Key Analysis
Kyoto has a superior head-to-head record over Okayama, especially in recent years.
Previous detail view
Open new match centre →
⚽ Football
J League
Okayama
Home
Final
1
-
2
Kyoto Win
2026-09-19 09:00
Kyoto
Away
📋
8 ROUND
🗓
2026/2027
Korean market · Odds & records
🏟 JFE 하레노쿠니 스타디움
● Okayama 2026 · 6th · 6W 2D 4L
● Kyoto 2026 · 8th · 5W 3D 2L
🎯 Prediction Accuracy
AI Predicted
Kyoto Win
Prediction Correct!🎯 Tokti AI Prediction
Prediction
Kyoto Win
Confidence
60%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Key Analysis Points
- ✓ Kyoto has a superior head-to-head record over Okayama, especially in recent years.
- ✓ Both teams show similar recent form, but Kyoto's experience in the higher division (J1) is a slight advantage.
- ✓ Okayama struggles to score consistently, while Kyoto's forwards, like Utaka, have proven match-winning ability.
Recommended Bets:
Away Win
(60%)
Under 2.5
(55%)
📊 Win Probability
Okayama
Kyoto
25.0%
30.0%
45.0%
Home 25.0%
Draw 30.0%
Away 45.0%
🧭 Market Signals
What buyers actually backed, and how the odds moved
Where the money went
Payout 87.0%
61.5%
24.9%
13.6%
Home 61.5%
Draw 24.9%
Away 13.6%
Odds movement (open → now)
Home
1.81
→
1.69
▼ 0.12
Draw
3.20
→
3.25
▲ 0.05
Away
3.50
→
4.00
▲ 0.50
Falling odds mean money moved onto that side.
Most likely scorelines
2-0
11.66%
3-0
10.08%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.77%
3-1
7.73%
Next fixtures
Fagiano Okayama
09/29
A
Consadole Sapporo
J.League Cup
10/07
H
JEF United Chiba
Emperor's Cup
10/10
A
Avispa Fukuoka
J1 League
Kyoto Sanga
09/23
H
Fujieda MYFC
Emperor's Cup
10/03
A
FC Machida Zelvia
J.League Cup
10/10
H
FC Machida Zelvia
J1 League
Compared across 24 bookmakers.
🟡
YELLOW
Caution
Max probability 45.0% · Gap 15.0%p
Analysis data as of 2026-09-24 23:06
Records as of this match, not the teams' current form.
📋 Last 5 Matches
Analysis Data · Recent results
Okayama
W
W
L
W
D
View 5 recent results
2026-09-06
J League
Okayama
3 : 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2026-09-02
J League
Chiba
1 : 2
Okayama
2026-08-29
J League
Nagoya Grampus
2 : 1
Okayama
2026-08-26
Emperor's Cup
Okayama
3 : 0
Belugarosso Iwami
2026-08-22
J League
Okayama
0 : 0
Verdy
Kyoto
L
L
D
W
W
View 5 recent results
2026-09-11
J League
Kyoto
2 : 3
Kashiwa Reysol
2026-09-06
J League
FC Tokyo
2 : 0
Kyoto
2026-09-02
J League
Yokohama F. Marinos
1 : 1
Kyoto
2026-08-29
J League
Kyoto
2 : 1
Avispa Fukuoka
2026-08-26
Emperor's Cup
Kyoto
1 : 0
Maruyasu Okazaki
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
3
Draws
2
Away Wins
5
Average total goals
2.7
Recent matches
2026-04-11
J League
Kyoto
5 - 1
Okayama
Away team won
2026-03-08
J League
Okayama
1 - 0
Kyoto
Home team won
2025-08-30
J League
Kyoto
5 - 0
Okayama
Away team won
2025-02-15
J League
Okayama
2 - 0
Kyoto
Home team won
2021-11-20
J League Division
Okayama
0 - 0
Kyoto
Draw
Last meeting: 2026-04-11 (5-1)
📊 Season Summary
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Okayama
Rank
8
Games played
6
Record
3W · 1D · 2L
Standing points
10
Standing points / match
1.67
Goals for / against
8 / 7
Avg goals scored / allowed
1.33 / 1.17
Kyoto
Rank
15
Games played
7
Record
1W · 2D · 4L
Standing points
5
Standing points / match
0.71
Goals for / against
9 / 14
Avg goals scored / allowed
1.29 / 2.0
🎯 Betting Options
All available bet types with odds
The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.
