical setup, typically focused on high possession and a sophisticated press, usually creates significant problems for sides that are transitioning back into the top flight or maintaining mid-table stability. Even with the match projected into 2026, the structural financial advantages of the London club suggest a higher ceiling for individual match-winners like Cole Palmer. Sunderland's path to a result lies in their energetic home support and a commitment to a fast-paced, counter-attacking style. While they have shown the ability to disrupt established teams through high-intensity midfield play, their defensive consistency in the Premier League has historically been their undoing against elite opposition. A competitive but narrow victory for the visitors is the most likely outcome, as Chelsea's depth allows them to maintain pressure over the full 90 minutes.