More metrics
🕸️ Team Style Comparison
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Okayama
GOAL
50
ATTACK
29
RS
44
RA
61
DEFENSE
83
Kyoto
GOAL
17
ATTACK
25
RS
43
RA
33
DEFENSE
62
📈 Recent Form Trend
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Okayama
↑
4.64
Strong upward trend
Kyoto
↓
-4.29
Sharp decline
⚖️ Performance Metrics
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
1.67
Standing points / match
0.71
1.33
Avg goals scored
1.29
1.17
Avg goals allowed
2
Home/Away records
2.33
Standing points / match
0.5
1.33
Avg goals scored
1
0.67
Avg goals allowed
1.75
Recent
1.67
Standing points / match
0.71
1.33
Avg goals scored
1.29
1.17
Avg goals allowed
2
🔥 Streaks
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Okayama
Overall
Win 2
Best: Win 2 · Unbeaten 2
At Home
Win 1
Unbeaten 3
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 3
Away
Win 1
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1
Kyoto
Overall
Lose 2
Winless 3
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 2
At Home
Lose 1
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 1
Away
Lose 1
Winless 4
Best: Unbeaten 2
📚 Season History
Rank and record by season
Okayama
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | J League | #6 | 6W 2D 4L | — | 0.33 / 0.0 |
| 2025 | J League | #13 | 12W 9D 17L | -9 GD | 0.89 / 1.13 |
| 2024 | J League Division | #5 | 17W 14D 7L | +19 GD | 1.26 / 0.76 |
| 2023 | J League Division | #10 | 13W 19D 10L | 0 GD | 1.17 / 1.17 |
| 2022 | J League Division | #3 | 20W 12D 10L | 72 pts +19 GD | 1.45 / 1.0 |
Kyoto
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | J League | #8 | 5W 3D 2L | — | 0.44 / 0.0 |
| 2025 | J League | #3 | 19W 11D 8L | +22 GD | 1.63 / 1.05 |
| 2024 | J League | #14 | 12W 11D 15L | -12 GD | 1.13 / 1.45 |
| 2023 | J League | #13 | 12W 4D 18L | -5 GD | 1.18 / 1.32 |
| 2022 | J League | #16 | 8W 12D 14L | 36 pts -8 GD | 0.88 / 1.12 |
👥 Squads
Registered players with season stats
Okayama
20 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 28 Macheumoto Masaya (31) | 8 | 2 | - |
| FW | 88 Towa Yamane (27) | 8 | 1 | 2 |
| FW | 22 Ichimi Gajeunari (29) | 8 | 0 | 1 |
| FW | 99 Rukau (31) | 7 | 1 | - |
| FW | 40 Gawano Kota (23) | 7 | 1 | - |
| FW | 98 Popo (25) | 6 | 2 | - |
| MF | 8 Esaka Ataru (34) | 8 | 1 | - |
| MF | 27 Gimura Dakaya (28) | 8 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 41 Eiji Miyamoto (28) | 8 | 0 | - |
| MF | 33 Gamiya Yuta (29) | 6 | 0 | - |
| MF | 51 Sirai Goseuke (32) | 6 | 0 | - |
| MF | 6 Hirosi Omori (24) | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| MF | 24 Hujita Ibuki (35) | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 43 Seujeuki Yositake (28) | 1 | 0 | - |
| DF | 48 Dasseuta Yugo (28) | 8 | 0 | - |
| DF | 2 Kotakudo (23) | 7 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 18 Dagami Daichi (33) | 4 | 0 | - |
| DF | 26 Haruka Motoyama (27) | 2 | 0 | - |
| GK | 1 Renareuteu Mojeo (27) | 5 | 0 | - |
| GK | 52 Taro Hamada (26) | 3 | 0 | - |
Kyoto
23 playersView squad
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 11 Mareuko Tulrio (28) | 8 | 4 | - |
| FW | 9 Papaijio (27) Injured | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| FW | 17 Alex Negueba (25) | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| FW | 93 Shun Nagasawa (38) | 1 | 0 | - |
| MF | 7 Okugawa Masaya (31) | 8 | 1 | - |
| MF | 77 Haruki Arai | 7 | 0 | - |
| MF | 44 Kyo Sato (26) | 7 | 0 | - |
| MF | 6 Huang Pedeuro (27) | 7 | 0 | 3 |
| MF | 39 Hirato Toki (29) | 6 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 16 Hiraoka Taiyo (24) | 6 | 0 | 2 |
| MF | 18 Temma Matsuda (31) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 99 Fuchi Honda (25) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 32 Saito Micheuki (27) | 3 | 0 | - |
| MF | 48 Ryuma Nakano (24) | 3 | 0 | - |
| MF | 88 Bareto (31) | 2 | 0 | - |
| MF | 8 Yonemoto Dakuji (36) | 2 | 0 | - |
| DF | 22 Seugai Hidehiro (28) | 8 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 50 Yoshinori Suzuki (34) | 8 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 34 Angrike (29) | 7 | 2 | 2 |
| DF | 2 Shinnosuke Fukuda (26) | 7 | 0 | 2 |
| DF | 40 Yusuke Ishida (24) | 2 | 0 | - |
| DF | 5 Dawahisasi (28) | 2 | 0 | - |
| GK | 1 Gakuji Ota (36) | 8 | 0 | - |
Detailed Analysis
Match Outlook
Both teams show similar recent form, but Kyoto's experience in the higher division (J1) is a slight advantage.
Team Status
Okayama struggles to score consistently, while Kyoto's forwards, like Utaka, have proven match-winning ability.
Stored match probabilities
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
Home win25.0%
Draw30.0%
Away win45.0%
Stored forecast agreement details
Home Win33%
Draw0%
Away Win66%
🔎 Forecast Agreement
2 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick. Confidence is limited — treat this match as uncertain.
Show each forecast
ChatGPT · Forecast 1
60%Prediction: Kyoto Win
Score: 1 - 2
- Kyoto has a superior head-to-head record over Okayama, especially in recent years.
- Both teams show similar recent form, but Kyoto's experience in the higher division (J1) is a slight advantage.
- Okayama struggles to score consistently, while Kyoto's forwards, like Utaka, have proven match-winning ability.
Read full reasoning
Based on historical data to mid-2024, Kyoto Sanga FC has outperformed Okayama in direct encounters and has more experience facing higher-level opposition. Okayama's home advantage and solid defensive structure could make the match close, but their inconsistent attack is a concern. Kyoto's slight edge in attacking firepower and pedigree tips the prediction in their favor, though the chance of a draw remains significant given both teams' recent form and goal-scoring trends.
Claude · Forecast 2
58%Prediction: Okayama Win
Score: 1 - 0
- Okayama's home advantage at City Light Stadium historically provides strongest platform for results
- Kyoto's away record is significantly weaker; they have struggled to perform on the road with fewer points collected away from home
- Head-to-head history slightly favors Kyoto (10 wins vs 6), but recent league context shows Okayama more stable in J2 with better standing (12th) versus Kyoto's J1 relegation battle (16th)
Read full reasoning
Okayama edges Kyoto primarily due to home advantage and league context. While Kyoto holds a historical head-to-head advantage (10-6-10 all-time), the 2026 matchup context matters more: Okayama occupies 12th in J2 with slightly positive momentum (23 pts, -3 GD), whereas Kyoto struggles in J1's relegation zone (16th, 18 pts, -7 GD). Kyoto's poor away form is particularly concerning against a team stronger at home. However, low confidence reflects data from June 2024—actual 2026 form, squad changes, and league transitions are unknown. Expect a tight, low-scoring affair given both teams' recent matches averaging ~1 goal per game.
Gemini · Forecast 3
65%Prediction: Kyoto Win
Score: 1 - 2
- Kyoto Sanga has historically dominated this fixture, winning the last 4 competitive meetings.
- Kyoto's higher-tier experience (J1) typically results in superior squad depth and tactical flexibility.
- Okayama's 2024 defensive metrics suggest vulnerability against high-possession attacking units.
Read full reasoning
Historically, Kyoto Sanga has maintained a superior head-to-head record against Fagiano Okayama, winning the last four competitive encounters prior to mid-2024. Kyoto's experience in the top flight (J1) provides them with a tactical edge and a higher quality of squad depth compared to Okayama, who have traditionally operated as a mid-to-upper table J2 side. Okayama's defensive vulnerabilities, which were evident in their 2024 form, often struggle against the high-pressing and possession-based style that Kyoto employs. Kyoto's 4-3-3 system often overloads the midfield, making it difficult for Okayama's 4-2-3-1 to transition effectively. Unless Okayama can exploit Kyoto's aggressive fullbacks on the counter, the away side is likely to dictate the tempo. Given the historical trend and the gap in league pedigree, Kyoto enters this fixture as the favorite to secure all three points, likely in a controlled performance.